Cocoa continued its upward price trajectory, rising 3% over the prior month (22 May to 23 June 2023).
The International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) has corrected its forecast for the supply deficit on the cocoa market in the current crop year up from 60,000 tonnes to 142,000 tonnes as production is expected to be lower and grinding higher than previously expected....
Some people create their own storms. And then get upset when it starts to rain. US Debt Ceiling drama is akin to a soap opera that never ends.
Debt ceiling issue is not new. Why bother now? Political polarisation in the US has got to unprecedented levels. The showmanship could tip over into a political nightmare. It could send economic shockwaves with impact...
CME: Offshore RMB ( CME:CNH1! ), Micro RMB ( CME_MINI:MNH1! )
On April 5th, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported the latest U.S. global trade data. For the first two months of 2023, total export and import were $328.9 and $489.7 billion, respectively. U.S. international trade balance was $160.9 billion in deficit.
Export growth was very strong, at 9.5%...
The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners (OPEC+) producers surprised the market with a decision on Sunday 2 April 2023 to lower production limits by more than 1mn barrels per day (bpd) from May through the end of 2023. This decision was announced ahead of the OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting scheduled on 3 April...
In 2008 we had a bunch of Perma bears. Gold is real money, founding fathers, banksters, who will buy the bonds, hyperinflation. Today the opposite, Govt/FED apologists, nothing is bad enough, it's transitory, worry how to spend it not how to pay for it. Wanna guess who is wrong?
For every Bill Gross that says who will buy the bonds, there is an opposite Bill...
TL;DR: What this means, in simple terms, is that the US debt is already at nose bleed levels and has been PRIOR to the global shutdown, the shutdown just making it worse and is impacting the stock market, which is a big driver for US receipts, this in turn with push the deficit higher, i am anticipating deficits that are at levels seen in the GFC (10% or higher)...
BND bounced off a critical support corresponding to November 29th, 2007, the day that yields spiked after BND dropped and miraculously regained 7.5%. We see a downward trend forming in BND indicating a tendency toward rising rates while debts and deficits continue to set record highs. If the FED is not willing to significantly debase the dollar through record...
US budget balance suffered a significant blow during the fallout of 2008/9 us mortgage crisis. Government stimulus measures needed at the time to stop the downward spiral in US markets created a huge budged deficit. In addition, government tax revenues fell sharply (as most corporations failed to show profit, thus to pay corporate taxes).
Since 2011, however,...
