The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to meet next week, and investors are eagerly anticipating the outcome of the meeting. Bank of America Global Research has discussed its expectations for the meeting, saying that it expects the Fed to raise its target range for the federal funds rate by 50bp in December to 4.25-4.5%. According to Bank of America, the...
For Those who have not explored, Here is the list of All the shortcut keys available. Very useful for Macros 'show settings menu' - "CONTROL - ," "command - , 'go to next error' - "ALT - e" "F4" 'go to previous error' - ...
JPY/USD: It’s not often that a macro breakdown of this magnitude presents itself, but Dollar/Yen is providing the opportunity to monitor and learn from just such a breakdown in real time. One of the more interesting mysteries of the last two decades has been the durability of the JPY. · Years of extremely accommodative monetary policy, Negative Interest...
TVC:US10Y TVC:NYA A reminder that falling bond yields are synonymous with higher bond prices. In other words, a downtrend in yield equates to a bull market in bonds. In January, bonds were still in a technical bull market as defined by the broad declining channel that had contained the 40 year bull market. In March the break of that downtrend turned the macro...
There are two main reasons to use logarithmic scales in charts and graphs. The first is to respond to skewness towards large values, cases in which one or a few points are much larger than the bulk of the data. The second is to show percent change or multiplicative factors.
In this post, I'll be demonstrating how the Fed's rate hikes affect the equity market (or how they don't), through historical examples and analyses of market psychology. This is an issue that has been going on for a while, and one that has caught the attention of all market participants. Yes, tapering and rate hikes aren’t necessarily good news, but I don’t think...
They do not scream "SELL" just yet, but these indicators offer strong caution of further market correction. Please take some time to study the charts so you understand the story they tell. I am not an economist; I am a trader who has been learning more about bonds and macro indicators. (I have ignored the pandemic drop because it was extraneous to normal...
I begin each year reviewing the long term technical positions of the "Big Four." 10 Year rates, SPX, Commodities, and the US Dollar. This is the fourth of the series. The fifth and final will attempt to tie the first four together into a organized macro view. Granted, macro doesn’t typically impact shorter term (swing, daily and weekly) trading, but developing a...
I begin each year reviewing the long term technical positions of the "Big Four." 10 Year rates, SPX, Commodities, and the US Dollar. This is the third of the series. Granted, macro doesn’t typically impact shorter term (swing, daily and weekly) trading, but developing a broad framework to build understanding of market context and to help recognize change in the...
How many times have you heard that bitcoin is very expensive? How many times have you heard that Bitcoin is a Ponzi scheme? PERSPECTIVE. That is what is needed to combat some of the myths that surround this cryptocurrency, which will probably take part in the digital economy. Regarding the first question, is $1T too much capitalization for a finite,...
This picture is of vital importance. It's something that you simply have to try to recognise when trading, whether you're multi asset, trading only crypto, FX, equities - it simply doesn't matter, since sentiment is indiscriminate and uncaring as to your asset class. In each section, we've got what is occurring at each stage. 1) Risk off. 2) The start of the...
Before you trade stocks, bitcoin, FX, bonds or anything you have to try and understand how our monetary system works not to miss the big picture. This video helps you by providing a 10.000 foot view of the global macro landscape. Don't miss the forest for the trees. Tune in and enjoy!
In this analysis, I'll be talking about the two approaches you can take in choosing the right stocks to invest in: the top down, and bottom up analysis methods. I have seen posts explaining the top down and bottom up analyses by time frames, but that's not correct. Time frames don't have anything to do with this approach. If you wish to check out my other...
We have recently moved in the 25th solar cycle in which they last around 11 years on average. They have a start period and then a maximum Q or intensity of energy at certain points which are in blue. If everything in our theoretical universe follows the sun, then why not markets as well? Comments feedback & collaboration welcomed, Golden Ratio.
If you’re new to this side of the markets, it may seem overwhelming at first. Don’t worry! "Macroeconomics" sounds way more complicated than it actually is. Getting involved & learning by osmosis really is the best way. Knowledge & understanding quickly build up. We are going to focus primarily on news flow and sentiment. It’s a broad topic, so let’s break...
Bitcoin are "anti-inflationary" asset . In deflation times ( prediction: mid 2020 - mid 2022) Bitcoin is not good asset to hold. Better strategy is to buy high amounts at mid 2022 (expected low).
Welcome to Crypto Stanley Trading! Our success over the last year as a group has been predicated on trading our tried and true group algorithm bot. Since the beginning, we have preached that in order to consistently beat the market, a trader must remove his or her emotions from the trade. By using the Crypto Stanley Trading signal bot, you can effectively remove...
Ok guys...Welcome...I know the reason you are here... So this tutorial that I am releasing in stages over the coming days and weeks is going to be based on a series of questions I have been getting via PM ... the brief is open so keep them coming as this is going to be more or less an ask-me-anything 'AMA' format. There are a whole bunch of questions that I am...