It pumps, it dumps, and it also consolidates. For each hype cycle it is reasonable to expect lower volatility because of increasing liquidity (=more market participants). Based on this I believe the bottom for stellar is already in, and we're simply waiting for BTC to move up.
This cooldown period has streched for way too long, likely indicating a change of pattern behavior. On the shorter term we are looking for 0.1713 on this 1D Channel Down: