Another reason to get involved in options research analysis. Yesterday and last Friday, 10-year bonds options contracts on the CME were found which have a predictive component in the form of sharp price movement in any direction. Today's 10-Year Bonds chart has fully realized this sentiment, allowing the most informed participants to capitalize well. And did you...
Reference chart for my research purposes.
Studying the success of short-term bond rates to front run federal fund rate decisions (in white). Without much inspection, we can say they are fairly reliable.
Here is a chart of the 2yr / 5yr /10yr / & 30yr yields
The BLUE LINE represents the highest yields from 2018
The WHITE LINE represents the highest yields from 20202
TVC:US10Y I'm just looking at the 10Y U.S bond yield to try and better pinpoint the overall macro conditions to expect for the equity market this year.
Based on my technical analysis, 10YUS yield is currently trading in an Elliot Wave 5 wave ABCDE pattern, it's inside a triangle that seems to also be the extension of a cup and handle bullish formation. The (D)...
In this chart, I find it important to (as an economist) monitor treasuries and bonds, luckily Tradingview has us covered there. The next few charts will be some economic correlations so we can better understand the economy before I get into the meat and potatoes of this system . As you can see, bonds and treasuries are dropping which indicates selling. Big name...
Above, in black the rate differential UK 10-Year Bond Yield-US 10-Year Bond Yield, in orange Gbp-Usd. The two charts should move in tandem, but this is not always the case. It is also true that this is not a normal period, Covid-19 has been negatively affecting the world economy for a year. However, the two charts will move back in tandem, sooner or later.
Below,...
The 10 Year Treasury yields have bounced aggressively from all time lows. However, we are not at the August/September 2020 lows which coincides magically (lookup the gold number found everywhere in the Cosmos) with the 38.2% fibo retracement from the highs to the lows. If rates go sideways or correct from here, we're likely going to see a bounce in the Nasdaq...
Just following on from my 10 bond yields idea back in November - Ideas linked below in related ideas.
AriasWave just keeps getting better and better so now we have a stack of evidence telling us when the show will end.
Below I will link ALL RELATED IDEAS mentioned in the video.
THIS MARKET IS THE REASON WHY EVERYTHING IS THE WAY IT IS RIGHT NOW.
But all that...
After one of the most unexpected years, I thought I should take a step back and look at macroeconomics a little bit, at one specific chart that I've been watching. That is the German Government 10-Year Bond Yield (DE10Y). I've been anticipating a signal in that chart that will indicate massive shift in global market trends and will bring us closer to the next...
This is a follow up video to the larger view posted a couple of hours ago. (See related ideas)
In this video I confirm that the Wave (C) down since 1981 is over.
We have seen a minor Waves 1 and 2 of the new trend which is the start of a large degree Wave C.
Please LIKE and FOLLOW to get notification of updates and future posts.
If you haven't seen THE ULTIMATE BOND YIELD ANALYSIS VIDEO please see below.
The Wave E Since 1981 is coming to an end which will probably cause some issues among the debt laden.
A swift reversal should occur after the completion of this pattern.
The FED thinks they are in control of interest rates but the truth is they are just following the bond...
AKA INTEREST RATES
In this video I describe what I call a SEMI IMPULSIVE ENDING DIAGONAL .
It is one of 3 patterns that occurs in Wave E.
It is the only possible explanation for this kind of price action.
This is based on long term analysis with data going back over 1000+ years.
Please LIKE and FOLLOW to get notification of updates and future posts.
Looking at the 30 years. There seems to be a lot of movement on the bond market that the financial media has been totally ignoring!
The bond yields reached a high of 3.46 November 2 2018!
These heights were broken when the price broke and Closed below the 3.4 level
The current yield is showing an uptrend. The uptrend is an extension of the Fibonacci area.
