Have you ever encountered the notion that less can be more? Well, that's precisely why it has taken me considerable time to present this update concept regarding Bond Yields. This analysis carries profound implications for every global market. What we're witnessing here holds the potential to trigger the most significant economic downturn in our lifetime—the...
What is moving this week? Our weekly eyeball into the different markets. Interest rates likely to be breaking its all time high again, get ready for another volatile month ahead. Difference between yield and interest rate: Borrowers take reference from interest rates and lenders take reference on the yield. Interest rates and yield moves in tandem. Minimum...
In this video I talk about the bigger picture going back to 1150AD and how I have always anticipated this move up in rates. See down below all videos that are related to this idea. We are in a correction phase of Wave 2 in Bond Yields. This type of expansion means that they are preparing themselves for a recession even though they don't mention it. They...
In recent weeks, the bond market has been sending a strong signal to the Federal Reserve: it may be making a serious mistake. The yield curve, which measures the difference in interest rates between short-term and long-term bonds, is currently more inverted than it has been since the early 1980s. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term interest rates are...
The EURO now sits under 138.000 on the exchange rate, a key resistance level that will now surely break after European Inflation hit 8.1% for the month of April 2022, igniting the debate about whether the ECB should be raising rates at 0.50% increments instead of 0.25% increments as signaled by Christian Legard. With European Bond Yields climbing and paying a...
The Euro is now highly likely to catch a strong bid against the Yen after the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said the Central Bank is likely to start raising interest rates in July and exit sub-zero territory by the end of September 2022. Interest rate differentials on Government Bonds will support the EURO higher. In this video I breakdown...
The Australian Dollar has weakened in recent weeks due to Iron Ore prices declining as China's zero covid policy has caused investors to fear a slowdown in the world's second-biggest economy. Australia exports 80% of Iron ore to China, so any slowdown in China will hit demand for Australia's commodity exports and put downward pressure on the currency. We also...
Since my last video, CAD/JPY, has pushed above ¥100.00 on the exchange rate. We now have the Bank of Canada talking about the possibility of 0.75% rate hikes, as inflation hit 6.70% this week, far above economists forecast for a rise to 6.10%. The Bank of Japan maintains its stance to use yield curve control to keep interest rates low, sighting low inflation...
The Canadian Dollar continues to strengthen against the Japanese Yen as the Bank of Canada continues to aggressively raise Interest rates to fight off high inflation. Japan's domestic inflation is in stark contrast as Japan continues to struggle to hit the Bank of Japan's 2.00% target. I show the historical difference in interest rates on 10Year Government bonds...
In this video, I breakdown why the U.S Dollar is bullish against the Japanese Yen and maintaining its strength against the Euro, as the central bank, ' The Federal Reserve", is raising interest rates aggressively in 2022 to deal with high domestic inflation. This is in contrast to the European Central Bank and Bank of Japan, which have pledged to keep interest...
A rally in crude oil triggered more concern into inflation and interest rate rises which saw a stock market selloff. In the video I look through the key levels I am watching on major Indexes, US bonds and the USD. Thanks for watching and please take some time to check out the website in my profile.
In this video I give you my macro view of what is coming in the next ten years. This video is designed to give you a feel of what I believe is a likely outcome based on a combination of my different views. I have played devils advocate many times before in order to get a feel for the markets. The reason is mainly to feel it and to observe other peoples...
Using the very latest advances in my AriasWave analysis I bring to you the breakdown of the US Bond Yields AKA INTEREST RATES. What do you think higher interest rates will do to the global economy? Leave your comments below. My analysis using the AriasWave methodology is improving at a rapid rate. Once you learn how to do proper research you will no longer...
The world is changing faster than we can adjust and this is the reason. In this video I give you the conclusion of years of research finally coming together, just in time. To understand these markets without AriasWave is like driving in pitch black darkness with no lights on. Let the show begin. Please LIKE and FOLLOW to get notification of updates and...
I'm am going contrary to most published Ideas on this pair. If you look at the trend line and bond yield comparisons, this pair is destined to hit 104...
Forecast: I am expecting Bund to continue its uptrend going forward next 2 weeks. Currently, this week weekly candle close as an inside bar, suggesting consolidation period. Bund will either expand this coming week or next week. First: Expansion next week, How to get in? Trade entry: Long the Daily demand zone, with stop below Confirmation: Reclaim last week...
My first contribution to the Trading View community ! Hope you enjoy :) All analysis explained in the video !