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Amdshort

Advanced Micro Devices—AMD Overbought Bearish Conditions PersistThe AMD (Advanced Micro Devices Inc) stock continues to be overbought based on multiple conditions. This overbought status opens up very strong bearish potential and is duplicated not only on the RSI but on other indicators as well. AMD is overbought based on the chart structure (the candles) and classic oscillators; MACD, RSI & STOCH. October 2025 saw the start of a prolonged correction after a strong advance with a rising window, conditions almost identical to what we are witnessing now. The Stochastic had also the same reading. The RSI peak happened in April. The latest news induced move couldn't push the stock above the previous high nor above the October 2025 high, increasing the strength of this oscillator as a bearish signal. Nothing good happens when the MACD becomes like this. While there isn't a bearish signal here, a bearish chart setup develops when growth potential becomes limited. Trading volume failed to exceed previous moves even while the stock trades at new all-time highs. Rather than predicting a major drop, I can say this stock has limited room for additional growth. For this reason, the correct move based on this chart setup is to go short. Buy at the bottom, sell at the top. Namaste.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by MasterAnanda
4
AMD | Post-Earnings Dynamics, AI Cycle MomentumAMD Institutional Roadmap, Post-Earnings Liquidity Dynamics, Structural Absorption, and AI Cycle Momentum Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) continues to operate as a high-beta proxy for the global AI and data center capital expenditure cycle. The 1-hour chart presented above reveals a textbook post-earnings institutional markup phase, followed by a controlled corrective digestion. This analysis breaks down macro drivers, liquidity conditions, order flow mechanics, and key invalidation levels shaping AMD’s current structure. 1. Macro Regime & Semiconductor Cycle Context We are currently operating in an environment where global liquidity conditions remain highly sensitive to macroeconomic data, yet capital allocation aggressively favors AI infrastructure. High-beta tech equities like AMD and NVDA are not just trading on isolated fundamentals, they are primary vehicles for institutional exposure to hyperscaler CapEx (Capital Expenditure). The AI Demand Cycle, The earnings gap-up marked on the chart (indicated by the 'E' icon) validates that data center revenue and GPU demand are still in an expansionary phase. Risk Sentiment, Broad market liquidity remains supportive of elevated multiples, provided real yields remain stable. When the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) catches a bid, AMD historically outpaces the index on a beta-adjusted basis. Educational Note, High-Beta means a stock that amplifies market moves. AMD typically rises more than the S&P 500 on bullish days, but falls harder on bearish days. 2. Market Structure & Liquidity Conditions The structure on the 1-hour chart is defined by a massive impulsive gap followed by a steady upward expansion inside a green ascending channel. Currently, price is consolidating within a descending parallel channel (red, pink structure). The Mark-Up Phase, The post-earnings rally to ~$470 was driven by structural short covering and algorithmic trend-following. This left behind significant volume voids below. The Corrective Phase, The descending channel is a healthy digestion of the impulsive move, not necessarily a reversal. It functions as a localized liquidity sweep mechanism. Key Institutional Zones, Momentum Following Zone (~$430), First major interaction area after the gap, where missed institutional buyers may re-enter. Possible Support with POC (~$412), Point of Control represents the highest traded volume zone during initial consolidation. Possible Support with VAL (~$405), Value Area Low marks the lower boundary of accepted institutional pricing before breakout. Educational Note, POC is the price where most trading occurred, acting like a gravity center. VAL defines the lower edge of the main volume acceptance range. 3. Order Flow & Footprint Behavior Although we do not see raw footprint data, price behavior inside the descending channel provides strong order flow clues. Effort vs Result, Price is drifting lower in a choppy manner rather than collapsing. This indicates passive buyer absorption. Sellers are aggressive, but limit buyers are absorbing supply, preventing expansion lower. Failed Auctions, Wicks at both channel extremes suggest stop hunts. Institutions often push price to trigger retail stops before reversing direction. Educational Note, Passive Absorption is when large limit buy orders absorb aggressive sell pressure, preventing price from falling despite heavy selling. 4. Correlated Assets & Intermarket Logic AMD does not trade in isolation. NVDA Relative Strength, If NVDA breaks its own support while AMD tests its trendline, downside probability increases. SOXX / Nasdaq 100, Continued inflows into semiconductor index ETFs provide macro tailwind for AMD breakout scenarios. 5. Institutional Interpretation Current price (~$446.74) sits at a decision zone. Bullish Thesis, The green trendline is being defended. If institutions support it, we expect a breakout above the red channel, trapping shorts and targeting $470 highs. Deeper Value Thesis, If the trendline breaks, institutions may treat it as a liquidity sweep. Primary reload zones remain $430 and $412, where aggressive buying could re-emerge. 6. Key Invalidation Levels Trend Invalidation, A sustained close and acceptance below VAL (~$405) breaks the bullish structure. This would imply post-earnings distribution rather than accumulation, opening downside toward $350–$360 gap fill region. Continuation Confirmation, A 1H close above the red descending channel with expanding volume confirms continuation of the primary bullish trend. 7. Upcoming Macro Catalysts Key drivers include inflation prints (CPI, PPI), which directly influence discount rates and tech valuations. Additionally, hyperscaler CapEx updates from MSFT, GOOGL, META will directly impact AMD demand expectations. Conclusion AMD is positioned at a critical nexus between momentum and value. The post-earnings structure reflects controlled absorption rather than panic distribution. While the green trendline provides short-term support, true institutional demand zones remain lower at $430 and $412. Traders should wait for confirmation via volume expansion and order flow alignment before committing to directional bias.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by UmutTrades
Amd - This correction is not over yet!🤬Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) can still drop another -30%: 🔎Analysis summary: 2025 has been an incredible - yet expected - year for Amd. And now, Amd is literally just perfectly rejecting the overall resistance trendline. Looking at higher timeframe structure, Amd is still not done with the drop and can correct another -20% to -30% soon. 📝Levels to watch: $175 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by TheTraderPhil
33
Amd - This stock is just crashing!🎯Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is clearly heading lower: 🔎Analysis summary: After we witnessed a major bullish break and retest in April of 2025, Amd rallied about +150%. But with the recent rejection at the major resistance trendline, Amd is now reversing. Following this bearish market structure, Amd can still correct about -25%. 📝Levels to watch: $150 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by TheTraderPhil
19
Amd - Here comes the massive reversal!🩻Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is starting to reverse: 🔎Analysis summary: Starting back in mid 2025, Amd retested a major confluence of support and rallied about +200%. All of this was expected and the rally ended with a retest of a significant trendline. Eventually, after some back and forth, Amd will then create a short term retracement. 📝Levels to watch: $250 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by TheTraderPhil
15
AMD Under Watch ⇌ Sellers Strengthening at Major Supply Zones🔥📉 AMD “ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.” – Bearish Profit Playbook | Thief Layers Deployed 🚨 Hey traders! 😎🔍 Here’s my bearish swing/day-trade playbook on AMD, crafted with a fun + professional thief-style twist while staying within TradingView rules. Let’s break it down 👇💼 📉 Plan: Bearish Outlook Active Price action remains heavy, momentum cooling off, and sellers showing presence near key zones. Thief Squad preparing for controlled entries 😎🧤. 🎯 Entry Plan (Thief Layering Strategy) This setup uses a layered limit-style approach — also known as multiple staggered entries to smooth positions. 📌 Proposed Sell-Limit Layers: 230 220 210 (You can extend layers based on your own system — thief flexibility ALWAYS 😎) ⚠️ Note: These are example layers for illustration, not fixed instructions. Adjust based on your own risk model. 🛑 Stop-Loss (Thief Safety Net) SL Zone: 240 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) 💼🕶️ This SL is simply my reference point — NOT a rule. You decide your own SL based on your risk appetite, not mine. Make money? Then take money… at your OWN risk 💰😄. 🎯 Target Zone Price has a strong support cluster aligning with: Moving Averaging acting as dynamic support Oversold zone building Trap mechanics likely So the quick escape target is: 👉 TP: 180 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) 💼😄 My TP is not mandatory — adjust yours as you wish. Take your profits and leave before the “police” catches our position 🚓💨😆. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insights) These assets often move with similar sentiment due to tech-sector correlation, semiconductor supply chain, and risk-on/off flows: 💻 NVDA (NVIDIA) Strong semiconductor leader — AMD often shadows NVDA’s volatility and sector direction. 📱 QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF) AMD is inside the NASDAQ index. When QQQ sells off, AMD typically follows the broader tech flow. 🌐 SMH (Semiconductor ETF) Tracks the entire chip sector. Helps understand overall industry strength or weakness. ⚡ TSLA (Tesla) Not directly connected, but both ride similar high-beta risk cycles. Weak tech sentiment can drag TSLA and AMD simultaneously. Watching these helps confirm momentum, risk appetite, and sector-wide signals 📊🔍. 🧠 Additional Notes This setup is for educational, fun, strategy-style illustration purposes. NOT forcing a fixed entry, SL, or TP on anyone. Trade smart. Manage risk. Thief style = creativity + discipline ✨😎 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by The-Thief
Breaking; Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) Is Up 7%The price of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) spike 7% in early market trading on Thursday as the stock broke from a bullish flag pattern. In another news that served as a catalyst, AMD, Cisco and HUMAIN to invest in a joint venture and serve as its exclusive technology partners, deepening their multi-year strategic collaboration announced in May during U.S. President Donald J. Trump's visit to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The joint venture plans to deploy up to 1 GW of AI infrastructure by 2030, with the shared ambition to expand capacity to multiple gigawatts, as a key pillar of HUMAIN's overall ambitions. With the RSI at 44, the stock is more than able to break through highs and claim the $300 resistance. Financial Performance In 2024, Advanced Micro Devices's revenue was $25.79 billion, an increase of 13.69% compared to the previous year's $22.68 billion. Earnings were $1.64 billion, an increase of 92.15%. About AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, x86 microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by DEXWireNews
Amd - Here comes the major reversal!👺Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is reversing right now: 🔎Analysis summary: Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed a very expected rally on Amd of about +250%. But right now, Amd is retesting a major resistance trendline. If we actually see bearish confirmation in the near future, the next bearmarket will start quite soon. 📝Levels to watch: $250 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by TheTraderPhil
27
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) Gearing For A BreakoutThe share price of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMD ) is setting sail for a 50% breakout albeit market condition is overbought. Sitting with an RSI of 73, Advance Micro Devices (AMD) shows continuous bullish momentum with the daily price chart indicating a golden cross pattern- this is an interception between the 50day-MA and the 200-day MA indicating bullish momentum building. In another news, - Advance Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) today announced the completion of the agreement to divest the ZT Systems U.S.-headquartered data center infrastructure manufacturing business to Sanmina (NASDAQ: SANM). About AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, x86 microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products, microprocessor and SoC development services and technology.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by DEXWireNews
Amd - The path is too clear!🪓Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) will rally another +75%: 🔎Analysis summary: For the past five years, Amd has been trading in a simple rising channel formation. With the recent retest of a major confluence of support, Amd once again confirmed the bullish trend. Following those previous cycles, Amd will now break the all time high and rally another +75% from here. 📝Levels to watch: $200 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TheTraderPhil
5
DXY Bearish Forecast for Quarter 2, 20251. Technical analysis The idea is based in ICT's PO3; AMD pattern. We have a rally above the open price of May 2025, to take out BSL above the highs. It also aligns with Daily tf premium arrays to short from. The lowest hanging fruit being the relative equal lows at equilibrium of the dealing range. 2. Fundamental analysis Investor's confidence in the Dollar is low due to POTUS' tariffs. ICT: Inner Circle Trader PO3: Power of 3 AMD: Accumulation, Manipulation & Distribution BSL: Buy side liquidity tf: Timeframe
TVC:DXYShort
by gabrielmike010
AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16NASDAQ:AMD AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16) Below is a synthesis of all the reports and our analysis: ───────────────────────────── COMPREHENSIVE SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS ───────────────────────────── • Grok/xAI Report  – Technical indicators show AMD trading below its short‐term moving average and near the lower Bollinger Band.  – Negative MACD histogram and bearish news (export restrictions, potential $800M charge) support a downward bias.  – Recommends a bearish options trade using a near–ATM put – the $89 put at a premium around $1.78 (a higher premium but with a clear bearish thesis). • Llama/Meta and DeepSeek Reports  – Confirm the bearish bias: price action below key moving averages, negative MACD and extreme moves below support.  – Note that the option chain (and high open interest on lower strikes) points to a greater probability for further decline.  – Both suggest a trade on put options that have a lower premium than the Grok suggestion (with DeepSeek favoring the $85 put at roughly $0.62) for improved risk/reward. • Gemini/Google Report  – Emphasizes the strong negative catalyst from news and a rapid breakdown below support levels (with current price near $89).  – Technical indicators and volatility (VIX above 30) signal that the underlying is likely to fall further.  – Offers several put strike ideas and finds that the $84 put (premium ca. $0.49) fits the ideal price range; however, liquidity and open interest are better for the $85 strike. ───────────────────────────── AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT ───────────────────────────── Agreements:  – All models (except for the one reporting an error) agree that the market sentiment is bearish.  – The negative news catalyst (export controls and potential charges) and the technical breakdown clearly drive the consensus.  – There is broad recognition that options data (with high OI on puts and max pain around $95) is supportive of a downside move. Disagreements:  – The primary difference is in the strike selection. Grok favors a put close to the current price (the $89 put) despite its higher premium, while Gemini, Llama/Meta, and DeepSeek lean toward lower strikes ($84–$85) that offer a lower premium (falling in or near our ideal range) and better liquidity for a weekly trade. ───────────────────────────── CLEAR CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDED TRADE ───────────────────────────── Overall Market Direction Consensus:  – The overall view is bearish. All models (apart from the one error) indicate that AMD is under significant downside pressure fueled by both technical breakdown and negative news sentiment. Recommended Trade:  • Trade Type: BUY single‐leg, naked PUT (weekly option only)  • Chosen Strike: $85   – Rationale: The $85 put (ask at $0.64) offers good liquidity (high open interest of 10,218 contracts) and although its premium is slightly above the preferred $0.30–$0.60 range, its risk/reward profile is attractive given the bearish momentum.  • Expiration: April 17, 2025 (weekly options)  • Entry Timing: At market open  • Proposed Parameters:   – Entry Premium: Approximately $0.64   – Profit Target: Around $1.00 (this represents an attractive move if the bearish trend continues)   – Stop Loss: Approximately $0.45 to limit risk if price recovers unexpectedly  • Confidence Level: ~70%  • Key Risks and Considerations:   – Short‐term volatility may create intraday bounces despite the overall bearish trend.   – An oversold reaction or a temporary return toward the max pain level ($95) could adversely affect the trade.   – As this is a news–driven and highly volatile environment, trade size must be limited relative to account size. ───────────────────────────── TRADE_DETAILS ───────────────────────────── The final trade parameters in JSON format are shown below. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "AMD", "direction": " put", "strike": 85.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 1.00, "stop_loss": 0.45, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.64, "entry_timing": "open" }
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by quantsignals
AMD Analysis: Shorting to $100 as Cup & Handle Pattern FormsHello Traders, I'm sharing a weekly chart analysis for AMD, where I’ve identified a Cup & Handle pattern. The current price is $148, and it's retesting the broken red trend line. I suggest considering a short position targeting $100. I've also included a back test for the two previous patterns, which support the validity of the middle red trend line. It's important to note that if AMD reaches the $100 level, the Cup & Handle pattern above the blue trend line will become valid, potentially targeting even lower levels around $55, or possibly further down. Additionally, pay attention to the downtrend progression channel in cyan. The current price of $148 is positioned around the resistance of this channel's middle line. If these scenarios play out, a harmonic pattern may also form, which I will define at a later stage. Stay cautious and manage your risk!
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by Eymen-GUVEN
6
AMD = The Trader Slayer!NASDAQ:AMD We got a lot going on here with AMD! - In the volume gap and could fall down to the shelf at $108 or we could have just hit a double bottom with a breakout spot at $174ish. -H5 Indicator is RED and they are in a downtrend while also forming a Bull Flag (barely). -Sitting on the bottom of the Wr% and could form a downtrend box or start running to the upside. It all makes sense to me. This name is an extremely difficult name to trade and has eaten the best traders whole, myself included. One thing is clear to me! trying to trade this name right now with all of these mixed signals is risky-business! I'm steering clear until we get some certainty! No price targets because who knows whats gonna happen. 🤣 Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by RonnieV29
9