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HHubNatGas: Bull flag, $12 spread with europe here is the tradeThis video has an analysis on Henry Hub Natural Gas as well as the trade setup that I have created as of 25 August 2026, the week prior to Freeport LNG which is one of the biggest US LNG export terminals to have completed their maintenance process where they have taken away 2 Bcf a day of feedgas requirement from the domestic market from mid-August, hence keeping the price of Henry Hub at $2.74 while TTF gas from Europe is at $14.80 – that’s a $12 spread making every additional Bcf of US LNG export capacity extremely profitable. The chart has formed a classic bull flag pattern in the last 3 weeks flagpole formation from $3.20 to $2.60, consolidation pattern holding the same range, positive bars showing on the MACD histogram and RSI at 45 level. In this video, I go through the pattern, the Freeport catalyst, entry area, 3 targets and the stop loss. If you trade energy commodities or just want to learn about the combination of bull flag patterns and fundamental catalysts, you will enjoy this video. Long
LIGHTER - Trading Setup Case Study and Price TargetsHey, everybody. This is Brett. We're going to do a case study here on Lighter.
Lighter has had quite a run here, coming back since May, down here around a dollar all the way up to $3 there. So if we put the date and price range up, it's about 275% up, which is pretty good.
A couple of things here we're going to kind of unpack at the same time.
Originally, we were watching this and watching a bull flag pattern, and so the bull flag is where you have a flag pole, is the terminology, and then a pullback.
So the measured move on this is the breakout above the flag pole.
Generally, you'll see a breakout and a retest or some consolidation, and then ultimately, it will often resolve to the upside the same distance as the flag pole.
Normally, we want to see it follow that and not extend to the side, but this is fine.
And so we'll talk about why there's confluence at all of these different levels here.
So I'm just going to layer these on, and these were the original price targets that we had, and then I started to layer in a Fibonacci retracement projection.
So we draw that by going to the swing high. I use candle tops sometimes in the top and then the bottom. You can fudge it a little bit.
I've gone from the wick top to the wick bottom in here and then drawn it over to the right-hand side. So we can see that there's confluence here in a couple of areas.
I had originally given a profit target of around $3.25, and the reason for that was this Fibonacci extension, the 1.618.
So what we see here is some confluence then also at the second target, the 2.618 Fibonacci target. That's the measured move, and I was very careful not to fudge this or try to make it work out, and this is why it's a textbook example where there's confluence.
So again, the bull flag measured move right up to this $4 mark, and also the Fibonacci 2.618 also at $4.
So we have confluence there, and I drew the blue zigzag, as usually we'll have some pullback at these levels. We see some profit-taking.
You note that there's sort of a week or so of green candles. So some profit-taking and a pullback down around here would make sense, and we'll talk about that next why exactly that level is what I'm forecasting.
And on the same example, though, I think if the bull market is sustained and we have a strong market, that's no guarantee that we do, but the ultimate target here would be around $4.87.
Kind of depends on if we see another rollover or not.
So a near-term target would be that $4 mark. And so to re-enter Lighter, we'd want to look for a pullback here. And so what we would normally see on this large candle here, and the way you know it's a vector candle is if the top of this candle is the same opening as the next candle, and then it goes all the way up here, and then the next candle pushes higher from there of the real body.
So that's also known as a fair value gap. The market makers are taking the opposite side of that trade and that push higher, but they like to kind of bring it back to the midpoint because as a fair value gap, it is where there's an inequality.
There's the value of the price is getting marked up compared to the fair value. So at any rate, and that's a little bit beyond the scope of this. But we can also see that here at that-- There's a blue line here.
Although that's the text version, the midpoint I've drawn. So we'll see if this comes back. I would put buy limit orders in at $2.90 in there to catch the bounce. It did actually come down on today's wick and came all the way down here.
So it's good that it's holding.
Probably, again, pulls back down. That would be invalidated if we go up above this area and then retest. So that's certainly an option. We could see this push on through and then do this kind of move, but generally, we'd see this kind of pullback. So that's that vector candle midpoint, and so that's another lesson here.
The all-time breakout, by the way, where we were looking for entering this and where I was calling for entry, the ideal point is down here inside of a buy block, and then the next best place is on a breakout of the prior high.
And so we're seeing that, and also we did just come down and retest that, so that's good.
We also want to see price above the 21- and 50-day EMA and have those start turning up. Like here, we were consolidating, we pushed up a little bit, pretty common, and then we come back and retest that 21-day EMA, riding it, and then it popped.
So that was another early signal and why we were actually getting into this, recommending this as early as Monday, I believe, and to take some profits on this, but this has performed very well exactly to that profit target. If we open up our other signals, less conclusive. These don't always line up.
Also, because that 21-day exponential moving average price, I like to see the price pull back and bounce off of this one more time. So that's why this makes such an excellent case study. So we'll put that bull flag back on.
That's a good sign for it to go higher. And then on the longer-term timeframe, though, it's in a nice uptrending channel.
It's been a very nice uptrending channel all the way back since May. So this also points toward more of an upside. So now there's a third study that overlays this. It's also very interesting. And so we'll pull this up.
It's called a cup and handle pattern. And so these are all patterns you should be aware of. I'm going to zoom out for this. Maybe I will just turn these other ones off so it's more clear. The cup and handle is, it's tried and true.
I learned this 25 years ago, and it's still as good as it was then as it is today. I think I drew this on a weekly chart, so it's a little bit off here.
So the measured move on a breakout, this vertical blue line is just the same size as that. So you can go down to your clone button and then just drag it up. So you can see that pushes it right up to around that 4.925 level. And what does that also coincide to?
It coincides with, rather, also our Fibonacci level almost exactly. So very powerful how the confluence here works.
So what I would suggest is just use this 4.87. It might go to $5, but I would say put a sell order in at $4.85. And in that case, if that were to happen, then we would've hit each one of these Fibonacci levels for different reasons.
So the first one was this initial pump to the 1.618. The second target we see here is the, what is that? That's the measured move of the bull flag, right? So that's, I think, more is quite possible and warranted.
And then the third one, the confluence there. So we have double confluence on each fib level that we go higher. So anyway, so that's why it's such a great study when we put all of this together.
Hopefully, this all makes sense, and these are the things we want to watch for when looking for other breakouts. It's rare that we'll get this many together, but I thought this was an excellent case study because it's just a beautiful example of our order block signals and the moving averages and these basic patterns, the cup and handle, the bull flag breakout, simple use of the Fibonacci, and giving us these targets, and also this vector candle midpoint that nobody teaches, really.
This is something I noticed as a pattern and figured out later why it worked.
And so that's been the basis of several of our discoveries. And so let me know your thoughts on this. This is worth studying, and certainly if the markets weaken and we come down lower, some of this will be invalidated, but I would suggest this regardless. Either way, when we're in-- You always want to know your market status, your market conditions.
If this were a bear market rally, I might say, "Hey, look, we should take our profits and wait." But because of this new phase, we just had a great announcement by the SEC announcing regulation is coming, massive surge in the markets, money flowing in, Bitcoin up 10,000, and also we had the announcement that the Fed's going to start doubling its buybacks of the bonds. So the winds of change are behind us.
The headwinds have become tailwinds, and we want to take those times to be a little more aggressive and take these chances and catch these chart patterns because as I say over and over again, show me the charts, I'll tell you the news.
Again, the news broke here on Wednesday. We were buying here on Monday and Tuesday.
Again, I think it's going to pull back here, let the moving averages catch up, bounce off of support, and then we go again, and that's my read on that. So anyway, that's the example. Hopefully, you enjoyed that, and we'll be doing more of these soon.
Let me know what you think.
Apologies for the long-winded transcribed version of a video I made.
Okay. Hey, everybody. This is Brett. We're going to do a case study here on Lighter.
Lighter has had quite a run here, coming back since May, down here around a dollar all the way up to $3 there. So if we put the date and price range up, it's about 275% up, which is pretty good.
A couple of things here we're going to kind of unpack at the same time.
Originally, we were watching this and watching a bull flag pattern, and so the bull flag is where you have a flag pole, is the terminology, and then a pullback.
So the measured move on this is the breakout above the flag pole.
Generally, you'll see a breakout and a retest or some consolidation, and then ultimately, it will often resolve to the upside the same distance as the flag pole.
Normally, we want to see it follow that and not extend to the side, but this is fine.
And so we'll talk about why there's confluence at all of these different levels here.
So I'm just going to layer these on, and these were the original price targets that we had, and then I started to layer in a Fibonacci retracement projection.
So we draw that by going to the swing high. I use candle tops sometimes in the top and then the bottom. You can fudge it a little bit.
I've gone from the wick top to the wick bottom in here and then drawn it over to the right-hand side. So we can see that there's confluence here in a couple of areas.
I had originally given a profit target of around $3.25, and the reason for that was this Fibonacci extension, the 1.618.
So what we see here is some confluence then also at the second target, the 2.618 Fibonacci target. That's the measured move, and I was very careful not to fudge this or try to make it work out, and this is why it's a textbook example where there's confluence.
So again, the bull flag measured move right up to this $4 mark, and also the Fibonacci 2.618 also at $4.
So we have confluence there, and I drew the blue zigzag, as usually we'll have some pullback at these levels. We see some profit-taking.
You note that there's sort of a week or so of green candles. So some profit-taking and a pullback down around here would make sense, and we'll talk about that next why exactly that level is what I'm forecasting.
And on the same example, though, I think if the bull market is sustained and we have a strong market, that's no guarantee that we do, but the ultimate target here would be around $4.87.
Kind of depends on if we see another rollover or not.
So a near-term target would be that $4 mark. And so to re-enter Lighter, we'd want to look for a pullback here. And so what we would normally see on this large candle here, and the way you know it's a vector candle is if the top of this candle is the same opening as the next candle, and then it goes all the way up here, and then the next candle pushes higher from there of the real body.
So that's also known as a fair value gap. The market makers are taking the opposite side of that trade and that push higher, but they like to kind of bring it back to the midpoint because as a fair value gap, it is where there's an inequality.
There's the value of the price is getting marked up compared to the fair value. So at any rate, and that's a little bit beyond the scope of this. But we can also see that here at that-- There's a blue line here.
Although that's the text version, the midpoint I've drawn. So we'll see if this comes back. I would put buy limit orders in at $2.90 in there to catch the bounce. It did actually come down on today's wick and came all the way down here.
So it's good that it's holding.
Probably, again, pulls back down. That would be invalidated if we go up above this area and then retest. So that's certainly an option. We could see this push on through and then do this kind of move, but generally, we'd see this kind of pullback. So that's that vector candle midpoint, and so that's another lesson here.
The all-time breakout, by the way, where we were looking for entering this and where I was calling for entry, the ideal point is down here inside of a buy block, and then the next best place is on a breakout of the prior high.
And so we're seeing that, and also we did just come down and retest that, so that's good.
We also want to see price above the 21- and 50-day EMA and have those start turning up. Like here, we were consolidating, we pushed up a little bit, pretty common, and then we come back and retest that 21-day EMA, riding it, and then it popped.
So that was another early signal and why we were actually getting into this, recommending this as early as Monday, I believe, and to take some profits on this, but this has performed very well exactly to that profit target. If we open up our other signals, less conclusive. These don't always line up.
Also, because that 21-day exponential moving average price, I like to see the price pull back and bounce off of this one more time. So that's why this makes such an excellent case study. So we'll put that bull flag back on.
That's a good sign for it to go higher. And then on the longer-term timeframe, though, it's in a nice uptrending channel.
It's been a very nice uptrending channel all the way back since May. So this also points toward more of an upside. So now there's a third study that overlays this. It's also very interesting. And so we'll pull this up.
It's called a cup and handle pattern. And so these are all patterns you should be aware of. I'm going to zoom out for this. Maybe I will just turn these other ones off so it's more clear. The cup and handle is, it's tried and true.
I learned this 25 years ago, and it's still as good as it was then as it is today. I think I drew this on a weekly chart, so it's a little bit off here.
So the measured move on a breakout, this vertical blue line is just the same size as that. So you can go down to your clone button and then just drag it up. So you can see that pushes it right up to around that 4.925 level. And what does that also coincide to?
It coincides with, rather, also our Fibonacci level almost exactly. So very powerful how the confluence here works.
So what I would suggest is just use this 4.87. It might go to $5, but I would say put a sell order in at $4.85. And in that case, if that were to happen, then we would've hit each one of these Fibonacci levels for different reasons.
So the first one was this initial pump to the 1.618. The second target we see here is the, what is that? That's the measured move of the bull flag, right? So that's, I think, more is quite possible and warranted.
And then the third one, the confluence there. So we have double confluence on each fib level that we go higher. So anyway, so that's why it's such a great study when we put all of this together.
Hopefully, this all makes sense, and these are the things we want to watch for when looking for other breakouts. It's rare that we'll get this many together, but I thought this was an excellent case study because it's just a beautiful example of our order block signals and the moving averages and these basic patterns, the cup and handle, the bull flag breakout, simple use of the Fibonacci, and giving us these targets, and also this vector candle midpoint that nobody teaches, really.
This is something I noticed as a pattern and figured out later why it worked.
And so that's been the basis of several of our discoveries. And so let me know your thoughts on this. This is worth studying, and certainly if the markets weaken and we come down lower, some of this will be invalidated, but I would suggest this regardless. Either way, when we're in-- You always want to know your market status, your market conditions.
If this were a bear market rally, I might say, "Hey, look, we should take our profits and wait." But because of this new phase, we just had a great announcement by the SEC announcing regulation is coming, massive surge in the markets, money flowing in, Bitcoin up 10,000, and also we had the announcement that the Fed's going to start doubling its buybacks of the bonds. So the winds of change are behind us.
The headwinds have become tailwinds, and we want to take those times to be a little more aggressive and take these chances and catch these chart patterns because as I say over and over again, show me the charts, I'll tell you the news.
Again, the news broke here on Wednesday. We were buying here on Monday and Tuesday.
Again, I think it's going to pull back here, let the moving averages catch up, bounce off of support, and then we go again, and that's my read on that. So anyway, that's the example. Hopefully, you enjoyed that, and we'll be doing more of these soon.
Let me know what you think.
Apologies for the long-winded transcribed version of a video I made. 
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Technical Confluence at Its Finest | 3 Explosive PatternsOne of my favorite technical concepts is reversal pattern confluence—when several bullish formations develop within one another, all pointing toward the same outcome.
PACS is currently one of the cleanest examples I've seen.
After reaching an all-time high near 44 in October 2024, the stock suffered a sharp decline and spent more than a year quietly accumulating. That long period of sideways action eventually carved out the Cup portion of a much larger Cup & Handle pattern.
The story changed in November 2025, when bulls woke up aggressively, triggering a powerful breakout from the accumulation base and driving price back toward the all-time high.
Instead of another sharp selloff, however, the stock entered a healthy correction, forming a Bull Flag (descending channel)—a classic continuation pattern. The breakout from that flag was successful, and the current pullback appears to be nothing more than a retest of the breakout, which is often a constructive sign.
As if that wasn't enough, the Bull Flag breakout and subsequent retest have now evolved into a well-defined Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern just below all-time high resistance. This creates another layer of bullish confluence just before a potential breakout.
Why this setup stands out
Rather than relying on a single pattern, PACS is showing multiple bullish structures nested within each other:
✅ Large Cup & Handle
✅ Bull Flag breakout and successful retest
✅ Inverse Head & Shoulders just below resistance
When several independent bullish patterns point in the same direction, the probability of a successful breakout generally improves.
If the 44 ATH resistance finally gives way, the stacked bullish confluence could unleash a powerful breakout, with each pattern projecting its own upside objective:
🎯 Inverse Head & Shoulders: ~55
🎯 Bull Flag: ~69
🎯 Cup & Handle: ~80 (long-term objective)
These are measured technical objectives—not guarantees—and price may consolidate or pause before reaching each level.
Invalidation
The nearest setup is the Inverse Head & Shoulders, so I will use its invalidation level for risk management.
A daily close below 33 (the right shoulder low) would invalidate the current bullish thesis and suggest that buyers have lost control.
Sometimes the strongest trades aren't based on a single pattern—they emerge when multiple bullish structures align at the same location. PACS is a textbook example of technical confluence, making it a stock worth keeping on the watchlist over the coming weeks.
📍 This is where technical analysis gets interesting. Multiple bullish patterns point higher, but price must still prove itself. Let's watch together whether this becomes another Top & Drop or the breakout that validates them all.
Education
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NBIS | A.I. Centric Cloud Platform | LONGNebius Group NV is a technology company that provides infrastructure and services to AI builders worldwide. It offers Nebius AI, an AI-centric cloud platform provides full-stack infrastructure, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud services, and developer tools. The company also operates through specialized brands: Toloka AI, which partners in data for generative AI development; TripleTen, an edtech platform focused on re-skilling individuals for tech careers; and Avride, which develops autonomous driving technology. Nebius Group was founded by Elena Kolmanovskaya, Ilya Segalovich, Mikhail Fadeev, and Arkady Volozh in 1989 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. 
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EBAY | This Retail Business Will BOOM | LONGeBay, Inc. is a commerce company, whose platforms include an online marketplace and its localized counterparts, including off-platform businesses in South Korea, Japan, and Turkey, as well as eBay's suite of mobile apps. It offers a platform for various product categories, including parts and accessories, collectibles, fashion, electronics, and home & garden. eBay generates revenue mainly through fees from sales, payment processing, and advertising. The company was founded by Pierre Morad Omidyar in September 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA. 
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CIFR: When a Bitcoin miner becomes the landlord of the AI eraCipher started by mining Bitcoin in the Texas desert, but today it is a completely different animal. The rebranding to Cipher Digital in February 2026 sealed the metamorphosis: now it is an AI infrastructure operator leasing out data center space to Amazon and Google. The company trades on Nasdaq, and everyone who understands critical infrastructure for hyperscalers is watching – because owning such assets is no longer speculation but almost a rent collection business.
Fundamentals
Next earnings are due on May 5, 2026. Total contracts with AWS, Fluidstack and Google have reached 9.3 billion dollars. This includes a 15-year, 300 MW lease with Amazon at the Black Pearl campus in Texas, and a 10-year, 300 MW lease with Fluidstack and Google at the Barber Lake campus, where Google acts as a guarantor for up to 1.73 billion. Both contracts start in October 2026 and will generate approximately 669 million dollars in annual net operating income for more than ten years.
The Black Pearl project is fully funded through a 2 billion dollar bond issuance at 6.125 percent.
In February 2026, the company sold its stakes in the Alborz, Bear and Chief projects to Canaan, receiving a six-month locked stake in Canaan. Hashrate decreased from 23.6 EH/s to 11.6 EH/s. The balance sheet still holds about 1166 BTC.
Risks: HPC revenue will only start in the fourth quarter of 2026. Investors are paying for a business that will generate profit six months from now. Short interest remains high.
Technicals
On the weekly chart a bull flag has formed. A breakout above the upper flag boundary occurred, followed by a successful retest. Price holds well above the moving averages. The former weekly resistance has turned into a buy zone – 15.30 – 15.40 dollars. Yesterday‘s close, April 29, was 16.92. Weekly volumes are steadily high.
The only target on the chart is 38.38 dollars.
The market now values Cipher not as a miner but as the owner of mission-critical AI infrastructure. The technical breakout is confirmed, the retest is complete, the buy zone is active, and the target is above. 
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EUR/USD - Fundamental / Tech & 1W/1M Macro OutlookFX:EURUSD
The EU economy might be in a coma, but EUR/USD is finally trying to pull out of a long-term bear trend. Technically, we’ve seen a breakout of key levels following a bull flag, so this week is all about confirmation or rejection. Below is my macro and technical analysis, along with a specific game plan
Fundamentals:
- before taking the technical picture under loop, it’s important to break down EUR/USD from the fundamental and macroeconomic side. Local dollar strengthening might cause a short-term drop in the euro, but it won’t be the force that pushes the price south globally
- the Eurozone has been in economic stagnation for quite a while now because production is slowly weakening due to a lack of resources, high energy prices, and high spending on non-productive sectors
- at the same time, the Eurozone is very wealthy, and the resource deficit can be offset by increased imports. To make imports more profitable, the national currency must be strong (so you can buy more goods for one unit of currency), while for more profitable exports, a weak currency is better (you get more money for one unit of goods)
- this is why the resource-rich US has a weak dollar and increases its exports, while resource-poor but cash-rich Europe increases imports and has weak exports because it can’t produce much
- for this same reason, the European Central Bank made no changes to the interest rate last week (if the rate goes down, loans become more profitable for companies, which stimulates the economy by helping production; if the rate goes up, loans become less attractive and production drops) while saying inflation might even decrease (but probably no signs of possible deflation)
- an interesting fact is that in Jan. 2026, the EU signed a truly massive trade deal with India (a country rich in resources and labor), specifically on simplified customs duties for many goods (excluding agricultural products and a few others)
- looking at this through the lens of assumptions, the EU market could be flooded with resources and goods they desperately need, and this increase in domestic resources in EU could lead to a ramp-up in production volumes, potentially boosting industrial earnings, household income, and overall GDP
- as a matter of a fact at the same time the India's market will get a major boost to its economy and production, whereas allowing to significantly increase its GDP over the next few years, and we can also see that the probability of the Indian Rupee rising definitely increases
- of course, there are opposing views and news—for example, Macron recently said the euro is too expensive and needs to be cheaper. Locally this can be the case, but globally today this is far from beneficial for Europe, so in my opinion this kind of news is more like media noise rather than the most probable outcome
Technicals:
- since Oct. 2022, the price reversed after hitting major lows and in Feb. 2025 it confirmed the start of a new medium-term bullish trend, finally breaking out of the long-term descending channel that has been in place since 2008
- during the last week of Jan. 2026, there was an attempt to break a multi-year resistance level of "medium strength" (originating from 1998), which resulted in a false breakout. Why "medium strength"? Historically, the price tends to perform a fakeout here, followed by a technical retracement to the 0.236 Fibonacci level (and rarely a deeper correction towards 0.382), before eventually resuming momentum for a full breakout
- a local correction in DXY towards 98.70 (approx. +1.12% from the current 97.60) could proportionally lead to a local EUR/USD weakening toward the 1.16910 area
- this price target coincides with a mirror support/ressistance level formed in Aug. 2017 and later confirmed in Mar. 2021 and Oct. 2021
- a strong weekly bar has left an imbalance within the {1.16984, 1.17655} range, making this a point of Interest (POI) for further liquidity hunt
- looking at the monthly chart on the screenshot below, the price is testing the upper boundary of a descending consolidation channel for the third time. This is looks like forming a bull flag pattern, which historically signals local accumulation before a further move to the upside
- 1. optimal scenario: 1.16912 is the primary target with a risk-reward ratio of 1:3.65 with taking partial profits (at 45% level of the untouched order zone) at 1.1733, in case HFTs or market makers decide to leave some liquidity untapped for a later move
- 2. optimistic scenario: should sell-side pressure prevail in the local context, the price may test the long-term support level at 1.16400
- 3. pessimistic scenario: conversely, if the price fails to break resistance and consolidate above 1.19050, we could see a move south toward 1.13960 to sweep liquidity below the 1.14680 support. However, this move would take significant time to materialize and should only be considered if the price fails to hold above 1.16400
- local short scenario invalidated if 2 bars close above 1.18780
- higher probability of global long continuation if 2 bars close above 1.19400 ( increased risk if entry at 1.19100 )
Conclusion:
- the Euro has recently broken out of a multi-year downtrend and is currently sitting at the upper boundaries of both a descending consolidation channel and a local ascending channel
- this trade is focused on a retest of the {1.16984, 1.17655} range to clear liquidity before any attempt to test the major resistance at 1.19050
- risk management constraints do not allow for a stop-loss at 1.19420 (the price level which, if held above, would confirm the continuation of the medium-term bullish move)
- the basis for this local short is a combination of the local technical setup, the macroeconomic backdrop, and the currency correlation with the DXY
- higher probability of global long continuation if 2 bars close above 1.19400 (increased risk if 1.19100)
- higher probability of global short continuation if 2 bars close below 1.16100 (increased risk if 1.16750)
- last but not least: always keep the "Black Swan" in mind and stay critical. The EU economy is still in a very fragile state, and the points mentioned above are merely attempts to resuscitate it from an economic coma. Unexpected events can always shift market sentiment overnight, rendering any technical or fundamental analysis useless. Use your head and always weigh the probabilities of different outcomes and their consequences
# - - - - -
Local Short Scenario:
⚠️ Short/Swing-term Signal - Sell ⬇️
✅ Entry Point - 1.1842
🛑 SL - 1.18860
🤑 Partial TP 50% - 1.1749
🤑 Final TP 100% - 1.1692
⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 3.68 👌
⌛️ Timeframe - 3 weeks 🗓
# - - - - -
If price consolidates at 1.19 - 1.195:
⚠️ Long-term Signal - Buy ⬆️
✅ Entry Point - 1.19100
🛑 SL - 1.18170
🤑 TP - 1.22370
⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2.15 👌
⌛️ Timeframe - 3 months 🗓
# - - - - -
Good Luck! ☺️
# - - - - -
DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade 
Long
Gold-to-Silver Ratio at 15-Year LowsGold-to-Silver Ratio pulled back sharply after President Trump paused new tariffs on critical minerals. The announcement eased near-term trade risks, leading to profit-taking after record highs above $93/oz. Despite the correction, silver remains up over 25% YTD, supported by robust industrial demand and tight supply.
Policy Context
The U.S. administration’s decision to delay tariffs on critical minerals (including silver, lithium, cobalt, and rare earths) temporarily removes a key policy risk.
Officials are expected to revisit trade agreements within 180 days, potentially introducing price floors instead of blanket tariffs.
This shift reduced short-term volatility — but structural drivers for silver remain unchanged.
Market Fundamentals
Industrial demand remains strong — especially from solar, EV, and electronics sectors.
Mine supply is constrained since silver is mostly a by-product of other metals.
Physical tightness persists after significant stock draws earlier in the year.
The gold/silver ratio near 50 marks the lowest level since 2011, signaling ongoing relative strength.
Overall, the fundamental setup continues to favor long-term accumulation on dips.
Technical Picture
Gold-to-Silver Ratio recently fell below its 200-day moving average, indicating near-term weakness.
Price structure remains bullish above $48–50 — a critical zone of prior support.
The ratio is trending within a descending channel, suggesting silver continues to outperform gold on a relative basis.
Short-term view: Expect range-bound trade between $50–60 as the market stabilizes.
Medium-term view: A sustained breakout above $65 could reopen the path toward previous highs.
Outlook
Volatility will remain elevated as markets digest U.S. trade policy and macro shifts.
However, tight supply, structural deficits, and ongoing industrial demand should cushion downside moves.
The metal’s dual role — part safe haven, part industrial — keeps it sensitive to both policy and growth signals, but the bias remains upward over the longer term. 
Long
Ascending Channel | Golden Zone Retracement SetupAfter analyzing the chart on the 2-hour timeframe, price action has been moving within a well-defined ascending channel since Tuesday, 25 November 2025. The upper boundary of the channel has been consistently respected, confirming the strength and validity of this bullish structure.
Following a rejection from the upper boundary, price is currently trading around 1.17403. At this stage, the market appears to be developing a bearish corrective structure, resembling either an upper flag formation or a falling broadening wedge, which is still in progress and not yet completed.
Based on this structure and overall market behavior, we anticipate a potential retracement toward the Fibonacci Golden Zone, which aligns with our projected price target. This area may act as a key decision zone for the next directional move, especially if supported by price action confirmation and volume reaction.
Traders should monitor price behavior closely around the channel boundaries and Fibonacci levels for high-probability setups.
Happy Trading
SpicyPips
