HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT DE10 is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the Seller from this area will be defend this SHORT position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong SELLER will be push down the market again..
DOWNTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for...
📌 A Pullback for Chinese Yields
This illustrates the notion of development in a change in trend for China's sovereign bond market . Sellers avoided a breakout and are aiming to test 3.00%.
On the fundamental side , China is outperforming as expectations are skewed towards favouring their management of the virus and recognisable weakness of the West!...
The bond market can be quite tricky.
In terms of yield curves consider the following:
Bear steepening
Bull Steepening
Bear Flattening
Bull Flattening
> Steepening (the premium for longer debt is growing)
> Flattening (the premium is shrinking)
For example, bull steepening, which is exactly what we have been doing this since the start of this...
📌 ridethepig | Rate Differentials Pausing via Italian Politics
An important chart update here as we are talking "differentials" in the abstract concept of waves and TA.
We must first take notes of the previous leg which was the 1st wave and far from easy to spot, in the early game of rate differential turns, it takes a lot of energy to exploit one side the...
After one of the most unexpected years, I thought I should take a step back and look at macroeconomics a little bit, at one specific chart that I've been watching. That is the German Government 10-Year Bond Yield (DE10Y). I've been anticipating a signal in that chart that will indicate massive shift in global market trends and will bring us closer to the next...
📍 A quick update here on the elements of EUR and USD
Ending the 'C' part in the swing down has been a hard struggle and with such a problem a surprising retreat is expected. Buyers are threatening to bottle up their opponent.
A pullback in EURUSD towards 1.15/1.14 will make things a lot easier:
Inflation is demanding a return, after sufficient...
The positional strength in Bunds was just too strong to contain, the rest is obvious.
Now play the topside, retraces into buyers jurisdictions at -0.35 and -0.50 will attract a lot of selling interest in bunds (hence pushing yields up) and triggering the capitulation. We are still set for an emphasis of consolidation across Global Equities, this is still all...
German yields seem to be tracing intermediate wave 3 down of primary wave 5. Yields should decrease below -0.91. If the level at -0.14 is touched, this scenario should be void as primary wave 5 down may have already been completed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
I will try to keep this one relatively short, a very important update to the German 10-year benchmark yield. This is one to track as it is coming after a fresh attempt of a breakdown in EURUSD for the NY open. Here we can see important macro forces in play with extreme risk on the radar via Coronavirus with large sharks being forced to reposition and rebalance...
On the other side of the Atlantic, a timely update to Bund yields with interest rate traders starting to position for 2020. The better prints from Germany are in the spotlight and this increase in interest is accentuated by the next fortnight of data deprivation. Here I am looking for DE10Y to re-test -0.234 next week. EUR$ remains in play to the topside with all...
A rather quick update here as markets find a floor rate differentials as widely anticipated. It is no surprises for those following the chart previously:
For the technicals, those with a background in waves will know this is a textbook example of an ABC correction after a 5 wave sequence;
Things are a lot clearer in the FX board as we begin the flows in...
Forecast: I am expecting Bund to continue its uptrend going forward next 2 weeks. Currently, this week weekly candle close as an inside bar, suggesting consolidation period. Bund will either expand this coming week or next week.
First: Expansion next week, How to get in?
Trade entry: Long the Daily demand zone, with stop below
Confirmation: Reclaim last week...
DE10Y vs BAS.DE : BASF stock price tends to lead German 10 year yields. Currently, BASF signals a rate spike is in the cards followed by another low in DE10Y
Here we are tracking the completion? of an ABC sequence. This should attract buying interest in usual circumstances however alarm bells are ringing after the ECB could only go one month with the tap turned off.
Tracking these lows very carefully over the coming days with risk from Brexit, Meuller and Turkey around the corner.
All the best.
Increased spread between Germany 10-year bond yield vs Japan 10-year yield could indicate a slide in the Euro against the Yen. Even though the yield is higher for European bund, the risk appetite is declining, while the global economy is projected to have a slow growth rate through out 2019. This means that investors seek safe heaven assets like the Yen and JP10...
