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Aditya_Singh1
Aug 16, 2017 8:40 PM

Bitcoin Story ? Short

Bitcoin / U. S. DollarKraken

Description

Depiction in chart, to pan out over next 60-100 days

Trade active

Next stop 3775 and then a minor retrace

Trade active

Target of 3775 achieved, time for retrace

Comment

Retrace complete, time for one more down down wave, short at 3910

Comment

3910 short trade invalid, wait for retrace till 4160 before going long

Comment

before going short .. correction to above
Comments
tshah
lol
view_trade
@aditya Singh, What is your retrace target? Thanks!
Aditya_Singh1
@view_trade, 2500ish
Aditya_Singh1
@view_trade, Correction to my answer, just wait for correction waves to form. 2 possibilites : 3400 (flat correction) or 2500 (zig zag correction). Will get to know depending on how current upmove plays out.
view_trade
@aditya Singh, Thank you for the updates! I will keep an eye out!
NANA01
Why do you think it will Short?
Aditya_Singh1
@NANA01, All technical indicators are showing so. Ofcourse market need to follow cycles and It will rise up again big time but some correction is needed to get in buyers
NANA01
@aditya Singh, Thank you for your good work as well as response and my apologies as I am not as technical (at least yet :)). Just trying to understand, wasn't the 4484 high to the 3821 low retraction enough (and fairly close to the 3700 odd support line you've shown)? Also, there seems to be a very solid support in the 3900-4K band so xbt being able to break that support line is seemingly becoming a daunting task now. This in addition to all the support from the Japan (cointelegraph.com/news/japan-might-be-driving-factor-for-recent-bitcoin-price-rally-reasons-trends) seems to be dictating a bullish influence. Sorry, I am not trying to contradict but have a positive discussion here. I have seen a lot of people posting good technical analysis on why Bitcoin is going to correct itself but am confused due to the reasons mentioned above. Your thoughts?
NANA01
@aditya Singh, To also add, the resent interest from a multitude of institutional investors also seems to be adding to the support.
Aditya_Singh1
@NANA01, of course, no need to so apologetic in message :)

a. Since inception till date it has completed 5 elliot waves already. If it had retrace to 3700 then correction would have ended but instead it went high again extending wave (ii) of A.
Correction wave A usually touches 2nd wave of wave 5
5 waves took 5 years, a correction of few hours is very short
b. It is also a typical parabola pattern. Text says to short the day it moves left to parabola which it did on daily chart
c. Monthly RSI is phenomenally overbrought @94
d. All indicators are showing divergences - Bollinger bands, MACD, Alligator oscillator.

I think its best to stay out and watch. Technical analysis just reads trends may be it might form next pattern in 1-2 days. For now, a great fall is on cards in the coming 2 weeks. For reference check ether charts when it fell. Bitcoin top is similar now.
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