The chart below shows the yield spread between the 10yr and 3mo and 10yr and 2yr. When the spread is below 0 (colored in red), the yield curve is inverted. This has been an indicator for coming recessions. The red areas on the SPX are the recession periods.
As you can see we saw an inversion last month (march). The next recession is just around the corner and...
Looking at the 30 years. There seems to be a lot of movement on the bond market that the financial media has been totally ignoring!
The bond yields reached a high of 3.46 November 2 2018!
These heights were broken when the price broke and Closed below the 3.4 level
The current yield is showing an uptrend. The uptrend is an extension of the Fibonacci area.
This may not look like something to watch and you may not know about it. Only about 2% of investors understand it, however 98% of institutional traders (the “smart money”) watch it like the World Cup finals. Its the 10 year treasury yield to the 2 Year treasury yield ratio/spread.
Bottomline: If it goes negative (hits the dotted yellow line) =...
Finally, AUDUSD have started to regain its ground after most investors have swayed much stress over the retaliatory action s of China against the additional US trade tariff imposed by President Trump.
The same manner that US equities have continued its pace to record levels after a minor corrective move led by the triple digit climb of the #DOW above 26200....
As the markets price in the next interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, we see the spread between the 30 year and 2 year US treasuries continue to flatten. It is probably not coincidence that peaks in the Altcoin Index match up with with relative bottoms (especially recently) in the treasury spread.
Also, although this is somewhat due to the Segwit2x drama...