There is a good opportunity in Soybeans complex. However this bear spread is a bit more aggresive as the price could go as low as -50. Therefore this is not suitable for position trade, but to put SL to the market to minimalize your loss in case of another fall. But there is a good potential with reduced risk. 4:1
The probability of the succes is on our side, if nothing really suprising happen in USA/China trade war. Because China is the biggest buyer of US soybeans to feed their pigs mostly.
Soybeans is as almost commodities the market with strong contango. In other words the further contracts should be more pricey, because there are costs for storage, insurance, risk etc. Negative prices cannot last long in the mid/long term as describe above. The spread just need time before supply and demand find their equal value for both sides.
The probability of the succes is on our side, if nothing really suprising happen in USA/China trade war. Because China is the biggest buyer of US soybeans to feed their pigs mostly.
Soybeans is as almost commodities the market with strong contango. In other words the further contracts should be more pricey, because there are costs for storage, insurance, risk etc. Negative prices cannot last long in the mid/long term as describe above. The spread just need time before supply and demand find their equal value for both sides.