GOLD - A countertrend correction to 4,400 ahead of the newsICMARKETS:XAUUSD remains under pressure from a strengthening dollar and a weak fundamental backdrop. The market is making new intermediate lows within the 4,290–4,500 trading range. Key news is ahead…
The dollar is bouncing from support and returning to its bullish momentum, putting further pressure on the market. Gold is trading near its weekly lows, around $4,310, on Friday following a sharp decline triggered by hotter-than-expected PPI data and rising oil prices.
According to TD Securities, a hawkish Fed may only delay the next move higher in gold rather than trigger a deeper decline, as support remains in place from dollar debasement, central bank purchases, and ETF inflows. The market is now waiting for the key U.S. CPI report.
Drivers:
Upside: soft CPI, dollar weakness, falling yields, central bank purchases, ETF inflows.
Downside: hot CPI, hawkish Fed rhetoric, dollar strength, rising yields
Resistance levels: 4,389, 4,400, 4,435
Support levels: 4,345, 4,300, 4,287
Gold is making new lows but has yet to reach the key target. A countertrend correction is forming ahead of the upcoming news. A short squeeze around the 4,390–4,400 zone could trigger another decline toward the 4,285 liquidity zone
Best regards,
R. Linda! 
Short
XAUUSD: Rebound from 4,370$ Can Push Price To 4,480$ ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD previously traded inside a triangle structure before breaking higher and shifting bullish. Price then formed an upward channel with multiple breakouts before testing the Resistance Zone.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the 4,480 Resistance Zone while holding above the 4,370 Support Zone and the upward channel support. The recent rebound from support suggests buyers may attempt another move toward resistance.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as XAUUSD remains above the 4,370 Support Zone and respects the upward channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. A successful breakout above 4,480 could push price higher, with 4,480 acting as the key resistance level (TP1).
However, a breakdown and close below 4,370 would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the risk of further downside.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk. Long 
XAU/USD | Gold Reacts Strongly From $4325,My Bias is now BullishBy analyzing the #Gold chart on the 6H timeframe, we can see that after dropping toward $4325 , buyers stepped in strongly and Gold has now recovered toward $4363 .
In my view, this reaction is positive and my short-term bias has turned bullish . The nearest upside targets I’m watching are $4375, $4390, $4400, $4420 and $4440 .
If this analysis has been useful so far, give it a Boost to support my work . 🙌
The important demand zones are around $4337 – $4350 , followed by $4310 – $4325 . On the upside, the main supply areas are around $4390 – $4410 , followed by $4420 – $4445 .
As long as buyers continue defending the current demand structure, I expect Gold to gradually move toward the higher targets . Long 
Gold — Liquidity Sweep, Market Structure & FVG Repricing Setup.Gold is currently sitting at a highly significant decision point after a strong bearish displacement from the 4,460–4,480 region. The chart shows a clear transition from bullish structure into a bearish sequence, with lower highs, lower lows, and repeated failures to sustain price above previous structural levels.
The immediate breakdown below 4,323 is important because this level previously acted as a structural support area. Once price moved beneath it, the market opened the possibility of a deeper sell-side liquidity sweep. The projected 4,280–4,260 region therefore becomes the primary area to monitor for exhaustion of the current bearish leg.
The main idea is not to predict a reversal blindly, but to wait for the market to complete its liquidity objective and then look for confirmation. A sweep below the projected low followed by strong rejection, bullish displacement, and a reclaim of 4,323 would provide considerably stronger evidence that buyers are stepping back into the market.
If 4,323 is reclaimed and successfully converted back into support, the first upside objective becomes the 4,400–4,420 region. This area represents an important intermediate reaction zone and could provide the first confirmation that the recovery is gaining momentum.
Above this level sits the major Fair Value Gap between approximately 4,435 and 4,460. This imbalance is one of the most important areas on the chart because price may be attracted back toward it during a retracement. However, the FVG should not automatically be considered a breakout target. It can also act as a major supply and rejection zone, particularly while the higher-timeframe bearish structure remains intact.
The projected price path therefore follows a structured sequence: downside liquidity expansion → potential sweep around 4,280–4,260 → bullish rejection → reclaim of 4,323 → move toward 4,400–4,420 → potential FVG mitigation around 4,435–4,460.
The invalidation condition is equally important. If price decisively accepts below the 4,260–4,280 region instead of rejecting it, the anticipated bullish recovery loses its technical foundation. In that case, the market would remain structurally bearish and the downside scenario would take priority.
This is a confirmation-based setup, not a blind reversal call. Price action around liquidity, structure, and the FVG will determine whether the projected recovery becomes valid.
Market Bias: Bearish in the short-term, with potential bullish recovery after a confirmed liquidity sweep.
Key Levels: 4,260–4,280 liquidity zone → 4,323 structural reclaim → 4,400–4,420 reaction zone → 4,435–4,460 FVG.
The key is patience: let price take liquidity first, wait for confirmation, and then follow the structure rather than anticipating it.
Long 
XAUUSD Long: Trend Line Support Could Drive a Move Toward 4,450$Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (4H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously traded inside a descending channel before breaking above the structure and shifting bullish. Price then formed a range before breaking higher and moving toward the 4,450 Supply Zone, followed by a strong rally toward the upper Supply Line.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the 4,450 Supply Zone while holding above the 4,300 Demand Zone and ascending Trend Line. The recent bounce from support suggests buyers are attempting to regain control.
As long as XAUUSD remains above the 4,300 Demand Zone and respects the ascending Trend Line, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 4,450 Supply Zone (TP1). However, a breakdown and close below 4,300 would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the possibility of further downside. Manage your risk! Long 
Long 
XAUUSD — Internal Supply Retest Sell Setup
Market Context
Gold is trading around $4,350 after rebounding from the recent lows, but the broader H2 structure remains clearly bearish. Consecutive downside BOS and the descending HTF bearish trendline continue to define seller control, while the current bounce appears more like corrective repricing than a confirmed bullish reversal.
Macro pressure remains important ahead of today’s U.S. CPI. August PPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, while markets are pricing roughly a 70% probability of a Fed rate hike next week. Oil above $100 is adding further inflation pressure, keeping Treasury yields and the dollar supported and creating a difficult backdrop for Gold despite ongoing geopolitical risk.
SMC View
The H2 chart continues to show bearish delivery beneath the HTF trendline. Recent BOS confirms that lower highs and lower lows remain intact, while the recovery from the current low has not yet reclaimed meaningful bearish structure.
The $4,380–$4,400 Internal Supply is the main decision zone. A retracement into this area could mitigate the latest bearish displacement before another sell-side expansion. The H2 Bearish OB near $4,442 remains the stronger structural invalidation barrier.
Main Trading Scenario
Condition:
Gold retraces into the $4,380–$4,400 Internal Supply and forms a clear bearish rejection. A lower-timeframe bearish MSS or CHOCH is required before entry.
Entry: $4,380–$4,400 after bearish confirmation
SL: Above $4,442 and the H2 Bearish OB
TP1: $4,320–$4,330
TP2: $4,275–$4,305
Key Zones to Watch
Current price: $4,350.070
Main sell zone: $4,380–$4,400
H2 Bearish OB: $4,441.990
External SSL / Major Demand: $4,275–$4,305
HTF bearish trendline: Dynamic resistance
Invalidation: Acceptance above $4,442
Confirmation: Bearish rejection with MSS or CHOCH
Prime Gold View
The sell bias remains valid while Gold stays below Internal Supply, the H2 Bearish OB and the descending HTF trendline.
If sellers defend $4,380–$4,400, price could resume bearish delivery toward the exposed External SSL around $4,300. Acceptance above $4,442 would weaken the immediate sell setup.
No confirmation, no trade. Short 
XAUUSD: Bullish Push to 4850?FX:XAUUSD is eyeing a bullish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price approaching a key support zone near the upward trendline and the 0.618 / 0.786 Fibonacci levels after recent pullback, converging with a potential entry area that could ignite further upside momentum toward the higher resistance zones if buyers defend amid volatility. This setup suggests a solid rally opportunity with overall near 1:3 risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 4100–4180 (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended). Targets at 4670 (first) and 4850 (second) . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 3940 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of near 1:3 in total . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume.🌟
Fundamentally , gold is trading around $4,345 in mid-September 2026.
Today’s US CPI (August) release is a major high-impact event that can significantly influence the US Dollar and, as a result, gold prices — stronger-than-expected inflation data may pressure gold lower in the short term, while weaker data could support further upside. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
4,100 – 4,180
(Entry from current price is acceptable with proper position sizing and strict risk management.)
🎯 Target 1:
4,670
🎯 Target 2:
4,850
❌ Stop Loss:
Daily close below 3,940
📈 Risk-to-Reward:
Near 1:3 overall
Will buyers defend 4,100–4,180 and push gold toward 4,670 and 4,850, or will the support fail and invalidate the bullish setup? 👇 Long 
GOLD - A Hunt for Liquidity Ahead of Further DeclinesICMARKETS:XAUUSD has been forming a countertrend correction since the session opened. The fundamental backdrop remains unstable, and this correction could end with another move lower
Gold remains exposed to two-sided risks ahead of the release of U.S. CPI data. The sell-the-bounce strategy remains in place, especially against the backdrop of higher-than-expected inflation in China. TD Securities expects core inflation to remain under control in August but warns of upside risks
Drivers:
Upside: weak U.S. CPI data, dollar weakness, de-escalation of the conflict.
Downside: hot CPI data, dollar strength, escalation of the conflict, hawkish Fed rhetoric
Resistance levels: 4,410, 4,435, 4,461
Support levels: 4,365, 4,287
A weaker dollar, driven by yen strength, is supporting gold. At the same time, however, gold remains under pressure from the Fed’s hawkish stance and geopolitical risks.
Technically, I expect a short squeeze around the 4,430–4,435 liquidity zone, followed by a decline toward range support at 4,365–4,287
Best regards,
R. Linda! Short 
Long
Long
Gold Outlook: Rounding Top Reaction Could Drive Price LowerHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (1H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously broke higher from a range and formed a Rounding Top near the highs, where sellers rejected the upside and price started to decline. Price then broke lower, tested the Buyer Zone, and is now trading below the 4,440 Seller Zone while holding above the 4,310 Support Level. Currently, the Rounding Top and descending Resistance Line suggest that a short-term bearish continuation may develop toward the 4,310 Buyer Zone. As long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,440 Seller Zone and fails to break above recent highs, the bearish scenario remains valid. A continuation lower could push price toward the 4,310 Support Level (TP1). However, a strong breakout and close above the Seller Zone would weaken the bearish outlook and increase the possibility of further upside. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀 Short 
Short 
XAUUSD: Another Rally Is BrewingConsidering both the macro backdrop and technical structure , I still favor the view that XAUUSD remains firmly in an uptrend , while the current pullbacks appear to be mainly a rebalancing phase within the broader bullish trend .
Fundamentally, gold continues to receive support from a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent safe-haven demand as geopolitical tensions remain elevated. Although U.S. Treasury yields are still high and upcoming inflation data could trigger stronger volatility, XAUUSD has remained relatively resilient. This suggests that defensive capital has not moved away from gold , while buyers continue to show interest at lower prices.
On the H1 chart, the bullish structure remains intact . Price is holding above the ascending trendline , while the 4,390–4,400 area has emerged as an important near-term support zone after XAUUSD reclaimed the Ichimoku area. As long as price holds this region — and particularly stays above 4,350–4,355 — buyers should retain the advantage . If momentum continues, 4,450 could be the first hurdle before attention shifts toward the more significant 4,495–4,500 area.
Overall, I still prefer a buy-the-dip approach rather than looking for short positions against the prevailing trend. With both the technical structure and broader capital flows continuing to support gold , buyers remain better positioned to control the short-term direction. Long 
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