The US government ten-year yield bonds closed its last session on Friday at 0.767 down -16.49% after reaching the bottom of the longterm price channel on the daily chart. Bond prices have been on a free fall since breaching the support level at 1.440 on the 25th of Feb 2020. In last Friday's session, we saw prices went as low as 0.650 before pulling up towards...
An insane move across Yields with historic outflows, I am expecting some relief over the coming weeks but we the lows are still open for a 5th wave sequence. This target will worryingly come into play at 0.20x! We have intentionally covered the Credit Spreads together here in order to see what is "challenging" in the US economy: Such compensation is...
Dates in the future with the highest probability for price direction reversals
S&P 500 Index Dividend Yield vs US 10 Bond Yield ... When S&P 500 Index Dividend Yield outperforms the US 10 Bond Yield usually is a good entry point to buy stocks and sell bonds.
Triple bottom has been breached and this is an indicator of economy enter into the downhill. Governments across the globe are already ready or has started pumping money into their economy to support the impact of the virus. Strong resistance line of the triple bottom formed by US 10Yr Yield has been breached, mainly fueled by economy greatest enemy - fear....
Daily Chart Explanation: - Price was on an Ascending Channel and broke it. - Now, it is developing a Bearish Corrective Structure. - If price breaks it, it has potential to move down towards the Middle Support Zone first and, then, continue towards the Primary Support Zone . Weekly Vision: 4H Vision: Updates coming soon!
Are we going to see the 10 - year yield getting out of the downtrend or ready to move lower? As yields in bonds is getting better, gold starts to lag nicely as it is being dumped pretty fast. Stocks are getting FOMOed aggressively, but yields are starting to rise again. Reaching that critiral point to answer our question will define if the stock's rally is near...
With the 10/2 at a key area of potential reversal and the 10 years by its self also at key are coupled with the relatively low VIX reading of late and Stocks at all-time high at a key area as well. I must conclude based on the fundamentals and technicals the best risk-reward here is lower. Conversely, if a breakout of the 10 year does occur! Historically speaking...
Here is the situation that resembles gold and silver. It is early to speak of a complete negativity, only a loss of power in the positive region. The RSI channel is in a strong image. It's a little early for the short. There are new hills up there. I need at least stochrsi's approval for the long. I think the bottom of the middle band for the short position. This...
Short Term Elliott Wave structure in 10 Year Notes (ZN_F) suggests the pullback to 129.28 ended wave IV. The note has resumed higher in wave V. The internal subdivision of wave V is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 129.28, wave 1 ended at 131.19 and wave 2 ended at 130.26. Internal of wave 2. The Note has resumed higher and broke...
When we look into monthly and weekly charts, both RSI and trends are going up. But when we go down to daily chart, RSI is not supporting tre uptrend, just the opposite RSI is weakining on daily. This may be an indicator of ending bull market.
Buy signal for stocks, the 10 Year US Note Standard Deviation bottom band... never misses the buy signal for stocks...
Here we are witnessing the minimum target from a ABC perspective since the January highs at 2.799%. This sequence from here on should be viewed as corrective and will be a shallow retrace in the broader trend. There is little support here so the key levels to watch in play remain 2.286%. We may see some choppy waters here, however, the potential to retrace as...
USD/jPY approaching 110.84 - support of trend line from Jan 4 lows. Break lower likely with RSI below 50. Chaikin money flow below drops below zero. 10-year treasury yield against fails to see falling wedge breakout. If the yield breaks higher from falling wedge, UJ will likely bounce from the ascending trend line support.
Weekly showing signs of reversal, this is a major trendline that bulls will need to defend or else it gets ugly
Latest breakout here made changes medterm in my opinion and higher levels still possible and thats not great news for dollar bulls. As long as 122 holds we may see 127.
The ten year yield peaks about 6 months to 14 months before two consecutive quarters of negative growth (a technical recession). Right now, from our peak in this current cycle we are 6 months divorced from a peak in the yield. Moreover, 3 year over 10 year yields inverted recently a signal that a recession is in the not too distant future. However, massive...