30y Treasuries gonna get slammed
If we start printing below the 162'15 this week it's gonna get ugly quick. With the $ES_F looking to print new ATHs I am in the camp that the "liftoff" talk accelerates and the bond bears come back in full force, violently. There is a full docket this week for economic news so there won't be a lack of catalysts for this trade: www.bloomberg.com/ma...s/economic-calendar/
I am playing this with May'15 159 puts (expiry on April 24), with an average price of 10/64 so far and should provide ample time for a solid selloff.
I will scale off 1/3 at each of the targets and ride the rest in to expiration or roll them assuming this goes off without a hitch (since when does a trade ever go off without a hitch???)
The first target will get me roughly to a risk free position.
The second target is somewhere close to a 500% return.
The final leg will hopefully be in the money and a lot higher or get rolled depending on price action.
Stop on the trade is above 164'15
I am playing this with May'15 159 puts (expiry on April 24), with an average price of 10/64 so far and should provide ample time for a solid selloff.
I will scale off 1/3 at each of the targets and ride the rest in to expiration or roll them assuming this goes off without a hitch (since when does a trade ever go off without a hitch???)
The first target will get me roughly to a risk free position.
The second target is somewhere close to a 500% return.
The final leg will hopefully be in the money and a lot higher or get rolled depending on price action.
Stop on the trade is above 164'15