recovery

aiza_belle aiza_belle EURUSD, 60, Long ,
EURUSD: EURUSD Long (short-term)
52 0 7
EURUSD, 60 Long
EURUSD Long (short-term)

The pullback and bullish price action I've been waiting for happened, so I'm entering a buy stop order a few pips above latest high with TPs at base and R1 pivot lines respectively and SL near current middle BB. It would be safer to put stop order above base fib line instead but since it's just a pullback instead of a movement supported by fundamentals (i.e. ...

aiza_belle aiza_belle USDCAD, 60, Long ,
USDCAD: USDCAD: Ranging or Bounce Up
25 0 6
USDCAD, 60 Long
USDCAD: Ranging or Bounce Up

Either USDCAD will remain ranging this week or bounce up soon from the daily support esp with weaker USoil lately. Waiting for stronger bullish bounce before setting up a buy stop order @1.32, with TPs at R1 and R2 pivot lines, and SL near daily support line. D: https://www.tradingview.com/x/pb3ogJuP/ W: https://www.tradingview.com/x/dKVkVEab/

IceTrading IceTrading US2000USD, D,
US2000USD: US2000: Tremendous 15 Consecutive Day Rally
62 2 13
US2000USD, D
US2000: Tremendous 15 Consecutive Day Rally

I have not been able to find any conclusive data regarding whether or not this rally has been all time record for the Russell 2000 Index. Investor confidence has soared to all time highs via 3 week rally. Although I am glad to see this rise occur, I do not seem to understand the logical or fundamental justification for it. How much longer can the Stock Market ...

aiza_belle aiza_belle GBPUSD, D,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD LT: Bearish ST: Sideways
31 0 1
GBPUSD, D
GBPUSD LT: Bearish ST: Sideways

Waiting for a break at 1.20 level, or a possible recovery and bounce somewhere at 1.28243-1.38661 before shorting again (http://www.investing.com/analysis/gbp-usd-makes-slight-recovery-but-remains-under-pressure,-awaiting-gbp-p-200161885) https://www.tradingview.com/x/BjzZ6YUV/

hasan.ahmed2501 hasan.ahmed2501 EURGBP, 240, Long ,
EURGBP: EURGBP buying opportunities. 4 hour
21 0 2
EURGBP, 240 Long
EURGBP buying opportunities. 4 hour

1 Hour charts show signs of reversal, so since all the over buying and 50 and 20 ema touching price shows thaat price is recovering and will will go back up. The stochastic is also showing bullish momentum.

MarcusWilliamson MarcusWilliamson CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: USD Devaluation driving Oil Price Rallly and Gold Strength
118 0 6
CL1!, D Short
USD Devaluation driving Oil Price Rallly and Gold Strength

The recent devaluation of the USD is serving purpose to make way for future rate hikes by the FED without causing EM volatility and issue with China's currency peg. As the USD devalues it also pushes up Oil prices which provides relief for entities with Oil based junk bond exposure (Aka US banks). I see the devaluation as a short / medium term trend as a relief ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FRED/HSN1FNSA, W, Long ,
FRED/HSN1FNSA: DATA VIEW: NEW HOME SALES UPDATE
26 0 4
FRED/HSN1FNSA, W Long
DATA VIEW: NEW HOME SALES UPDATE

US housing market, measured by New Home Sales is continuing its recovery in line with its relevant trendline, in line with Housing Starts and Building Permits data. However in comparison to Starts and Permits, New Home Sales data comes in with a much softer slope. Thus the expected recovery of this indicator is expected in 2020, if its relevant uptrend holds. ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FYFSD, W, Long ,
FYFSD: DATA VIEW: US BUDGET BALANCE UPDATE
18 0 2
FYFSD, W Long
DATA VIEW: US BUDGET BALANCE UPDATE

US Budget Balance has restored to its normal levels, last seen back in 2004 and right before the financial crisis fallout - in 2008. ... The balance suffered a significant blow during the fallout of 2008/9 us mortgage crisis. Government stimulus measures needed at the time to stop the downward spiral in US markets created a huge budged deficit. In addition, ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FRED/HOUSTNSA, W, Long ,
FRED/HOUSTNSA: DATA VIEW: HOUSING STARTS AND BUILDING PERMITS UPDATE
30 0 2
FRED/HOUSTNSA, W Long
DATA VIEW: HOUSING STARTS AND BUILDING PERMITS UPDATE

US housing market, measured by Housing Starts and Building Permits indicators is continuing its recovery in line with its relevant trendline. The housing market was hit the hardest during the 2008/9 financial crisis, causes by the burst of housing market bubble in the US. Thus it comes as a no surprise that the housing market is still recovering its losses, but ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel SPX, D,
SPX: MACRO VIEW: S&P500 CUTS SHORT TERM RISK - AGAIN
153 0 5
SPX, D
MACRO VIEW: S&P500 CUTS SHORT TERM RISK - AGAIN

Over the last week S&P500 has broken above both 1-year and quarterly downtrend borders, marked by the lower 1st standard deviations from the 1-year and quarterly years respectively It already happened back in September, but this time the downtrends are most likely over - the price tagged the quarterly mean, thus cancelling the quarterly downtrend completely The ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel MSFT, D, Long ,
MSFT: DOW JONES OVERVIEW: MICROSOFT RESTORES ITS LONG TERM TRENDS
77 0 1
MSFT, D Long
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: MICROSOFT RESTORES ITS LONG TERM TRENDS

Microsoft is restoring its long term up trends after late August selloff Recently the price bounced up from 10-year uptrend border, which is marked by the upper 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean @ 39.40. If the upwards impulse continues, price will also restore its 5-year uptrend, by trading above its border, marked by the upper 1st standard deviation ...

hussein.ahmed hussein.ahmed EURUSD, D,
EURUSD: Early signs of a trend reversal?
402 1 3
EURUSD, D
Early signs of a trend reversal?

This steep market decline in the S&P500 requires a lot of attention! until there is clarity speculation about the depth of the correction will prevail. The Good Last week the U.S. economy showed good signs of job creation, CPI index at 0.1%, housing starts were strong. The bad The conference broad still expect moderate economic growth, building permits ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FRED/LNS12032194, M, Short ,
FRED/LNS12032194: DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT STILL HIGH
14 0 2
FRED/LNS12032194, M Short
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT STILL HIGH

Part-time employment is also declining within its well defined trend since 2012, however it has still some progress to make before reaching pre-crisis levels. In fact, it is the only systemic fallout left to be erased from the 2008-2009 crisis in the employment data.

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FRED/UEMP27OV, M, Short ,
FRED/UEMP27OV: DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): LONG TERM UNEMPLOYMENT CLOSE TO NORM
16 0 2
FRED/UEMP27OV, M Short
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): LONG TERM UNEMPLOYMENT CLOSE TO NORM

Long term (27-WEEK AND OVER) unemployment is also well within the declining trend and it has almost reached pre- 2008/9 crisis level, confirming the positive data in unemployment and total payroll charts. Current levels are also highs of previous recession, thus everything below current levels can be considered normal, if the data holds descending trend.

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FRED/PAYEMS, M, Long ,
FRED/PAYEMS: DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): NONFARM PAYROLLS FULLY RECOVERED
35 0 1
FRED/PAYEMS, M Long
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): NONFARM PAYROLLS FULLY RECOVERED

Total NFP confirm the positive developments in unemployment rate. The data trends firmly upwards since 2011 and has surpassed the pre-crisis peak of 2008.

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FRED/MCUMFN, M, Short ,
FRED/MCUMFN: DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): MANUFACTURING CAPACITY UTIL ON RISK
20 0 1
FRED/MCUMFN, M Short
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): MANUFACTURING CAPACITY UTIL ON RISK

In line with Total Capacity Utilization index, Manufacturing Capacity Utilization index which measures the share of manufacturing capacities of US companies employed in actual production, has also nearly restored its crisis losses. However, the index has bounced down from the 78% mark in the recent readings, falling out of its ascending range. It is too early ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FRED/IPMAN, M, Long ,
FRED/IPMAN: DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): US MANUFACTURING GROWTH FINE
15 0 1
FRED/IPMAN, M Long
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): US MANUFACTURING GROWTH FINE

In line with Industrial Production Index, us Manufacturing has been trending within its relevant ascending range since 2011 and has restored all the losses of the 2008-2009 financial crisis back in the beginning of 2014. Thus overall the Industrial production in the US is developing at a good pace, in line with the lateral uptrend in S&P 500.

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FRED/BOPTEXP, D, Long ,
FRED/BOPTEXP: DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): INSIDE US TRADE BALANCE
22 0 1
FRED/BOPTEXP, D Long
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): INSIDE US TRADE BALANCE

Looking at the Export and Import data of the last several years we can assume that the US is currently changing its course from consumption oriented to export oriented economy. The change will not be overnight and may take up to several decades, but eventually we can see the US trade deficit gradually erased! On the export side, we can see that US has restored ...

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