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Exsilium
Jun 15, 2018 3:48 PM

$XRP #Ripple - Bearish Flag Testing - LOI Bounce 

XRP / U.S. dollarBitstamp

Description

We are on the precipice, currently testing the bottom trend-line of the Bear Flag plotted yesterday. A break of this should lead to at test of the 0.459 low of the year. Standard technical analysis of a bear flag says the pole should repeat, which means we would be looking at 0.39. However, 0.459 is a pretty big line in the sand and a pause there should be expected.

Be careful of placing stop-losses below 0.459. There will be a chunk of them just below that level which would lead to a domino spike and bounce.

In a bullish scenario where the Bear Flag holds here we would be looking at 0.59, a break of which would signal a bullish turn in direction for the next few days.

LOI continues to bounce off the levels I plotted yesterday and is currently UP. This contradicts with the bearish indicators which makes todays analysis difficult. Everything I plotted on the main chart says that we should see continued downward movement, but if money is flowing into XRP it would stand to reason that the law of supply and demand would kick in and price would rise.

Watch the LOI chart carefully. I plotted the current 4H line. I will update on Twitter if I see a clear direction.

Please let me know if you have any questions or comments.

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As always, this is my personal observation and analysis of the market and is not intended to be trading advice.

For future updates to this Analysis follow me here, or if you want to get more up-to-date updates to price action follow me on Twitter @ExsiliumI.

I am currently setting up a Patreon account at patreon.com/exilium. Right now I am looking at ways to structure things, like releasing analysis earlier for subscribers, etc. If you have any suggestions please let me know.

Comment

Comment

I want to add one more thing. If this bear flag breaks down, this would make this Wave 2 of the higher degree pattern, it would also mean there are 2 more impulse waves and we could easily see 0.30 at the end of the pattern. It is super important for the long term health of XRP from a trading perspective that we hold above 0.459.

Comment

Additional directions...

Comment

Bear Flag just broke down

Comments
braddles69
Thanks Ex, can you confirm the pivot points for me, in magenta HA P+S1/2 @ 0.63600
and orange P+S1/2 @ 0.57700.....Thanks again...Cheers
Exsilium
@braddles69, yours are slightly different, most likely because your using an exchange other than Bitstamp. My math is as follows:

P=0.69372
S1=0.46244
(P+S1)/2 = 0.57808

HA(P)=0.73265
HA(S1)=0.54030
HA(P+S1)=0.636475
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