Economic Cycles

Cycles are long term fluctuating activities with 4 distinct periods: improvement, prosperity, recession, and depression. These periods may assume different names, but the basic concepts remains the same. In the improvement phase we turn from depression to prosperity. We typically see rising economic activities, increased production and investment and a rise in income and employment. In the prosperity phase we typically see rising interest rates, inflation, overall economic optimism, economic activity and high income.

In the recession phase we turn from prosperity to depression. We typically see falling demands, decline in income, low economic confidence and falling stock markets. In the depression phase we typically see a decline in consumption and demand, falling interest rates, deflation, economic pessimism and low income. Cycles can be used to find the best stocks to invest in, based on what kind of sectors and companies perform better in which period, e.g. cyclical stocks in the improvement phase and defensive stocks during the recession phase.
EXCAVO EXCAVO TOP DJI, M,
DJI: DOW JONES
1359 6 74
DJI, M
DOW JONES

Economic cycles Kondratiev wave 45–60 years Juglar cycle 7-11 years

LifeIsABullTrap LifeIsABullTrap BTCUSD, D, Short ,
BTCUSD: Perfect Bubble in the making?
43994 60 222
BTCUSD, D Short
Perfect Bubble in the making?

This is the result in the drawing of some free hand trajectories. With names like DanV predicting sub 300 prices as well, and with consideration of the last rise to 680. This might just be the perfect bubble in the making. And looking at it from this perspective, really not that far fetched. Taking the current Fundamentals in combination with relative ...

ShPro ShPro TNX, W,
TNX: Economic cycle, market cycle, interest rates, trend lines & SPX
330 0 16
TNX, W
Economic cycle, market cycle, interest rates, trend lines & SPX

This chart provides probable market behavior given current market behavior, interest rates, and other factors such as presidential elections. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZqYlPeTs/ I am expecting a down turn during the next week which would last until late February and another leg up in SPX until the final move down in August 2017. Trend line colors mark ...

gangseongyeon gangseongyeon PRO BTCUSDT, 720,
BTCUSDT: [BTCUSD][BTCUSDT]  Bitcoin Valuation
1307 5 23
BTCUSDT, 720
[BTCUSD][BTCUSDT] Bitcoin Valuation

1. Stealth Phase 2. Awareness Phase 3. Mania Phase 4. Blow off Phase BITSTAMP:BTCUSDPOLONIEX:BTCUSDTHUOBI:BTCUSDCOINBASE:BTCUSD

EXCAVO EXCAVO TOP SP1!, M, Short ,
SP1!: ECOMOMIC CYCLE
3716 22 159
SP1!, M Short
ECOMOMIC CYCLE

Kondratiev wave The economic cycle has four phases: improvement, prosperity, recession and depression. Now we are in a phase of recession or inflation Economic bubble. Within the next 5 years there will be big changes in the world. Shange of the financial system, the educational system, technology. In 2000 We didnt moved from the 20th to the 21st century. We use ...

libardojgh libardojgh EURUSD, D,
EURUSD: EURUSD which way to take? Up or Down?
61 0 9
EURUSD, D
EURUSD which way to take? Up or Down?

Regards, if you are watching this analysis, do not comment too. Sorry for the bad syntax, English is with Google Traslator. My trading is based on the function of economic cycles, a cycle for me, is broken down into: (I) Acumulation Phase, (II) Bullish Trend Phase, (III) Distribution Phase and (IV) a Bass Trend Phase . In the same sense, this pair for me, is at ...

AlinaMazur AlinaMazur SP1!, W, Short ,
SP1!: SP -500
186 0 12
SP1!, W Short
SP -500

Now there will be a correction. The last peak in the range 2250-2350 And the end of the economic cycle

Rocketman Rocketman PRO RAS, W,
RAS: RAIT financial (RAS): Fundamental and Technical Analysis
29 2 12
RAS, W
RAIT financial (RAS): Fundamental and Technical Analysis

Fundamental: RAIT (RAS) is a REIT, a real estate investment trust, that has a strategy of transforming their company into a more focused, cost-effective and lower leveraged business that will concentrate on its core commercial real estate lending business. Management guidance from Q4 2016 stated that 2017 will be a "transitional" year from RAIT Financial in ...

DavidFXMarkets DavidFXMarkets CADJPY, D, Long ,
CADJPY: CADJPY possible medium/long-term trade
64 0 4
CADJPY, D Long
CADJPY possible medium/long-term trade

Prons (very shortly): 1. CAD is strongly correlated with oil price, which bias is on long side (long-term); 2. The Economic Cycle shows global growth which is going to broaden and continue; 3. Monetary Policy in US will probably affect on canadian economy and future path of canadian rates; 4. Bank of Japan Monetary Policy is on negative side with negative tendency ...

bhsencer bhsencer XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold up to last years high
212 0 11
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold up to last years high

DXY started multi year correction, greatly benefiting PM. Strong dollar lost it's reserve currency status in many countries. Hopefully we will see the last years high in this year and 2011 highs next year. PM will shine going forward and continue to be a strong player beyond 2018. Gold may easily handle up to 1.5% rate increase, total. FED can increase the rate ...

EXCAVO EXCAVO TOP SP1!, D, Short ,
SP1!: SP-500
491 6 38
SP1!, D Short
SP-500

We make new high. And we saw a big move down after Fed statement. Most likely we draw the fourth wave. But I think we need to make last high. We were just on top of the bigest attraction, open your eyes and catch the buzz. Because it is the end of the economic cycle.I believe it will be a long decline.

EXCAVO EXCAVO TOP SP1!, D, Short ,
SP1!: SP-500
503 0 25
SP1!, D Short
SP-500

Now there will be a correction until fibonacci level 61.8 - 78.5% The last peak in the range 2250-2350 And the end of the economic cycle

EXCAVO EXCAVO TOP US30USD, D, Short ,
US30USD: DOW JONES
736 2 40
US30USD, D Short
DOW JONES

Now there will be a correction. The last peak in the range 19000-20000 And the end of the economic cycle

pixi pixi XAUUSD, M,
XAUUSD: Is Gold in bubble ?
2704 40 71
XAUUSD, M
Is Gold in bubble ?

hi, This is not a chart for trading or to get entry/exit levels. I remember in 2010 when newspapers/ news on television were beginning to focus on gold price (media attention). From this point, i tried to find if gold have real similitudes before and after with a classic bubble. Obviously, it does. This is theorical and not a trade plan. Comments are really ...

maxwell.hicok maxwell.hicok F, 120, Long ,
F: Ford
45 0 2
F, 120 Long
Ford

This is a photo of Ford stock. One crucial point that pops out at me is that this stock is traded around whole and half dollar amounts. At first, I did a small perspective of this chart from which did not make sense. So I backed it out in time and I found better evidence for what the actual trend could be. Respect the trend. respect the financials, and respect ...

norok norok PRO NWL, D, Long ,
NWL: NWL at MTF Support pre-Earnings
19 0 1
NWL, D Long
NWL at MTF Support pre-Earnings

Taking a pre-earnings play on NWL at matching support on the Weekly, Daily, and Swing trading levels. The September 49 Calls are at average Implied Volatility so I'm taking singles. The top of the consolidation range and a break thereof will get the Calls ITM. Current Market Outlook I follow the theory of Sector rotation in terms of what the movement of money ...

EXCAVO EXCAVO TOP US30, M, Short ,
US30: ECONOMIC CYCLE
3707 9 132
US30, M Short
ECONOMIC CYCLE

DOW JONES

Quantum_Maryland_Capital Quantum_Maryland_Capital SPX500, 120, Short ,
SPX500: Brief Update on $SPX
43 0 2
SPX500, 120 Short
Brief Update on $SPX

Prior to yesterday, we had been consolidating/trading almost since the beginning of the month in a rather narrow band of approximately 57 points as illustrated in the two blue horizontal lines. Yesterday, however, on the back of increasing oil prices and extremely dovish comments from the Fed we saw prices break out of the range and today we added to those gains ...

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