ECONOMICS:JPINTR -0.1% November/2023
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained its key short-term interest rate at -0.1% and that of 10-year bond yields at around 0% in a final meeting of the year by unanimous vote, as widely expected.
The central bank also left unchanged a loose upper band of 1.0% set for the long-term government bond yield.
The board said that it...
Ahead of the BoJ rate decision tomorrow, USDJPY sold off heavily today on a somewhat unprovoked move...did someone get wind of the decision early? Either way it has created a bunch of space on the chart and may make it difficult to find level early tomorrow morning.
The BoJ are expected to hold at -0.10% so it may be the press conference that provides the...
Hi Traders!
USDJPY finally reached the psychological 150.000 level this week and is so close to reaching its apex level at 151.946. However, there may be US dollar weakness on the horizon as the US finally ended its streak of consistent positive economic data releases with a worse-than-expected ADP non-farm employment change, which has got traders very nervous...
Bearish GBPJPY as Japan's key economic ministers warn of currency intervention
Japan's key economic ministers have warned of currency market intervention, keeping investors wary of a further sell-off in the yen and weighing on the GBPJPY exchange rate.
The yen has weakened sharply against the dollar in recent months, hitting its weakest level in nearly a year...
- We've seen USD/JPY uptrending for what will be
the fifth (5) consecutive Weekly Green Candelstick prints.
Some cool of may occurr in terms of price action,
further due for correction ?
Lots of Higher Highs levels as Support from below
Looking from the left,
a Weekly Supply Zone can be spotted ;
(you can refer it as a *W OB).
As well coinciding with the fact of...
Central banks packed quite a punch last week. Unlike the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank that raised policy rates by 25Bps, as was widely anticipated, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on July 28 unexpectedly decided to tweak the Yield Curve Control (YCC) band.
The BOJ begins its withdrawal from YCC
It will now allow some deviation above the long-term rate...
To properly represent (and trade!) the Yen related pairs, it is strongly recommended to create a Yen-based currency basket. (I did attempt to import data into TV from such a basket - weighted by the acceleration differential between the USD, EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD, CHF and a basket of Central European currencies versus the Yen but for some reason I couldn't make...
– Previous Daily candle closed Bullish at 161.540 forming new Daily Support at 159.800 as price forms fakeout on the Daily timeframe closing back within the consolidation zone.
– Buys on close above 161.770 targeting 30min previous Support formed on 22nd March 2023 at 162.240, Leaving Runners to the next 30min previous Support formed on 22 March 2023 at 162.600.
–...
The Japanese yen is in positive territory on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 129.76, down 0.33%.
Inflation indicators in Japan continue to head northwards. Tokyo Core CPI rose to 4.3% y/y in January, up from 3.9% in December and ahead of the consensus of 4.2%. This is the highest level in 42 years, but what is more worrying for the Bank of...
Overnight implied volatility has risen sharply higher for yen pairs ahead of tomorrow’s Bank of Japan (BOJ) meeting. In fact, they now sit at their highest level since Brexit, which saw some yen pairs produce double-digit percentages moves (to the favour of the yen) following the infamous vote.
Why are traders on edge ahead of tomorrow’s BOJ meeting?
The BOJ...
The Japanese yen has been on an impressive streak but has dropped sharply on Monday. USD/JPY is trading at 135.83, up 1.13% on the day.
The US dollar is showing some signs of life, courtesy of Friday's US employment report, which was stronger than expected. The economy created 263,000 jobs in November, slightly lower than the October reading of 284,000 but well...
Hello there!
So after the Q3, and the decisions that has been taken by the BOJ concerning the interest rate, in addition to the 0.4% rise in the CPI. As well as the decrease in the DXY during the last month -4.79% and in the last 5 days a decrease that resulted -3.13%. Those factors alone can picture the path of the USDJPY.
Going now into the technical part, too...
USD/JPY has been hovering close to the 145 line most of the week, and the trend has continued today. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.81, down 0.21%.
The US releases nonfarm payrolls later today. The release once received massive coverage and was usually a market-move, but the new era of high inflation and global tightening has stolen much of...
It seems stupid to trade against the dollar right now, huh? Well, I think there is potentially a good early shorting opportunity against the Yen. This is why...
The Fundamental View
1. The BOJ intervened in the Forex markets on Thursday 22nd September. This is just the start. I understand that the BOJ are doing this by themselves (without the support of the...
The Japanese yen is in negative territory today. USD/JPY is trading at 136.90 in the European session, up 0.34%.
It has been a relatively quiet week for the yen, which is trading exactly where it started the week, around the 137 line. The month of August has not been kind to the yen, with USD/JPY soaring 2.75%. The US dollar is again in favor as the markets have...
The Japanese yen rose to 133 against the dollar ( USD/JPY ), recovering from its 24-year lows.
Short-term tailwinds are supporting the yen as the market has repriced Fed interest rate risks to the downside and has already priced in a rate cut in the first half of 2023. The yen is currently doing well in its traditional role as a recession hedge, with the US...
The EURO now sits under 138.000 on the exchange rate, a key resistance level that will now surely break after European Inflation hit 8.1% for the month of April 2022, igniting the debate about whether the ECB should be raising rates at 0.50% increments instead of 0.25% increments as signaled by Christian Legard.
With European Bond Yields climbing and paying a...
GBPJPY M30
Lower timeframe analysis here, but please refer to the video analysis above for more detail. We are climbing comfortably on the break and retest play. YEN softening due to BOJ projections and outlook. ***YEN gaining across the board.
