Amazon Stock Analysis: AMZN Elliott Wave OutlookAmazon Stock Analysis: Long-Term Structure, Elliott Wave and Key Price Zones
Amazon stock has just made a new higher high, while the larger AMZN technical structure remains inside a rising channel that has guided price for almost two decades.
In this analysis, I will start with the monthly chart, then move down to the weekly and daily timeframes. The goal is to understand where Amazon may be inside its larger Elliott Wave structure, where the current advance could extend, and which price areas become important if a correction begins.
The Long-Term Amazon Stock Structure
Amazon has been moving inside a large rising channel since around 2007.
Price is still trading inside this structure, so at this stage I do not see evidence of a confirmed long-term reversal.
The Elliott Wave count also suggests that the larger bullish structure is still developing.
For readers who are new to Elliott Wave, an impulse consists of five waves, and each of those waves can contain a smaller five-wave structure of its own. This is why several different wave degrees and colors appear on the chart.
The important point is simple: the completion of one smaller wave does not automatically mean the entire long-term Amazon advance is complete.
Where Is AMZN in the Larger Elliott Wave Count?
On the larger count, Amazon is still developing wave three of the highest-degree structure shown on my chart.
Inside it, the smaller orange structure is also developing wave three, while the yellow and green degrees are further along in their respective impulses.
There is therefore still a considerable amount of structure that can develop before the entire long-term sequence is complete.
The upper part of the long-term channel is currently much higher than the market, around the $560–600 area on this projection.
I do not treat that channel boundary as a price target. It simply shows that the larger technical structure still leaves substantial room above the current price.
Amazon Has Made a New Higher High
The current price action is still constructive.
AMZN recently moved above its previous high and reached a new high around $287.
The latest advance is not especially aggressive, but the breakout keeps further upside development possible.
At the smaller Elliott Wave degree, I am currently following a fifth wave. The exact length of a fifth wave cannot be known in advance, so Fibonacci gives us a useful reference rather than an exact target.
Fibonacci Projection: $300–400
For the current fifth wave, the Fibonacci projection zone around 38% to 62% gives an approximate area of $300–400 .
This is the first major upside area I am watching.
It should be treated as a potential wave-completion zone rather than a fixed ceiling. An extended fifth wave can continue beyond it, and the much larger rising channel still leaves room for higher prices.
Key Amazon Support Areas if a Correction Begins
If the current advance eventually moves into a larger correction, I would focus on a sequence of price areas rather than one exact downside target.
The main zones on my chart are:
$200–250 , first major support cluster
$150–180 , next lower structural area
$110–130 , deeper support cluster
$85–100 , major lower historical area
These are not predictions that Amazon must fall to each level.
They are reference areas where I would reassess the price structure if a larger decline develops. If price remains above the higher zones, there is no reason to automatically focus on the much lower ones.
A Small Daily Gap Below Price
There is also a shorter-term detail on the daily chart.
The latest move left a small gap below the current price.
Amazon could return into this area during a pullback and test the recent breakout region before another move higher.
The gap does not have to close, so I would treat it simply as another nearby area to monitor.
The Bigger Structure Has Changed Very Little
I mapped this larger Amazon structure approximately a year ago.
Since then, price has continued to move and several smaller waves have developed, but the main higher-timeframe interpretation has not required a major change.
That is one reason I prefer to begin with monthly and weekly charts. Short-term price movement can be substantial while the larger market structure develops much more slowly.
What Could Happen Later?
The larger Elliott Wave structure can continue through several additional advances and corrections.
Eventually, a much larger fourth-wave correction can develop on the higher degree.
On a monthly chart, that type of correction may appear as a broad sideways structure.
But "sideways" does not mean low volatility.
Price can decline sharply, recover strongly, decline again and continue moving through a very wide range for several years.
Tesla Shows What a Large Sideways Structure Can Look Like
I recently discussed a similar concept in my Tesla analysis.
Tesla is already further along in this type of large corrective structure. Since 2022, the stock has moved through an extremely wide range while making relatively little progress on the larger chart.
If you want a visual example of what I mean by a multi-year sideways correction, you can watch that analysis here:
Amazon Stock Outlook: What Matters Now
For now, the long-term Amazon stock structure remains upward.
AMZN is still trading inside its rising channel and has recently made a new higher high.
The main areas I am watching are:
$300–400 , current Fibonacci projection zone for the developing fifth wave
$560–600 , approximate upper region of the larger long-term channel, not a fixed target
$200–250 , first major support area if a larger correction develops
$150–180 , next lower structural zone
$110–130 and $85–100 , deeper support areas if the correction becomes substantially larger
The current higher high keeps the upside structure active, while the Fibonacci projection and support zones give us a map for monitoring what develops next. 
Long
AMZN | +13.77% Off The HVA Break, All Targets Hit
By analyzing the #AMZN (Amazon) chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that the idea we published on 22 July has been completed in full — trigger, targets and catalyst. We said the ABC correction was finishing, named the High Value Area as the single level that would decide it, and listed exactly where price would go on the break. Price has since run +13.77% and taken every level we mapped. You can revisit the original breakdown here:
⏱️ 4H Timeframe
Here is the sequence, because the value was in the specificity, not the direction.
The broader trend was never in question — an uptrend riding inside its rising channel, holding comfortably above the Protected Low at $195.91 . Inside that uptrend, price had gone through an internal correction: a bearish internal CHoCH, then several bearish BOS, dragging price down into the demand around the Order Block ($219.58 – $226.49) . Buyers reclaimed control by breaking the internal Protected High at $249.51 with an impulsive wave, and price then unwound in a three-wave (a)-(b)-(c) correction.
We published with price at $242.89 , compressing directly on the High Value Area of the volume profile — the heaviest-traded level on the chart. And we were explicit about the trigger: not a wick, not a touch — a clear candle close above the HVA , which would confirm buyers had absorbed the heaviest volume on the chart.
That close came, and what followed was not gradual. Price broke the HVA and expanded, clearing $249.75 , then $253.45 , and driving all the way through the buy-side liquidity at $278.82 — the final target on our list. The move measures +13.77% from the breakout level.
Price is now trading around $271.50 , having pulled back beneath the BSL after tagging it. That reaction is normal and expected: liquidity was resting there, it has been taken, and the market is digesting. Below, the $253.45 and $249.75 shelf and the broken Protected High at $249.51 now form the first support band — the level that flipped is the level that should hold.
🎯 The Bias
Scenario A — continuation (base case). The structural picture stays constructive. The trend is up, price is inside its rising channel, the correction resolved exactly as mapped, and the level that gave way at $249.51 has flipped from resistance to support. My expectation is that this pullback rebalances and buyers defend the $249.51 – $253.45 band, from which the trend can continue toward the upper boundary of the rising channel. The cleaner entry, in my view, is a reaction from that band on a retest — not a chase back into the highs after a 13.77% run.
Scenario B — deeper correction. I have to respect that the liquidity target is done. When the final mapped objective gets tagged, the easy part of the move is over, and a deeper unwind becomes more likely than it was a month ago. If price loses the $249.51 band on a decisive close, the next demand is the Order Block at $219.58 – $226.49 , which would be a healthy reset rather than a break. Structurally, the uptrend only fails on a break of the Protected Low at $195.91 , with the Breaker Block at $188.71 – $198.99 beneath it as the last defence.
The rule that carried this entire idea still applies: a break is a candle close, not a wick . It was the close above the HVA that produced 13.77% — not the first touch of it. The same discipline applies on the way down.
📰 Fundamental Backdrop
The catalyst we flagged did not just arrive on schedule — it was the engine of the entire move, and it is worth reporting precisely.
Amazon reported Q2 on 30 July , and the print was strong where it mattered. Revenue came in at $200.6bn, up 20% year-on-year , against a Street estimate near $196.2bn and the company's own $194–199bn guide. Operating income climbed 43% to $27.5bn . The headline, though, was AWS: revenue of $42.2bn, up 36.7% year-on-year — its fastest pace in 18 quarters — with AWS operating income rising to $16.6bn from $10.2bn a year earlier, at a 39.4% margin . Shares jumped roughly 9% after hours on the release. That gap is the impulsive candle on this chart.
Now the caveats, because the headline EPS number deserves context. Reported earnings of $5.75 per share against a consensus near $1.81 look extraordinary, but that figure was inflated substantially by a one-off gain on Amazon's stake in Anthropic — it is not a clean read on operating earnings power, and anyone quoting the beat without that context is misreading the quarter.
Two genuine concerns also came out of the print. First, 2026 capital spending guidance was lifted to roughly $220bn , overwhelmingly for AI and cloud infrastructure. We flagged the capex risk in the original idea when it was tracking near $200bn with the possibility of rising toward $210bn — it came in higher than even that. That is a very large bill, and it will keep pressure on free cash flow. Second, Q3 revenue guidance of $197–202bn came in beneath analyst expectations near $204.1bn — a softer forward number that sits awkwardly against the celebration.
Net-net: the operating business, and AWS in particular, is accelerating in a way that justifies the structural move. But the quality of the EPS beat and the size of the spending commitment are the two things that could cap how far this leg extends — which is precisely why I want a retest and a defended level rather than a chase here.
This analysis will be updated as the market evolves. If this breakdown added value, drop a like 👍 and a comment 💬 to support the work — and share where you see Amazon heading next! Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳 AMZN | Amazon Crushes Earnings as AWS Growth AcceleratesAmazon Is Spending $220 Billion This Year. CEO Andy Jassy Says It Still Isn't Enough!
Amazon now expects to spend $220 billion in capital expenditures this year, up from its previous plan of $200 billion. Even that won't be enough to keep up with demand
CEO Andy Jassy summed it up during the earnings call
"Even at that amount, we will still not have enough capacity to meet all the demand we have in 2026 .. I believe this dynamic will also be true in 2027"
AWS has now posted five straight quarters of accelerating growth, its backlog has climbed to $496 billion, and margins continued to improve even as Amazon ramps up one of the biggest infrastructure investments in its history
For years, Amazon has been building the foundation for AI.. Now the focus is shifting from building the technology to proving the business case. Customer demand is growing faster than Amazon can add capacity, and management believes today's spending will pay off over the long run
Here's what stood out this quarter
Amazon Q2 FY26 Results
Strong growth across the business
-Revenue increased 20% year over year to $200.6 billion, beating expectations by about $4.2 billion
-Gross margin held steady at 52%, while operating margin improved to 14% from 12% a year ago
AWS was the biggest contributor, with operating margin reaching 39%, up six percentage points from last year. North America and International retail margins were largely unchanged
Net income received a major boost from a $53.4 billion non operating gain, mostly tied to the higher valuation of Anthropic after its latest funding round
💸Cash flow tells a different story
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months climbed 33% to $161.4 billion, showing the business continues to generate enormous amounts of cash
Free cash flow, however, turned negative at $7.6 billion because capital spending jumped 64% over the past year to $169 billion. Amazon is investing faster than it is currently generating cash
The balance sheet remains healthy, with $123 billion in cash and marketable securities compared with $129 billion in long term debt
🔮For Q3, Amazon expects: Revenue growth between 9% and 12% and Operating income of roughly $24.5 billion at the midpoint, representing about 40% year over year growth
The biggest takeaways
AWS keeps getting stronger
AWS revenue grew 37% year over year to $42.2 billion, its fastest growth in more than four years..Even after adjusting for a one time accounting benefit related to energy contracts, AWS margins still expanded significantly
Amazon also revealed that both its AI business and its custom chip business have now reached annual revenue run rates above $25 billion, with both growing at triple digit rates
Growing this quickly while also expanding margins is one of the most impressive parts of the quarter
📈AI investment keeps climbing
Amazon's AI buildout is becoming even more expensive
The company raised its planned capital spending for the year from $200 billion to $220 billion, mainly because memory costs have increased..For now, those investments are pushing free cash flow into negative territory. Amazon is betting that today's spending creates capacity that customers will use for many years.
🛒Retail remains healthy
North American revenue grew 16%, International revenue rose 15%, and worldwide paid units increased 17%
Margins stayed steady despite higher transportation and fuel costs, helped by continued improvements in fulfillment efficiency
📢Advertising continues to grow
Advertising revenue climbed 26% to $19.8 billion, putting the business on pace for nearly $80 billion annually..Sponsored Products remains the largest driver, while Prime Video and live sports continue creating new advertising opportunities.
Guidance looks softer than reality
At first glance, Amazon's Q3 revenue guidance appears slower than recent growth
However, moving Prime Day into Q2 reduced reported growth by nearly four percentage points, and currency movements created another headwind
Operating income is still expected to grow around 40%, suggesting profitability continues improving even if reported revenue growth slows
Why Amazon Is Comfortable Spending So Much on AI
Jassy also explained how Amazon thinks about these massive investments
Not every dollar is equally risky
Servers and networking equipment are usually purchased only a few months before deployment, once customer demand is already visible. Those investments generally pay for themselves in less than three years, while many AI contracts last five years or longer
Data centers require much more patience. They often take around two years to build but can remain productive for more than thirty years while supporting several generations of hardware
Amazon says much of its planned capacity through 2027 is already reserved, with meaningful customer commitments extending into 2028..That means today's spending is backed by long term demand rather than speculation
⚙️Moving beyond infrastructure
AWS is also expanding higher up the AI stack
Customers spent more on Bedrock during Q2 than in all previous quarters combined.
Amazon introduced new features for Bedrock AgentCore, expanded the capabilities of Amazon Quick, saw usage of its coding assistant Kiro triple from the previous quarter, and launched Continuum to help companies automatically identify and fix software vulnerabilities
The strategy is straightforward
Trainium and Graviton reduce computing costs, Bedrock provides access to AI models and agents, and products like Quick, Kiro, and Continuum bring AWS closer to end users.
Key comments from Andy Jassy
On AI profitability:
"We see the margins and returns in AI tracking what we saw with Core at the same point of evolution, actually a little ahead."
Amazon believes AI can become just as profitable as traditional cloud services, and possibly even faster than AWS did during its early years.
On the future of AI demand:
"Most enterprise production workloads aren't using inference today. That is going to change very significantly over time."
Jassy expects the biggest opportunity won't come from AI startups or research labs. Instead, it will come from existing enterprise software gradually adding AI capabilities.
On Amazon's own AI model:
"They'll all be in Bedrock, one of them will be ours."
Amazon doesn't believe it needs to build the single best model. Instead, it wants Bedrock to give customers access to multiple leading models while also offering its own
What Investors Should Watch
AWS market share
Global cloud infrastructure spending rose 43% year over year during Q2
AWS kept its leading 28% market share, ahead of Microsoft Azure at 20% and Google Cloud at 15%
Although Microsoft and Google continue growing faster, AWS has maintained its leadership while operating from a much larger revenue base
Trainium outside AWS
Amazon is considering selling Trainium chips directly to companies running their own data centers.
That could create an entirely new business beyond AWS, though it also means giving up some of the competitive advantage those chips currently provide inside Amazon's cloud platform.
Grocery keeps expanding
Amazon now offers same day grocery delivery in 2,300 U.S. cities
Monthly active grocery customers have increased 50% since the beginning of the year, and grocery orders typically contain three times as many items as other purchases.
That helps increase shopping frequency, larger baskets, delivery efficiency, and advertising opportunities.
The AI spending race
Big Tech companies generated roughly $660 billion in trailing twelve month operating cash flow during Q2 2026
That cash allowed them to begin the AI buildout without relying heavily on outside financing.
Now the investment cycle has become so large that free cash flow has turned negative at Amazon and Google and is close to zero at Meta. Debt is becoming a larger part of the funding mix
Amazon argues this is simply the cost of building infrastructure years before demand fully arrives. If AI demand continues growing as expected, today's spending should generate returns for decades. If demand slows or pricing weakens, those same investments could become much harder to justify.
Long 
AMZN | ABC Correction Done — Break The HVA And Run!
By analyzing the #AMZN (Amazon) chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that the broader trend remains bullish, and the internal corrective phase looks to be wrapping up. Price is now compressing at a decisive volume level — and a clean break of it is the trigger for the next leg toward the liquidity above.
📊 4H Timeframe
On the 4H, the bigger picture is an uptrend riding inside its rising channel, with price holding comfortably above the Protected Low at $195.91 . Within that uptrend, price went through an internal correction: it printed a bearish internal CHoCH, followed by several bearish BOS on the way down, taking price into the demand area near the Order Block ( $219.58 – $226.49 ).
That corrective phase is now over. Price broke the Protected High of the internal downtrend at $249.51 with an impulsive wave — the structural signal that buyers reclaimed control. Since that break, price has been unwinding in a three-wave (a)-(b)-(c) correction, and it's currently trading around $242.89 , sitting right at the High Value Area (HVA) of the volume profile — the heaviest-traded level on the chart and the battleground that decides the next move.
🎯 The Bias
My base case is bullish continuation, but it needs confirmation. The trigger I want is a clear candle close above the High Value Area — that would confirm buyers have absorbed the heaviest volume on the chart and complete the corrective structure. On that break, the path opens toward the levels overhead at $249.75 and $253.45 , and then the buy-side liquidity (BSL) resting at $278.82 , with the trend continuing inside its channel. In my view, as long as AMZN holds above the Protected Low ($195.91), the uptrend stays intact and every dip remains constructive — but until that HVA gives way on a decisive close, price can keep consolidating here.
📰 Fundamental Backdrop
The technical setup lines up with a strong catalyst calendar. Amazon reports Q2 2026 results on July 30 after the US close — the key near-term event, with Wall Street modeling EPS of $1.82 (up from $1.68 a year ago) on revenue near $196 billion, and the company itself having guided to $194–199 billion. The quarter is expected to benefit from Prime Day shifting into Q2, continued AWS acceleration, and a record advertising business. Sentiment into the print is bullish: analysts carry a Strong Buy consensus, KeyBanc just raised its target to $335, and Bank of America projects around $198.8 billion in revenue with roughly 33% AWS cloud growth on enterprise AI adoption — noting that Amazon's expanding relationship with Anthropic alone could add more than $1.5 billion in sequential AWS revenue. The risk to respect is the spending: 2026 capex is tracking toward roughly $200 billion (BofA thinks the outlook could rise to ~$210 billion on higher memory costs), Amazon launched a $25 billion bond sale to fund it, and there's about $1 billion in incremental costs from the Leo satellite build ahead of a Q3 launch — all of which could pressure near-term margins. Net-net: the fundamentals support the bullish structure, but July 30 is a binary event that could easily be the catalyst that resolves this HVA battle in either direction.
This analysis will be updated as the market evolves. If this breakdown added value, drop a like 👍 and a comment 💬 to support the work — and share where you see Amazon heading next! Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳 AMZN | Healthy Pullback Complete — Buyers Eye The $278 Liquidity
By analyzing the #AMZN (Amazon) chart on the Daily timeframe, we can see that price remains firmly within a long-term uptrend, riding cleanly inside a rising price channel and printing higher structure along the way.
Each leg up has confirmed the trend with a fresh bullish BOS — strong evidence that buyers remain in control of the bigger picture.
📊 Daily Timeframe
On the Daily, the structure is textbook bullish — a series of BOS to the upside inside the ascending channel. In the most recent leg, price pulled back below the 0.5 equilibrium ( $238.82 ) — a healthy, well-earned correction rather than a sign of weakness — and reacted right from the daily Order Block ( $219.58 – $226.49 ), exactly where demand should step in.
Price is now trading around $245.34 , pressing into a zone that also acts as a bearish Order Block, so I expect it to pause and consolidate here for a bit. The key trigger: a daily candle close above $249.75 would print an iCHoCH to the upside and confirm the continuation — opening a clear path toward the buy-side liquidity (BSL) resting overhead at $278.82 (the 1.0 extension). The whole bullish thesis stays valid above the Protected Low at $195.91 , with the deeper Breaker Block ( $188.71 – $198.99 ) beneath it as structural support.
⏱️ 1H Timeframe
On the 1H, price had been printing bearish BOS after bearish BOS on the way down into the correction. That's the short-term picture that now needs to flip. The level to watch is the Protected High at $249.51 : if price can reclaim and break it, that's the lower-timeframe confirmation that buyers have wrestled back control — and it aligns perfectly with the daily $249.75 trigger, stacking both timeframes into one clean signal for the push toward the liquidity above.
🎯 The Bias
My base case is bullish continuation. The daily uptrend is intact, the correction into discount is complete, and price has already reacted from the Order Block. What I want now is confirmation: a daily close above $249.75 (and the 1H reclaim of $249.51). On that trigger, I look for the move toward the BSL at $278.82. In my view, as long as AMZN holds above the Protected Low ($195.91), every dip remains a buying opportunity rather than a reversal — but I'll respect that the current bearish OB may cap price briefly before the breakout.
📰 Fundamental Backdrop
The bullish structure lines up with a genuinely strong run of catalysts. Amazon just posted a record Prime Day, generating roughly $26.4 billion in US sales — a clear signal of robust consumer demand that should feed directly into Q2 numbers. On the AI front, the company launched a $25 billion bond sale to fund its aggressive data-center and cloud buildout (2026 capex tracking toward ~$200 billion), and just landed a high-profile deal with Warner Bros. to power agentic AI advertising technology on AWS. Analyst sentiment is warming ahead of earnings — Goldman Sachs raised its price target, and the Street consensus sits well above current price. The next major catalyst is Q2 earnings on July 30, with analysts modeling around $196 billion in revenue on the back of AWS growth (last quarter grew 28%) and a booming ad business. The one caution worth flagging: heavy AI capex has compressed free cash flow and made the recent bond sale less favorably received — so the earnings print, and management's commentary on spend, will be the real test. For now, price action and fundamentals point the same way: higher.
This analysis will be updated as the market evolves. If this breakdown added value, drop a like 👍 and a comment 💬 to support the work — and share where you see Amazon heading next! Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳 Breaking: Amazon.com, Inc. ($AMZN) Shares Are TankingShares of Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) are nosediving amidst market bloodbath in both crypto and stock market world.
Shares of Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) closed Thursday's session down 4.42% extending lose to Friday's premarket currently down 7.78% approaching $100+ levels. Shares of Amazon have an RSI of 35 highlighting that NASDAQ:AMZN is oversold.
If selling pressure persists, NASDAQ:AMZN could see the $160 support.
In recent news, the company's hefty capital expenditure plans deepened investor worries over Big Tech's spending spree on artificial intelligence.
Massive AI spending by companies - estimated to be more than $600 billion this year - have raised doubts among investors over the prospects of immediate returns from the huge capital outlays.
Despite the bearish thesis on NASDAQ:AMZN , according to 45 analysts, the average rating for AMZN stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price target is $286.8, which is an increase of 28.79% from the latest price.
About AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products, advertising, and subscriptions service through online and physical stores in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). Long 
Amazon: Momentum ShiftIn the first weeks of the year, Amazon's stock continued its upward trajectory. However, this upward momentum came to a halt last Tuesday. Since then, the bears have taken charge and thus align more closely with our primary scenario, which calls for the current downtrend to persist, with the low of the beige wave IV forming just above the support at $160.50. Afterward, we anticipate an upward movement in the same-colored wave V, which should eventually lead to the peak of the larger blue wave (V). Our alternative scenario, however, suggests that the stock could directly break through the resistance at $259. In this case, we would consider the low of the beige wave alt.IV as already established (probability: 33%). AMZN Breakout Reload? TMA Pullback Shows Buyer Strength🔥 AMZN Swing Trade Profit Playbook | Bullish Pullback + Thief Layering Strategy 🟢📦
Welcome back, Ladies & Gentlemen — the Thief OG’s 😎🕵️♂️
Here’s a polished, rule-friendly breakdown of the bullish setup developing on AMZN (Amazon.com Inc.) – NASDAQ.
📌 Market Context
AMZN is showing a clean bullish pullback into the Triangular Moving Average (TMA) zone, supported by a Heikin Ashi Doji Reversal, signaling that buyers are gaining strength and attempting to dominate momentum again. 📈🔥
🧠 Trade Plan (Swing Trade)
Plan:
A bullish pullback strategy confirmed by:
🔺 Triangular Moving Average pullback reaction
🟩 Heikin Ashi reversal-doji indicating potential trend continuation
📊 Buyers stepping in with momentum recovery
🎯 Entry Plan – Thief Style Layering (Multiple Limit Orders)
This is the famous Thief Strategy — using layered limit orders to scale into the move like a master of stealth 😎🕵️♂️💼
(TradingView-safe version: purely educational, optional, trade at your own risk.)
Layered Buy Limits:
🟢 215.00
🟢 220.00
🟢 225.00
🟢 230.00
(You may increase or adjust layers based on your own style and risk tolerance.)
🛑 Stop-Loss (Thief Style Educational Version)
SL Zone (Optional):
❌ 210.00
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this level is NOT a recommendation — it’s just part of the thief-style educational breakdown.
Choose your own risk plan, trade your own analysis.
🎯 Target Zone
The “Police Force” 🚓 — aka strong resistance, potential overbought zone, and liquidity trap area — sits around:
🟡 Target @ 250.00
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this is NOT a fixed TP recommendation.
Manage your profits as per your own risk appetite and strategy.
📡 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation & Market Behavior)
Watching correlated tickers helps understand broader tech-sector sentiment and liquidity rotation.
Here are the key names to keep an eye on:
📌 NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.)
Strong correlation with AMZN in tech-momentum cycles.
When AAPL shows bullish continuation, AMZN often follows with similar pressure.
📌 NASDAQ:META (Meta Platforms Inc.)
Tracks consumer-tech spending sentiment.
Strong META moves can hint at acceleration across NASDAQ growth stocks.
📌 NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft Corp.)
A heavyweight pillar in NASDAQ.
MSFT strength boosts overall tech-index bullish bias.
📌 NASDAQ:QQQ (Invesco NASDAQ-100 ETF)
The main sentiment gauge.
If QQQ remains above its trend structure, AMZN's bullish continuation gets stronger confirmation.
📌 NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla Inc.)
Not directly correlated, but impacts NASDAQ volatility dynamics.
High volatility in TSLA often ripples into liquidity behavior across the index.
💬 Final Thoughts
This AMZN setup blends structure, momentum, and multi-layer entries, crafted in a fun Thief-style teaching format while keeping everything compliant and research-focused 📚✨
Trade smart, manage risk, escape with profits when the “police” show up 🚓😆📈
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a Thief-style trading strategy presented just for fun & educational purposes only.
Not financial advice. Do your own analysis and manage risk responsibly.
#AMZN #Amazon #SwingTrade #NASDAQ #BullishSetup #PullbackStrategy #HeikinAshi #TriangularMovingAverage #ThiefStrategy #LayeringEntries #TradingEducation #StockMarket #MarketAnalysis #TradingViewCommunity #EditorPickReady 🚀 Long 
Long 
Amazon (AMZN) shares fall around 3% in a single dayAmazon (AMZN) shares fall around 3% in a single day
As the chart shows, Amazon (AMZN) shares fell by roughly 3% yesterday after reports that the US Federal Trade Commission has launched a probe into the company over alleged “dark patterns”.
According to the allegations, Amazon may have deliberately complicated the process of cancelling Prime subscriptions in order to retain customers. Should the charges be proven, this could result in significant fines and have a major impact on one of Amazon’s key revenue streams.
Amazon’s share price dipped below $220 yesterday for the first time since 12 August. Could the decline continue?
Technical analysis of Amazon (AMZN) chart
In our 5 September analysis, we:
→ used AMZN stock price swings to plot an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ suggested the price could extend its bullish structure after breaking through resistance R (shown in red).
Indeed, in the following days there was some bullish momentum: peak B was higher than peak A. However, this appears more a sign of weakness when judged by the nature of the reversal:
→ on 10 September, the price edged only slightly above the summer peak,
→ before tumbling sharply, with bearish candles widening.
This move, showing clear signs of a Double Top pattern (A–B), may suggest that buyers at September’s high were trapped, with stop-loss closures adding to the downward pressure.
The previously plotted ascending channel remains valid, but Amazon stock price has dropped (shown by the red arrow) into its lower half. In this context, the channel’s midline and the $227.70 level could now act as resistance.
Bulls, however, still have grounds to expect support from:
→ the bullish reversal zone formed in early August, when a narrowing triangle appeared on the chart with its axis around $215;
→ the QL line, which divides the lower half of the channel into quarters.
Although the negative sentiment from FTC-related news may eventually fade, what remains concerning is AMZN’s relatively weaker performance in 2025 compared with the broader market: while the S&P 500 set a fresh all-time high this week, Amazon shares have barely moved since the start of the year.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Long 
AMZN $240 Weekly Call — Tactical Play for Quick Gains
🚀 **AMZN Weekly Options Alert — \$240 Call Could Double in 4 Days!**
**Directional View:** **Strong-to-Moderate Bullish** 💹
**Confidence:** 75%
**Trade Setup:**
* **Instrument:** AMZN
* **Strategy:** BUY CALL (single-leg)
* **Strike:** \$240
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (4 DTE)
* **Entry Price:** \$0.68 (ask at open)
* **Size:** 1 contract
**Targets & Risk:**
* **Profit Target:** \$1.36 (100% gain)
* **Partial Profit:** \$1.02 (50% gain)
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.34 (50% of premium)
* **Exit Rule:** Close everything by Thursday 15:30 ET to avoid gamma/theta risk
**Why This Trade?**
✅ Weekly RSI rising (71.5) + expanding weekly volume (1.3x) → bullish momentum
✅ Strong call skew (C/P 1.99) → institutional positioning
✅ Low VIX (\~15.2) → cheaper premiums, directional edge
✅ Strike \$240 slightly OTM with **high liquidity** (OI 24,202)
**Key Risks:**
⚠️ Falling daily RSI (59.9) → short-term consolidation possible
⚠️ 4-DTE weekly → high gamma/theta; strict stop mandatory
⚠️ Unexpected news or sector moves could spike IV or widen spreads
⚠️ High OI may create pinning behavior near \$240
**Quick Takeaway:**
* Tactical **short-term bullish weekly trade**
* Exploits **momentum + options flow + liquidity**
* Strict **risk management**: stop at 50% and exit by Thursday
* Partial profits at 50%, full target at 100% gain
---
📊 **TRADE DETAILS (JSON)**
```json
{
"instrument": "AMZN",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 240.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 1.36,
"stop_loss": 0.34,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.68,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-08 10:11:13 UTC-04:00"
}
``` Long 
AMZN Options Flow Explodes! $230 Call Trade Idea”
# 🚀 AMZN Weekly Options Trade Idea (2025-09-03)
### 📊 Market Recap
* **Daily RSI**: 47.9 ⬇️ (bearish tilt)
* **Weekly RSI**: 57.1 ⬇️ (losing momentum)
* **Volume**: 0.9x 📉 (weak vs prior week)
* **Options Flow**: 💎 Strongly bullish (C/P = 3.30)
* **VIX**: ✅ Favorable (16–17)
👉 **Models Split:**
* 🐻 DeepSeek → \$225 PUT idea (bearish).
* 🐂 Grok + Llama → \$230 CALL (moderate bullish).
* ⚖️ Gemini + Claude → **NO TRADE** (risk > reward).
---
### ✅ Consensus Trade Setup (Flow-Weighted Lean)
```json
{
"instrument": "AMZN",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 230.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"entry_price": 0.43,
"profit_target": 0.86,
"stop_loss": 0.26,
"size": 1,
"confidence": 0.62,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
```
---
### 🎯 Trade Plan
* 📌 **Strike**: \$230 CALL (Sep 5)
* 💵 **Entry**: 0.43 (ask @ open)
* 🎯 **Target**: 0.86 (+100%)
* 🛑 **Stop**: 0.26 (–40%)
* ⏰ **Max Hold**: Exit by Thu EOD (avoid Fri gamma risk)
* ⚖️ **Size**: 1 contract (small, <2% equity)
* 📈 **Confidence**: 62% (flow-driven edge, weak technicals)
---
⚠️ **Risks**
* Daily + weekly RSI trending down = 🐻 momentum risk
* Weak institutional volume confirmation 📉
* Heavy call flow could be **retail noise / covered calls** 😬
* 2 DTE → **theta burn + gamma whip risk** ⚡
---
Long 
Long 
Short 
Amazon (AMZN) Shares Rise Ahead of Earnings ReportAmazon (AMZN) Shares Rise Ahead of Earnings Report
Today, 31 July, Amazon is set to release its quarterly earnings after the close of the regular trading session. Available data show that Amazon (AMZN) shares are exhibiting bullish momentum, reflecting positive market expectations:
→ In July, AMZN shares have outperformed the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen);
→ Yesterday, following the end of the regular session, AMZN shares surged by approximately 3% in after-hours trading.
The rise in AMZN comes amid strong earnings reports from other tech giants, such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META). For example, MSFT shares rose by more than 8% in post-market trading. Their success has likely fuelled optimism that Amazon’s upcoming report will also impress.
All of this has brought noticeable changes to the technical outlook for the AMZN stock price.
Technical Analysis of the Amazon (AMZN) Chart
Following the release of the previous earnings report, price movements have formed an upward channel, as indicated by the Regression Trend tool. However, in recent days, a series of bearish signals emerged:
→ On Thursday, AMZN broke above the $230 level (marked by an upward arrow), but the session closed well below the highs – a sign of selling pressure;
→ Friday and Monday’s sessions produced candles with small bodies, indicating market indecision;
→ On Tuesday, bears took the lead (marked by a downward arrow), with a relatively long candle closing near the session low.
Thus, the chart gave reason to assume that optimistic sentiments were waning. However, today’s session is likely to open near the $237.30 level, effectively negating the bearish interpretation of the previous five candles and shifting momentum back in favour of the bulls.
In this context:
→ Support could be provided by the $230 level as well as the median of the Regression Trend channel;
→ Key resistance could be found at the previous high of $242.23 and the psychological level of $250.
Whether AMZN can surge to a new all-time high will largely depend on the company’s performance in AI – a theme that remains highly relevant in 2025.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Long 
Amazon (AMZN) shares jump more than 7%Amazon (AMZN) shares jump more than 7%
As shown in the Amazon (AMZN) share chart, the price surged by over 7% yesterday, breaking above the key psychological level of $200 and closing at its highest point since early March.
The sharp rise in demand was driven by reports of a trade truce between the US and China following talks in Geneva. According to Reuters, the US has decided to lower the “de minimis” threshold on goods from China. This move could help de-escalate a potentially damaging trade war between the world’s two largest economies. For AMZN stock, this is a bullish signal, as Amazon sells a wide range of low-cost Chinese goods.
Technical analysis of Amazon (AMZN) shares
From a bearish perspective, the AMZN price has recovered to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level after falling from an all-time high to the early April low. In this context, selling pressure may re-emerge with the intention of resuming the downtrend—especially as most oscillators on the chart are signalling strong overbought conditions.
From a bullish perspective:
→ The pattern of higher highs and higher lows in late April and early May may have outlined the median of an ascending channel;
→ Yesterday’s price surge in AMZN shares may point to the channel’s upper boundary.
Given these conditions, it is reasonable to expect a minor pullback before the Amazon’s stock price resumes its upward trajectory within the blue channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
