a different perspective of equity markets performance ,
market is beating the covid-19 fear ,
but ongoing recovery seems too optimistic for now , many stocks have unrealistic overvaluations and many of them have undervaluations as well.
entire global markets could go deeper corrections & rebalance before the next robust recovery.
trade at your own risk.
Jerome Powell stated that the Inflation Rate was moving at about 1%. It's actually been moving at about 3.65% over the past year but has started rising rapidly at about 7.67% since the Biden Administration seized control of the White House.
The Trump Administration had an average Inflation Rate of about 2.14%. Currently the Inflation Rate is about 350% greater...
This is my favorite analysis
I give my qualified bid here on how NASDAQ and the market are going to evolve.
the graph is very similar to the financial crisis and makes exactly the same pattern, on top, bottom, RSI and MACD.
10-y bond have fallen and as I wrote in my other analysis, bonds will return to 0.95 and up again to 1.5. it's making a cup and handle...
This is my idea on the future of the so-called Safe Haven currencies. Remember, people in the need of defense against coming inflation turn into currencies or gold as they do not have much knowledge or energy for other assets. This is why good analysis is needed to see in what currency to invest.
In the post-crisis period (4 years), both sides, the euro,...
This index seems to be over bought to us as it is recovering from the Corona pandemic Crisis and the way it has rallied, we may have a chance to short it at its correction or so called retracement.
we can see bearish divergence of Price and MACD and combining this flow with Price Action Analysis it gives us more confluences of a down fall and a trend reversal...
The talk of the town is the Market is overdue for a plummet!
Fun fact: This has been the narrative for the last decade as far as I am aware.
It's more likely that the major indicies will continue grinding up or even go sideways a bit.
This chart certainly appears to signal "euphoria". It looks overextended, parabolic, intimidating, right?
Just wanted to give you an update regarding my past 2 plots and upcoming financial crisis. Seems like a "Yield Curve" indicator just crossed 250 days moving average, which means we just entered a financial crisis but all the stats from Q3 and Q4 will have to confirm that... please be ready for 2021 turmoil!! In short-term gold, silver and Bitcoin...
The MASSIVE lockdown is about to come in all of Europe, so i think the MASSIVE CRASH is also coming find ourselves facing one of the largest bull trap which has ever had in history many people is in denial and long all ETF and imagine that the markets will go up ad for ever because of monetary support of FED
Do not tell me that “the market already priced this”...
Earlier this year, when Biden won the nomination. I was pretty sure he had a good shot at taking the win. Let's face it, we're living in the climax of a Crisis Generation*, and bizarre things always happen during times like these. According to the Strauss-Howe Theory, the eponymous name elaborated by the two in the 1997 book, The Fourth Turning , there are...
📌 Treasury yields move higher ahead of Fed speeches.
U.S. government debt prices fell on Friday morning as investors monitored rising cases of coronavirus and polls ahead of the U.S. election.
the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose above 📈 1% to trade at 0.6904%. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond increased 📈 by about 78 basis points to trade...
Presidential Election Crisis & Crisis of Confidence
The next big macroeconomic event to happen is the US Presidential Election, and that got me thinking, "what happened in previous elections?"
The last two major crashes, the DOTCOM Crash 2000-2004 and the Financial Crisis 2007-2009, both occurred during a presidential election.
The DOTCOM crash was underway...