XRP/USD — Bearish Structure Intact Below 1.37

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XRP remains locked in a long-term downtrend. The early-year corrective rally toward 2.3437 (Murrey [8/8], 38.2% Fib) failed to generate follow-through, and sellers quickly regained control. Price recently printed a November 2024 low at 1.1175, before staging a limited rebound toward 1.3671 (Murrey [3/8]).

The broader structure continues to favor the downside. A confirmed break below 1.3671 would reinforce bearish continuation toward 1.1718 (Murrey [2/8]), with extension risk toward 0.7812 (Murrey [0/8]).

On the upside, bulls must reclaim 1.6420 (61.8% Fib + Bollinger midline) to invalidate the bearish channel. A sustained move above this level would expose 1.9531 (Murrey [6/8]) and 2.3437 (Murrey [8/8]).



Technical Overview
• Bollinger Bands: Expanding downward
• MACD: Strengthening in negative territory
• Stochastic: Rolling over near overbought
• Structure: Lower highs, lower lows

Bias remains bearish while below 1.6420.



Key Levels

Resistance:
1.6420
1.9531
2.3437

Support:
1.3671
1.1718
0.7812



Trading Plan

🔻 Primary Scenario — Bearish Continuation
• Sell below: 1.3671
• Targets: 1.1718 → 0.7812
• Stop-loss: 1.5100
• Timeframe: 5–7 days

🔺 Alternative Scenario — Trend Reversal Attempt
• Buy above: 1.6420
• Targets: 1.9531 → 2.3437
• Stop-loss: 1.4200

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