nakedshortput

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines NVAX, D, 2 months ago
NVAX: NVAX TRADE UPDATE
115 6 1
NVAX, D
NVAX TRADE UPDATE
I figured I'd clean up this setup a little bit on the chart to show what's going on with this trade a little more clearly, since we're running into opex, and I'll have to do something with it here shortly. I also for mapping out what I'm going to do if price does certain things relative to my cost basis and ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines ANF, D, Long , 16 days ago
ANF: EARNINGS PLAY: ANF NOV 25TH 14.5 SHORT PUT
14 0 1
ANF, D Long
EARNINGS PLAY: ANF NOV 25TH 14.5 SHORT PUT
Putting this on a touch early ... . High implied volatility rank/high implied volatility in advance of earnings. I'm looking for a volatility crush after earnings announcement and, of course, bullish or sideways movement ... . Metrics: Probability of Profit: 74% Max Profit: $48/contract Max Loss/Buying Power ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines JNPR, W, a month ago
JNPR: EARNINGS: JNPR, GRPN, AND TWTR (DIRECTIONAL PLAYS)
19 0 4
JNPR, W
EARNINGS: JNPR, GRPN, AND TWTR (DIRECTIONAL PLAYS)
A couple of other ideas for next week surrounding earnings ... . I like to have a lot of these ideas in the hopper so that I can price setups during regular market hours; some of these aren't as "sexy"/liquid during NY as they appear in off hours. JNPR Dec 2nd 21 short puts; .45 cr at the mid (strike around ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines BANC, D, a month ago
BANC: WHAT I'M LOOKING AT NEXT WEEK (10/24) -- BANC, EWW, XBI
32 0 2
BANC, D
WHAT I'M LOOKING AT NEXT WEEK (10/24) -- BANC, EWW, XBI
Focus in the short term (which is 25-45 DTE for me) will be on ETF's, although opportunities could crop up with earnings (still hoping for a TWTR dip post-earnings to go long via short puts). Here's what came up on my high IVR/IV screen: BANC, IVR's 100/IV 100. Options, however, are crappy (monthlies only), but ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines GDX, W, Long , 2 months ago
GDX: GDX (GOLD MINERS ETF) -- A GOOD PLACE TO ADD/INITIATE LONG HERE
75 0 5
GDX, W Long
GDX (GOLD MINERS ETF) -- A GOOD PLACE TO ADD/INITIATE LONG HERE
With gold hovering just north of 1250, having lost a good deal of luster to pesky Greenback strength, this is possibly a good place to add into current bullish gold positions and/or initiate one here.* 22 and change, after all, appears to be fairly long-term support for GDX, so I would look to add bullish ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines XOP, W, 2 months ago
XOP: XOP -- BROADLY RANGEBOUND BETWEEN 32 AND 41
24 0 3
XOP, W
XOP -- BROADLY RANGEBOUND BETWEEN 32 AND 41
With November OPEC talks designed ostensibly to hammer out proposed output cuts being the binary event for oil in the near-term, I'm looking to either (a) add to bullish positions in petro if those talks fail to result in meaningful cuts (I'm skeptical); or (b) hang on to my current bullish petro plays for the ride ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines VRX, 240, 2 months ago
VRX: TRADE IDEA: VRX NOV 18TH 17.5 SHORT PUT
45 0 2
VRX, 240
TRADE IDEA: VRX NOV 18TH 17.5 SHORT PUT
Okay, so there's other "big pharma" that I like wayyy better than Valeant (e.g., BMY, GILD). The problem is that BMY and GILD are more expensive and don't have the implied volatility that VRX has (for obvious reasons: they don't have as many "warts" as VRX). Nevertheless, I'm watching VRX here because its implied ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines EXEL, D, 2 months ago
EXEL: OPENING: EXEL NOV 18TH 11 SHORT PUT
33 0 2
EXEL, D
OPENING: EXEL NOV 18TH 11 SHORT PUT
Here, I'm looking to sell a touch of premium in an underlying that has both high implied volatility rank (99.6%) and high background implied volatility (99.2%). Metrics: Probability of Profit: 70% Max Profit: $85/contract Buying Power Effect: Varies by Broker.* Break Even: 10.15 Notes: I'll shoot to take this ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines EWW, D, 2 months ago
EWW: TRADE IDEA: EWW NOV 18TH 46 SHORT PUT
21 0 2
EWW, D
TRADE IDEA: EWW NOV 18TH 46 SHORT PUT
I've never played this particular broad market ETF, but it beats trading SPY et al. here, particularly since you can get a 1.00 in credit out of a short put in an sub-$50 underlying ... . Metrics: Probability of Profit: 76% Max Profit: $101/contract Max Loss: Undefined (it would be $4499 if the ETF went to zero ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines DDD, 240, 2 months ago
DDD: TRADE IDEA: DDD OCT 21ST 14 NAKED SHORT PUT
27 0 0
DDD, 240
TRADE IDEA: DDD OCT 21ST 14 NAKED SHORT PUT
Looking to either (a) keep the premium; (b) get put the stock cheaper, after which I'll proceed to sell calls against ... . Metrics: Probability of Profit: 75% P50: 84% Max Profit: $59/contract Break Even: 13.41
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines GPRO, D, 2 months ago
GPRO: OPENING: GPRO OCT 21ST 13 SHORT PUT
30 0 1
GPRO, D
OPENING: GPRO OCT 21ST 13 SHORT PUT
Here, I'm just trying to suck in a little bit of premium without being all in on the stock ... . (Filled for a .64 ($64)/contract credit). As usual, I'm selling the strike nearest 30 delta. I'm fine with getting assigned at 13 (after which I'd proceed to sell calls against), but would naturally prefer cheaper, ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines VRX, 240, Long , 2 months ago
VRX: TRADE IDEA: VRX OCT 21ST 25 SHORT PUT
60 0 1
VRX, 240 Long
TRADE IDEA: VRX OCT 21ST 25 SHORT PUT
Here, I'm looking to sell some premium at or around the 30 delta strike (this one's at the 25 delta). Probability of Profit: 70% Max Profit: $132/contract Break Even: 23.68 Notes: The notion here is either to keep the premium received if price stays above $25 into expiration or roll the option down and out for ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines AMD, W, 2 months ago
AMD: TRADE IDEA: AMD COVERED CALL/NAKED SHORT PUT
110 0 1
AMD, W
TRADE IDEA: AMD COVERED CALL/NAKED SHORT PUT
My "guess" is that AMD will not hold onto this level (I briefly considered going "monied" with the short call with the covered call setup, selling the 7 strike instead of the 8). However. implied volatility is fairly high here (64.6%), and my mechanical approach to most of these setups is basically to "ditch the ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines VIX, D, 2 months ago
VIX: WITH VIX SUB-15, PREEM SELLING OPPS ARE OUSTIDE BROAD INDICES
41 0 2
VIX, D
WITH VIX SUB-15, PREEM SELLING OPPS ARE OUSTIDE BROAD INDICES
As I've posted several times before, my preference generally is to (1) sell premium in broad-based index instruments (e.g., SPY, IWM, QQQ, SPX, RUT) if VIX > 15; and (2) if VIX < 15, look for premium selling opportunities in non-index exchange traded funds with implied volatility of >35% and/or individual ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines EWZ, D, 3 months ago
EWZ: TRADE IDEA (PREMIUM SELLING): EWZ OCT 21ST 29.5 SHORT PUT
31 0 3
EWZ, D
TRADE IDEA (PREMIUM SELLING): EWZ OCT 21ST 29.5 SHORT PUT
Here, I'm just looking to sell a little premium in the highest implied volatility, broad market underlying there is out there at the moment -- the Brazil exchange-traded fund, EWZ. The Olympics, after all, are over, and no doubt body parts will be washing up again soon on Copacabana beach, PBR will be undergoing ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines CDE, 240, 3 months ago
CDE: TRADE IDEA: CDE COVERED CALL/NAKED SHORT PUT
17 0 1
CDE, 240
TRADE IDEA: CDE COVERED CALL/NAKED SHORT PUT
Covered Call Metrics: Buy 100 shares stock at 13.68 Sell Oct 21st 14 call Whole Package: 12.36 db Max Profit: $164 (if called away at $14) ROC: 13.3% Alternative: Sell Oct 21st 12 put Probability of Profit: 71% Max Profit: $70 (if filled at the mid price) Max Loss: $1140 (if you do nothing and stock goes to $0 ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines XME, D, 3 months ago
XME: TRADE IDEA: XME OCT 7TH 24.5 SHORT PUT
20 0 3
XME, D
TRADE IDEA: XME OCT 7TH 24.5 SHORT PUT
Having the highest implied volatility of all the SPDR's currently, I'm looking to sell a small amount of premium here at the 30 delta strike approximately 45 DTE as a possible alternative to doing a covered call in a mining underlying (such as GDX, GDXJ, KGC, AUY, HL, etc.). Here are the metrics: Probability of ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines TWLO, 240, 3 months ago
TWLO: PREMIUM SELLING: TWLO OCT 21ST 45 SHORT PUT
40 2 2
TWLO, 240
PREMIUM SELLING: TWLO OCT 21ST 45 SHORT PUT
I generally don't like to ride broncos right out of the stall, but I might make an exception here ... . This is because the Oct 21st 45 short put is currently bid 3.00, ask 3.80 (mid 3.40). That's $340 in premium for a one contract 58 and change underlying ... . Alternatives: Sept 16th 45 short put: bid .95, ...
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