The Japanese yen is in positive territory on Thursday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 142.85, down 0.61%. Later today, the US releases third-estimate GDP for the third quarter, which is expected to confirm that the economy grew at an impressive rate of 5.2% q/q. Japan's Core CPI, which excludes fresh food but includes energy, is considered the...
USD/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 142.466 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 140.800 which is a level that lies under a swing-low support. Take profit is at 144.954 which is a pullback resistance that sits...
USDJPY came sharply to the downside recently on the hawkish BoJ which now saying that normalization can happen, possibly in March of 2024. Also, Ueda said that policy change could involve element of surprise . So we evne shoudl be aware of some volatile price moves in weeks ahead, ideally in favour of the JPY. From an Elliott wave perspective we see nice turn...
The Japanese yen is lower at the start of the week. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 142.77, up 0.44%. The yen continues to power higher and surged 1.9% last week. It marked a fifth straight winning week for the yen, which has climbed 6.2% during that time. The yen strengthened to 140.95 on Friday, its highest level since July 31. Bank of Japan...
USD/JPY could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 143.058 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 144.538 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 140.949 which is a...
Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Here's my evaluation of the pair and moving forward what is there to expect. But let's revisit what has happened over this week. If you have not yet seen my previous post of USDJPY , you maybe refer to link below or here >> Let's roll back on time on USDJPY to Monday,...
USDJPY is coming sharply to the downside this week as hawkish BoJ hinted a potential policy change in 2024. We see strong breakdown on USDJPY, below the chanel support line on the daily chart which makes us think that this is a new higher degree decline that should be done with three waves down minimum. So be aware of more weakness in weeks ahead, especially after...
Navigating the JPY and Japanese Bond Market Dynamics: Unraveling the Headlines Introduction: Unprecedented Moves Grab Headlines Recent outsized movements in the Japanese yen (JPY) and the Japanese bond markets have become the focal point of financial headlines. The prevailing narrative suggests that Japan is finally on the path to unwind its super easy monetary...
In early European trading, the US dollar steadied near a one-week high against a basket of currencies, holding at 103.559 on the Dollar Index. This stability follows a period of weakness in November, marked by traders anticipating significant rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the coming year. However, recent actions have seen a shift in sentiment as investors...
GBPJPY played out exactly how we outlined on our analysis. We called the top, followed by a bearish retracement towards $176.500. If you caught the top, you would have caught 730 PIPS towards our Wave IV target. Now towards the next target of $190 (Wave V)!
In Karate, offense is the best form of defence. The BoJ knows it. Japan faces a raft of economic headwinds which shows up in Yen’s performance. The BoJ intervened strongly last year to support the currency when it skirted around current levels. Yen is hovering at those levels again. BoJ is anticipated to act. Such interventions typically mark the bottom. This...
Looks like USDJPY has broken down through the rising trendline, there was a slight recovery at the backend of Friday, this indicates we could see a short retracement from here to test the trendline break, and then down. The Yen performed well at the start of Friday, I don't believe this was BoJ intervention, as they have said that they expect the fundamentals to...
The Japanese yen has rebounded on Tuesday with strong gains. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.70, down 0.67%. The yen has snapped a nasty six-day losing streak which saw the currency lose 1.5%. The US dollar is broadly lower today after the October inflation report was weaker than expected. US inflation was softer than expected in...
We're at the top end of the range for this pair, I am expecting BoJ to start backing its currency. I've recently noticed some negative correlation between USDJPY and the other XXXJPY crosses, so where USDJPY falls the others have been more bullish. That said if the BoJ get involved it will tank all of them. I'm not 100% what I really think will happen here, I...
Summary The Yen continues to weaken. The USDJPY is now at a 25-year high. The Details The Bank of Japan (BOJ) intervention could happen any week, meaning some big moves on JPY pairs. I am expecting at least a 500 pip bearish move on USDJPY 💥 If there is no intervention, USDJPY may reach as high as 155-160 before the BOJ changes interest rates to strengthen...
Not sure if this is the big short or not yet, but looking at price action it's been a jog up to this point, rather than a sprint, this tells me we're fine to short until at least the ascending dynamic trendline that reversed the last short. We have an engulfing candle on the 1 hour, followed by a long-body doji, so I think we're going to see a push down. If we...
Looks like another rejection, could be a HL, but expecting a continuation of the retracements from here now that minor support is broken.
I don't believe the BoJ have gotten involved yet, or if they have it's going under the radar. I believe this pair has only slipped due to USD retracement following the NFP and softer labour market data last week. With retailers now net short I think that we'll see another push back up. We have broken my rising wedge line related idea, however unless we break...