Company Analysis And Trading Ideas

Company analysis looks at slew of data, from quantitative information in the financial statements like the balance sheet (assets, liabilities and equity), income statement (revenues, expenses and profit) and cashflow (cash inflows and outflows) to qualitative information about the business model, management, the goods and services, competitive advantage and the industry in which it operates. Understanding how these elements work together provides an edge in understanding where a stock price may go.

This information is used to determine the fair value of a stock and if this differs from the current market price, this means the company is over- or undervalued. Certain measures like price to earnings help to find bargain stocks with upside potential while the debt to equity ratio is used to find investments with little risk. TradingView has a helpful feature called the earnings calendar that ties earnings, earning estimates, dividends and splits to the time scale in an intuitive way.
cbede cbede PRO SENS, D, Long , a day ago
SENS: A Bold Earnings Prediction for Senseonics Holdings
10 0 2
SENS, D Long
A Bold Earnings Prediction for Senseonics Holdings

While this is a relatively new symbol with a short track record, I notice two things seem to have occurred consistently around each Senseonics earnings release and subsequent conference call. (A) the price declines before earnings and (B) we go parabolic after earnings. Eventually, corrections come afterwards, but, I wouldn't bet that is always going to be the ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines TSLA, D, 2 days ago
TSLA: OPENING: TSLA MARCH 17TH 240/245/310/315 IRON CONDOR
77 4 2
TSLA, D
OPENING: TSLA MARCH 17TH 240/245/310/315 IRON CONDOR

... for a 1.27 ($127)/contract credit. Using the monthlies, since this isn't the most liquid thing options-wise in the world. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 67% Max Profit: $127/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $373/contract Break Evens: 243.70/311.30 Delta: -.22/contract (neutral assumption) Theta: 4.42/contract Notes: I'll look to manage this at 50% ...

norok norok PRO BP, W, Short , 7 months ago
BP: Shorting BP pre-earnings
39 4 2
BP, W Short
Shorting BP pre-earnings

BP has been slowly moving up with the price of oil since April. This has not yet destroyed the long term bearish momentum on the Monthly timeframe where the downward trend is still intact. Price has now gotten to the top of the Weekly cloud to contain the overall long term bearish trend. At this point it's a "line in the sand" to determine long term sentiment ...

HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO FB, D, a month ago
FB: Earnings upcoming: Get options exposure
219 0 10
FB, D
Earnings upcoming: Get options exposure

THE BACKDROP ON FB: A STOCK WE LIKE TO OWN The stock is up some 7.5% since we recommended to buy at $118.69. We are currently in the middle of the up-channel and the stock looks overbought and ready for a consolidation, probably until earnings are out (expected Feb 1). Owners should hold on to positions (see earlier idea "Three times lucky?") Non-holders of the ...

HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO TSLA, W, 2 days ago
TSLA: Beautiful run, high expectations... Watch out!
96 0 8
TSLA, W
Beautiful run, high expectations... Watch out!

THE GOOD Still showing positive momentum on most time frames, after a solid 51.23% rally in < 3 months. This is the type of behavior only such a momentum stock can produce. THE BAD Looking overbought on most time frames. Has been trying to work out this condition, as is visible on the daily chart (below): Hammer reversal at the historical high on Feb 14 followed ...

AcornWealthCorp AcornWealthCorp PRO IMAX, D, Short , 2 days ago
IMAX: IMAX - Upward channel Possible earnings play, $31 March Puts
18 0 5
IMAX, D Short
IMAX - Upward channel Possible earnings play, $31 March Puts

IMAX seems running within an upward channel, also forming a possible bear flag formation. On the other side we have the earnings coming in 2 days. So we would like to take advantage with option, and we would consider $31 March-17 Puts, last traded for $1.25 * Trade Criteria * Date First Found- February 19, 2017 Pattern/Why- Upward channel, Possible bear flag, ...

kalosagathos kalosagathos PRO QCOM, 240, Long , a month ago
QCOM: QCOM see much rewards over risk
44 0 1
QCOM, 240 Long
QCOM see much rewards over risk

QCOM suffered a large sell-off due the lawsuit with AAPL. As we could see, even the sell-off is filling the gap of previous jump-up. Strong support around 51.17. With the upcoming earning, I would say its rewards would be great if considering the relative risk.

Spijk Spijk AF, D, Long , 5 days ago
AF: Air France-KLM takes off
8 0 2
AF, D Long
Air France-KLM takes off

Last thursday AFP reported earnings for Q4 2016. The market took it well and the chart shows a breakaway gap on high volume (not visible in chart as this is volume data from ChiX, not Euronext where most trading takes place). The breakaway followed a higher bottom at 4.80, which is also a bullish sign. I entered a long position after open on friday with a stop at ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines NVDA, D, 16 days ago
NVDA: OPENING: NVDA 100/105/140/145 IRON CONDOR
129 0 10
NVDA, D
OPENING: NVDA 100/105/140/145 IRON CONDOR

... for a 1.57/contract credit. (Earnings; High IVR/High IV). I fiddled with various setups long enough ... . Here, I'm going out farther in time than I usually like to go with an earnings play in order to give myself time to be right. Will look to manage to 50% max profit. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 63% Max Profit: $157/contract Max Loss: ...

CalebDismuke CalebDismuke PRO UAA, 2W, 22 days ago
UAA: Is Under Armour a buy at (21.50)?
84 0 3
UAA, 2W
Is Under Armour a buy at (21.50)?

Under Armor missed their revenue target after 26 consecutive quarters of at least 20% revenue growth. Since trading above $52.50 in 2015, their shares have fallen 60%, now trading under $22.00. This article from spring of last year sums up the "athletic wear" market pretty well. For me, I think this stock needs some time to settle down. The article speaks ...

themarketzone themarketzone PRO AAPL, D, a month ago
AAPL: Earnings Trading Scenarios towards earnings
60 0 5
AAPL, D
Earnings Trading Scenarios towards earnings

Two earnings scenarios for $AAPL towards earnings: 1) Inverted H&S pattern - Neck line between 118-120$ - Potential bullish scenario as long as the price remains above the neck line 2) Bearish Gartley pattern - Completion near 125$ (also minor structure zone) - Potential bearish scenario that will lead AAPL back towards the 200 MA line and 100$ Read about this ...

HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO NESN, D, 7 days ago
NESN: Sell puts on volatility spike post earnings
39 0 4
NESN, D
Sell puts on volatility spike post earnings

SIMPLE STORY Stock down on the back of disappointing earnings Expect further weakness closer to the US open, as US institutions adjust their portfolios This remains a quality defensive stock, quite compelling in the current toppish market context SIMPLE OPTIONAL STRATEGY Selling the June 16 puts with a EUR 69 strike indicatively brings in some EUR 2.00/share, or ...

stankeviciusss1728 stankeviciusss1728 EURUSD, 60, Short , 9 days ago
EURUSD: Bangu analize
34 0 2
EURUSD, 60 Short
Bangu analize

NK sudirbs kaip palaikymas

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines ATVI, D, 14 days ago
ATVI: TRADE IDEA: ATVI FEB 17TH 34/38.5/40/44.5 IRON CONDOR
68 0 3
ATVI, D
TRADE IDEA: ATVI FEB 17TH 34/38.5/40/44.5 IRON CONDOR

ATVI announces earnings tomorrow after market close, so look to put on a play in the waning hours of the NY sesh ... . Its implied volatility rank is >70%, and its background volatility is on the cusp of 50% ... . Metrics: Probability of Profit: 50%* Max Profit: $231/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $219/contract Theta: 11.33/contract Delta: ...

coldcoffee01 coldcoffee01 NVDA, D, Long , 16 days ago
NVDA: Still LONG at NVIDIA before EARNINGS
35 0 0
NVDA, D Long
Still LONG at NVIDIA before EARNINGS

I am still bullish at NVIDIA stock ahead of earnings, that are reported on 02/09/2017 Have a look also at my previous idea about NVIDIA: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NVDA/sTCHVZKN-Nvidia-LONG-Confirmed-Channel-Stochastic-at-its-low/

stephen.punwasi stephen.punwasi DIS, D, 16 days ago
DIS: Disney (DIS) already priced performance in.
42 0 1
DIS, D
Disney (DIS) already priced performance in.

The 14.5% increase from the last earnings demonstrates that Disney has already priced in stellar performance. Holding over earnings may provide a small portfolio boost if you're lucky, but downside risks present kill make it just straight up gambling in my opinion. Bearish MACD shows upward moment is getting exhausted.

coldcoffee01 coldcoffee01 NVDA, D, Long , 16 days ago
NVDA: Still LONG at NVIDIA bevor EARNINGS
67 0 1
NVDA, D Long
Still LONG at NVIDIA bevor EARNINGS

I am still bullish at NVIDIA stock ahead of earnings, that are reported on 02/09/2017 Have a look also at my previous idea about NVIDIA: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NVDA/sTCHVZKN-Nvidia-LONG-Confirmed-Channel-Stochastic-at-its-low/

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines X, D, 23 days ago
X: X EARNINGS SHORT STRANGLE/IRON FLY
70 3 7
X, D
X EARNINGS SHORT STRANGLE/IRON FLY

X announces earnings tomorrow (Tuesday) after market close, and with its implied volatility rank and implied volatility metrics, it's ripe for a volatility contraction play. Here are two possible setups, which naturally might need to be tweaked this way or that depending on price movement intraday tomorrow. Feb 17th 29/38 Short Strangle Metrics Probability of ...

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