This is very much in the same boat as Coffee - out of season, increasingly negative fundamentals, etc.. (Now, even cocoa brokers are entertaining each other tall tales, trying to pass the time and in an attempt to reinvigorate the business. Yeah, how could that not work?! ... ;-)
A resumption of a U NYSE:D rally, at any point, will put a further lid on this one...
Prices have been in a squeeze for a very long time ...
The last days of this scramble will be like the middle of June. Prices will probably decide which way to go by this date, Up or down?
In this sense; It is worth watching the 1840-1890 band for prices that are supported by the 50-day exponential average. However, we would expect prices to hold on to 1690 and...
Cocoa Futures showing some signs of rejection at relevant area of Resistance. Also note that climatic volume which makes me think that there may be selling pressure. 3D chart.
Quick chart for my followers, cocoa to go long, if you have been following my other publishes then you would understand my chart without yellow full details, there may be further downtrend on the bottom yellow line but overall cocoa is on the uptrend as it has hit top yellow line.
Top yellow line at 2051
Bottom yellow line at 1800
Please study your indicators...
I believe that Cocoa has around a 1920 short target as a price index. The Cocoa market is an exchange grade premium product with chocolate supplies running out. The demand of it as a commodity is starting to slowly be positive again. However, the HODL would be short in my opinion. This as an index, is a really risky pair in terms of overall correlations. The...
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
In percents away from all-time high & low by last close (32 Commodities)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
