If you're comparing fractals, then you should also consider the BTC - XRP correlations. In the past XRP had its boost only after a BTC boost. So it will be exciting to see if BTC really does take off let's say to 14K and XRP follows.
You still aren't using the earlier peak of XRP in 2013. Is there a reason for it to ignore this?
The first top, my humble guess, will be around 12 USD.