ukeureferendum

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD SHORT: DOVISH BOE M. CARNEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - AUG CUT
458 0 20
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD SHORT: DOVISH BOE M. CARNEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - AUG CUT
IMO Mark Carney was very dovish on the margin, certainly reinforcing their/ my view of an August cut being 90% on the table. The most supportive statements were "MonPol Important In Cushioning Effects Of Any Relapse In Recovery In Months & Quarters Ahead", "The MPC Does Not Have The ''Luxury '' and "More Should Be ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long , 6 months ago
DXY: LONG DXY/ USD VS GBP: HAWKISH FOMC LOCKHART SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
189 0 10
DXY, D Long
LONG DXY/ USD VS GBP: HAWKISH FOMC LOCKHART SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
FOMC Lockhart was the 4th Fed this week to imo be relatively Hawkish with his words, most notably reinforcing with the others brexits near-term stability saying "Doesn't Expect 'Brexit' to Have Near Term Impact on Economy" and " So Far 'Brexit' Reaction Largely Orderly". Most interestingly though was Lockharts view ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
GBPUSD: SHORT GBPUSD @1.34 - BOE MINUTES HIGHLIGHTS - EXPECT AUGUST CUT
409 3 9
GBPUSD, D Short
SHORT GBPUSD @1.34 - BOE MINUTES HIGHLIGHTS - EXPECT AUGUST CUT
As expected BOE stood pat on their rate decision reiterating much of which was said last week by Gov M. Carney, the need for more analysis to be done is/ was key - " "Detailed Analysis" of All Policy Options Required" and "Extent Of Additional Stimulus Will Depend on August Forecasts". IMO the notes were very ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USOIL, D, Long , 6 months ago
USOIL: USOIL UKOIL: IEA MONTHLY OIL REPORT - BREXIT; DEMAND > SUPPLY 17
378 0 12
USOIL, D Long
USOIL UKOIL: IEA MONTHLY OIL REPORT - BREXIT; DEMAND > SUPPLY 17
The IEA Oil Market Report was largely in line with OPEC's assesment yesterday - Non OPEC output was seen falling in 2016 by 900,000 B/D - However, they differed on the 2017 perspective with 2017 expectations from the IEA forecasting a modest growth of 200,000 B/D in 2017. Opec Output however rose to an eight year ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Long , 6 months ago
EURUSD: LONG USD VS JPY, EUR, GBP: HAWISK FED BULLARD - FED FUNDS RALLY
579 8 23
EURUSD, D Long
LONG USD VS JPY, EUR, GBP: HAWISK FED BULLARD - FED FUNDS RALLY
Bullard is the lone Fed official forecasting just one additional rate increase, and expects modest growth over the next two and a half years. But he reiterated Tuesday he's not expecting the economy to head south. However, did go out of his way to mention a relatively dovish point "We Have Some Ammunition if We ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long , 6 months ago
USDJPY: BUY USDJPY @104 & SELL GBPUSD @1.33: RISK-ON, POLITICS, BOJ, BOE
535 0 18
USDJPY, D Long
BUY USDJPY @104 & SELL GBPUSD @1.33: RISK-ON, POLITICS, BOJ, BOE
The Federal Reserve's regulatory point man said work to address the lessons of the 2008 financial crisis won't be complete without better regulation of short-term funding both inside and outside the banking system. St Louis Fed President Jim Bullard may be the Fed's new super dove, but he's no pessimist, he says. ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading NZDUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
NZDUSD: SELL NZDUSD - RECONFIRMED BY 12M HIGHS? CPI PRINT EYED CLOSELY
414 1 21
NZDUSD, D Short
SELL NZDUSD - RECONFIRMED BY 12M HIGHS? CPI PRINT EYED CLOSELY
Also as additional technicals to support the short NZD$ view: 1. On the daily and NU currently Trades close/ at to its +2 standard deviation lines, these are highly resistive. - Assuming NU trades mean reverting +2SD means there is a 95% chance of a price reversal/ 95% of all prices should be below the +2SD ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading SPX, D, Short , 6 months ago
SPX: RISK-ON RISK-OFF POSITIVE CORRELATION? SPX VS GOLD, JPY & UST P1
305 2 14
SPX, D Short
RISK-ON RISK-OFF POSITIVE CORRELATION? SPX VS GOLD, JPY & UST P1
The Paradoxical Risk-on/ Risk-off Asset positive correlation: 1. Risk off assets have outperformed to date, with Gold leading the gains at 28%, JPY following at 18% and US 10y treasuries Trading 16% up in 2016 - average at 20.5%. 2. Meanwhile, SPX trades 5% up since 4.1.2016 but more importantly, since 20th ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDCNH, D, Short , 6 months ago
USDCNH: BREXIT YUAN DEVALU: USDCNH - SNEAKY FX FIXING? SELL SPX & FTSE
363 0 13
USDCNH, D Short
BREXIT YUAN DEVALU: USDCNH - SNEAKY FX FIXING? SELL SPX & FTSE
At the start of 2016 the PBOC began aggressively devaluing the off-shore Yuan against the USD, imo in an attempt to start the year with a competitive export:import advantage - with the aim of making 2016 a headline "come back" year for China amid the growing GDP growth and Credit bubble worries. As a result ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
EURUSD: SHORT EURUSD: DOVISH ECB MONETARY POLICY MINUTES - FRESH EASING?
330 1 15
EURUSD, D Short
SHORT EURUSD: DOVISH ECB MONETARY POLICY MINUTES - FRESH EASING?
IMO the ECB minutes were the most dovish/ clearly directed statements out of the ECB for several months. Before this, and in the past several speakers comments, sentiment has been towards the hawkish/ stale side, citing "ECB has done enough" as the main rhetoric. The June Minutes however show a renewed positioning ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long , 6 months ago
DXY: USD/ DXY: FOMC DUDLEY & WILLIAMS - BREXIT & US ECONOMY SPILLOVER
233 0 9
DXY, D Long
USD/ DXY: FOMC DUDLEY & WILLIAMS - BREXIT & US ECONOMY SPILLOVER
1. IMO Dudley tipped to the dovish side, especially on key inflation highlighting that it is " rising again, but still low". Other rhetoric reaffirmed much of what has been said post the brexit vote e.g. Uncertainty being the biggest factor. 2. Meanwhile, Williams was notably more upbeat/ optimistic, shrugging ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
GBPUSD: SHORT GBPUSD & FTSE RALLIES: GOV M.C SPEECH & BOE FSR HIGHLIGHTS
567 0 14
GBPUSD, D Short
SHORT GBPUSD & FTSE RALLIES: GOV M.C SPEECH & BOE FSR HIGHLIGHTS
1. *Id say a 6/10 dovish reaction by markets, GBP falling across the board & FTSE gaining. Carney seems contempt with a lower GBP and is happy to continue talking the currency lower in an attempt to use the exchange rate mechanism as a leading instrument to buoy UK economic stability (GDP, CPI, Unemp) against the ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading NZDUSD, 60, Short , 6 months ago
NZDUSD: SHORT NZDUSD: +2 STANDARD DEVIATION PIVOT POINT ON DAILY & H1
514 7 24
NZDUSD, 60 Short
SHORT NZDUSD: +2 STANDARD DEVIATION PIVOT POINT ON DAILY & H1
Also as additional technicals to support the short NZD$ view: 1. On the daily, weekly and H1 NU currently Trades (and at 0.73) close/ at to its +2 standard deviation lines, these are highly resistive. - Assuming NU trades mean reverting +2SD means there is a 95% chance of a price reversal/ 95% of all prices ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading AUDUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
AUDUSD: SHORT AUDUSD TP 800PIPS:  BREXIT, RBA, FED & USDJPY HEDGE
1520 4 44
AUDUSD, D Short
SHORT AUDUSD TP 800PIPS: BREXIT, RBA, FED & USDJPY HEDGE
Short AUDUSD is in my top 3 FX Trades for several reasons: 1. AUD is considered a riskier G10 currency cross, so AUD trades weaker in risk-off markets, or when equities/ SPX trade lower (you can see the high correlation with SPX at the bottom of the graph). - With Brexit concurring last week, global risk has ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, 45, Long , 6 months ago
USDJPY: RANGE BOUND - USDJPY: TRADING STRATEGY - PART 2
468 1 13
USDJPY, 45 Long
RANGE BOUND - USDJPY: TRADING STRATEGY - PART 2
Trading for this week: 1. My plan for next week focuses on point "3." from the previous post - I am waiting for risk-on or risk-off assets to confirm investor conviction by using USDJPY as a barometer for net risk sentiment. Despite the market uncertainty and high volatility UJ last week traded within a 200pip ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, 45, Long , 6 months ago
USDJPY: RANGE BOUND - USDJPY: IS THIS GLOBAL RISK RECOVERY REAL? PART 1
327 0 14
USDJPY, 45 Long
RANGE BOUND - USDJPY: IS THIS GLOBAL RISK RECOVERY REAL? PART 1
Expectations vs Reality: 1. Following the referendum decision on Friday, as expected GBP sold off 10%+, the FTSE plummeted in a similar fashion and global risk assets sold off across the board, but FTSE/ Risk recovered a significant amount of those losses into Fridays close and for the rest of the next week.. So ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, 15, 7 months ago
USDJPY: BREXIT AND GEO-POLITICAL AFTERMATH: BUY USDJPY - HOW TO TRADE
287 1 18
USDJPY, 15
BREXIT AND GEO-POLITICAL AFTERMATH: BUY USDJPY - HOW TO TRADE
Now that the Brexit risk has been realised the mentioned pairs above will share some correlation this week as the market changes between risk-on and risk-off as MANY on the events continually drive the sentiment shifts. My Plan & Expectations USDJPY 1. My conviction for UJ is long 8/10. -UJ traded to lows of ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, 15, Short , 7 months ago
GBPUSD: BREXIT & GEO-POLITICAL AFTERMATH: SHORT GBPUSD - HOW TO TRADE
631 3 19
GBPUSD, 15 Short
BREXIT & GEO-POLITICAL AFTERMATH: SHORT GBPUSD - HOW TO TRADE
GBPUSD - At the end of last week GU traded to lows of 1.32 on the brexit vote, before retracing substantially to 1.39 by the end of the day. - GU retraced 600-700pips after the brexit event IMO solely as investors took profit from their shorts (which causes buying) - thus there was no structural reason for GU ...
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