The multi-year base in Coffee, if this is a correct chart diagnosis, could send Coffee into the troposphere. Seldom have we seen "life-of-contract" multi year bases, but this could be one
Expecting bearishness for coffee the next weeks because of the seasonality, and market structure of the coffee futures chart
Seasonal tendencies are working against this, paired with U$D pressures as those continue to build. Beyond that, world production is in steady decline with visible crisis levels looming on the horizon (within a decade). This is mostly due to radically increased UV levels in coffee growing regions, paired with a rapidly declining global work force.
Sure, it is winter in the northern hemisphere so why even bother with the grains at all? ... ... Because cheap Ukrainian wheat had absolutely flooded European markets, so much so that very soon they will have to start dumping some of it into the ocean! (Right now, they are trying to air out these mountains of grain, so it wouldn't mold, but that will go only so...
Who sells wheat everyday? It’s the price-reducing wheat bears who want to provide us all with a cheap basic supply of food. "Affordable wheat for all," chant they, offering reduced-price bushels of wheat to anyone who comes their way. At the moment, they are not to be restrained in their sell-off ecstasy, however, we already see the low of the blue wave (v) lying...
Commodity: Cotton Cash Contract Introduction: Hello everyone! Today, we'll be analyzing the Cotton Cash Contract on the daily scale traded on Pepperstone. After a clear downward trend, the contract seems to have entered a consolidation phase, possibly forming a rectangle pattern. Analysis: The rectangle pattern we're observing has been forming for around...
View On Wheat(16 May 2023) Wheat is in * Uptrend in short term (Intraweek) * Uptrend in Mid term (Intramonth) * Downtrend in Long term (Last 3 months) We had a strong wake up call yesterday and it ends with bullish tones. Now $640 region is acting as strong support and it can rise higher for now. We shall see $700 region soon. Let's see. DYODD, all the...
Im short on macro time on SUGAR, just look at this chart...more timefrime means more accuracy so this is looking overbought so, i think the next step will be a distribution and after a corection
CBOT: Soybean ( CBOT:ZS1! ), Soybean Meal ( CBOT:ZM1! ), Soybean Oil ( CBOT:ZL1! ) This is the second installment on CBOT Soybean Complex. If you have not read the first piece, please click the link at the end of this idea. Let’s start with a discussion of two reports followed by soybean market participants. The Crop Report U.S. Department of Agriculture...
Price has confirmed an Uptrend after violating a Monthly Supply and now is reacting to a Quarterly Demand which should take around a years time to achieve the benchmark of 4:1, the exit is tricky and if not exited @ given target profits may decline rapidly. This trade will help u increase your savings, as its gonna take a years time due to Price coming from a...
Opinion: The recent escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, following the assassination attempt on the Russian president, has raised concerns about the potential impact on global wheat prices. This situation becomes even more significant if Russia decides to withdraw from its agreements with Ukraine. As major players in the global wheat market, Russia and...
Green shade on the jupiter pendulum at key levels Look for buyers to step in here and for the blue confirmation candle
SUGAR RAWUSD Bearish trend forming for Sugar Commodity We are seeing a Elliot 5 pattern way theory occurring as well on the 2-3 hour charts. But most importantly sugar is spiraling down towards a major support level. Clearly the uptrend has broken it's trend line with a fake cat bounce/retest making it definite the reversal has occurred. FIB LEVELS also...
Possible top in the making from here with 12.25 as the first downside target
Massive extremes on the PMARP. being a bit pre-emptive on this short since theres been no confirmation, only slowing momentum on the short timeframes. Large speculators are the most long sugar since august 2021, so its getting pretty crowded. Similair fundamentals to this as coffee, only more extreme on the COT side.
Please use the position tool to guide your entry and/or exit into the position. I will update the idea whenever necessary. Look forward to more profitable trading signals. Happy trading: You're welcome!
ICEUS:CT1! Cotton! Bless ya cotton socks, they say! I been checking the commodity index and things may get funky... Now I went through sugar, that's looking like it's little over extended, now here's a beautiful chart of cotton! Let's dive into technicals: Pattern: Wedge Highs: 90.15 Lows: 72 Now if we break the lows of 72, I expect 67.55 and then 62.25...
Commodities Are Best Traded with Trend Following Delivering a comprehensive service of trading systems, risk management strategies and psychological guidelines allows our customers to trade in less than thirty minutes per day. Arabica coffee futures in the US traded around HKEX:194 per pound after hitting an over 6-month high of HKEX:205 on April 18th, on...