profprof profprof ZN1!, W, 19 days ago
ZN1!: Bounce in Bonds? TLT ZN!1 TBT
15 2 0
ZN1!, W
Bounce in Bonds? TLT ZN!1 TBT
Bonds usually bounce after huge sell offs before continuing to sell off. 2013 multi week sell off had mid week bounces to roughly 50% of previous week's range. good spot to buy some longer dated calls (dec?) at 126'235 for a bounce next week to around high 127s or low 128s+. RSI lowest in years, closed 4 days ...
caputo.philip caputo.philip ZN1!, 240, Long , 2 months ago
ZN1!: ***Long Opp***
9 0 1
ZN1!, 240 Long
***Long Opp***
Good opportunity to trade with the longer term trend. One could buy the future contract or short the put option for a more conservative option (pun intended). Futures trading involves serious risk of financial loss and is not suitable for every investor.
IvanLabrie IvanLabrie TOP TLT, D, Long , 2 months ago
TLT: TLT: Go long above Brexit resistance
114 0 10
TLT, D Long
TLT: Go long above Brexit resistance
We have a nice double bottom in TLT. We can speculate on going long on a break above the Brexit key level resistance at 134.42. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
IvanLabrie IvanLabrie TOP XAUUSD, D, Long , 4 months ago
XAUUSD: XAUUSD: Potential for uptrend continuation, target pending
389 3 18
XAUUSD: Potential for uptrend continuation, target pending
There is one weekly target that hasn't been hit yet, and I suspect we might hit it very soon, so I'm willing to risk taking a long position here, with 23 point downside risk. Let's see if we can attain the weekly 'Time at mode' target before our stop loss gets hit. You can risk between 0.5 and 1% on this trade, and ...
MacroView_Research MacroView_Research DXY, D, 6 months ago
DXY: #Dollar Showing Weakness, Intermediately Overbought
327 1 3
#Dollar Showing Weakness, Intermediately Overbought
The U.S. dollar went bid following rhetoric from Federal Reserve officials that a potential rate hike could occur in June, following hotter than expected inflation data. However, after posting on pending technical weakness here, the dollar has retreated slightly over the last few days. Price action as traded ...
CommoditiesTrader CommoditiesTrader EURUSD, D, 8 months ago
EURUSD: Downside Risk Potential For The Euro
457 0 7
Downside Risk Potential For The Euro
There is downside risk for the euro as price action for EURUSD failed to close above 1.1342, essentially creating an asymmetric double top with the fizzled mid-February rally. The pair looks to fade back to the 200-day EMA near 1.1108. The rally in the dollar following its steep declines last week could cause a ...
CommoditiesTrader CommoditiesTrader DXY, M, 8 months ago
DXY: The Dollar Paradox Pt. 1: Unintended Consequences
717 6 5
The Dollar Paradox Pt. 1: Unintended Consequences
It is clear that the U.S. dollar has been one of the biggest hedge fund crowded trades, and still remains despite recent pullbacks in the greenback. And, although, the DXY saw a violent decent following last week's dovish FOMC-minutes report, there is still an underlying dynamic that supports a much higher ...
CommoditiesTrader CommoditiesTrader GC1!, W, 8 months ago
GC1!: Gold to $8,000?
355 0 3
GC1!, W
Gold to $8,000?
Despite what so-called gold bugs have been trying to predict for years, it still remains seen how valuable the most "hated" asset on Wall Street can be. Calls of $10- or $50,000 gold have made headlines and often laughs, but when investors take into account the supporting fundamentals, gold can be extremely ...
OffTheFloorTrader OffTheFloorTrader ZN1!, D, 9 months ago
ZN1!: NOTES are Ripe
28 2 1
ZN1!, D
NOTES are Ripe
The Notes, like Goldie, are consolidating and ripe to break this week. We rolled to the June contract Friday and we are looking for a leas one more day of consolidation. We want to wait for a break of our levels before getting involved.
CommoditiesTrader CommoditiesTrader XAUUSD, 240, 9 months ago
XAUUSD: Gold Intraday Technicals
511 0 6
Gold Intraday Technicals
Gold has pulled back slightly, but still up almost 15 percent since 2016. Traders don't believe the current rally as they look hopeful of more central bank quantitative easing, which is exactly why gold has had its run this year; and it is why I have been saying fundamentals have been strengthening for gold for ...
OffTheFloorTrader OffTheFloorTrader ZN1!, W, a year ago
ZN1!: Did you get my Note?
41 0 4
ZN1!, W
Did you get my Note?
The Notes had a nice fake break and are now wanting to test the lower part of the wedge. The Bonds broke their weekly wedge and closed on their Friday lows which tells us the Notes and Bonds are weak. We are looking for a short position on bounces in the Trigger Zone. This is a Weekly chart trade and we will be ...
CommoditiesTrader CommoditiesTrader HYG, 240, a year ago
HYG: HYG Leading SPY Lower?
513 4 3
HYG, 240
HYG Leading SPY Lower?
Junk bonds are typically just that - junk. But, the iShares High Yield Corporate has been one of those crowded trades that just do not die. After witnessing the immaculate short squeeze from 1,864, the SPX staged an impressive rebound. But as I mentioned earlier today (on my InvestFeed - link below), the SPY is ...
CommoditiesTrader CommoditiesTrader GC1!, D, a year ago
GC1!: Gold Surprises as Dollar Gets Monkey-Hammered Lower
1041 11 7
GC1!, D
Gold Surprises as Dollar Gets Monkey-Hammered Lower
In "Gold Leaps Higher as Worries Mount," I briefly pointed out how those very same institutions that championed quantitative easing policies implemented by the Federal Reserve are now coming out to proclaim quantitative easing added no substantial benefit to the real economy. Gold was pushed lower on the ...
CommoditiesTrader CommoditiesTrader DXY, D, a year ago
DXY: U.S. Dollar Awaits FOMC Decision
1135 0 12
U.S. Dollar Awaits FOMC Decision
Some say this week's FOMC decision will be of historical proportions and be the first time the Federal Reserve will increase the Fed funds rate in almost a decade. The U.S. dollar index is in a descending trend. Price action is floating above the minor trend created by the top on April 13. The dollar has not been ...
CommoditiesTrader CommoditiesTrader GC1!, D, a year ago
GC1!: Gold Leaps Higher As Worries Mount
1039 9 14
GC1!, D
Gold Leaps Higher As Worries Mount
Following the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, gold has seen a massive two day move that brought the precious metal to five-week highs. Worries mount as market participants are beginning to realize that the Federal Reserve is stuck within a liquidity trap. The minutes statement indicated that the Fed saw risks to ...
CommoditiesTrader CommoditiesTrader USDJPY, 240, a year ago
USDJPY: USDJPY To Grind Higher on Interest Rate Hopes
405 1 6
USDJPY To Grind Higher on Interest Rate Hopes
The dollar-yen has been rather range bound, floating between 123 and 125. The U.S. dollar is likely to remain firm heading into September, as many market participants believe the Federal Reserve will finally raise the Fed funds rate for the first time since 2006. Many traders are looking at the fact that funds ...
SMP99 SMP99 PRO DGS10, W, 2 years ago
DGS10: 10 Yr Treasury Rates vs. S&P 500
781 0 6
DGS10, W
10 Yr Treasury Rates vs. S&P 500
The rally in long dated US treasuries over the past 35 years could easily be called the greatest bull market we've seen in modern times. 10 yr rates have been trending down in a near perfect channel for almost 30 years. Calling for the end of this rally has become a popular pastime. Due to the nature being zero ...
SMP99 SMP99 PRO SPY, W, 2 years ago
SPY: Long Bond to SPY Ratio
335 10 13
Long Bond to SPY Ratio
Above is a look at the 10 yr Bond prices relative to S&P 500. The purpose isn't to look for an exact top where prices or the ratio trend may reverse but instead to see where we've been in the past and where we are at currently. Breaks in the long term down trend of this ratio have lead to large moves in the SPY, ...
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