A Sick Feeling in the Belly of the Yield Curve Another sign that Fed credibility is waning. The socioeconomic point of view is that, as the Supercycle bear market develops, central banks will lose their mantle as being omnipotent directors of markets. Whereas in the bull market, central bankers like Alan “the Maestro” Greenspan were lauded because positive...
Some weekly consolidation; Possible yields haven't topped yet. These inflection points lead to weekly and monthly trend changes which I will be looking for a potential spike as momentum shifts back down and rates test the keltner channel mid or upper line. There is also a possibility that rates breakout of the resistance (trend change) of this bullish leg from...
Hi traders, We are watching a powerful ascending correction on usd-index or Dxy. So we will careful about CPI news this week and we could buy USD on 100.5-100 with the SL below the lowest price pf this week (2nd week of Jan2024) and our first target is 103-104. but main target is 108-109. We glad to see your opinion below this analysis. Be success.
Come at me with critisism. The markets will have a hard landing. Time is on my side.
Treasuries are trying to recover after making some nice and deep pullback in last few months as FED decided to wait on more economic data before they may finally cut rates. The pattern on 10 year US notes is looking bullish here after that impulse up since Novemeber, seen as wave (A), so obviously this tells us in which direction market can move after a...
Hey guys, Crude oil came down recently, which can help inflation to come down as well if energy market will continue to decline. In fact I see nice bearish pattern, so my assumption is that US yeilds and USD can be trading at resistance. In this video I will also look at the chart of the 10 year US yeilds where I see greater chance for a drop to 3% rather than...
The NASDAQ:VGIT ETF movement seems to be inversely proportional to the 10-yr US bond yield Typically as the yield increases, the bond price would also decrease. Even though VGIT has an attractive yield (up to 6% p.a.) with monthly dividends, this requires at least 1-year holding period. Moreover, there are expectations of a Fed rate cut in 2024. While this...
Long the 10y for rising rates, this means bank stonks. This isn't a perma long as I expect Q3/4 to slow down on the YoY comps. Ultimately I see a lower high from the past high we saw. Lots of inflation bulls here and I am one of them, but this inflation is printer induced. Forget to restock the printer and inflation disappears real fast. The pair trade here into...
The chart is the 10 yr paper We now have 5 waves down and into .618 Look for a move BACK UP in RATES and this should also see The peak formed in Dia and Spy QQQ IWM and most of all SOX
10-year US Treasury bond Black Swan and WOLFE detected EMA.50 and EMA.200 are possible targets Look : PRZ Levels: Fibonacci / Bollinger / ICHIMOKU
As traders look for signals on potential moves in the FX market, a frequent question I receive is regarding the relationship between the 10yr yield and the DXY. US 10-Year Treasury Yield: The US 10-year Treasury yield represents the interest rate on the 10-year government bonds issued by the United States. It is considered a benchmark for long-term interest...
HELLO TRADERS , As i can the chart is going to reach at a strong resistance zone and 10Y already our bought so i am looking to let it complete this move and then we will get in trade with a very low risk and higher rewards .... kindly share Ur trade ideas and stay tunes for new updates on these charts
In 2023I will focus a bit more on helping the tradingview community to become better traders and investors using my approach. I will use the update feed to post my Comments, Thoughts, and charts about economics, trading, and investing. I will try to answer questions but am limited in what I can say publicly. Please keep that in mind. Of course, I will keep...
What Major Event will occur to force thirst for US and G20 Treasury Bonds? It's happening soon. I wish I had a crystal ball to say what will cause it, but it'll happen. We're almost there IMO 5.19-5.25% topline target - then I hope in whatever this Market or world event will force yields to go back down to 3.19-3.25% Before eventually continuing back up in the...
i have two plan for today .. one is to share from current price . 2nd one is selling from 1920 .bia is selling btw ...Gold (XAU/USD) Bulls Remain Cautious Following Sticky US CPI. Retest of Recent Lows Grow More Appealing. The Technicals on Gold Remain Conflicted. A Golden Cross Pattern Printed in the Asian Session and a Death Cross Pattern Forming Just Another...
I see a big opportunity on treasuries with the rates that the treasauries are trading at. Why? Inflation has been going down consistently from 9.1% to 4% and the PPI (which is the Producer Price Index) from 11.1% to 1.1%. These indicators usually draw near the core CPI which has been sticky above 5% and has been the aim for the FED. Rents and some services have...
Knock knock. Who's there? I. O. I. O. who? Me. When are you paying Treasury holders back? Never! Bullish Breakout ...to be continued... The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Looking for a bullish continuation to the upside long term. What Does the 10-Year Treasury Yield Mean? The 10-year Treasury yield is the yield that the government pays investors that purchase the specific security. Purchase of the 10-year note is essentially a loan made to the U.S. government.