Using XOP as representative of the Oil and Gas Exploration Industry.
Pearson's R^2 = 0.95 indicating strong tendency for signal to centralize around its multi-year linear mean (LM, 150.22).
Signal currently resides just above the lower third standard deviation (-3) off the linear mean(LM).
Statistically speaking it would be tough to hold this position for very long and I would expect for signal to either breakdown below the (-3) or mean revert upward toward the LM in the next couple weeks.
In this case a mean reversion up to the LM at 150.22 would be necessary for the current multi-year trend to be maintained at its current trajectory.
Trend breaks down with signal below the -3 (119.06).
Price declining into stronger relative strength and positive volume flow (VFI) can be a sign of the market 'absorbing' price at these levels.
This can be indicative of 'seller exhaustion' and often precedes an 'increased potential' for a directional change in price trend.