1, I'm tired of explain CNY devaluation.
2, Fundamental policy decides this and PBOC manipulation.
3, Someone knows nothing about China and RMB currency, please leave this currency alone.
4, A wash out just took place.
5, Lagging from DAX and DXY.
6, Head shoulders USDCNY.
7, Elliot wave evolution, 7 waves power.
9, Thank you for your likes.
2, Fundamental policy decides this and PBOC manipulation.
3, Someone knows nothing about China and RMB currency, please leave this currency alone.
4, A wash out just took place.
5, Lagging from DAX and DXY.
6, Head shoulders USDCNY.
7, Elliot wave evolution, 7 waves power.
9, Thank you for your likes.
Comment:
We may see 4000 and a pull back soon.
Comment:
We'll see about 3000 and a gap will be closed at 8th. Oct 2015. A huge buy there.
Comment:
Sorry for my lazy... This one isn't updated for 5 months. But I traded it and got out free. Global indexes will drop in May, soon. So this one will drop to 2100- 2200 points. I won't touch it before JPY is topped. And for all people in China don't trade it until SPX500 rises strongly. RMB is too strong too support it. It's a sick market stay out of it if you don't know it.
Comment:
For all Chinese traders.
Comment:
To all my Chinese traders. There will be 5 billion Yuan IPO from May to June. Stay away from this sick market! Renminbi is keep neutral money policy already, which the word "easing" has been removed in April.
Comment:
In case of BOJ will ease more.
Comment:
NO squeeze an more. Weighted JPY will rise to 7.8- 8.3 before Oct. 2016 because after that month BOJ will start to ease.
Comment:
Ok. Here we are. BOJ started controlling 2 years YEN bunds yields. We are at risk on mode after Trump and early Brexit. I bought a lot YEN this year now I'm out of YEN.
Comment:
Now we're focusing the biggest change A shares.
In case 1, no higher than 5178
In case 1, no higher than 5178
Comment:
In case 2, higher than 5178 and B wave follows strong C wave
Comment:
In case 3, this is the new high above 6124.
Comment:
I will do the A shares in China. This is a huge chance for us because renminbi will devaluate more in later years. USDCNY should reach 8.0-8.2 in the future.
I'm here warnning you guys, if FRB no hike in Dec and gold rise to 1350 cut all of your long positions. Don't buy it until A shares will be topped.
Merry Christmas and happy new year!
I'm here warnning you guys, if FRB no hike in Dec and gold rise to 1350 cut all of your long positions. Don't buy it until A shares will be topped.
Merry Christmas and happy new year!
Comment:
A shares start falling today. The future of the China market is not very clearly because the weighted JPY will decide A shares market. It can retest 10 months SMA and rises again and can fall to bottom quickly. We will watch weighted JPY very very carefully. If the JPY is following DXY going down then A shares will rise and UJ is falling slowly liked 2008 QE, an overheat phase begins. But if JPY is rising strongly then A shares will fall to bottom quickly. Then an overheat phase again.
We are now flat on A shares.
We are now flat on A shares.
Comment:
OK, here we are. UJ break upside and EU following to new low DXY new high.
From above chart "In case of BOJ will ease more" we now have the "BOJ squeezing" situation at that red vertical line from Jul. 2016. It's showing us that BOJ target isn't the inflation but the A shares second top. (a sneak attacking like they did Lol)
Now, A shares is dropping and Renminbi 10 years bunds market is crashing (interests higher). There is NO sign of A shares will rise. But, JPY's moving lower is the key.
I think that we're going to repeat 2014- 2015 top sequence to form a second top of this index in order to squeeze out the second round inflation target as we know the first round isn't high enough to support the economic.
Let's see.
From above chart "In case of BOJ will ease more" we now have the "BOJ squeezing" situation at that red vertical line from Jul. 2016. It's showing us that BOJ target isn't the inflation but the A shares second top. (a sneak attacking like they did Lol)
Now, A shares is dropping and Renminbi 10 years bunds market is crashing (interests higher). There is NO sign of A shares will rise. But, JPY's moving lower is the key.
I think that we're going to repeat 2014- 2015 top sequence to form a second top of this index in order to squeeze out the second round inflation target as we know the first round isn't high enough to support the economic.
Let's see.
Comment:
A shares bull cycles Vs. DAX and SPX( they are the same) cycles.
From time perspective and the inflation numbers (red) there is still a chance to make a second top from lower. EEM ETF is showing lower too. But now the inflation is higher, if we can get rates hike from Renminibi in 2017 then it's a very good sign of a positive cycle like 2002 is happening.
From time perspective and the inflation numbers (red) there is still a chance to make a second top from lower. EEM ETF is showing lower too. But now the inflation is higher, if we can get rates hike from Renminibi in 2017 then it's a very good sign of a positive cycle like 2002 is happening.
Comment:
I'm not an economist but I knew they did it wrong. Let's see if China 10 years bunds market rises with interests or not. I think they tend to be wrong like always. I will look for weighted JPY to find clues, if weighted JPY keeps weakenning with DXY there is still an hope for A shares. But the inflation in Japan will be very high like 2006.
Comment:
"Chickens are gonna fly. Dogs are gonna jump" from Chinese slogan. 2017 is the chicken's year and 2018 is the dog's year from traditional lunar calendar.
Comment:
The first round inflations are very high with Renminbi's hike, about 8%- 10%. You should be ready for the huge rising price in China with interests higher.
Comment:
After the MLF, PBOC raised SLF (short-term lending facility 1D,7D,1M) by 0.1%, ( 1D by 0.35%) the Renminbi 10Y bonds market is falling and the interests going higher, a tightening among those big banks happens. It's very soon that the long term interests shall rise and we should have a rising cycle starts form Spring 2017. It's a very good sign of the A shares and the global inflations.
Comment:
An very educational text book from a 5 wave of EW wave theory.
The problem is that, in nowadays people don't have too much patience they just want to be high and to get high as soon as possible. There're less people cares about the long run.
The problem is that, in nowadays people don't have too much patience they just want to be high and to get high as soon as possible. There're less people cares about the long run.
Comment:
I take the negative interests is an heroine drugs which is not natural and ECB is becoming very addictive to it. Let's see how the negative ends in this year of 2017.
Comment:
A warning !!! Renminbi is gonna collapse in March!!! We now know in the meeting PBOC is showing the weakness again and refused to hike. CFETS, SDR basket, BIS basket, are all near the edge of Abyss!!! Be careful! Sell all of your A shares !!!
Comment:
A ten-year promise Renminbi's hikes ( 2 year yields):
2007.03.18 2.79%
2007.05.19 3.06%
2007.07.21 3.33%
2007.08.22 3.60%
2007.09.15 3.87%
A shares Shanghai Composite Index topped at 6124.04
2007.12.21 4.14%
This is a simulation NOT a signal, traders!
Fasten your seat belts baby... we're gonna go rocket high ... Victor.Y.F
The pink bars is mirrored from the Renminbi's negative interests month Aug. 2009. The Renminbi ten year bunds yield had been bought into lower than the real interests where had formed a negative time period lasted for 10 years. And now it's finally could be corrected. That's saying the 5178 top in 2015 is the falling but not the real rising. Do you believe the China deserves a second chance? Some times yes. it might be.
2007.03.18 2.79%
2007.05.19 3.06%
2007.07.21 3.33%
2007.08.22 3.60%
2007.09.15 3.87%
A shares Shanghai Composite Index topped at 6124.04
2007.12.21 4.14%
This is a simulation NOT a signal, traders!
Fasten your seat belts baby... we're gonna go rocket high ... Victor.Y.F
The pink bars is mirrored from the Renminbi's negative interests month Aug. 2009. The Renminbi ten year bunds yield had been bought into lower than the real interests where had formed a negative time period lasted for 10 years. And now it's finally could be corrected. That's saying the 5178 top in 2015 is the falling but not the real rising. Do you believe the China deserves a second chance? Some times yes. it might be.
Comment:
Be patient, watch out for 10 month SMA buying opportunities with huge volume. Many sectors have been bought already, avoiding highs and look for lows. Buying the potential cash returns. I suggest 000541 in Shenzhen City Index 10 month SMA closed by 10.39Yuan/share. Buy the dip, ok?
All suggestions here ( include miners before) is an long term investment, this means monthly and yearly holding with huge risks. Don't follow me if you can't afford them.
View discretion advised here.
All suggestions here ( include miners before) is an long term investment, this means monthly and yearly holding with huge risks. Don't follow me if you can't afford them.
View discretion advised here.
Comment:
Key meeting
finance.yahoo.com/ne...trong-005409334.html
finance.yahoo.com/ne...trong-005409334.html
Comment:
R U ready? investors...
Turns out 10 year promise could be 11 years from low volatility market condition.
Because Renminbi is strengthening I sold all my gold/Renminbi and prepare to invest A shares, for long term, of cause.
My suggestions are still valid, 2 miners, 000541 too.
Turns out 10 year promise could be 11 years from low volatility market condition.
Because Renminbi is strengthening I sold all my gold/Renminbi and prepare to invest A shares, for long term, of cause.
My suggestions are still valid, 2 miners, 000541 too.
Comment:
This's an alert!
I suggest traders be prepared for this condition where NO circulation will be provided for banks and for brokers to execute trader's stop losses.
Consider an potential EURO huge impulse to 1.20 will drag down DXY and will drag down gold from SNB's weakening CHF possibility is becoming higher. The second black swan could happen but inverted the Jan. 2015 sequence.
DXY impulse down in this simulation.
If USDCNY pegged we could have an China stocks huge drop from PBOC careless about Renminbi following EURO dollar but not following DXY.
In fact, Renminbi should rise independently no matter DXY and EURO moves to where. Some one should be replaced in PBOC, ASAP...
I suggest traders be prepared for this condition where NO circulation will be provided for banks and for brokers to execute trader's stop losses.
Consider an potential EURO huge impulse to 1.20 will drag down DXY and will drag down gold from SNB's weakening CHF possibility is becoming higher. The second black swan could happen but inverted the Jan. 2015 sequence.
DXY impulse down in this simulation.
If USDCNY pegged we could have an China stocks huge drop from PBOC careless about Renminbi following EURO dollar but not following DXY.
In fact, Renminbi should rise independently no matter DXY and EURO moves to where. Some one should be replaced in PBOC, ASAP...
Comment:
Quit your A shares, hold your cash and buy some sort of short term monthly bank interests notes. Be careful guys, the PBOC could be making huge mistakes. I'm a little worried about China politics stable now...
We could buy A shares back from lower.
We could buy A shares back from lower.
Comment:
We've seen the first light of the dawn from this market today, this monthly candle could close above 10 month SMA with huge volume but we have to wait for it.
From Jan. 2017 Renminbi was tightening and interbank interests went higher. If we look at the 15th. Aug. 2015 where the Renminbi announced devaluation, the market took 3 months or 11 weeks for reflecting the purchase power failure to force the FRB hiked in 2015. ( In fact, the disapointed March hike could be an hike instead of the PBOC) We calculate 3 months or 11 weeks from Jan. 2017 this is the moment where Renminbi's purchase powers should rise already. Now we're focusing on the sectors selecting and MSCI index selecting, also the inflations should go higher.
From Jan. 2017 Renminbi was tightening and interbank interests went higher. If we look at the 15th. Aug. 2015 where the Renminbi announced devaluation, the market took 3 months or 11 weeks for reflecting the purchase power failure to force the FRB hiked in 2015. ( In fact, the disapointed March hike could be an hike instead of the PBOC) We calculate 3 months or 11 weeks from Jan. 2017 this is the moment where Renminbi's purchase powers should rise already. Now we're focusing on the sectors selecting and MSCI index selecting, also the inflations should go higher.
Comment:
It's safe to update this chart here now because of no one looks at it. Those "sanhu" (speculators in Chinese) are leaving this market and those "zhuanjiajiaoshou" (fake professional traders in Chinese) are criticizing the authorities but we're looking for the bull cycle beginning, like always, an investor point of view.
Honestly speaking, there's no professional investor in China. If you see the best reward of 2016 professional trader only uses 2 years chart and saying something like craps, then you know they're nothing but scalpers, those "sanhu" are worse... they're chasing news...
Honestly speaking, there's no professional investor in China. If you see the best reward of 2016 professional trader only uses 2 years chart and saying something like craps, then you know they're nothing but scalpers, those "sanhu" are worse... they're chasing news...
Comment:
Comment:
The "rongzirongquan" bottomed yesterday correlated with Renminbi's 3 months capital flow lagging period. Very bullish, but be careful with those 2 sectors: beautiful 50 sector, "rongzirongquan" topped sectors like Mao-tai.
Comment:
Source: Please click MAX to see long term chart.
tradingeconomics.com/china/loan-growth
China long term Yuan loan growth, surprisingly, it looks like bottomed but not looks like contracted by the PBOC.
tradingeconomics.com/china/loan-growth
China long term Yuan loan growth, surprisingly, it looks like bottomed but not looks like contracted by the PBOC.
Comment:
We just noticed that the MSCI received A shares as predicted.
Today A shares market may rise dramatically in Asia market open. Risk on.
Today A shares market may rise dramatically in Asia market open. Risk on.
Comment:
To be very very clear, the China stock market AKA the "A shares" last rising in 2015 is a selling off under Renminbi's negative interests condition as showing on chart of the 3rd. Feb. 2017, inverted in black color bars. With Renminbi's hiking on March 2017, the A shares is healthy now.
So it's gonna rise with the EEM together, but we must watch out the China Government 10Y bonds future market for buying it into a negative again.
Looking back the China bonds market, it's crazy, it's no administration in there...
So it's gonna rise with the EEM together, but we must watch out the China Government 10Y bonds future market for buying it into a negative again.
Looking back the China bonds market, it's crazy, it's no administration in there...
Comment:
Guys, expecting an first Renminbi's hike in the Aug. 2017, the only hike for this year. Today's pre-selling off of the market is a news leak from the important financial meeting last week, this could take 1 month to finish till the hike. After the hike market shall rise at once.
During today's huge selling off in A shares market, my miner has risen 2%, other miners in my list have risen 2%-4%, a bank in my list has risen 5%. An hike of Renminbi is suggested.
I'm still suggesting bank, industry, steel, miners, now I'm adding basic chemical materials sector.
During today's huge selling off in A shares market, my miner has risen 2%, other miners in my list have risen 2%-4%, a bank in my list has risen 5%. An hike of Renminbi is suggested.
I'm still suggesting bank, industry, steel, miners, now I'm adding basic chemical materials sector.
Comment:
It is a qualify moment to prove you are an "investor" or a "scalper"or a "speculator".
Comment:
There's a sign of the Chinese speculators are piling into buying A shares now. This is the bad sentiments from our analysis. We suggest taking all profits and waiting for the pull back before the August close. Our prediction of Renminbi's hike is still valid.
Comment:
Today we bring good news for traders in stock market, the A shares market is starting the first impulse which we're looking for 4 months rising till the end of 2017. Because of global stock market is sharing the same risk appetite, this will support SPX500 and DAX30 and will help the US dollar stable too.
Source: ( News in Chinese. We have 1,550 Billion Chinese Yuan 2007-2017 China 10 year bonds matured in the August and later months where's a very sensitive window to the market)
money.163.com/17/081...S3MDPUA002580S6.html
"The deposite reserve requirement at commercial Banks in a low of 1.3%, the central bank's liquidity of hedge operation is necessary."
The PBOC starts to purchase China 10 year bonds future market again or saying they're flushing the bonds market, of course there will be a stream flowing into the stock market.
The EEM ETF of MSCI has broken the trend line already for 2 months, or saying the China is lagging...
Source: ( News in Chinese. We have 1,550 Billion Chinese Yuan 2007-2017 China 10 year bonds matured in the August and later months where's a very sensitive window to the market)
money.163.com/17/081...S3MDPUA002580S6.html
"The deposite reserve requirement at commercial Banks in a low of 1.3%, the central bank's liquidity of hedge operation is necessary."
The PBOC starts to purchase China 10 year bonds future market again or saying they're flushing the bonds market, of course there will be a stream flowing into the stock market.
The EEM ETF of MSCI has broken the trend line already for 2 months, or saying the China is lagging...
Comment:
The show time... today's leading is the miners sector... coal miners. This rising will lead to the Renminbi's first hike soon... 0.25% the only hike in 2017, inevitably.
Comment:
Source: Mao-tai is over 700,000,000,000 Yuan per share. (News in Chinese)
I've seen a same phenomenon in bitcoin. The food and drink price is out of control. We suggest avoiding trading sectors from food and beverage, we suggest miners in a condition of Renminbi's interests is going higher.
Think about its whole volume if this is squeezing out what happens in Shanghai Composite Index? Too big to fall, an huge risk which is looking safe.
I've seen a same phenomenon in bitcoin. The food and drink price is out of control. We suggest avoiding trading sectors from food and beverage, we suggest miners in a condition of Renminbi's interests is going higher.
Think about its whole volume if this is squeezing out what happens in Shanghai Composite Index? Too big to fall, an huge risk which is looking safe.
Comment:
Comment:
New evidence is supporting Yuan's hike soon, please choose your sectors wisely... this index is still going higher with banks, miners, industrials, chemical materials, core inflations...
Comment:
Bearish now, only hike can save it, but I doubt it.
Comment:
Bullish now.
A Renminbi's small rates cut on Nov. 2017 is predicted today, there might be a second cut on Dec. 2017, then a flat and a pegging with US dollar. Bullish signal for China stocks market in 20 months but chose your sectors wisely ( chuangye sector may be the best one).
This's the newest prediction which will meet the 6.83 plat form and an USDCNY pegging for 20 months for sharing the same inflation with the USA (will be lower after 20 months pegging).
President Trump prefers regularity and force, this is what he wants and also fulfills the China new dictator's growing appetites... ugly than Trump.
A Renminbi's small rates cut on Nov. 2017 is predicted today, there might be a second cut on Dec. 2017, then a flat and a pegging with US dollar. Bullish signal for China stocks market in 20 months but chose your sectors wisely ( chuangye sector may be the best one).
This's the newest prediction which will meet the 6.83 plat form and an USDCNY pegging for 20 months for sharing the same inflation with the USA (will be lower after 20 months pegging).
President Trump prefers regularity and force, this is what he wants and also fulfills the China new dictator's growing appetites... ugly than Trump.
Comment:
Very hard one to predict: A shares indexes are Bearish now, please choose your sectors wisely.
A Renminbi's deposit rates hike may have been hidden by the PBOC. Something like the year of 2010 is happening in the markets now. When the western people are enjoying the inflations and the stocks rising the China markets are taking hits by the Japanese Yen's rising. If China hikes the US hikes shall be paused soon, they let the risks open fire at will.
A Renminbi's deposit rates hike may have been hidden by the PBOC. Something like the year of 2010 is happening in the markets now. When the western people are enjoying the inflations and the stocks rising the China markets are taking hits by the Japanese Yen's rising. If China hikes the US hikes shall be paused soon, they let the risks open fire at will.
Comment:
China stock markets are bearish now only the deposit hiking may change the future. It’s very clear food is over and the core will be used by central banks. Funny thing is that when every road leads to an dead end, there’s the only way to do it right now, but will they do it? Stupidizing...
Comment:
Comment:
Traders! RISK OFF mode!
Please leave stock market or hedge your shares now!
Please look back 2015 crashing. DXY may go down to 86.50 then rises to receive capital squeezing!
1; VIX above 20 again.
2; EA crossed 1.5800 EU zone inflation may go to -2%.
3; Renminbi's devaluation like the Aug. 2015.
4; China incident on March.
Scalpers in forex market should hold short term. It's enough to avoid this kind of risk.
Please leave stock market or hedge your shares now!
Please look back 2015 crashing. DXY may go down to 86.50 then rises to receive capital squeezing!
1; VIX above 20 again.
2; EA crossed 1.5800 EU zone inflation may go to -2%.
3; Renminbi's devaluation like the Aug. 2015.
4; China incident on March.
Scalpers in forex market should hold short term. It's enough to avoid this kind of risk.
Comment:
We're approaching USDCNY 11th. Aug. 2015 same level here.
What if you've invested China SZSE index
What if you've invested XAUCNY
What if you've invested China SZSE index
Comment:
Risk warning, Hong Kong hang seng index topping:
1; The Hong Kong monetary authority (HKMA) is selling us dollar reserves at hk $7.85.
2; Historically, the Hong Kong dollar will raise interests rates and tightening.
3; The hang seng index is forming a mid-term top, correcting in 20 months, an overheat period.
4. Hong Kong investors should sell shares, pay attention to core inflation, and hold Hong Kong dollars, or buy a one-year term deposit.
5; Don't buy dollars blindly.
6; Pay attention to Hong Kong property market, whether Hong Kong house prices fall will be decided by the Hong Kong dollar loan interests rates.
1; The Hong Kong monetary authority (HKMA) is selling us dollar reserves at hk $7.85.
2; Historically, the Hong Kong dollar will raise interests rates and tightening.
3; The hang seng index is forming a mid-term top, correcting in 20 months, an overheat period.
4. Hong Kong investors should sell shares, pay attention to core inflation, and hold Hong Kong dollars, or buy a one-year term deposit.
5; Don't buy dollars blindly.
6; Pay attention to Hong Kong property market, whether Hong Kong house prices fall will be decided by the Hong Kong dollar loan interests rates.
Comment:
Holding your breath, picking bottom soon. We've predicted a fireworks in months from China stock market. The PBOC should raise deposite interests in this case, start from 1.5% one year, it can go as high as 4.14%, we're talking about historical high in 12 months.
This is a signal, please don't miss it!
This is a signal, please don't miss it!
Comment:
Now like this chart, please wait for the squeezing sequence completion.
Comment:
Please check the comment below if you guys couldn’t see this chart link.
Comment:
We repeat the Shanghai Composite Index 2200 target and DXY higher to 98 or 102 target. From the leading index point if view, China term of trade will be worse. It looks like a ban trade to China around world will happen, the door is closing, from inside and outside. Crazy stagflation in Renminbi, and Chinese populist in charge the power.
Stock market should drop to September before the FRB, could be worse, slowly drop into December and US dollar hike again.
Stock market should drop to September before the FRB, could be worse, slowly drop into December and US dollar hike again.
Comment:
Comment:
Prediction now is supporting a raise in the Yuan's basic deposit interests ( 1.5% annually) in August to catch up with the fed's personal deposit rate ( 6.7% annually) : possibilities is more than 50 percent by now) See? China has lost already, inflation too high, Chinese people are poor by 5.2% now.
Yuan's 1Y interests increases 5.2% total, by per month 0.25%, plus 20 months, an overheat phase; Yuan's 1Y interests increases 5.2% total, by per month 0.5%, plus 10 months, kind of fast. For 20 months or 10 months, 5.2% has exceeded 6124 ( 2007 high points)in quantity.
Yuan's 1Y interests increases 5.2% total, by per month 0.25%, plus 20 months, an overheat phase; Yuan's 1Y interests increases 5.2% total, by per month 0.5%, plus 10 months, kind of fast. For 20 months or 10 months, 5.2% has exceeded 6124 ( 2007 high points)in quantity.
Comment:
Looks like lower before the bottom.
Comment:
