Company Analysis And Trading Ideas

Company analysis looks at slew of data, from quantitative information in the financial statements like the balance sheet (assets, liabilities and equity), income statement (revenues, expenses and profit) and cashflow (cash inflows and outflows) to qualitative information about the business model, management, the goods and services, competitive advantage and the industry in which it operates. Understanding how these elements work together provides an edge in understanding where a stock price may go.

This information is used to determine the fair value of a stock and if this differs from the current market price, this means the company is over- or undervalued. Certain measures like price to earnings help to find bargain stocks with upside potential while the debt to equity ratio is used to find investments with little risk. TradingView has a helpful feature called the earnings calendar that ties earnings, earning estimates, dividends and splits to the time scale in an intuitive way.
timwest timwest PRO AAPL, D, 8 days ago
AAPL: How to use RangeMovement (RgMov) to trade the trend
405 2 12
AAPL, D
How to use RangeMovement (RgMov) to trade the trend

For the subscribers to Key Hidden Levels: Background info on the chart: Green arrows with lines to the right are "earnings releases" which I call "key hidden levels". The "volume profile" begins from the Presidential Election. The red line near the bottom is the RgMov indicator (Range-Movement). TREND: Determine the trend. The trend is when RgMov is ...

HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO TSLA, W, a month ago
TSLA: Beautiful run, high expectations... Watch out!
143 0 9
TSLA, W
Beautiful run, high expectations... Watch out!

THE GOOD Still showing positive momentum on most time frames, after a solid 51.23% rally in < 3 months. This is the type of behavior only such a momentum stock can produce. THE BAD Looking overbought on most time frames. Has been trying to work out this condition, as is visible on the daily chart (below): Hammer reversal at the historical high on Feb 14 followed ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO NKE, D, Long , 4 days ago
NKE: Earnings play on Nike
50 0 8
NKE, D Long
Earnings play on Nike

The expected move is around $2.60 by doing a a synthetic spiked lizard with 2 ratio spreads we don't have risk to the upside and to the downside we have a buffer of over $3. Our break even is just below the $55 mark, and we have a max profit of $220. I will look to close it out tomorrow. Probability of profit is around 79%, but since this is an earnings play, ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines NKE, D, 4 days ago
NKE: OPENING: NKE MARCH 31ST 54.5/58.5/59/63 IRON CONDOR
43 0 7
NKE, D
OPENING: NKE MARCH 31ST 54.5/58.5/59/63 IRON CONDOR

... for a 2.23 credit. (Earnings volatility contraction play). Metrics: Probability of Profit: Coin Flip Max Profit: $223/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $177/contract Break Evens: 56.27/61.23 Notes: I filled this at open, but price has moved down somewhat, so you may want to adjust the setup by a half strike or so. In any event, this thing's so ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines FDX, D, 4 days ago
FDX: OPENING: FDX MARCH 31ST 177.5/182.5/202.5/207.5 IRON CONDOR
20 0 7
FDX, D
OPENING: FDX MARCH 31ST 177.5/182.5/202.5/207.5 IRON CONDOR

... for a 1.40 credit. (Earnings; Volatility Contraction Play). Metrics: Probability of Profit: 60% Max Profit: $140/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $360/contract Break Evens: 181.10/203.90 Notes: Will look to manage at 50% of max.

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines BBY, D, a month ago
BBY: OPENING: BBY MARCH 10TH 38/42/47.5/51.5 IRON CONDOR
55 0 5
BBY, D
OPENING: BBY MARCH 10TH 38/42/47.5/51.5 IRON CONDOR

BBY announces earnings tomorrow before market open, so look to put on something today before market close to take advantage of the ensuing volatility contraction. Implied volatility rank is currently at 92 over the preceding six months, with implied volatility just shy of the 50% mark. I compared and contrasted going with my standard 20-delta iron condor, as ...

ChaoticTrader ChaoticTrader TSLA, D, Short , a month ago
TSLA: Playing the $TSLA Downside
71 0 4
TSLA, D Short
Playing the $TSLA Downside

After poor earnings release, a major downgrade from Goldman Sachs, and an overall overinflated price, this break of the upward trend was an opportunity too good to pass up with a slightly OTM Skip-strike butterfly trade. See our site for more research and our trades in our case-study accounts as well as our personal accounts.

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines DKS, D, a month ago
DKS: OPENING: DKS MARCH 17TH 43/50/50/57.5 IRON FLY
21 0 5
DKS, D
OPENING: DKS MARCH 17TH 43/50/50/57.5 IRON FLY

... for a 4.35 ($435)/contract credit. I put this on earlier in the week, but neglected to post it here ... . (High implied volatility rank; high implied volatility; it's in the 95th percentile of where implied volatility has been in the past six months; its background implied volatility is at 47%). Metrics (Currently): Max Profit: $418/contract Max ...

cbede cbede PRO SENS, D, Long , a month ago
SENS: A Bold Earnings Prediction for Senseonics Holdings
17 0 2
SENS, D Long
A Bold Earnings Prediction for Senseonics Holdings

While this is a relatively new symbol with a short track record, I notice two things seem to have occurred consistently around each Senseonics earnings release and subsequent conference call. (A) the price declines before earnings and (B) we go parabolic after earnings. Eventually, corrections come afterwards, but, I wouldn't bet that is always going to be the ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines TSLA, D, a month ago
TSLA: OPENING: TSLA MARCH 17TH 240/245/310/315 IRON CONDOR
140 6 6
TSLA, D
OPENING: TSLA MARCH 17TH 240/245/310/315 IRON CONDOR

... for a 1.27 ($127)/contract credit. Using the monthlies, since this isn't the most liquid thing options-wise in the world. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 67% Max Profit: $127/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $373/contract Break Evens: 243.70/311.30 Delta: -.22/contract (neutral assumption) Theta: 4.42/contract Notes: I'll look to manage this at 50% ...

AcornWealthCorp AcornWealthCorp PRO IMAX, D, Short , a month ago
IMAX: IMAX - Upward channel Possible earnings play, $31 March Puts
34 0 6
IMAX, D Short
IMAX - Upward channel Possible earnings play, $31 March Puts

IMAX seems running within an upward channel, also forming a possible bear flag formation. On the other side we have the earnings coming in 2 days. So we would like to take advantage with option, and we would consider $31 March-17 Puts, last traded for $1.25 * Trade Criteria * Date First Found- February 19, 2017 Pattern/Why- Upward channel, Possible bear flag, ...

Spijk Spijk AF, D, Long , a month ago
AF: Air France-KLM takes off
22 0 2
AF, D Long
Air France-KLM takes off

Last thursday AFP reported earnings for Q4 2016. The market took it well and the chart shows a breakaway gap on high volume (not visible in chart as this is volume data from ChiX, not Euronext where most trading takes place). The breakaway followed a higher bottom at 4.80, which is also a bullish sign. I entered a long position after open on friday with a stop at ...

HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO NESN, D, a month ago
NESN: Sell puts on volatility spike post earnings
47 0 4
NESN, D
Sell puts on volatility spike post earnings

SIMPLE STORY Stock down on the back of disappointing earnings Expect further weakness closer to the US open, as US institutions adjust their portfolios This remains a quality defensive stock, quite compelling in the current toppish market context SIMPLE OPTIONAL STRATEGY Selling the June 16 puts with a EUR 69 strike indicatively brings in some EUR 2.00/share, or ...

stankeviciusss1728 stankeviciusss1728 PRO EURUSD, 60, Short , a month ago
EURUSD: Bangu analize
35 0 2
EURUSD, 60 Short
Bangu analize

NK sudirbs kaip palaikymas

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines ATVI, D, 2 months ago
ATVI: TRADE IDEA: ATVI FEB 17TH 34/38.5/40/44.5 IRON CONDOR
111 2 5
ATVI, D
TRADE IDEA: ATVI FEB 17TH 34/38.5/40/44.5 IRON CONDOR

ATVI announces earnings tomorrow after market close, so look to put on a play in the waning hours of the NY sesh ... . Its implied volatility rank is >70%, and its background volatility is on the cusp of 50% ... . Metrics: Probability of Profit: 50%* Max Profit: $231/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $219/contract Theta: 11.33/contract Delta: ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines NVDA, D, 2 months ago
NVDA: OPENING: NVDA 100/105/140/145 IRON CONDOR
138 0 11
NVDA, D
OPENING: NVDA 100/105/140/145 IRON CONDOR

... for a 1.57/contract credit. (Earnings; High IVR/High IV). I fiddled with various setups long enough ... . Here, I'm going out farther in time than I usually like to go with an earnings play in order to give myself time to be right. Will look to manage to 50% max profit. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 63% Max Profit: $157/contract Max Loss: ...

coldcoffee01 coldcoffee01 NVDA, D, Long , 2 months ago
NVDA: Still LONG at NVIDIA before EARNINGS
41 0 0
NVDA, D Long
Still LONG at NVIDIA before EARNINGS

I am still bullish at NVIDIA stock ahead of earnings, that are reported on 02/09/2017 Have a look also at my previous idea about NVIDIA: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NVDA/sTCHVZKN-Nvidia-LONG-Confirmed-Channel-Stochastic-at-its-low/

stephen.punwasi stephen.punwasi DIS, D, 2 months ago
DIS: Disney (DIS) already priced performance in.
45 0 1
DIS, D
Disney (DIS) already priced performance in.

The 14.5% increase from the last earnings demonstrates that Disney has already priced in stellar performance. Holding over earnings may provide a small portfolio boost if you're lucky, but downside risks present kill make it just straight up gambling in my opinion. Bearish MACD shows upward moment is getting exhausted.

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