QE

faboose faboose PRO BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin 2017 Episode II: Bitcoin strikes back
3571 11 54
BTCUSD, W Long
Bitcoin 2017 Episode II: Bitcoin strikes back

Well here we are, the last prediction to get us here panned out pretty well. We needed to rally into 2017 for the headlines, momentum, and the TA. Well done Bitcoin bulls/bitlievers :) Now what? Well, your guess is as good as mine. We're now at the largest tipping point in Bitcoin's life (happy belated 8th birthday btw!!!!). Given past events, it appears we're ...

TanayUK TanayUK PRO EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: Long EUR for long term: COT report, trendline break, current A/C
457 2 14
EURUSD, D Long
Long EUR for long term: COT report, trendline break, current A/C

Time to get long EUR. Speculators have turned net long Euros for the first time since 2014 - when ECB started aggressively easing, and EURUSD was above 1.30. Technically: A medium term trendline at 1.10 has been broken. 1.10 psychological round number taken out. Fundamentally: Euro area has large current account surplus vs US - should drive flows into Europe ...

Lifestudent38 Lifestudent38 PRO USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY weakness
39 0 5
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY weakness

Indecisiveness in ending QE stimulus by BoJ and talks of further rate decreases has led the Yen weakening. Amidst May month Greenback weakness it is anticipated that the USDJPY can test 110.00 support before the Fed rate hike in June

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO DY1!, M, Long ,
DY1!: Dax: Potential monthly uptrend emerging from mode support
298 0 31
DY1!, M Long
Dax: Potential monthly uptrend emerging from mode support

We have seen a very volatile range in the Dax recently, in lower timeframes, but if we use a bird's eye view of the situation, we can see that the previous mode support from this leg's uptrend held and it's about to fire an uptrend signal. My previous monthly downtrend analysis is currently invalid, and we can expect to get excellent opportunities on the long side ...

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO GER30, D, Long ,
GER30: Dax: Buy stop at 11616
615 19 16
GER30, D Long
Dax: Buy stop at 11616

If we don't reach this price level during this week, cancel the pending buy stop. I think it's possible to see the Dax start an uptrend in the weekly, but first I'd need to see price accelerate away from the mode in this timeframe. I had entered already using the 4h chart, but my target in that timeframe is lower (11550). Entry was 11421, SL 11244. The entry ...

Suntan Suntan EURUSD, D,
EURUSD: EURUSD medium term outlook
42 0 5
EURUSD, D
EURUSD medium term outlook

EURUSD Medium term USD +++ Assuming a June hike 3 or 4 hikes for 2017 still on the table Potential balance sheet reduction EUR + Knee-jerk reaction to confirmation of end of QE Actual won't happen until 2018 Unlikely to hike interest rates Result Medium term: Sell

MarcuDan MarcuDan EURUSD, W, Long ,
EURUSD: Eur/Usd long term view
68 0 8
EURUSD, W Long
Eur/Usd long term view

Expecting Euro strength for the upcoming 6-12 months. Reason: expecting ECB to end QE and start its normalization process. I thing short term there is a good chance we go down towards 1.05/06 but eventually i see the pair moving up towards 1.20.

JordanFreeman JordanFreeman USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: Yen Weakness and Dollar Strength... USDJPY
98 0 9
USDJPY, D Short
Yen Weakness and Dollar Strength... USDJPY

While the past week has given traders a handful of possible drivers of price action, one of the most pertinent moves in the Forex markets has been the return of robust weakness in the yen. The recent influx of this weakness can be due to many factors but some of the more prominent factors include BoJ's dovish monetary stance, continued QE to try and bring ...

TanayUK TanayUK PRO EURUSD, 240, Long ,
EURUSD: Don't fade the SNB. Buy EUR vs USD, CHF
153 0 7
EURUSD, 240 Long
Don't fade the SNB. Buy EUR vs USD, CHF

SNB's EUR reserves are at record highs. Combined with the 1) political relief in EU 2) improving EZ economic data 3) ECB likely to start tapering QE 4) a huge current account surplus in the Euro area 5) an undervalued EUR cf. long term moving averages 6) correlation of EUR with 'risk-off' macro environment - likely to persist given overvaluation of ...

claydoctor claydoctor CL1!, W,
CL1!: CL1! and SPX500 and usdjpy
63 0 3
CL1!, W
CL1! and SPX500 and usdjpy

The last time we had oil and the dollar v yen drop significantly together was August 2008, and then spx500 tanked. Usually oil and the dollar are inverse relationship. This created and relative death cross with spx500 and usdjpy. in December oil did not break out from an IHS, trend up set up,m and now it threatens to fall below long term trend line support, and ...

nyanmaung nyanmaung SOX, M, Short ,
SOX: SHORT.
51 2 4
SOX, M Short
SHORT.

600% run from 2008 crash due to QE. 38.2% FIB retracement pointing towards below 700. Strong Short in my opinion.

USAS_INC USAS_INC EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: EU not the drop type 1.1060 on the cards
409 0 19
EURUSD, D Long
EU not the drop type 1.1060 on the cards

Pros and Cons +French Election in Sight (If Frexit not happen good for EURO??) +Greek Debt Situation going through +Trump Expecting Weaker Dollar +ECB QE?? +US Geopolitical Risk +Brexit Talks on way. Brexit take 2 year Course

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO US02Y-DE02Y, D, Short ,
US02Y-DE02Y: US/German 2 year yield spread - Watch price action at the cloud!
34 0 7
US02Y-DE02Y, D Short
US/German 2 year yield spread - Watch price action at the cloud!

US 2y Note yield: 1,256 % German 2y Schatz yield: -0,808 -> yes, it is still deep negative :-) Spread between the two markets are at highs, trading around 205 basis points. Reasons we all know: FED started to hike, while ECB is still sticking to its NIRP and QE policies. However this will change one day, and then the spread collapse will be quick and ...

mgiuliani mgiuliani TNX, 240, Short ,
TNX: 10 YR Treasury (TNX)
96 1 7
TNX, 240 Short
10 YR Treasury (TNX)

QE has created a structural shortage risk free and distorted the price of the most important market in the world: the yield on 10-year bonds. Thus, almost 2/3 of the Treasury of more than 1 year duration are held by entities that have no sensitivity to market forces. And this discrepancy begins to have its own effects on the Treasury. In March there was the ...

amuradyan93 amuradyan93 NDX, D,
NDX: NASDAQ 100
27 0 6
NDX, D
NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ-100 began on January 31, 1985 by the NASDAQ, trying to promote itself in the shadow of the New York Stock Exchange. It did so by creating two separate indices: this index, which consists of Industrial, Technology, Retail, Telecommunication, Biotechnology, Health Care, Transportation, Media and Service companies, and the NASDAQ Financial-100, which ...

SimpleMillennialAverage SimpleMillennialAverage USDJPY, 240, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY Nothing Goes Down Forever April 3-7 Trading Plan
251 1 21
USDJPY, 240 Long
USDJPY Nothing Goes Down Forever April 3-7 Trading Plan

OANDA:USDJPY looks like its bouncing back up after a severe downmove forming a nice channel. 4H Timeframe View: https://www.tradingview.com/x/NWhWthlN/ It was able to pullback and even retest the 20MA in the 4H timeframe so it will be great if it touches the 50MA(yellow line) and hold above it for a confirmation of the short term uptrend. Long: 111.342 Stop: ...

mr2016 mr2016 SPX, W,
SPX: SPX with ECM Armstrong model
53 0 7
SPX, W
SPX with ECM Armstrong model

QE and Fiscal stimulus already distort the Economic business model cycle proposed by Armstrong.

mr2016 mr2016 TRJEFFCRB, W,
TRJEFFCRB: ECM cycle line with Reuters CRB and WTI Oil
6 0 5
TRJEFFCRB, W
ECM cycle line with Reuters CRB and WTI Oil

Judge by the level of commodities indexes and oil price correction depth level, we already had a financial crisis. now fiscal stimulus and QE can serve as a ICU, cover the real situation of a person.

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