AMD | Rejected From The Flip Zone, Liquidity Below
By analyzing the #AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see a trend that has changed hands. What was a clean uptrend has now produced a structural shift, price has been rejected from the level that mattered most, and the liquidity beneath is unusually well defined.
4H Timeframe
The 4H spent months in a genuine uptrend. Price printed bullish BOS repeatedly, each break confirming that buyers were taking out the highs above them and holding the ground afterward. That sequence is what built the advance.
It ended with two events in quick succession. Price printed a bearish MSS — the first formal signal that the structure had shifted — and confirmed it shortly after with a bearish BOS . Once both are on the chart, the burden of proof moves onto the buyers rather than the sellers.
The Protected High at $561.97 was left behind by that shift, and it now stands as the level defining the larger structure.
What followed is the part that matters most. Price rallied back up into the Flip zone ($518.49 – $547.99) — the region that had previously supported price and now sits above it as resistance — and it has been rejected from there. Price is currently trading around $485.77 , back beneath the zone that turned it away.
Below price, the map is clean. The first objective is the Weak low at $423.77 . It is described as weak for a reason: it is a low that has not been defended, which makes the stops resting beneath it an obvious pool for the market to reach for. Below that sits the FVG ($359.59 – $402.03) , the internal liquidity and the imbalance left unfilled on the way up.
The Bias
Scenario A — the base case.
The structure suggests continuation lower. The trend has shifted on both counts, the rally into the Flip zone was rejected rather than absorbed, and there is unmitigated liquidity below with nothing structural in between.
The first draw is the Weak low at $423.77 . A low that has not been defended tends to be taken rather than held, and that is where the nearest pool of stops sits.
Beneath it, the FVG at $359.59 – $402.03 is the deeper objective. That imbalance represents internal liquidity that was never filled during the advance, and markets have a persistent habit of returning to rebalance regions like it once the structure turns.
As long as price remains capped beneath the Flip zone at $518.49 – $547.99 , rallies into that region are corrective moves within a shifted structure rather than the beginning of a recovery.
Scenario B — the invalidation.
I will name it plainly. A decisive close back above the Flip zone at $547.99 would mean the zone has been reclaimed rather than respected, and the bearish sequence loses its foundation.
The full structural invalidation sits at the Protected High at $561.97 . A close above that level would repair everything the MSS and BOS broke and hand control back to the buyers entirely.
And the rule that governs both paths: a break is a candle close, not a wick . A flip zone is precisely where the market prints a spike through and reverses, in either direction.
Fundamental Backdrop
This is a case where the fundamentals and the price action appear to contradict each other, and the contradiction is the point.
AMD reported Q2 on results that were, on their own terms, excellent. Revenue came in at $11.54bn, up 50% year-on-year and a company record, ahead of consensus near $11.25bn. Adjusted earnings of $1.66 per share beat the $1.60 expected. The standout was the Data Center segment, where revenue reached $6.7bn and more than doubled, rising 107% year-on-year on demand for EPYC processors and Instinct GPUs. That segment alone now accounts for 58% of total company revenue .
The product and partnership news was equally strong. AMD launched the Instinct MI400 Series , including the MI455X for large-scale AI training and inference and the MI430X for HPC and sovereign AI workloads. It also announced a strategic partnership with Anthropic to deploy up to 2 gigawatts of MI450 Series GPUs in AMD Helios racks, alongside an expanded collaboration with Microsoft to deploy Helios racks at scale on Azure.
And the stock fell after hours anyway.
That is the whole story of this chart. When a company beats on revenue, beats on earnings, doubles its most important segment, launches a competitive product line and lands two major AI partnerships — and the market still sells it — the problem is not the business. It is the expectations already embedded in the price. AMD had run to a level where a strong quarter was the minimum required rather than a positive surprise, and there was very little room left for anything short of perfection.
That is the honest bear case, and it is what the MSS and the Flip zone rejection are pricing: a valuation reset rather than a deterioration in fundamentals.
The counterweight deserves stating just as clearly. A business growing data centre revenue at 107% with a newly launched product family and committed capacity partnerships is not a structurally weakening company. If the correction reaches the deeper liquidity below, the fundamental picture is the reason that region would be defended rather than broken through. The next earnings update is where those two forces meet.
This analysis will be updated as the market evolves.
Best Regards, BigBeluga 
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AMD: Is It Time to Dip Another Chip?Good afternoon, Traders.
A couple of months ago, I wrote a post on NVIDIA called "Dip That Chip." At the time, a lot of people thought I had lost my mind. NVIDIA was running, the headlines were bullish, and everybody wanted to know how much higher it could go.
The chart, however, had a different opinion. See the full post here:
Fast forward a couple of months...and that "chip" dipped almost exactly the way the structure suggested it would. Now I'm looking at AMD, and I'm getting a serious case of déjà vu.
AMD reported earnings this week, and judging from the initial pump going into the report, you'd think the market had been given permission to keep climbing forever. BUT...one of the biggest lessons I like to teach my students is that good earnings don't cancel out bad structure. Sometimes they simply provide the fuel for the needed fake-out.
If you back up and ignore all the excitement for just a minute, the Daily chart has been telling this story for a couple of weeks. On July 16, AMD produced a Daily Break of Structure DOWN. That immediately shifted my expectations. Once a market breaks structure, I stop asking, "How high can it go?" and start asking, "Where is the market most likely trying to rebalance?"
From there, the playbook was the same one we've watched over and over. The market broke structure, rallied back into the Daily BOS Supply Source, got rejected, sold down into the Daily Demand Source, and then...right when everyone was excited about earnings AMD got the push it needed to rally right back into that broken Daily Demand Zone. Structurally, that doesn't automatically look bullish to me. It looks much more like a Return to the Retest this structure. This is the same type of institutional retest I've posted about numerous times on NASDAQ, Apple, Eli Lilly, SOFI, BTC, XRP, and several other charts recently.
Also, notice something that most traders completely overlook. When price first pushed down, it didn't just test my Daily Demand Source...it actually CLOSED below it. To me, that's a HUGE clue that institutions may not be finished down there yet. Markets don't usually violate an area like that and then simply pretend it never happened. Something is up with that!
Shifting to look at the weekly chart makes the story even more interesting. The Weekly trend is insanely bullish and we have not produced a Weekly Break of Structure. But look where the last meaningful Weekly Demand Zone I have marked is sitting...roughly $185 - $205. That's nearly 60% below current price of $518. Now, am I saying AMD is going to fall all the way back there? No...that's not what I'm saying (At least not yet).
What I am saying is that markets don't comfortably continue running like this while leaving their last Weekly Demand Zone sitting so far away. Something in the Structure HAS to change. Either price needs to continue working back toward institutional demand around $450-$480, and ideally into that unsatisfied Daily Fair Value Gap around $340-$360, OR...buyers need to quickly prove me wrong by pushing AMD to fresh All-Time Highs and creating an entirely new Weekly Demand Zone. Right now...the former seems much more likely.
This rubber band has been stretching...and stretching...and stretching. You can keep pulling it if you want, but sooner or later that SNAP is going to remind you why that wasn't such a good idea. Markets behave the same way. When price becomes this extended, it's not usually asking for another rally. It's asking for a rebalance.
That's why I think the Daily and Weekly charts are telling the same story. The Daily gave us the structural warning. The Weekly explains why that warning matters.
So while everyone else is asking how far AMD's "good earnings report" can push it, I'm asking a much simpler question: Has anything about the structure actually changed? I don't think it has. Unless buyers can amazingly reclaim this broken Daily structure with conviction, I still believe the larger objective remains lower.
From my viewpoint, this is just another case where earnings become one more piece of a story the market had already started writing weeks earlier.
After all, chips are made for dipping, right? We'll let the structure answer that question.
Trade what you SEE...
Not what you THINK.
Follow me here at @AkeelahTraders and leave me your comments. I'd love to hear your thoughts! Short 
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AMD | Post-Earnings Dynamics, AI Cycle MomentumAMD Institutional Roadmap, Post-Earnings Liquidity Dynamics, Structural Absorption, and AI Cycle Momentum
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) continues to operate as a high-beta proxy for the global AI and data center capital expenditure cycle. The 1-hour chart presented above reveals a textbook post-earnings institutional markup phase, followed by a controlled corrective digestion.
This analysis breaks down macro drivers, liquidity conditions, order flow mechanics, and key invalidation levels shaping AMD’s current structure.
1. Macro Regime & Semiconductor Cycle Context
We are currently operating in an environment where global liquidity conditions remain highly sensitive to macroeconomic data, yet capital allocation aggressively favors AI infrastructure. High-beta tech equities like AMD and NVDA are not just trading on isolated fundamentals, they are primary vehicles for institutional exposure to hyperscaler CapEx (Capital Expenditure).
The AI Demand Cycle, The earnings gap-up marked on the chart (indicated by the 'E' icon) validates that data center revenue and GPU demand are still in an expansionary phase.
Risk Sentiment, Broad market liquidity remains supportive of elevated multiples, provided real yields remain stable. When the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) catches a bid, AMD historically outpaces the index on a beta-adjusted basis.
Educational Note, High-Beta means a stock that amplifies market moves. AMD typically rises more than the S&P 500 on bullish days, but falls harder on bearish days.
2. Market Structure & Liquidity Conditions
The structure on the 1-hour chart is defined by a massive impulsive gap followed by a steady upward expansion inside a green ascending channel. Currently, price is consolidating within a descending parallel channel (red, pink structure).
The Mark-Up Phase, The post-earnings rally to ~$470 was driven by structural short covering and algorithmic trend-following. This left behind significant volume voids below.
The Corrective Phase, The descending channel is a healthy digestion of the impulsive move, not necessarily a reversal. It functions as a localized liquidity sweep mechanism.
Key Institutional Zones,
Momentum Following Zone (~$430), First major interaction area after the gap, where missed institutional buyers may re-enter.
Possible Support with POC (~$412), Point of Control represents the highest traded volume zone during initial consolidation.
Possible Support with VAL (~$405), Value Area Low marks the lower boundary of accepted institutional pricing before breakout.
Educational Note, POC is the price where most trading occurred, acting like a gravity center. VAL defines the lower edge of the main volume acceptance range.
3. Order Flow & Footprint Behavior
Although we do not see raw footprint data, price behavior inside the descending channel provides strong order flow clues.
Effort vs Result, Price is drifting lower in a choppy manner rather than collapsing. This indicates passive buyer absorption. Sellers are aggressive, but limit buyers are absorbing supply, preventing expansion lower.
Failed Auctions, Wicks at both channel extremes suggest stop hunts. Institutions often push price to trigger retail stops before reversing direction.
Educational Note, Passive Absorption is when large limit buy orders absorb aggressive sell pressure, preventing price from falling despite heavy selling.
4. Correlated Assets & Intermarket Logic
AMD does not trade in isolation.
NVDA Relative Strength, If NVDA breaks its own support while AMD tests its trendline, downside probability increases.
SOXX / Nasdaq 100, Continued inflows into semiconductor index ETFs provide macro tailwind for AMD breakout scenarios.
5. Institutional Interpretation
Current price (~$446.74) sits at a decision zone.
Bullish Thesis, The green trendline is being defended. If institutions support it, we expect a breakout above the red channel, trapping shorts and targeting $470 highs.
Deeper Value Thesis, If the trendline breaks, institutions may treat it as a liquidity sweep. Primary reload zones remain $430 and $412, where aggressive buying could re-emerge.
6. Key Invalidation Levels
Trend Invalidation, A sustained close and acceptance below VAL (~$405) breaks the bullish structure. This would imply post-earnings distribution rather than accumulation, opening downside toward $350–$360 gap fill region.
Continuation Confirmation, A 1H close above the red descending channel with expanding volume confirms continuation of the primary bullish trend.
7. Upcoming Macro Catalysts
Key drivers include inflation prints (CPI, PPI), which directly influence discount rates and tech valuations.
Additionally, hyperscaler CapEx updates from MSFT, GOOGL, META will directly impact AMD demand expectations.
Conclusion
AMD is positioned at a critical nexus between momentum and value. The post-earnings structure reflects controlled absorption rather than panic distribution. While the green trendline provides short-term support, true institutional demand zones remain lower at $430 and $412. Traders should wait for confirmation via volume expansion and order flow alignment before committing to directional bias. Long 
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AMD Under Watch ⇌ Sellers Strengthening at Major Supply Zones🔥📉 AMD “ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.” – Bearish Profit Playbook | Thief Layers Deployed 🚨
Hey traders! 😎🔍
Here’s my bearish swing/day-trade playbook on AMD, crafted with a fun + professional thief-style twist while staying within TradingView rules. Let’s break it down 👇💼
📉 Plan: Bearish Outlook Active
Price action remains heavy, momentum cooling off, and sellers showing presence near key zones.
Thief Squad preparing for controlled entries 😎🧤.
🎯 Entry Plan (Thief Layering Strategy)
This setup uses a layered limit-style approach — also known as multiple staggered entries to smooth positions.
📌 Proposed Sell-Limit Layers:
230
220
210
(You can extend layers based on your own system — thief flexibility ALWAYS 😎)
⚠️ Note: These are example layers for illustration, not fixed instructions. Adjust based on your own risk model.
🛑 Stop-Loss (Thief Safety Net)
SL Zone: 240
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) 💼🕶️
This SL is simply my reference point — NOT a rule.
You decide your own SL based on your risk appetite, not mine.
Make money? Then take money… at your OWN risk 💰😄.
🎯 Target Zone
Price has a strong support cluster aligning with:
Moving Averaging acting as dynamic support
Oversold zone building
Trap mechanics likely
So the quick escape target is:
👉 TP: 180
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) 💼😄
My TP is not mandatory — adjust yours as you wish.
Take your profits and leave before the “police” catches our position 🚓💨😆.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insights)
These assets often move with similar sentiment due to tech-sector correlation, semiconductor supply chain, and risk-on/off flows:
💻 NVDA (NVIDIA)
Strong semiconductor leader — AMD often shadows NVDA’s volatility and sector direction.
📱 QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF)
AMD is inside the NASDAQ index. When QQQ sells off, AMD typically follows the broader tech flow.
🌐 SMH (Semiconductor ETF)
Tracks the entire chip sector. Helps understand overall industry strength or weakness.
⚡ TSLA (Tesla)
Not directly connected, but both ride similar high-beta risk cycles. Weak tech sentiment can drag TSLA and AMD simultaneously.
Watching these helps confirm momentum, risk appetite, and sector-wide signals 📊🔍.
🧠 Additional Notes
This setup is for educational, fun, strategy-style illustration purposes.
NOT forcing a fixed entry, SL, or TP on anyone.
Trade smart. Manage risk. Thief style = creativity + discipline ✨😎
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Short 
Breaking; Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) Is Up 7%The price of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) spike 7% in early market trading on Thursday as the stock broke from a bullish flag pattern.
In another news that served as a catalyst, AMD, Cisco and HUMAIN to invest in a joint venture and serve as its exclusive technology partners, deepening their multi-year strategic collaboration announced in May during U.S. President Donald J. Trump's visit to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
The joint venture plans to deploy up to 1 GW of AI infrastructure by 2030, with the shared ambition to expand capacity to multiple gigawatts, as a key pillar of HUMAIN's overall ambitions.
With the RSI at 44, the stock is more than able to break through highs and claim the $300 resistance.
Financial Performance
In 2024, Advanced Micro Devices's revenue was $25.79 billion, an increase of 13.69% compared to the previous year's $22.68 billion. Earnings were $1.64 billion, an increase of 92.15%.
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, x86 microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products. Long 
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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) Gearing For A BreakoutThe share price of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMD ) is setting sail for a 50% breakout albeit market condition is overbought.
Sitting with an RSI of 73, Advance Micro Devices (AMD) shows continuous bullish momentum with the daily price chart indicating a golden cross pattern- this is an interception between the 50day-MA and the 200-day MA indicating bullish momentum building.
In another news, - Advance Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) today announced the completion of the agreement to divest the ZT Systems U.S.-headquartered data center infrastructure manufacturing business to Sanmina (NASDAQ: SANM).
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, x86 microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products, microprocessor and SoC development services and technology. Long 
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