Kumowizard
Long

If sleepy smiley Princess Wheat wakes up -> $ZW tgt 620

CBOT:ZW1!   WHEAT FUTURES - ECBT
53 1 5
Pls note that weekly chart already refers to ZWU6 September contract. For some reason tradingview source uses already the Sept contract on weekly as ZW1!             first continous contract. Note: ZWN6/ZWU6 spread trades around +14

Weekly:
- Possible patterns being formed: rounded bottom June/2015 - June/2016 + Inverse H&S June/2015 - June/2016 = I call it a "sleepy smiley" bullish formation :-)
We also have a possible bullish wedge, where the major downtrend line was penetrated three weeks ago.
- EWO bullish divergence, value is briefly above zero now.
- Heikin-Ashi still shows some hesitation, with haDelta/SMA3 zig-zag around zero.
- Key levels for a decent bullish breakout: 495 and 525. If Wheat             breaks above 525, it will deliver a multi-year startegic trend reversal, wih initial tgt             to 600-640 zone!

Daily:
- There was a quick spike to a slightly higher high, which looked promising, but momentum was not enough to reak above 525 key resistance. Correction was stronger than I previously expected, Price dipped back below Kijun, but it seems spot Kumo, 100wma and minor bullish trendline supports started to work and block sellers.
- Ichimoku has a bullish bias with Price to Ichimoku system relation as kind of neutral. Bullish momentum would pick up above 490-4495.
- Heikin-Ashi shows loss of counter bearish momentum . We may have a buy signal in coming days from this important 470-480 support zone.
- EWO bounced back to zero. (neutral)

I think 472-479 is a good risk/reward accumulation zone to build initial 1 unit trade size. Initial stops has to be place ard 460. Leverage up position only if you see confirmning bullish signals!

Note: look what Soybeans             and Corn             have done so far! For now Wheat             is the weakest among all, but if it is really a sleeping princess, sooner or later it might join them in the move!
Kumowizard PRO
5 months ago
Right face of the "Princess" got smashed! This mkt stays bearish for longer. There might be counter bullish moves, but the big picture got a lot worse. In fact whole year Wheat was a great underperformer. Only Soybeans was the real one bullish trending, and maybe Corn follwing Sbeans somehow.
For now also Soybeans and Corn turned lower.
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