SWING IDEA - APTUS VALUE HOUSING Aptus Value Housing Finance , a leading home loan provider focusing on affordable housing, is showing promising signs for a swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
370-390 Zone Breakout : This level has been tested multiple times, and the stock is now attempting to break out, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Breaking Consolidation Zone of 3+ Years : The price is emerging from a prolonged consolidation phase, which could lead to a new bullish trend.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows : The trend remains intact with consistent upward movements, suggesting continued strength.
Trading Above Weekly 50 and 100 EMA : The stock is trading above these key moving averages, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
New All-Time High : The stock has made a new all-time high, reflecting strong market sentiment.
Volume Spike : A noticeable increase in trading volume indicates increased buying interest.
Target - 450 // 510
Stoploss - weekly close below 335
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
52weekhighs
SWING IDEA - EXCEL INDUSTRIESExcel Industries , known for its expertise in manufacturing specialty chemicals, is setting up for a possible swing trade with supporting technicals.
Reasons are listed below :
Breaking out 1600 Zone : The price has tested this level multiple times and is now set to potentially break through, signaling strength.
Trendline Breakout : A breakout following a period of consolidation at the higher end of the trendline suggests momentum building.
Highest Weekly Close Since 2019 : The recent price action reflects significant bullishness, closing at levels not seen in years.
Intact Trend : The formation of higher highs and lows indicates that the bullish trend remains solid.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The price action above these key moving averages on the weekly timeframe points to continued positive sentiment and support.
Target - 1920 // 2130
Stoploss - weekly close below 1425
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - INDIGO PAINTSIndigo Paints , known for its innovative product offerings in the Indian paint industry, is displaying promising technical indicators for a swing trade.
Reason are listed below :
1600-1650 Resistance Zone : This significant resistance level, tested multiple times, is now possibly ready for a breakout, suggesting upward momentum.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The strong bullish candle reinforces buyer interest and strength.
Breaking 2.5+ Years of Consolidation : The stock is moving out of a prolonged consolidation phase, hinting at a potential long-term trend change.
Trading Above 50 and 100 EMA on Weekly Timeframe : This indicates sustained bullish strength, with price action above critical moving averages.
Target - 1950 // 2250
Stoploss - weekly close below 1400
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - SHREE RENUKA SUGARRenuka Sugars , a leading sugar manufacturer in India with a strong presence in ethanol production, is showing a promising swing trade setup.
Reasons are listed below :
53 Zone Breakout : The 53 zone, a previously strong resistance, has been breached, indicating potential upward momentum.
Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish marubozu candle has formed, reflecting strong buying pressure.
Crossing 52-Week High : The stock is crossing its 52-week high, signaling strength and potential continuation of the uptrend.
Volume Spike : A noticeable increase in volumes suggests strong market participation, further supporting the breakout.
Target - 65 // 75
Stoploss - daily close below 45
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
AMBER ENTERPRISES-Weekly Breakout with Strong MomentumBreakout Confirmation: Amber Enterprises has given a decisive breakout above the crucial Fibonacci 23.6% level (₹5,206), with a significant price surge. This breakout was accompanied by heavy volume , indicating strong bullish momentum and participation.
Fibonacci Levels:
The stock retraced from its highs at ₹6,256.7, respecting the Fibonacci levels:
38.2% retracement at ₹4,557.35.
50% retracement at ₹4,032.40.
61.8% retracement at ₹3,507.50, which acted as a strong support before the stock resumed its upward movement.
The breakout above ₹5,206 now opens the path towards the previous highs around ₹6,256.7.
Bullish Trendline Support: The stock has been respecting an ascending triangle pattern, marked by higher lows, which reflects accumulation and strengthening of the uptrend. The recent breakout from this triangle pattern gives further bullish confirmation.
Targets Ahead:
Near-term target : Based on the breakout and the height of the triangle, the immediate target is around ₹6,256, which aligns with the 0% Fibonacci level.
Potential upside projection : Using the measured move from the breakout, the stock has a potential to reach ₹6,900-7,000 levels, reflecting a 30-40% upside from the breakout point.
RSI Momentum : The RSI has broken above the 70-mark, entering the overbought zone, which confirms strong bullish momentum. However, the overbought condition may suggest some consolidation in the short term before the next leg up.
Support Levels : On any pullback, strong support lies around the Fibonacci 38.2% level at ₹4,557.35, followed by ₹4,032.40 (50% level). As long as these supports hold, the overall trend remains bullish.
Conclusion : Amber Enterprises is showing a powerful breakout with high volume, indicating a potential bullish rally in the coming weeks. Traders can look for opportunities on pullbacks or momentum continuation above ₹5,500, with a near-term target of ₹6,256 and a possible extension towards ₹6,900.
MMTC Non Profitable PSU showing MULTI-YEAR BreakoutNSE:MMTC
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As A Research Analyst ... It is Not an Good Practice to Suggest anyone to invest in Non-Profitable and Loss Making Company....
Every Fundamental Numbers are Either Negative or Not-Satisfying .......
but if we See in Terms of Technical Analysis....
MMTC is Showing Long-Multi-Year Breakout....
so Going with Defined Risk... keeping an Decent Percentage of SL ...
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MMTC, a public sector undertaking, was incorporated in 1963, to facilitate foreign trade in India and canalize the export and import of essential minerals and metals. It is under the administrative control of the Ministry of Commerce & Industry, and Government of India and is engaged in trading across minerals, metals, precious metals, agro products, fertilizers & chemicals and coal & hydrocarbons.
ADANI WILMAR Showing Breakage in Volume & Structure,NSE:AWL
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Not a Adani Lover.... But Some Bussinesses are Considered as White Collar.... Specially when you are aware of the original Product of the company.
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Strong recovery in Profitability, after subdued profits in H1 of last year.
➢ Trailing 9-Month EBITDA at INR 1,471 Crore.
➢ Profitability was volatile in FY24 due to hedge dis-alignment. However, profitability is improving over the longer-term.
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▪ Q1 volume growth of 12% YoY
▪ Steady growth in staple packaged foods. Edible oils grew by 12% YoY and Foods & FMCG grew by 42% YoY
▪ In Industry essential segment, both Oleo and Castor business grew in double digits, though overall volume impacted due to oil meal business
▪ Q1 revenue at INR 14,169 crores
▪ Revenue grew by 10% YoY in-line with volume growth as lapping of disinflationary impact of edible oil prices on revenue is complete
▪ Highest-ever EBITDA in Q1‘25 at INR 619 crores
▪ Edible oil business profitability has improved on back of stable edible oil prices
▪ Demand Environment (branded oil and foods)
▪ Demand environment stays steady in packaged staple foods on back of ongoing shift towards branded products
▪ Company stays focused on gaining market share, particularly in under-indexed markets & categories
▪ Incorporating local nuances to enhance regional engagement through customized campaigns, specialized packaging, localized pricing strategies, targeted schemes
▪ ESG Update
▪ Adani Wilmar has been included in FTSE4Good Index Series
▪ Company is committed to improve its processes for ESG performance, enhance disclosures and participate in key ESG ratings
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Key Takeaways: Q1’25
▪ Overall volumes grew by 12% YoY in Q1’25
▪ Edible Oil volumes surpasses 1 Million MT in Q1’25
▪ Food & FMCG crossed quarterly revenue of ~INR 1,500 Crores in Q1’25
▪ Edible Oil:
▪ Edible Oil volumes grew by 12% YoY in Q1’25
▪ Both Sunflower oil and Mustard oil grew double digit during the quarter.
▪ Food & FMCG:
❑ Food & FMCG volumes grew by 42% YoY (Ex-G2G business, Food volumes grew by 19% YoY)
❑ The revenue from branded products in the domestic market has been growing consistently YoY at over 30% for the past eleven quarters.
▪ Distribution:
❑ Company’s direct reach grew by 18% YoY to reach 7.4 Lac Outlets at the end of Q1’25
❑ Rural towns coverage grew by 40% YoY to 30,000+ towns at the of June 2024
▪ Channel Growth:
❑ Alternate channel grew by 19% YoY in Q1’25 (in volume terms)
❑ Branded exports grew by 36% YoY in Q1’25 (in volume terms)
❑ HoReCa business grew by 91% YoY (in volume terms), with quarterly revenues crossing ~INR 150 Crore in Q1’25
▪ ESG:
❑ Inclusion of AWL in FTSE4Good Index Series
RUPA indicating is No More an Ordinary Underwear BrandNSE:RUPA
Commenting on the financial performance Mr. Vikash Agarwal - Whole Time Director, said,
“We are pleased to report a stable performance in Q1 FY25, though the industry continues to witness resistance to any price increase. We
demonstrated steady improvements across key financial metrics. This quarter, we witnessed 8% rise in revenue, primarily driven by strong sales in our
core product line. Our volume growth for the quarter reached 9%, supported by strong sales in the economy and athleisure segments.
Our EBITDA saw a year-on-year increase of 59%, totaling Rs. 18.0 crores for the quarter, showcasing our commitment to cost management and
operational efficiency. Operating margins also improved by 280 basis points compared to the same period last year. Furthermore, our net profit
experienced substantial growth of 149%, reaching Rs. 10.5 crores for the quarter. This underscores the effectiveness of our financial strategies and the
resilience of our business model. Net profit margins improved by 280 basis points during the quarter.
Notably, our exports have shown progress, with a healthy 32% year-on-year growth, reaching Rs. 8 crores. This reflects our steady penetration into
international markets. Revenue contribution from Modern Trade remains robust at 8% in Q1 FY25.
The pilot project “Pragati’, which was launched last quarter, has received encouraging feedback from our distributors. We expect healthy expansion of
the project going forward.
Our cash flow from operations remains strong, generating Rs. 44 crores in Q1 FY25. We have made significant progress in reducing our debt, achieving
a net debt-free status as at end of Q1 FY25. Our branding and advertising strategies accounted for 9% of revenues in Q1 FY25.
Looking ahead, we are confident in achieving new business milestones and delivering innovative products to our diverse customer segments. Our
customer-first approach will help us strengthen our position as an industry leader and contribute to our sustainable business model
KOPRAN Showed Breakout with Huge Volume at 52 Weeks High ZoneNSE:KOPRAN
The co. has set up a new API plant at Panoli, commercial production at this facility is expected to be started from Q3 FY25. In FY23, it completed upgradation and expansion of the multi-product plant at the Mahad facility for existing products and to manufacture new molecules.
An integrated Pharmaceutical Company, committed to supplying International
Quality Formulations and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs) globally.
State-of-the-art manufacturing facilities and products with various accreditations
and approvals by major global regulatory authorities.
The formulations vertical is operated through Kopran Limited.
The API vertical is being operated under Kopran Research Laboratories Ltd.
(KRLL), a wholly owned subsidiary of Kopran Limited
FIEMIND Turned ON its Marubozu Headlights At ALL TIME HIGH ZONE NSE:FIEMIND
GOVT. APPROVED R&D CENTRE
• FIEM’s state of the art R&D Centre offers its clients design and development capabilities in Automotive Lighting & Signalling Equipments and Rear View
Mirrors which meet the specifications of the clients requirements.
• Government of India, Ministry of Science and Technology, Department of Science and Industrial Research has accorded Recognition to Company’s in-house
R&D Unit situated at Rai Industrial Estate, Sonepat.
• The Company’s R&D Centre is established with modern infrastructure, state-of-the-art technology, equipped with latest software, qualified and
experienced manpower.
• FIEM’s in-house R&D Centre has various kinds of testing facilities such as Product Testing, Photometry Testing, Environmental Testing, Thermal Tests,
Electronic Test, Vibration Test, Chemical Test, Mechanical Tests etc.
• Photometry Laboratory of the Company is NABL Accredited.
• Some examples of R&D conducted by company:
• In-house design and development of Railway IPIS (Integrated Passenger Information Systems with LED Display)
• In-house design and development for four wheeler LED Rear combination, LED direction indicator light etc.
• Advantages of in-house R&D unit:
• Diversified and large portfolio of lighting products developed.
• New generation LED technology in automotive and home lighting segments developed.
• Reduction in development time and cost savings to clients.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 24.4% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 29.3%
Stock of the Week: Poddar Pigments with Robust Financial HealthStock of the Week: Poddar Pigments ( NSE:PODDARMENT PODR)
Fundamental Analysis :
Poddar Pigments showcases a robust financial profile, making it an attractive pick for this week. The company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, indicating strong liquidity. Its liquid assets exceed any obligations, providing a solid financial cushion. Additionally, NSE:PODDARMENT Poddar Pigments has reported consistent profits over the last six quarters, highlighting its stable and reliable performance.
Technical Analysis :
From a technical perspective, NSE:PODDARMENT Poddar Pigments is trading above all major moving averages, signalling a bullish trend. The stock has achieved a significant 52-week breakout and is also breaking out of a box formed by the last 12 months’ consolidation zone. This breakout is supported by good volume strikes, indicating strong market interest. Moreover, Poddar Pigments demonstrates relatively higher strength than the Nifty index, with the RSI crossing above 60, further affirming its upward momentum.
Entry - CMP
Stop loss - 396.55
Potential upside - 643
GRINFRA is Sustaining @ 2 Years High Zone With Positive AttitudeOrder book as on 31st March 2024 is Rs 1,67,806 Mn
During the year, Company has transferred 7 operational HAM
assets to Bharat Highways InvIT
Subsequent to March 31, 2024, PCOD/ COD has been
received for below two projects
• Transmission system in Rajgarh - COD
• Galgalia-Bahadurganj (HAM) – PCOD
As on date Company has total 5 projects which are operational.
P ositive factors
• Significant growth in the scale of operations on a sustained basis with substantial segmental diversification in the revenue
stream while maintaining low leverage.
Key strengths
Transfer of assets to BHIT thereby enhancing its financial flexibility
GRIL has transferred 100% stake in seven operational NHAI assets to BHIT and received units worth ₹1,929 crore during Q4FY24
thus enhancing its financial flexibility. Following the transfer of operational assets to BHIT, GRIL retains four operational assets
in its portfolio, including one NHAI annuity project, one state HAM project, and the balance two NHAI HAM projects (one project
received PCOD during Q4FY24).
As indicated by the management, the InvIT units will have a lock-in period of one year from the
date of the allotment. GRIL has also entered into a right of first offer (ROFO) agreement with the InvIT, pursuant to which, GRIL
will grant a ROFO to InvIT, thus allowing the company to unlock its equity. Additionally, dividend income is also expected from
the InvIT.
Healthy outstanding order book position of the company
GRIL had a healthy outstanding order book position of ₹₹18,680 crore as on December 31, 2023, as against ₹19,529 crore as on
March 31, 2023, indicating revenue visibility of 2.29x of the FY23 TOI. The majority of these orders are with a price variation
clause, thereby shielding GRIL’s profitability from adverse movements in the prices to an extent. The order book is also
geographically diversified with presence in more than 11 states, with no state contributing to more than 25% of the order book.
Furthermore, GRIL has segmentally diversified its portfolio by venturing into new segments of ropeway, multi-modal logistics
park, hydro power project, transmission which is expected to reduce its dependence on the road sector.
The order inflow during current year i.e. FY24 has been slow due to lower awarding in road sector. Nevertheless, healthy order
book position provides revenue visibility over medium term.
Expected range-bound scale of operations in FY24 with stable profitability
GRIL’s scale of operations have shown a healthy growth over the last five years, despite COVID-19 related disruptions.
The TOI grew at a healthy CAGR of 13% over the last five years ended FY23 from ₹4,952 crore during FY19 to ₹8,149 crore during FY23,
led by strong execution capabilities. During FY23, the TOI remained stagnant over FY22 due to a low order intake and the pending
receipt of the appointed date of eight HAM projects. The TOI is expected to remain almost stagnant in FY24; however, it is
expected to witness minor de-growth in FY25 on Y-o-Y basis due to pending receipt of the appointed date in projects. secured in
FY23.
The surge in commodity prices and intense competition in the road sector led to minor moderations in the margins of GRIL,
in line with other industry players, during the last five years ended March 31, 2023. Nevertheless, the margins continued to remain
healthy at 16.12% for FY23.
However, the margins declined to 13.32% during 9MFY24 on account of lesser execution in Q2FY24
due to monsoon and pending receipt of appointed date in HAM projects. Correspondingly, during 9MFY24, GRIL reported TOI of
₹5,532 crore as against ₹6,153 crore during 9MFY23.
Info Edge (India) Ltd Showing Strong Up-Side MomentumStrong operating businesses
Strong Operating Cash generation year with a run- rate of c1000 Cr plus (pre Tax) annually and growing.
Negative working capital due to advance subscription fees (Rs 925 cr as on 31/12/23)
Asset-light business models
"Zero" Debt.
Well Defined approach towards Financial Investments
AIF structure for eventual and self-sustained independent financial investment business.
Partnered with reputed Sovereign Fund (Temasek Holdings).
AIF contribution commitment is currently pegged at ~USD 212.5m
Funds created with a term of 12-14 years.
Established Dividend payout track record.
Formal dividend policy of paying 25%-40% of standalone cash PAT.
Track record of consistent dividend payout for last 16 years. Paid 28% of cash PAT as dividend till date.
Info Edge is India’s premier online classified company with a portfolio of brands. It owns various brands in different fields like naukri.com (online recruitment), 99acres.com (online real estate), jeevansathi.com (online matrimonial) as well as shiksha.com (online education information services). It also acts as an investor and has invested in many start-ups in the online space and is actively growing its investment portfolio.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 55.9% CAGR over last 5 years
B2B revenues (as on date) comprise ~90% of overall Naukri revenue and includes:
Resume database access (Naukri & iimjobs)
Job Posting (response management)
Employer branding (visibility)
Application tracking tools (Zwayam)
eHire - Resume short listing and Walk-ins
Assessment services (Do-select)
■ B2C includes revenue from
Job seeker services
Career enhancement services (AmbitionBox, Coding Ninjas, Naukri Learning)
VCP in NITIRAJ ENGINEERS - 25% up move expected after breakout NITIRAJ is nearing its 52 week high with a dry up in volume on a daily time frame with a consolidation from the past 2 months
The company has a minimum 400% increase in EPS QoQ growth for the last 3 quarters.
Good for swing traders. Can expect an upward momentum of a min of 25%.
Entry - INR 180(Trade Initiated)
SL - (MA 50) - 5%
TSL - According to your risk profile.
Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information provided is not intended as financial advice. It is imperative to conduct thorough research before making any investment or trading decisions.
The power of a stop-lossJackson Financial offers retirement planning and annuity products, helping clients protect their retirement savings and income
After an attempt back in 2022, I got stopped out and took a small loss
If I hadn't taken that loss I would have had dead money for almost 2 years!
Right now, NYSE:JXN is breaking out of a 9-week base after a weekly outside bar, so this is the buy
Always trade with stops.
Divergence with 52wk Highs signaling a bottomLast Friday was counted as a follow through day, but that could be easily erased. More now with what happened this weekend in Israel.
The follow through day is a good leading signal and the 52wk Highs is a more complete one as is giving hints about the health of the whole market.
Still the 52wk Lows is still above, lets wait for confirmation.
SPY - Roadmap Update | Shorts are tired | Big Bounce soon 🚀 🔮AMEX:SPY SP:SPX CAPITALCOM:US500 CME_MINI:ES1!
All downside targets met. Now it is time to see some upside action imo 📈
It was a fun ride down from the top. Almost down -10% in 2 months. Shorts are looking tired down here, and no interest in shorting now as long as the bulls are protecting the lows. Expecting a big bounce soon to fill the gap above.