Introduction
In the complex and multifaceted world of economic indicators, initial jobless claims hold a special place. As a measure of the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, this statistic offers a real-time glimpse into the health of the labor market, which in turn is a vital component of the overall economic landscape....
How to apply fundamental analysis and macroeconomic trends to complement your technical analysis and trading strategy
Fundamental analysis and macroeconomic trends are important tools for traders who want to understand the underlying forces that drive the market. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price action and patterns of the market. By...
There's some curious personalities that trade (at least claim to trade) based on news, fundamental metrics, alt data n stuff. I don't mean invest, I mean trade. Well that looks like a skill to be proud off, superstimuli always feels cool aye? Good thing tho there no real reason in doing it all.
The most precise term to explain non-market data is, well, everything...
In this post, I'll be demonstrating how the Fed's rate hikes affect the equity market (or how they don't), through historical examples and analyses of market psychology. This is an issue that has been going on for a while, and one that has caught the attention of all market participants. Yes, tapering and rate hikes aren’t necessarily good news, but I don’t think...
Quandl is a data library with all sorts of useful macroeconomic data. Unfortunately a lot of it you have to pay for, but there are also many data series you can access for free, including the "Blockchain" library with lots of useful data such as Bitcoin transaction fees.
To access Quandl data, go to quandl.com. In the left-hand column, check the "Free" box to...
In this analysis, I'll be talking about the two approaches you can take in choosing the right stocks to invest in: the top down, and bottom up analysis methods.
I have seen posts explaining the top down and bottom up analyses by time frames, but that's not correct.
Time frames don't have anything to do with this approach.
If you wish to check out my other...
WHILE ALL PRICES HAVE RISEN SINCE 1913 (THE CREATION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE), SOME HAVE DONE SO MORE THAN OTHERS!
THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM HAS BECOME SO LARGE AND COMPLEX THAT IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO TRACE THE ACTUAL SIZE OF THE ENTIRE MONEY SUPPLY ( M3 )!
WHEN IT COMES TO ESTIMATION, YOUR GUESS IS AS GOOD AS ANY EXPERT'S!
THE ONLY WAY TO DETERMINE IF M3 IS RISING OR...
THIS POST WILL HELP YOU UNDERSTAND THE COMPETING VIEW POINTS ON THE FUTURE PERFORMANCE OF THE U.S. DOLLAR RELATIVE TO OTHER CURRENCIES!
JEFF SNIDER'S POSITION ON THE DOLLAR:
THE U.S. DOLLAR IS STRONG BECAUSE OF A SHORTAGE OF DOLLARS WORLDWIDE TO CONDUCT GLOBAL TRADE IN, DUE TO TO FED'S INABILITY TO TRULY SATISFY DEMAND FOR U$Ds, AND WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS...
This is an educational post - compliant with the house rules on text-based contributions - showing some of the tension between monetary policy taken by the FED and real world fiscal issues at deeper levels. Click and drag chart if all text does not show. Thanks.
The tension has caused whipsaws in the US Dollar, and price of Gold. The IMF has declared a global...
This is a brief educational post, that is meant as a heads up for sensible traders. They would wish to be aware of systemic risks approaching if Deutsche Bank collapses finally. This is likened to the Lehman Brothers fiasco of a few years ago, but it could be much bigger. I'm sharing this information based on reliable hard data available freely on the internet....
In this screencast I review 8 important markets. There are some common levels and patterns of price movements. The India50 is the odd man (woman) out.
The forecast of a global recession has been made (not by me). This is related largely to global debt now standing at around $233 TRILLION US-Dollars and debt in America currently around $22 Trillion US-Dollars....
In this screencast, I'm looking ahead for potential moves, possibly south in the US-Dollar. This is about preparedness.
In the video I explore emerging geopolitical and macroeconomic issues that are taking place.
The US-Dollar strength has big influence at this time on:
1. Commodities
2. Metals - especially Gold and Silver
3. Oil
4. Stock markets in the US and...
Investors seem to have started shifting their focus from equities and rates onto the US dollar. We believe that if this dollar rally accelerates it will be a major headache for emerging markets i.e. China, India, and Russia. In part 1 of this report I would like to talk about the Dragon the Eagle and The Elephant, first let’s start with the dragon; China.Over...
Just wanted to document how tracking the news should be an important part of EVERY trader's practice...
Take for example, an hourly chart of this week's GBPUSD...
In particular, notice how this week's MOST significant price action corresponds with two major speeches by UK officials.
In the first instance, BoE governor Mark Carney delivered a "dovish" speech...
The head and shoulders formation is a classic sell setup that traders are familiar with. A close below the neck line is a sell signal for traders. Well, as you can see this was a signal of an economic downturn and it predicted it in the summer before the market crash in the fall. This would have alerted people to prepare for the impending doom and for traders to...
