Pullbacks will present better buying opportunities!After breaking out of the consolidation zone and touching 74000 for the first time, Bitcoin gradually retreated and has now fallen below the 70000 mark, continuing to around 68000. Will Bitcoin usher in a new round of downward trend?
In my opinion, after Bitcoin narrowly held above 60000, it began to repair market sentiment through fluctuations. However, during these fluctuations, it repeatedly built structural lows in the 62000-65000 range, laying a solid foundation for establishing a temporary bottom. This, to some extent, means that the market may have accepted 60000 as the current market bottom. Therefore, even though Bitcoin is currently retracing, I believe the retracement will be limited. The primary support level is currently in the 68000-66000 range, followed by the 64000-62000 range. Therefore, it is unlikely that Bitcoin will experience a new round of downward trend in the short term.
Therefore, in the short term, we can consider buying Bitcoin in the 68000-66000 range!
Bitcoinpricetrendanalysis
BTCUSDT BUY BY ALM INDICATOR FUNDED RELAY**This analysis is progressing correctly and positively. It was first published in my native language, Spanish, although I have no problem doing it in English since I also speak that language fluently.
Bitcoin is in a phase where it has regained strength after recent corrections. Several factors are pushing it upward: Institutional demand continues to be strong (ETFs and large accumulations).
Areas above the current price have very little historical supply (few people bought there before → "air pockets" or low-volume zones), which facilitates rapid gains once resistance is broken.
Short position liquidations generate bullish cascades when the price rises and force the closing of those bearish bets.
The price has broken out of bullish technical structures (such as triangles or pennants) with momentum, and the next natural technical magnet is near 80k.
In summary: the path to 80k is relatively "clear" because there is little real resistance from sellers trapped in that range, plus accumulated buying pressure. Volume Indicator: On-Balance Volume (OBV) The OBV (On-Balance Volume) is one of the simplest and most powerful indicators to see if a rally is "worth it" or just smoke and mirrors. How it works: Each day (or candlestick), it adds the full volume if the price closes higher (aggressive buying).
It subtracts the full volume if it closes lower (aggressive selling).
The result is a cumulative line that goes up or down.
Key interpretation: If the price rises and the OBV also rises sharply → real bullish confirmation. There is real volume behind it (new money coming in, accumulation).
If the price rises but the OBV stagnates or falls → bearish divergence. The rally is weak, probably just short closing or lacks conviction → it may reverse. If the price is moving sideways or correcting, but the OBV continues to rise → hidden accumulation. Large players are buying without significantly moving the price yet → a very bullish setup for a subsequent breakout.
In the current case of Bitcoin, when there have been recent rallies with increasing volume and OBV marking new highs (or at least not diverging negatively), it reinforces the idea that the buying pressure is genuine and not just noise. This supports the thesis that, upon breaking key resistance levels, momentum can quickly propel it towards areas like 80k without much opposition.
BITCOIN usually bottoms just after THIS happensSuper simple big picture analysis
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) log chart - long term rising trendline + weekly oversold RSI.
In the past it has either made a low concurrently with the RSI max oversold level OR it has formed RSI bullish divergence whereby price makes one more swing lower while RSI stays out of oversold terriroy forming a higher low.
Theese are the 2 long term bullish setups.
If these fail.. IMO... timberrrrrrr
But's that's just my thoughts, what do you think? Pls share
Bitcoin: The "Cycle Purist" Roadmap (2025 - 2029)This chart is a technical exercise for those who believe in the absolute cyclicity of Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
If we strictly follow the historical patterns of time and price, ignoring external macro factors or the recent institutional "spot ETF" narrative, the roadmap becomes surprisingly clear and rigid.
Key Parameters of this Model:
Time Symmetry: Respecting the ~1,060-day bullish periods followed by ~365-day bearish corrections.
Diminishing Returns: A calculated decay in growth percentages for each cycle (2,109%→715%→454%).
Logarithmic Channel: Price action remains contained within the long-term upper and lower boundaries.
The "Cycle Purist" Outlook:
If this 100% cyclical model holds true, it suggests that despite the current price action, the cycle low hasn't been reached yet. According to the math, a capitulation towards the $30k - $35k range would be expected by October 2026, before starting the next massive run towards $180k in 2029.
Disclaimer: This is not my personal bias or a definitive market call. It is a visualization of what "perfect cyclicity" looks like. Whether the entry of institutional capital has permanently broken this clock or if the market will once again "rhyme" with the past remains the ultimate question.
What do you think? Is the cycle still the master of the game, or has the script changed forever?
Bitcoin ATH Range, Breakout, and Bear Cycles Monthly ChartHere we can see that the All Time High cycles, Breakout Ranges, and Bear cycles have been very consistent through the history of Bitcoin.
On this monthly chart, the 'All Time High' range (From ATH to ATH) is 47-49 months or around 1400 days. Last year I was monitoring to see if we had a 47 - 49 month cycle.
And just like last cycle, it was roughly 47 again.
The cycles between All Time High breakouts (Above prior cycle highs) ranges from 42 - 48 months.
Similarly, the cycles from ATH to the Bear Market Lows has consistently been around 13 months or 396 days.
This projects that this current Bear market should end and starting higher by September / October 2026 of this year.
Time will tell.
BTC/USD — Institutional Volume Analysis | February 24, 2026Structure: BEARISH | POC Distance: -6.85% | In Value Area: YES
The Chart Is Saying What Most Don't Want to Hear
Price is currently printing $63,258 on the 4H — and the Cantillon Institutional Volume Suite is unambiguous. Structure remains BEARISH. The AVWAP (purple line) has been declining in a near-perfect slope since the $98K highs in mid-January, and price has not once reclaimed it. Every attempt to rally has been met with institutional supply at lower and lower levels. This is textbook distribution behavior — not accumulation.
The February 5th capitulation wick to $61K was violent, but notice what followed: price did not recover with conviction. Instead, we got six weeks of compression between roughly $66K–$72K, with repeated failures at the $68K POC level (red horizontal line). That range has now broken to the downside. The POC sits at -6.85% above current price — institutions are underwater on the cycle average cost basis, and there is no structural evidence of absorption at current levels.
Volume Profile Speaks Clearly
The volume profile on the left side of the chart tells the story. The high-volume node cluster sits between $68K–$79K — that is where the majority of institutional positioning occurred during the prior advance. We are currently trading well below that entire value area, which means price has exited the zone where institutions transacted in size.
Being "In Value Area: YES" provides a narrow technical floor, but it should not be misread as support. It means price is still within the broader statistical distribution — not that buyers are in control. With structure confirmed bearish and AVWAP declining, the burden of proof remains entirely on the bulls.
What the Cantillon Sequence Tells Us
The macro Cantillon flow currently reads ACCUMULATION — liquidity conditions are improving upstream (bonds bid, equities mixed, risk assets still under pressure). Bitcoin sits at the third layer of the flow sequence. Liquidity improvement at the macro level is a necessary precondition for BTC recovery, but it is not sufficient. The upstream signal is forming; it has not yet translated into sustained institutional buying pressure in Bitcoin.
Until AVWAP begins to flatten and price begins printing higher structure above the declining purple line, this remains a sell-rallies regime — not a buy-dips regime.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $68,000 — the POC and former range floor now acting as overhead supply. Any rally that fails here confirms continued distribution.
Critical Reclaim Level: $75,000–$76,000 — the lower boundary of the high-volume node cluster. A sustained close above this zone would begin to challenge the bearish structural thesis.
Downside Reference: $61,000–$62,000 — the February 5th wick low. A decisive break below this level opens air-pocket territory toward $55K–$58K where volume profile shows minimal transactional history.
The Regime Has Not Flipped
Today's +0.14% print is noise in the context of a -35% move from cycle highs. What the IVT framework requires before a regime change can be confirmed: price reclaiming and holding above the declining AVWAP, volume compression entering COILED territory (currently expanded), and stability readings improving from zero.
None of those conditions are present.
The macro setup is building upstream. The Cantillon sequence is moving in the right direction at the liquidity layer. But Bitcoin remains three layers removed from the source — and the Terminal will confirm when the flow actually arrives.
Until then: regime first. Volume second. Price last.
Cantillon Institutional Volume Suite | thecantillonreport.com
Educational analysis only. Not financial advice.
Bearish outlook for Bitcoin!Bitcoin Cycle Analysis and Trade Thesis
For more than a decade, Bitcoin has evolved through recurring cyclical patterns, consistently respecting long-term moving averages and two logarithmic regression curves — one defining market peaks and the other defining troughs. I expect this structural behavior to persist over the coming years.
On Friday, as INDEX:BTCUSD briefly topped 123,000, I initiated a bear put spread on NASDAQ:IBIT (50/45 strike), expiring January 2026.
Target: BTCUSD ≈ 70,000.
If this target is not reached by late 2026, I will close the position regardless of price.
Bearish Counterpoints
“Never trade against the trend” — Bitcoin has remained structurally bullish since inception.
“No parabolic top” — Historically, bear markets have emerged only after parabolic blow-offs, which are not currently visible.
“No fundamental trigger” — Major bear phases have often begun with clear catalysts (e.g., Mt. Gox invalid transaction issues, Mt. Gox collapse, China’s mining ban…), none of which are present now.
I admit it feels somewhat awkward to go short while everyone else is buying.
But in trading, profit often comes from being contrarian — buying near the bottom when fear dominates, and selling near the top when euphoria takes over.
And one last thought: even if I believe crypto will still exist in 50+ years — stablecoins, for example, are undeniably useful for fast money transfers and cross-border payments — I expect many of the most speculative assets to trade far closer to zero than to today’s prices.
Bitcoin, along with others tokens, remains, in my view, vastly overvalued.
19 Feb Scenario B Updated₿ BTCUSD – Scenario B
Market Structure Overview
On the 1H timeframe, BTC continues to trade within a descending structure. Lower highs remain intact, and price is still respecting the broader downtrend channel.
The recent bounce appears corrective rather than impulsive. No confirmed break of structure has occurred to shift the higher timeframe bias.
Trend remains bearish until proven otherwise.
⸻
Scenario B – Rejection & Continuation Lower
If price rejects within the current resistance / supply zone and fails to break above the descending trendline:
• Lower high formation remains valid
• Bearish momentum resumes
• Downside continuation becomes likely
Key downside targets:
TP1: 65,200
TP2: 64,000
TP3: 62,000
This scenario becomes stronger with a confirmed rejection candle and continuation below short-term support.
⸻
Invalidation
A clean break and hold above the descending trendline would weaken the bearish thesis and open the door for a broader recovery.
Until then, structure favors continuation lower.
⸻
Execution Plan
No chasing mid-range.
Waiting for rejection confirmation and structure alignment before entry.
$BTC Post-Drop Consolidation in ProgressCRYPTOCAP:BTC 3D timeframe
After that sharp flush toward $60K, price is doing exactly what we talked about bouncing and moving between nearby support and resistance instead of continuing straight down.
That $60K area looks like it’s acting as a local low for now.
Not saying it’s the bottom… but it’s clearly a level where buyers are stepping in and slowing things down.
In the short term (next 1–2 weeks), this still looks like a relief phase, similar to what we saw back in late 2024 a period where price stabilizes, chops around, and gives indicators like RSI time to reset after heavy selling.
Key zones I’m watching:
• Support: strong interest around $60K, and if price dips deeper, the $56K–$53K area should attract even more demand.
• Resistance: on the upside, expect selling pressure between $72K–$76K.
So for now, this doesn’t look like a straight trend move.
It looks more like the market catching its breath after the drop.
Not calling a bottom yet, just recognising that the market is likely in a short-term stabilisation phase before the next bigger move.
DYOR, NFA
#Bitcoin
H1 BTCUSDT chart1️⃣ Bigger Picture
There was a strong bullish expansion beforehand.
A distribution structure formed near the top.
Then a sharp downside displacement occurred.
Now we are seeing a weak reaction after that drop.
So the structure is no longer bullish — this looks like a corrective bounce phase.
2️⃣ Gray Zone (Supply / Mitigation)
The gray area represents:
A previous breakdown origin
Potential mitigation of unfilled orders
A lower high candidate zone
Price is reacting into that area, but the bounce lacks strength and impulsive character.
If this zone holds,
it confirms continuation rather than reversal.
3️⃣ Current Flow
Strong displacement down
Weak, corrective retracement
No aggressive bullish follow-through
That typically signals continuation.
Markets rarely reverse immediately after a clean displacement.
They retrace, mitigate, then deliver the second leg.
4️⃣ Higher Probability Scenario
🔴 Most likely scenario:
Rejection from the gray supply zone
Formation of a lower high
Sweep of the recent low
Continuation toward 67,300 – 67,000 liquidity pocket
Momentum structure supports this.
5️⃣ Invalidation
Bearish continuation weakens if:
Strong bullish engulfing closes above the gray zone
Displacement upward with volume expansion
A clear higher high forms
Without those, this is just a retracement inside a bearish leg.
The Right Bitcoin ChannelHello TV Community,
I am back with this and more insightful charts coming soon.
This chart was first published back in 2020 (linked below) and this is an update to BTC's trajectory over the past few years.
This chart demonstrates that BTC's price action has been steadily following the mid 50% of my "right" channel (see idea linked below to understand what I mean by "right channel"). The last time BTC's price broke out of the mid 50% range was back in December 2017's high.
The most up to date volume profile indicates that the majority of the trading volume was pre-2017. The MACD indicator is a great example of BTC's highly volatillity since the Dec 2017 high.
If BTC's price breaks into the bottom 25% of the channel, I would expect a touch of the lower end of this channel. If the price bounces off the lower end of the mid 50% of this channel, we can expect higher highs in the not too distant future.
'Til next time.
__________________________________
I let my charts do the talkin'.
A Major Warning Crash Signal for Markets!🚨 CAPE at 40.30: Second-Highest in History — A Major Warning Signal for Markets
The Shiller CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted P/E) ratio is one of the most respected long-term valuation metrics because it smooths earnings over 10 years, cutting through short-term noise.
Today, CAPE sits around 40.30 — a level seen only a handful of times in over 150 years of market history. Outside of the dot-com bubble, this is among the highest readings ever recorded.
Historically, CAPE levels above 30 have never been sustainable and have always been followed by major market drawdowns or crashes.
📚 Historical Precedents: What Happened Last Time CAPE Was This High?
🔥 1929 – Great Depression
CAPE exceeded 30
Followed by a market crash of nearly 90%
Economic depression lasting a decade
🔥 2000 – Dot-Com Bubble
CAPE peaked above 44 (highest ever)
Nasdaq collapsed ~78%
S&P 500 lost ~50%
Took years to recover
🔥 2008 – Global Financial Crisis
CAPE remained elevated into the mid-to-high 20s after years of excess
Valuations stayed stretched while debt, leverage, and housing bubbles expanded
Result:
S&P 500 fell ~57%
Global credit markets froze
Deep recession followed
⚠️ Important note:
CAPE does not always need to hit extreme highs right before the crash — prolonged overvaluation combined with leverage and credit stress has historically been enough.
🧠 Key Insight
Markets don’t crash because CAPE is high.
They crash because high valuations leave no margin of safety when stress arrives.
Right now, valuations are extreme while macro stress is building.
🌍 Macro Warning Signs Supporting the Risk
📉 China’s Structural Breakdown
Ongoing real-estate collapse
Developer defaults
Weak consumer demand
Spillover risk to global growth, commodities, and financial markets
🏢 Commercial Real Estate Crisis
Office vacancies at multi-decade highs
Refinancing risk as rates stay elevated
Banks and regional lenders exposed
Similar early warning signs seen before 2008
💣 Exploding Government Debt
U.S. and global debt at record levels
Interest costs rising faster than GDP
Limits governments’ ability to stimulate during downturns
Fiscal stress historically precedes recessions
📉 Yield Curve & Credit Stress
Extended yield curve inversion (classic recession signal)
Tightening credit conditions
Rising defaults in leveraged sectors
🚨 Why This Time Is Especially Dangerous
Unlike previous bull markets, today we have: ✔ Extreme valuations (CAPE > 40)
✔ High interest rates
✔ Heavy global debt
✔ Weak global growth
✔ Fragile real-estate sectors
✔ Tight liquidity conditions
This combination reduces the odds of a soft landing.
🧭 What History Suggests
When CAPE exceeds 30 during bull markets:
Returns over the next 5–10 years are poor
Corrections are sharp, not gradual
Crashes tend to coincide with recessions
Markets can stay irrational longer than expected — but valuation extremes are always resolved eventually.
📌 Summary
CAPE at 40.30 is a historic red flag
Similar conditions preceded 1929, 2000, and 2008
Current macro stress supports the risk of:
👉 Major market sell-off
👉 Potential recession starting this year
This is not about timing tops — it’s about recognizing asymmetric risk
⚠️ Ignore price — watch valuations, credit, and liquidity.
Is 16000 - 19000 Possible for BTC??BTC Analysis
CMP 66200.71 (05-02-2026)
Hit the Target of Cup & Handle around 120000 - 123000 & then crashed.
Now it may bounce back from 61000 - 63000 towards 80000.
However, breaking the important Support zone (61000 - 63000)
may drop the price further around 48000 & then around 33000.
For long term investment, the most attractive buying range is
around 16000 - 19000 (if it comes).
#BITCOIN: 2026 Is Loading Possible Drop First And Then Boom! Happy New Year 2026💥🎇
We extend our best wishes for your success and happiness, hoping this year brings the achievement of all your trading objectives.
Let us now analyse Bitcoin's concluding performance for the year 2025👨💻📈
🔺Bitcoin is currently exhibiting strong consolidation, trading within a range of $80,000 to $95,000. It is possible that the price is awaiting robust Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data to bolster the DXY, which could indirectly lead to a price correction towards the $67,000-$64,000 range. This area is characterized by significant bullish volume and liquidity. A potential swing target could be established above the recent yearly high of $125,000.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit💭
🔺A strong order block entry is identifiable at $67,000, a critical level for global investors. Upon a price rejection from this vicinity, we anticipate a reversal and subsequent progression towards our designated take-profit target of $135,000.
🔺 A stop loss can be positioned below $59,000 providing a sufficient buffer in the event of a liquidity hunt. This trade may require up to a full year to materialise unless fundamental shifts induce unexpected price movements.
Support and Encouragement 🏆
🔺 We encourage you to comment on and share this analysis if you find it insightful. Your engagement, particularly through likes, provides valuable affirmation of our efforts.
We wish you good year ahead and appreciate your continued support.
Team SetupsFX_
BTCUSD (1H) — RegimeWorks E1 Short | Why the trade openedThis entry is not discretionary. It triggered because the RegimeWorks Engine 1 conditions aligned: permission (context) → trigger (price action) → risk (defined invalidation).
1) Permission (context had to be “on”)
From the chart structure:
BTC had an aggressive downside impulse earlier, then shifted into a choppy consolidation / pullback under overhead resistance.
Price was trading below the higher EMA cluster (downside pressure / bearish structure still dominant).
The move back up was treated as a pullback into supply, not a fresh long regime.
RegimeWorks interpretation: if the broader context is bearish and price is retracing into resistance, E1 looks for continuation shorts — but only when the trigger confirms.
2) Trigger (what actually caused the entry)
Engine 1 fired when price:
Pushed into the resistance zone (your red risk box area / rejection region),
Failed to reclaim and hold higher, and
Printed continuation confirmation (rejection + loss of short-term support), indicating the pullback was likely done.
In simple terms:
pullback into supply → rejection → continuation trigger
That sequence is the E1 entry template.
3) Risk framework (why this is a valid E1 trade)
The trade is valid because it has objective invalidation:
Stop is positioned above the rejection/supply area (if price accepts above that zone, the short idea is wrong).
Target is set toward the next logical downside area (your green box projects into the lower liquidity / support region).
This is critical RegimeWorks style: the engine doesn’t “predict” — it executes only when it can define where it’s wrong.
4) Why it opened here (and not earlier)
Because E1 waits for:
a pullback into a known resistance region and
confirmation that buyers failed (rejection + continuation structure).
Without that, it stays idle and avoids noise trades.
This short opened because BTCUSD was in a bearish continuation context, price retraced into resistance, then rejected and confirmed continuation, giving E1 a clean entry with defined invalidation and a downside objective.
Not a guarantee — just a rules-based execution when permission was present.
Breaking: Bitcoin Dips to $70K Zone The price of the notable asset - Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) Dips to $70K Zone amidst market turmoil. The asset has broken the base of a bearish symmetrical triangle further hinting on more selling pressure in the short to long term.
Notable assets like CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL and CRYPTOCAP:XRP all experience their own fair share of the market volatility.
A major reason the sell-off became so aggressive was leverage. Many traders were using borrowed funds in Bitcoin and altcoin derivatives. When prices dropped quickly, those positions were forced to close.
These liquidations created a chain reaction. Each forced sell pushed prices lower, triggering more liquidations. This is common during sharp crypto pullbacks, especially when markets are thin and traders are over-positioned.
Traders will be watching whether Bitcoin can stay above recent support levels. If it holds, the market may slowly recover. If it breaks lower again, another wave of selling could follow.
For now, the market looks shaken but not broken. The weekend sell-off was sharp, but Bitcoin’s ability to stabilize suggests this may be a reset, not the start of a deeper collapse.
Bitcoin SELL prediction of the End of january 2026After big sell extenntion price pulled back to a supply zone. Also created breakout of structure to the downside then pulled back for another time that gave us power to decide to take short position. Also,considering price and time theory we had confirmation that was right time take a short position
BTC - an ICT and Wyckoff illustration of the current rangeWe have a lot going on in this chart, so let's simplify it.
When you start looking at time based liquidity, the charts simply start making sense... I have a completely free indicator called "Time Liquidity a Zulu Kilo Indicator" that will help you make sense of ICT much faster than any other indicator.
-We have consolidation which is a tell-tale sign that large hands want to control a very specific area, which will be extremely important in the future (for a far bigger move).
-Price manipulated above a previous monthly high, into a higher timeframe weekly FVG, which then reversed and created an IFVG while simultaneously creating displacement down AND confirming below a CISD level.
-This is also setting up a type 1 distributive Wyckoff schema, with the UT (upthrust) as the manipulation, the Wyckoff upper range setting the tone for a return to OTE (optimal trade entry).
Pretty much every check box has been checked for us to be able to take a short position from 93k to 96k.
-Manipulation above a higher timeframe (in our case monthly) into a high timeframe FVG - CHECK
-Price broke below the displacement created on the way up (iFVG), and then created displacement to the downside (FVG) while broaching the CISD (Change in state of delivery / which is yet another validation of bearish intent). CHECK
Price should now retrace into the 68% - 79% OTA (optimal trade entry) and reverse below the yearly open.
As I've previously written on this subject, I believe that we have one more strong bullish move before a much deeper, larger and significant Bitcoin crash THIS YEAR that will test around the 50k price levels...
We WILL be looking for bullish moves below 74,500 (another manipulation possibility below the yearly lows).
BTC vs HYPE - or we will grow from here like hypeWhy the setups are actually similar (BTC ↔ HYPE)
Common characteristics:
Upward impulse → pullback
The pullback does NOT break the impulse low
Price is holding:
either the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone
or an ascending local trendline
Structure = bullish pullback, but without confirmation
So this is not “weakness” — it’s a test.
2️⃣ Key moment — where we are now
Right now we are:
below the local high
at the edge of a Fibonacci zone, where:
either real buyers step in
or the market says: “Okay, let’s go deeper.”
And this is where it becomes critical:
how the Sunday candle opens
3️⃣ Two scenarios (and they are clean)
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — MOVE UP FROM HERE
Valid if:
Sunday opens without a gap down
The candle holds 0.382 / the trendline
We see:
a long lower wick
or an impulsive reaction to the upside
👉 Then this is:
liquidity collection
trend continuation
targets: a return to the local high + extension
This is a healthy, clean bullish continuation.
🔴 SCENARIO 2 — DROP ON THE OPEN
Triggered if:
Sunday opens below 0.382
The candle closes below the trendline
There is no fast buyback
👉 Then:
the pullback is invalidated
this becomes distribution → continuation down
logical targets:
0.618
or a full retest of the impulse
And this part is critical:
don’t try to catch the knife
because this would no longer be a “correction,” but a phase shift.
Bitcoin - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two strong resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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BTC/USDT Long Signal (Spot or Futures)Entry Zone: Buy on rejection/confirmation of support around $90,000 – $90,500 (ideally near the lower gray zone ~$90,074 or wick rejection + bullish candle close above it).
Trigger: Look for price rejection here (e.g., hammer/doji/wick rejection from lows, volume spike on bounce, or reclaim of the blue trendline/support line). If it breaks down hard below ~$90,000 with conviction, avoid or wait for lower retest.
Stop Loss: Below major support invalidation ~$89,500 – $89,800 (to account for wicks, place ~1-2% below the zone).
Take Profit Targets: TP1: $92,199 – $92,500 (first resistance, partial profit ~50%)
TP2: $92,713 – $93,000 (next gray resistance area)
TP3: $94,000 – $94,967 (higher target if momentum builds, blue arrow projection area)
Stretch: $96,000+ if breakout continues (previous highs).
Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2+ (e.g., ~1% risk for 2-4%+ reward on initial targets).
Timeframe: 4h confirmation preferred, watch for daily close above support to strengthen the case.
Invalidation: Strong close below $89,800–$90,000 shifts bias bearish (potential lower test toward $88k or beyond).
This aligns with the major horizontal support zone visible on your chart (gray box from mid-December/early Jan), recent pullback respecting it, and the overall bullish structure with higher lows.Use proper position sizing, watch for volume/news (e.g., macro events), and monitor for fakeouts.Not financial advice — Trading crypto is highly volatile and risky. This is just an interpretation of the shared chart for educational/discussion purposes. Do your own research (DYOR), manage risk, and never trade with money you can't afford to lose. Past performance isn't indicative of future results. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #BTCUSD #TradingView #Crypto #BitcoinSupport #LongBTC #NotFinancialAdvice
Bitcoin MA Breakout Setup: What Traders Should Watch Now📈 BTC/USDT – “BITCOIN VS TETHER” | Crypto Market Opportunity Blueprint (Day Trade)
🔥 Bullish Breakout Roadmap for Active Day Traders
🧭 PLAN:
Price is attempting a bullish breakout above key moving averages. Once price clears $88,000, momentum buyers may step in and drive a continuation leg upward.
🎯 ENTRY (Breakout Confirmation):
▶ Enter at any price level AFTER a clean moving-average breakout above $88,000.
Look for strong candle closes + volume expansion.
🛑 STOP–LOSS (Risk Management First):
⚠️ This is MY thief-style SL: $84,000
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — manage your own risk according to your playbook.
This is only my SL, not a rule. You’re free to adjust based on your own risk appetite.
💰 TARGET:
Moving averages align as a dynamic resistance zone, combined with overbought conditions and potential bull-trap signals.
Secure profits responsibly.
▶ Target: $90,800
Again — Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this TP is MY personal level.
Book profits your own way, at your own risk.
🔍 Related Crypto Pairs to Watch (Correlation + Key Notes)
1️⃣ ETH/USDT (Ethereum)
Highly correlated with BTC in bullish phases
Strong ETH movement often front-runs or confirms BTC breakouts
Watch for ETH strength → may add confidence to BTC breakout trades
2️⃣ BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance)
Rising BTC dominance = Capital flowing into Bitcoin → Supports bullish continuation
Falling dominance = Altcoins gaining share → BTC breakouts may weaken or turn choppy
3️⃣ TOTAL / TOTAL2 (Crypto Market Cap Charts)
Confirms whether capital is entering the entire crypto market
TOTAL rising with BTC strength = broad market confidence
TOTAL flat/dropping during BTC’s rise = possible bull trap
4️⃣ SOL/USDT (Solana)
Solana often moves aggressively when BTC breaks out
Sharp SOL rallies can signal strong risk-on momentum across majors
5️⃣ USDT.D (USDT Dominance)
When USDT dominance drops → Traders moving out of stablecoins → Bullish risk appetite
When it spikes → Smart money hedging → BTC breakout may fail
6️⃣ BTC/USDT Perp Funding Rate
Positive & increasing funding = heavy long side → Potential squeeze
Neutral funding = healthy breakout
Negative funding = breakout might be fueled by short covering
📊 Market Tone:
BTC continues to show strong buyer interest, but resistance pockets remain.
Trade mechanically. Don’t chase candles. Let structure confirm itself.






















