Gasoline (RBOB1!) is staging a short-term rebound towards the top of the (dotted) Channel Up ahead of a 1D Golden Cross. The 18-month pattern is a Channel Down and last time we saw those technical dynamics was during the previous Bullish Wave/ Channel Up that peaked on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (April 12 2023) exactly on the Golden Cross and then corrected...
HO1! vs RB1! has become deviated too high compared to the historical norm. Look for the pullback to the 0.95 area. If you don't know how to do pairs trading, especially with commodities, don't do it.
Gasoline (RB1!) has had a strong 3-day rise last week but that is still contained within the bearish barriers of a Channel Down. However during this whole pattern, the 1D RSI has been developing a Channel Up, hence a Bullish Divergence for the price.
As a result, we will look to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for a break-out signal and if the price closes a 1D...
Americans could breathe a sigh of relief with gas prices set to be more affordable this year.
US gas prices hit their highest 52 Weeks in August and September ahead of Labor Day, with the national average standing at $3.82 a gallon FRED:GASREGW , per AAA Gas Prices .
Gasoline prices hit summertime levels in over a decade even as the driving season comes to a...
Ever dreamt of being an oil refiner? Fret not. You can operate a virtual refinery using a combination of energy derivatives that replicates oil refiner returns.
Crude oil is the world’s most traded commodity. Oil consumption fuels the global economy. Crude is refined into gasoline and distillates.
Refining is the process of cracking crude into its usable...
Gasoline (RB1!) is on a minor pull-back on the 1D chart, below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The 1D RSI has been rebounding since the October 05 oversold bottom, something that has done the exact same way the previous two times on May 04 2023 and December 08 2022. Both of those fractals have (so far) similar structure...
Gasoline is on a neutral 1D technical setting (RSI = 51.588, MACD = -0.026, ADX = 46.131) as it only crossed over the 1D MA50 on Monday. That was after a 3 week consolidation between the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA200, which held and kept the price over the bottom of the long term Channel Up.
We consider this breakout as the final confirmation of the new rally to the...
Good morning,
I have traded this for the last 15 years, I am 14-1 on this trade, has a high probability of success. Time Frame is 8/2-8/19. The initial "crash and return to mean" is due to the seasonal demand consequence of the market. Low margin req, calender spreads would be a good option, I will let you figure out the set up as I can't give everything away....
Gasoline futures have dropped to a five-week low of $2.6 per gallon, primarily due to an unexpected increase in inventory and a decline in demand. Recent data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a decrease in gas demand from 8.936 million to 8.519 million b/d last week. Moreover, the total domestic gasoline stock has increased by 1.3 million...
HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT RB1! is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this LONG position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again..
UP TREND + Resistance from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for...
The DXY normalization is far too good. Make good use of it, and make improvements on it, as you must. The accuracy, in even such long timeframes, is incredible. For the retracements, the magnet tool was used, and the retracement is in fib scale. Therefore nothing was placed by chance.
Also look at the short-term accuracy.
Look at the standard SPGSCI. It is...
As someone who works in industry with large consumption of diesel fuel, we are very concerned and interested in fuel.
This past few weeks while gasoline is dropping, diesel fuel is in a price similar to the beginning of Ukraine war. So when will prices go back to "normal"?
As you can see in the included image, relative price between gasoline and diesel is very...
RB1! by itself doesn't like to follow retracements. That is because it is not normalized with dollar strength. After all, gasoline consumption is highly affected by the strength of the average salary.
Also take a look at where we landed. Crude and its products show strength during the last weeks. The point we are testing is not a random point, as the standard RB1!...
I have stated in previous ideas that stonks vs commodities are gonna lose big time. And this is more clearly observed comparing the main indices with something of value (like silver) to compare this century with the last one. Silver is used because gold used to have a relationship with USD.
Now we normalize RB1! by multiplying it with DXY. This calculates the...
Gasoline (RB1!) has been rising since the March 2020 bottom on a straight Channel until late February 2022 where war and inflation worries turned it parabolic as illustrated by the use of the Fibonacci Channel extensions. Following the June 06 market top, a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern was formed that hit (and so far rebounded on) the 1D MA200 (orange...
"Gasoline... breakfast of champions" - Joe Dirt
Consistent with our view of #Oil, gasoline shows us a beautiful bear wedge.
Are we all just expected to pay $4.50+ / gal of gasoline? This seems like a tall ask for the American consumer, considering prices are significantly elevated across most of the American ( & global ) economy.
Emerging markets getting beat...
Gasoline (RB1!) has been supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since January 2022 and after the most recent contact with the trend-line (April 07 2022), it has been on a strong rise.
This shouldn't surprise us as the 1D RSI has been printing the same pattern as the March - June 2021 period, when Gasoline formed a Channel Up supported by the 1D MA50. This...
