optionable

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines IYR, D, a day ago
IYR: OPENING: IYR JAN 20TH 70/75/75/79 IRON FLY
16 2 3
IYR, D
OPENING: IYR JAN 20TH 70/75/75/79 IRON FLY
... for a 2.79 credit. Here, I'm looking to add to core exchange-traded fund fly positions in underlyings whose implied volatility is high relative to where it's been over the preceding six months (>70th percentile) There aren't many out there at the moment, and this is one of them. Notes: Unfortunately, I ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines LULU, D, a day ago
LULU: OPENING: LULU DEC 16TH 49/52/64/67 IRON CONDOR
13 0 3
LULU, D
OPENING: LULU DEC 16TH 49/52/64/67 IRON CONDOR
... for a .92 credit. Truth be told, I chased a bit. It announces earnings tomorrow after market close, but just wanted to get into play, since there isn't much premium out there to be sold, and I won't have time to putz with it tomorrow. Here are the mid price metrics: Probability of Profit: 61% Max Profit: ...
AcornWealthCorp AcornWealthCorp PRO FDP, D, Short , 14 hours ago
FDP: FDP - Inverted flag pattern short from $56.13 to $50 or lower
4 0 1
FDP, D Short
FDP - Inverted flag pattern short from $56.13 to $50 or lower
FDP seems forming a inverted flag formation. It broke down major support & moneyflow is very deep down. It had some insider selling as well. Overall it seems a good shorting opportunity. Trade criteria Open - Break of $56.13 Target - $50, 34 Stoploss- $57.53 Note: - $55 Mar-17 Puts @ $1.70 You can check our ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines VIX, D, Long , a day ago
VIX: TRADE IDEA: VIX DEC 28TH 11.5/13.5/13.5/14.5 BROKEN WING BTRFLY
33 0 1
VIX, D Long
TRADE IDEA: VIX DEC 28TH 11.5/13.5/13.5/14.5 BROKEN WING BTRFLY
For various reasons I won't get into here, I don't do butterflies very often. This is a variation on a butterfly, however -- a "broken wing" butterfly. In this case, the play is made up of a 2-wide long call vert (the 11.5 plus one of the 13.5's) and a 1-wide short call vert (one the 13.5's plus the 14.5). It's ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines IWM, D, Short , a day ago
IWM: OPENING: IWM DEC 16TH 132/134 LONG PUT VERTICAL
19 0 2
IWM, D Short
OPENING: IWM DEC 16TH 132/134 LONG PUT VERTICAL
Going directional here -- a rarity for me ... . Metrics: Probability of Profit: 47% Max Profit: $114 Max Loss: $86 Break Even: 133.14 Notes: Here, I'm looking for IWM to weaken rolling into FOMC/rate hikes. However, if price breaks to the top side of the setup, I'll roll out for duration and credit by ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines EWZ, D, a day ago
EWZ: OPENING: EWZ JAN 6TH 28.5/32/32/36 IRON FLY
9 0 3
EWZ, D
OPENING: EWZ JAN 6TH 28.5/32/32/36 IRON FLY
And right back into "the Brazilian," as there isn't much high implied volatility rank/high implied volatility stuff to play out there at the moment ... . Metrics: Probability of Profit: 45% Max Profit: $223/contract Max Loss: $177/contract Break Evens: 29.77/34.23 Notes: Will look to manage at 25% max profit.
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines IWM, D, 2 days ago
IWM: ROLLING: IWM DEC 9TH 127/131 SHORT CALL VERT TO DEC 16TH 128/132
28 0 5
IWM, D
ROLLING: IWM DEC 9TH 127/131 SHORT CALL VERT TO DEC 16TH 128/132
After having taken the short put side of this "troubled" iron condor off for near worthless (.05), I rolled the call side out another week and improved the spread by a strike. I filled this for a .57 db, and tomorrow I'll look at selling a setup to finance this roll and then look at its scratch point ... .
AcornWealthCorp AcornWealthCorp PRO TFX, D, Short , 6 days ago
TFX: TFX - Inverted Flag formation short from $145.93 to $132.13
19 0 1
TFX, D Short
TFX - Inverted Flag formation short from $145.93 to $132.13
TFX broke-down long tern trend in weekly frame, retested it from beneath & now falling down. In the daily frame it is forming a bear flag formation & related upward channel. Both pattern suggestion a decline & we are looking for a short if it breaks below $145.93 & our first target is $132.13 You can check our ...
timwest timwest PRO SPY, D, Long , 2 months ago
SPY: S&P500 SPY YEAR-END OPTIONS GRAPHED
1997 27 31
SPY, D Long
S&P500 SPY YEAR-END OPTIONS GRAPHED
With the S&P500 ($SPY) at 215.04 last as of Friday, October 7, 2016, you can see the price of various options. I started at 215 which is "at the money" and the prices above that are the call options, since those are "out of the money". I made the call options green, since they are for upside price action. I ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines XBI, D, 3 days ago
XBI: TRADE IDEA: XBI JAN 20TH 53.33/61.67/70 IRON FLY
35 0 6
XBI, D
TRADE IDEA: XBI JAN 20TH 53.33/61.67/70 IRON FLY
Rotating into exchange-traded funds here ... . EWZ and XBI appear to have the best implied volatility rank/implied volatility percentage metrics. I already have an EWZ fly on, so XBI it is ... . Metrics: Probability of Profit: 44% Max Profit: 5.29 ($529)/contract Max Loss: 3.00 ($300)/contract Break Evens: ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO GG, D, 7 days ago
GG: Take advantage of volatility spike: Sell puts.
48 0 3
GG, D
Take advantage of volatility spike: Sell puts.
FUNDAMENTALLY COMPELLING BUY rated by the consensus +47% average target upside Morningstar rating * * * * TECHNICALLY: COULD BE REBOUNDING SOON? GG is down 35% since the intermediate top above $20 reached in early July This is 2.5X more than the consolidation in Gold (-13.74% since July) Such negative performance ...
AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Long , 8 days ago
KC2!: Well, we are still in an uptrend, technically speaking
25 0 3
KC2!, D Long
Well, we are still in an uptrend, technically speaking
After the "healthy" correction, kc touched the 100 day MA around 153 as indicated previously as a potential target. Furthermore, we are hitting the lower end of the trend channel (blue). I am looking for some support coming in here. As vol softened during the sell off, threeways, selling put spread, buying call ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines VIX, D, a month ago
VIX: PRE-ELECTION: SELL PREMIUM SMALL
39 0 2
VIX, D
PRE-ELECTION: SELL PREMIUM SMALL
VIX continues to trade higher relative to the futures back months, which tells me to "continue to sell premium here." That being said, I don't want to go all crazy throwing on a bunch of 1 standard deviation short strangles/iron condors or iron flies in the broad market instruments here since we have that little ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO LM, D, Long , a month ago
LM: Has this endless downtrend found its bottom?
76 0 3
LM, D Long
Has this endless downtrend found its bottom?
SIMPLE REBOUND STORY? Inexpensive stock (P/BV=0.75) bullish consensus (BUY) and 25% target upside. Has found a gently up-sloping channel since Feb 2016. Currently trading at the bottom of channel. Shows technical signs of turnaround. Has rebounded less than the market. Seems to have found a floor at $28. PLAIN ...
TraderMD TraderMD TBT, D, Long , 3 days ago
TBT: Trumps Oil Bull Rush
21 0 4
TBT, D Long
Trumps Oil Bull Rush
Trump Policy could have some bullish impact on oil exploration. Options Bull Call Spread is ideal for the option traders with a time horizon all the way to July. Or a long Call (short put) Option Leap contract with a time horizon of about 2 years.
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines XOP, D, 16 days ago
XOP: WEEK OF 11/20: HIGH IV IN PETRO UNDERLYINGS; NOT MUCH ELSEWHERE
43 0 3
XOP, D
WEEK OF 11/20: HIGH IV IN PETRO UNDERLYINGS; NOT MUCH ELSEWHERE
After having gone through my usual routine of screening for high implied volatility rank/high implied volatility underlyings for plays this coming week, one thing stands out: the implied volatility is in petro, with stocks like CHK, SDRL, WFT, PBR and the like rounding out my top 10 IV list.* With OPEC talks ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines EWW, D, 22 days ago
EWW: OPENING: EWW DEC 16TH 39/45/45/50 IRON FLY
18 0 4
EWW, D
OPENING: EWW DEC 16TH 39/45/45/50 IRON FLY
Post-election, there isn't much out there exchange-traded fund wise with both high implied volatility rank/percentile and high implied volatility. This is one of them ... . (I've tried repeatedly to get into an EWW play, but just can't seem to get a fill at the mid price). This isn't the most liquid thing in ...
NaughtyPines NaughtyPines IWM, D, 15 days ago
IWM: OPENING: IWM DEC 16TH 136.5/JAN 20TH 140 CALL DIAGONAL
42 2 2
IWM, D
OPENING: IWM DEC 16TH 136.5/JAN 20TH 140 CALL DIAGONAL
Truth be told, I'm not a big fan of low vol strategies such as calendars and diagonals, but am going to putz with one here. From a trade management standpoint, the notion is to take off the short call at or near worthless or roll it to the Jan expiry for additional credit, resulting in a Jan 20th 136.5/140 short ...
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