maybe good idea for a long position

i can consider for XTZ two possible scenario:
1: if it stay inside the channel for NEXT 2 DAYS and of course bitcoin wont fall it can go a lot upper than now...resistance on the 3.1857 and 3.2194 is weaker than before because it has alreaby touched several times.
2:if it come out of the channel it cant fall too much because we have good support on the 2.797 but if bitcoin fall or pump again maybe this support cant be a good supporter.
i know the scenario 1 better but if you like you can wait for a better entry.