options-strategy

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO GLD, D, Short ,
GLD: 83% probability trade on Gold
217 5 14
GLD, D Short
83% probability trade on Gold

With a 6.5% move up in the last 27 days and also increase in volatility. I made a Call Ratio spread in addition to the other trades I already have in GLD, including a double diagonal and a strangle. Doing this trade alone is as high probability trade with a 83% chance to make money. Max win per contract is $250 Bought one 123 Call for every two 125 for a .50 ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines RIGL, D,
RIGL: HIGH IMPLIED VOLATILITY OPTIONS (8/28)
308 0 3
RIGL, D
HIGH IMPLIED VOLATILITY OPTIONS (8/28)

One of the first things I do when searching for either covered calls to do or just general premium selling plays is to look for high implied volatility underlyings with relatively decent expirations, strike widths, and fairly tight spreads (i.e., having weeklies is best with $1 wide strike widths and a bid/ask that is no more than .15 wide from top to bottom is ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO QQQ, D, Short ,
QQQ: 74% probability trade on QQQ (Synthetic Call Ratio)
99 0 11
QQQ, D Short
74% probability trade on QQQ (Synthetic Call Ratio)

With equities still rallying I can redeploy another trade on the Q's. If it continues to go higher it will get to our max profit zone, if it starts to drop we don't have any risk and still make money. Worst case scenario is that we continue this nonstop rally without mercy then we would be basically short from 136.50 which would be at the all times high. The ...

GDXJ: Strangle on GDXJ for a 61% probability trade
74 2 8
GDXJ, D
Strangle on GDXJ for a 61% probability trade

It looks like Sellers are starting to come in, and I don't think buyers will give up that easily, so I expect some 2 way action in the next 30 days. With a decent IV Rank of 39 I want to sell some premium to add to my theta numbers. The trade: Sold the 32/37 Strangle for $1.83 per contract 61% probability of profit Will look to close it at 50% of the premium ...

EWZ: EEM/EWZ pairs trade (covered strangles)
60 0 10
EWZ, D
EEM/EWZ pairs trade (covered strangles)

EWZ and the Emerging Markets ETF EEM have a strong correlation (Since EEM have 7.7% of brazil stocks). The correlation for the last year have been .92, and the last 30 days have drop to .40. Today we got a strong move on EWZ of -3.18% at the time of the trade and -.64% on EEM. By trading one to the upside and the other to the downside I will look to reduce ...

FEZ: Near the money Strangle on Euro Stocks (FEZ ETF)
29 2 8
FEZ, D
Near the money Strangle on Euro Stocks (FEZ ETF)

We have the French election coming up and other than my trades on FXE I didn't have much on play for that. The IV Rank on FEZ is pretty high at 77 and I am selling the strangle with 30 days to go. After the first part of the election we might get a decent volatility. I am betting that Euro companies won't be impacted as much and I can get paid on the ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines EWZ, D,
EWZ: TRADE IDEA: EWZ MAY 19TH 32/37/37/41 DYNAMIC IRON FLY
24 0 5
EWZ, D
TRADE IDEA: EWZ MAY 19TH 32/37/37/41 DYNAMIC IRON FLY

With a six-month implied volatility percentile of 76 and a background implied volatility of 37, throwing a touch of "Brazilian" on here ... . Metrics: Max Profit: $247/contract Max Loss: $253/contract Break Evens: 34.53/39.47 Theta: 1.77 Delta: -.29 Notes: Will look to manage this at 25% max ... .

APOG: apog - potential earnings squeeze
23 0 6
APOG, D
apog - potential earnings squeeze

potential options squeeze before earnings

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines XOP, D, Long ,
XOP: OPENING: XOP APRIL 21ST 33.5/JUNE 16TH 30 PUT DIAGONAL
49 0 7
XOP, D Long
OPENING: XOP APRIL 21ST 33.5/JUNE 16TH 30 PUT DIAGONAL

... for a .03 db. At its outset, you short put is basically completely "financing" the cost of your long put (but for the $3 it cost to put the trade on). Your goal is to roll the short option forward for duration, collecting credits along the way and to exit the setup for a debit that is less than what you collected in credits (as you would do with any credit ...

GLD: Neutral trade on GLD with positive Vega
119 0 9
GLD, D
Neutral trade on GLD with positive Vega

After the strong move up the last couple of days, I expect GLD to make a small correction. With an IV Rank at less than 1%, is not a good idea to try any of my favorite trades, so I am doing a double diagonal that would benefit in an increase in volatility (long Vega). I sold the 120/115 Strangle on the april expiration and bought the 121/114 Strangle on ...

XLE: Neutral trade on XLE (Straddle)
16 0 10
XLE, D
Neutral trade on XLE (Straddle)

Looking for a neutral play on XLE (I think we are starting to have 2 way action). IVR is not that high at 26, so doing less contracts (I don't have any other position right now on XLE). I sold the 69 Straddle for $2.78. Our break evens are just above the expected move, and this is close to a 54% probability trade.

CandleStickFx CandleStickFx PRO XME, D, Short ,
XME: XME call spread option trade
6 0 3
XME, D Short
XME call spread option trade

$XME is a weird one, ill be honest. on the Weeklies, the trend is up, but on the dailies its starting to look very top heavy. MACD is signalling a sell, The one bright thing here is that we are near some major support, last attempt bounced this baby for 12 days. A break below this lever will open up a clear move to the 27 handle... The idea here is to Sell a Call ...

AlexanderGotay AlexanderGotay PRO EFA, 240,
EFA: Neutral trade on EFA (Laddered Straddles)
19 0 9
EFA, 240
Neutral trade on EFA (Laddered Straddles)

I didn't have any positions on EFA and With IV Rank at 47, I wanted to sell some premium. We are out of the ideal 45 days expiration window and since my portfolio theta is pretty low right now I decided to do laddered straddles. Selling the 62 Straddle with 32 days to expiration and another one with 60 days to expiration. This will give us an avg date of ...

Leitch416 Leitch416 FB, 15, Long ,
FB: Call the dip! FB C$140
40 0 5
FB, 15 Long
Call the dip! FB C$140

FB - along with the rest of the market - felt a nice dip this morning. Could be an opportunity to call at $140 with a modest time horizon.

KRE: Neutral trade on KRE  (25 delta Strangle)
59 3 14
KRE, D
Neutral trade on KRE (25 delta Strangle)

KRE is a regional bank ETF, after a strong impulsive bull run, it looks like KRE is starting a correction. With a IV rank of 34 is at least decent volatility to try a neutral trade. I sold the 50/56 Strangle (25 delta) and collected $1.33 per contract. With 64% probability of profit at expiration we need the price to stay between $57.34 and $48.67 which is a ...

OxDEADBEEF OxDEADBEEF SPX, 120,
SPX: Income Idea
103 2 7
SPX, 120
Income Idea

I had a beautiful explanation written here and it was lost. It was about considering how to make income in a stagnant market. Become a seller and write options. This shows a previous strategy that could have been used in the last few days to generate income on your portfolio with a butterfly or iron condor. A future chart will describe this technique in depth. ...

FXE: Big Lizard on FXE
107 0 12
FXE, D
Big Lizard on FXE

With IV rank at over 46 on FXE, the expected move in 46 days is +/- 2.61 (Prices at 106.01-100.79). If I sell a Big lizard, my break even on the downside would be just below the expected move and we don't have risk to the upside (In case it wants to pull back to the 200 EMA). Sold the 103 Straddle with upside protection buying the 105 call with 46 days to ...

VIX: VIX IronFly for a neutral bet on volatility
86 0 10
VIX, D
VIX IronFly for a neutral bet on volatility

After a a little upside on the VIX we got another fast contraction in volatility. Got the idea from the guys at tastytrade and I liked the trade. This is a neutral bet on the VIX and we make money if it stays between 15.50 and 11.50. Sold the 13.5 Straddle and bought the 17 Call and 10 Put wings to make an Iron fly for a $2 credit per contract and reducing our ...

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