shortcable

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - BEARISH MA, IV>HV, STANDEV & RR
294 2 9
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - BEARISH MA, IV>HV, STANDEV & RR
Technical analysis - highly bearish: MA: 1. Just crossed the 2wk and 4wk MA - this is a bearish indication + we have been below the 3m MA for several weeks unsurprisingly since brexit. IV/ HV: 1. Realised Vols have also unsurprisingly come off, this would but bullish but brexit has distorted the longer dated HV ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD SHORT: BOE/ FOMC POLICY EXPECTATIONS INCREASINGLY BEARISH
339 2 18
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD SHORT: BOE/ FOMC POLICY EXPECTATIONS INCREASINGLY BEARISH
Following today's Service/ Manufacturing PMI miss (worst contraction in 88 months - since 2009) the Sterling market has come under significant pressure as BOE rate cut expectations increase with OIS rates markets pricing a 94% chance of a 4th Aug cut vs 85% before the PMI's were released. Further, the PMI misses ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD SHORT: DOVISH BOE M. CARNEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - AUG CUT
458 0 20
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD SHORT: DOVISH BOE M. CARNEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - AUG CUT
IMO Mark Carney was very dovish on the margin, certainly reinforcing their/ my view of an August cut being 90% on the table. The most supportive statements were "MonPol Important In Cushioning Effects Of Any Relapse In Recovery In Months & Quarters Ahead", "The MPC Does Not Have The ''Luxury '' and "More Should Be ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long , 6 months ago
DXY: LONG DXY/ USD VS GBP: HAWKISH FOMC LOCKHART SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
189 0 10
DXY, D Long
LONG DXY/ USD VS GBP: HAWKISH FOMC LOCKHART SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
FOMC Lockhart was the 4th Fed this week to imo be relatively Hawkish with his words, most notably reinforcing with the others brexits near-term stability saying "Doesn't Expect 'Brexit' to Have Near Term Impact on Economy" and " So Far 'Brexit' Reaction Largely Orderly". Most interestingly though was Lockharts view ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
GBPUSD: SHORT GBPUSD @1.34 - BOE MINUTES HIGHLIGHTS - EXPECT AUGUST CUT
409 3 9
GBPUSD, D Short
SHORT GBPUSD @1.34 - BOE MINUTES HIGHLIGHTS - EXPECT AUGUST CUT
As expected BOE stood pat on their rate decision reiterating much of which was said last week by Gov M. Carney, the need for more analysis to be done is/ was key - " "Detailed Analysis" of All Policy Options Required" and "Extent Of Additional Stimulus Will Depend on August Forecasts". IMO the notes were very ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
GBPUSD: SHORT GBPUSD & FTSE RALLIES: GOV M.C SPEECH & BOE FSR HIGHLIGHTS
567 0 14
GBPUSD, D Short
SHORT GBPUSD & FTSE RALLIES: GOV M.C SPEECH & BOE FSR HIGHLIGHTS
1. *Id say a 6/10 dovish reaction by markets, GBP falling across the board & FTSE gaining. Carney seems contempt with a lower GBP and is happy to continue talking the currency lower in an attempt to use the exchange rate mechanism as a leading instrument to buoy UK economic stability (GDP, CPI, Unemp) against the ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, 15, Short , 6 months ago
GBPUSD: BREXIT & GEO-POLITICAL AFTERMATH: SHORT GBPUSD - HOW TO TRADE
631 3 19
GBPUSD, 15 Short
BREXIT & GEO-POLITICAL AFTERMATH: SHORT GBPUSD - HOW TO TRADE
GBPUSD - At the end of last week GU traded to lows of 1.32 on the brexit vote, before retracing substantially to 1.39 by the end of the day. - GU retraced 600-700pips after the brexit event IMO solely as investors took profit from their shorts (which causes buying) - thus there was no structural reason for GU ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 7 months ago
GBPUSD: 22ND, 23RD, 24TH TRADING STRATEGY: GBPUSD - BREXIT/ REFERENDUM
529 14 13
GBPUSD, D Short
22ND, 23RD, 24TH TRADING STRATEGY: GBPUSD - BREXIT/ REFERENDUM
In the previous post we have used the Price Action data from the Scottish UK Referendum for GBPUSD for the 3-days on and around the vote so the 17th, 18th (vote day) and 19th (result day) of September 2014 as a gauge to forecast whats in store for Price action on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday this week (the ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 7 months ago
GBPUSD: 22ND, 23RD, 24TH FORECAST: GBPUSD - BREXIT PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS
142 0 14
GBPUSD, D Short
22ND, 23RD, 24TH FORECAST: GBPUSD - BREXIT PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS
UK EU Referendum (Brexit) vs Scottish UK Referendum Price Action Forecast: - We will use the difference in ATR and volatility between the 3-day run up into UK EU Referendum (UER) and the Scottish UK Referendum (SUR) in order to forecast what we expect price action to show on the 22nd, 23rd and 24th. 2014 SUR ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, 15, Short , 7 months ago
GBPUSD: BREXIT GBP: USE USDJPY AS A RISK-BAROMETER & WAIT FOR LONDON 8AM
365 3 19
GBPUSD, 15 Short
BREXIT GBP: USE USDJPY AS A RISK-BAROMETER & WAIT FOR LONDON 8AM
Indicators to check BEFORE GBP Shorting for confirmation I also suggest using two other key pieces of information BEFORE shorting GBP. 1. Use USDJPY as a measure of market risk appetite and stability - As you can see below UJ has traded with a tight 38pip range vs GBP$ at 180pips. Therefore we can use UJ as a ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 7 months ago
GBPUSD: TP ON BREXIT VOLATILITY: SELL GBP RALLIES & BUY RISK-OFF DIPS
677 6 18
GBPUSD, D Short
TP ON BREXIT VOLATILITY: SELL GBP RALLIES & BUY RISK-OFF DIPS
Thought id put a piece out as my guide for the week for how to trade the 23rd UK EU Referendum vote. IMO the first rule and most important is - DONT TRADE THE VOTE. Trying to guess the answer is like trying to win the lottery, so instead i advise taking a position on the volatility, as volatility doesnt ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 7 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: THE RUN DOWN & HOW TO TRADE - FOMC & UK EU REFERENDUM 1
428 3 16
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD: THE RUN DOWN & HOW TO TRADE - FOMC & UK EU REFERENDUM 1
This article is a tradable summary of all of the indepth GBP$ analysis i have done recently - I aim to give you a conclusive opinion and trading plan. SEE PART 2 ALSO I suggest you check out ALL of the relevant articles that i attach to this post so that this post makes sense In a nutshell i am heavily short ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 7 months ago
GBPUSD: SHORT CABLE: HISTORICAL GBPUSD v EURUSD CORRELATION CYCLES
76 0 10
GBPUSD, D Short
SHORT CABLE: HISTORICAL GBPUSD v EURUSD CORRELATION CYCLES
On the 1D time frame, a strong positive correlation relationship emerges - where previously on the 4h time-frame the correlation looked relationship-less and "noisy". However, looking back at the Daily correlation over the last 2-3 years for GU and EU one noticeable and significant trend emerges - A steep fall ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 7 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: SELL/FADE CABLE ALGO SPIKE @ >1.45
252 2 10
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD: SELL/FADE CABLE ALGO SPIKE @ >1.45
Unknown quantity just repriced GBPUSD right into my sell limit zone of 1.45-1.465 (see attached article). Im recommending getting on the cheap risk NOW as FOMC and BREXIT REF can only price GU lower in the coming days/weeks - get it now whilst its cheap! IMO there are 2 things it could have been 1. Algo/ flash ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 7 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD OPEN - 100 PIPS LOWER; UNDERPRICED RISK = SELL PULL BACKS
292 0 12
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD OPEN - 100 PIPS LOWER; UNDERPRICED RISK = SELL PULL BACKS
A disappointing open from cable with a bears perspective. Gapping down 100 pips to 1.435 almost immediately puts my sell limit orders (at 146.5) in "unlikely" territory of being hit this week. On friday following the $ EMP report cable managed to rally to 1.458 - i was hopeful it would tick a few more pips upward ...
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