Western interest rates starting going back up in the end. Looks like the whole "new paradigm" is over. Money is not free anymore. To sum up: - Boomers got 110% of the wealth (other generations are in debt), they are aging and getting more conservative, covid got them even more scared and conservative (risk averse); - Generally investor outlook on the economy...
I am posting so you get the clear picture of what is ahead and just started . remember I stated HOPE well she is a girl in the lifeboat who just used the last of the fresh drinking water to wash her hair !! I stand by my work and DATA to back it up all 120 years of it !!!!
The bond market has broken a 35Y downtrend and we can see in this chart the correlation to the rate hikes, is this a sign of substantial rate hikes in the future?
This is your ultimate chart to predict the crash. Search no more. Everytime bonds broke trend and started spiking up - crash for stocks (And crypto) was imminent. We didn't even approach the trend yet - so it means this is just a correction. Cheers!
It is just because no Crypto has ever experienced a real big crash. And now we are approaching the Great Reset. No DCA will save you here.
This is proof we started declining too early and we can still expect a lot of wonders before the actual crash. Before we truly don't go above 0 on Treasure yields - we can still expect some push to the upside - and even significant ones.
TLT still going down despite today’s big bounce in equities. TLT stopped exactly on the monthly mma200 red line after breaking below 100 today Monday. TLT should hold mma200 this week or else bonds & equities have a lot more to fall. Not trading advice.
In this short video I focus on the UK and US 10 year bond markets in comparison to the DJI. All these markets are linked up in the background - at the speed of light. There are no predictions here - only probabilities and speculation. High volatility is expected at the opening of the markets tonight, 16th Oct 2022. Some are predicting a 'Black Monday' type...
Everyone is a good trader in a bull market, but in a bear market, these good traders are reduced to hopium-fueled twitter analysts watching core CPI and interest rates. The former and latter data points serve nothing more as useless, out-of-context generalities for the single-celled Wall Street Bet retail enjoyer. But recent activity across the pond has sparked...
Bonds took a dive to break lows and hit our target of 110'05. A green triangle on the KRI confirmed support and we immediately the dip was immediately bought back, and we recovered the range between 110'27 and 111'26. We are currently hugging the upper bound of this range. The move followed yet another hotter than expected CPI print and a slump in retail sales....
Starting to get interested in US bonds here... If you look at this chart since 2023 using fibonacci channels and uptrend support.. we could well start to see a bid in Bonds here. Also note that the weekly RSI is starting to show signs of divergence here which could be warning of a rally to come.. We could still flush down to 103 but i think i would start building...
EUR/USD 🔼 GBP/USD 🔽 AUD/USD 🔽 USD/CAD 🔼 XAU 🔽 WTI 🔽 Amidst domestic financial turbulences, the Bank of England announced an emergency program to purchase UK government bonds - which will end on Friday. The decision was made public earlier by the central bank’s governor, a sudden spike in the Claimant Count Change readings to 25,500 was also detrimental to the...
This idea is a primer for ideas on how the FEDs decision to suspend the Supplemental Leverage Ratio for COVID and Implement the Overnight Reverse Repo while printing QE has led to the complete collapse of the bond market and began the era of sticky inflation. If you overlay the 10Y Breakeven Inflation rate with Year over Year then circle the dates when Jerome...
In this update we review the recent price action in TLT and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target
In today's video I will look into a detail analysis of USDMXN, which is doing quite well compared to the strong USD Index. So my assumption is that when USd index will hit resistance, possibly after the 10 year US notes completed the current fifht wave up, the USDMXN can easily break through the support and will be targeting Feb 2020 pandemic low. Crude oil is...
Hello my Fellow TraderZ, Currently this is the most important chart most of the traders eyeing upon - #DXY. #DXY - an index containing the graphical representation of the strength of $USD against major currencies of the World. We can see the #DXY is enjoying the Parabolic Blow off phase after making DOUBLE BOTTOM in JUNE 2021. Now , after breaking certain...
Publishing this just so you are aware. Ofcourse must be some kind of bug, right ? ..RIGHT?
Last week, UK pension funds, which hold highly leveraged bond derivative positions, were facing a nearly $1 trillion loss as bond prices crashed and yields rose. The crash in the bond market has been underway for years, but the tipping point occurred when the UK prime minister pledged to cut taxes at a time when inflation is soaring into the double...