kc

AlbionTrader AlbionTrader KC1!, D, Short ,
KC1!: KC1! KC COFFEE probable SHORT
161 0 7
KC1!, D Short
KC1! KC COFFEE probable SHORT

Coffee is already almost hitting the trendline formed on the Daily chart. It broke the 4-hourly trendline some days ago so a bit of extra caution is needed; however, the Risk-Reward-Ratio looks quite promising. Watch for the opening of the next 4H chart!

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D,
KC2!: Need a frost to get this market moving
13 0 4
KC2!, D
Need a frost to get this market moving

.... doubt it will happen this year. last year we had three severe frost scare days/weekend. IMHO this market is where it is merely because of cautious buyers ahead of the season. I see rangebound through July and if no frost happens more downward potential. Technically speaking, the bull market appears to be over.

JasonRotman JasonRotman KC2!, D, Long ,
KC2!: Bullish Coffee Divergence
52 1 3
KC2!, D Long
Bullish Coffee Divergence

I see a bullish divergence on the daily chart for coffee. The MFI has made higher lows while price has made lower lows. I believe coffee is headed higher to at least the 50% level of 1.4585 (if not high 140's).

4XSetUps 4XSetUps KC1!, D,
KC1!: KC1! @ daily @ nearest (of 32 commodities) to it`s all-time high
59 0 10
KC1!, D
KC1! @ daily @ nearest (of 32 commodities) to it`s all-time high

This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!! Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ... .zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive In percents away from all-time high & low by last close (32 Commodities) https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B1BNHee3opcVeGNmZVlMdThDYk0 Best regards :) Aaron

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Long ,
KC2!: Well, we are still in an uptrend, technically speaking
37 0 3
KC2!, D Long
Well, we are still in an uptrend, technically speaking

After the "healthy" correction, kc touched the 100 day MA around 153 as indicated previously as a potential target. Furthermore, we are hitting the lower end of the trend channel (blue). I am looking for some support coming in here. As vol softened during the sell off, threeways, selling put spread, buying call seem to be good long market, long vega strategies ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D,
KC2!: Correction or sideways?
27 0 2
KC2!, D
Correction or sideways?

Market taking a breather after the recent rally. I would think that the market is taking a break from the rally for now. Corrective levels below are the 7 day MA at 164ish, 20 day MA at 158 and 100 day MA along with the lower line of the upsloping trend channel. Option vol went out on the move, but commercials seems to be selling as physical prices in Brazil are ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Short ,
KC2!: Things point to 140 for now (2nd month continuation)
30 2 1
KC2!, D Short
Things point to 140 for now (2nd month continuation)

Looks down to the 140 area for a test. However as long as the orange or blue trends hold, the upwards trend is still intact IMHO. short call spreads above 165 in Dec or January might be a good idea. I would buy any puts as downside seems limited for the moment and option volatility might decline during a sell off diminishing returns on long option strategies. ...

gorillacharts gorillacharts KC1!, D, Long ,
KC1!: Coffee Long Is Playing Out Nicely
67 0 6
KC1!, D Long
Coffee Long Is Playing Out Nicely

3% since my idea on Friday. Bounce adds to my conviction. Targets initially at 158, then 170.

gorillacharts gorillacharts KC1!, D, Long ,
KC1!: Coffee Tactical Low in New Bull Cycle
47 0 2
KC1!, D Long
Coffee Tactical Low in New Bull Cycle

I am bullish Coffee since a series of bullish momentum divergences started to develop in February, March and April. As with other commodities, I am convinced that the early 2016 lows were important cyclical lows. I am therefore bullish Coffee long-term. The weakening US Dollar should further support the entire commodities complex. The latest correction brought ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Short ,
KC2!: KC short
79 2 4
KC2!, D Short
KC short

Update on a upsloping trendline (blue) which acts as resistance On the 5 hour chart, we should have generated a sell signal. I still remain short via puyt spread 1x2s, as frost is no longer an issue. It appears the market is still digesting this from last week and should correct lower IMHO as physical supplies out of Brazil remain steady. Warehouse stocks in ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Short ,
KC2!: No frost in Brazil
48 5 4
KC2!, D Short
No frost in Brazil

Seems like no frost in Brazil. It was a busy weeks last week and throughout the weekend with fears a frost could hit coffee areas. None has been confirmed and worst fears did not play out. Once all of this is digested I expect some downside opportunities as the market goes back into trading technicals rather than emotions. Quite oversold and we saw sell ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC1!, D,
KC1!: Still waiting, beware bulls; risk reward not so great
44 0 4
KC1!, D
Still waiting, beware bulls; risk reward not so great

Pro Long (Chart): - RSI and Stochastik created buy signal - Orange support line Pro Long (Physical): - ICE warehouse stocks new lows - spreads tightening ever so slightly Contra (Chart): - still in middle to upper end of trend channel - room to go in terms of lower Bollinger band - long term trend still down - risk/reward for long position not there IMHO I ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D,
KC2!: Note quite yet, KC long
13 0 4
KC2!, D
Note quite yet, KC long

Coffee nearing the orange support line around 122 (2nd month continuation, about 119-120 front month ). Interesting fact about this correction lower from 134 to 122 is that this is the first time in a couple years that we actually have an up-sloping support line (orange line). If the orange support holds this could mark a longer term trend reversal. On the ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Short ,
KC2!: KC RSI and Stochastik crossing down
29 1 2
KC2!, D Short
KC RSI and Stochastik crossing down

Short term targets on the downside: - 9 day MA around 129 - middle BBand at around 125.50 - Fib retracements

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC1!, D, Long ,
KC1!: KC coffee Long @ 118.00, target 130; seasonaly August is bullish
68 1 0
KC1!, D Long
KC coffee Long @ 118.00, target 130; seasonaly August is bullish

Reaching oversold territory based on RSI, Stoch and running into support on lower BB. Market overall sideways and lower, BUT seasonally August is a strong month Buy U15 at 118.00 --> target 130, Stop 112.00 exit at target or before First Notice Day

TradablePatterns TradablePatterns KC1!, D, Long ,
KC1!: Arabica Coffee (KC) Breaks Downtrend Since Mid October
159 0 1
KC1!, D Long
Arabica Coffee (KC) Breaks Downtrend Since Mid October

KC put in its strongest weekly performance in about a month, reinforcing the line in the sand at the 180 horizontal support zone as seen in the attached chart. The 180 level also coincides with the uptrend support line connecting the low earlier in the week with the January 2014 low. Based on the renewed upward momentum these last few days, and the apparent ...

LuigiZeroZero LuigiZeroZero KC1!, D, Short ,
KC1!: KC short
63 0 0
KC1!, D Short
KC short

KC broke tested for the fourth time the support at current level and broke, if there's follow through, it's a good short. Historically, July should be the seasonal low. COT report- commercial is not hedging at this point.

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