I just had to pop this chart on here this morning – it is the CBOT monthly wheat chart. It demonstrates that no matter what your time frame that it is important to look at long term charts and it also demonstrates the importance of resistance.
There are two resistance points to mention on here – the first is the 1349 2008 high and the second is the shallow parallel line I have drawn, which connects the 1977 low and the 2000 low. I shifted this line up to connect to the 1349 2008 high and this provided resistance at 1373. The market tested these twin perils in March and failed miserably. The mid-point of this range is about 810 and this where I suspect the market will head.
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Fundamentals Trump technicals in the big picture. Good chance it will be back up to play in the 10's if the global supply chain gets another hiccup. Hard to call wheats next move right now.