Oil is its last stand. Dollar is on its rescue from devaluation the currency. No hyperinflation is modern time. FED bank have printed and push not just oil to record levels from minus prices. Lumber to stellar levels with copper. Commodity sector is very overpriced over all because of the inflation thats been going on since 2017 and zero rate for 10 years. We are...
There too many factor playing out and 2021 the Q3-4. Printing more and more money to stabilize market. Wont last. Too much devaluation of dollar would risk more to the ecnonomy. Money would become worthless and it will never be a hyperinflation again. Dollar is already hovering around lows but still building upwards. As we seen in 2020 the dollar spike hard at...
Disclaimer This is a work in progress series for a much longer form article I am writing (perhaps a bit academic in nature). I am working out several key concepts, making the arguments to myself back and forth, and teasing the waters hoping for some conflicting data (open-market criticism). To this end, I present a contrarian economic concept that might help in...
I'm going to express a contrary opinion to most expressed within YouTube, Seeking Alpha, and Trading View Ideas: The S&P500 has much farther to go before we reach the "top." To be clear, this is driven exclusively by monetary policy and debt increases. The 10Y rate has been in a very strong down trajectory since the mid 1980s. This, obviously, has deviances from...
*** THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND FORM YOUR OWN OPINIONS *** 10Y Treasury and Gold's Price: Gold is correlated strongly (92%) with the 10Y Treasury. During 2020, during the depths of the pandemic, we saw 10Y rates under 0.5%. This was the primary catalyst for Gold to find its new ATH during August of 2020. This strong correlation makes...
Amazing short on BTC! DXY is strong as we are in deflation and not in inflation YET! Short BTC and Long DXY
To many factors at play to even come close to timing the paradigm shift, but the thesis has remained unchanged as time continues to provide supporting evidence. Fiat currencies are built upon debt, which has an element of time. Since time is a constant and cannot be manipulated, all we have to do as investors is wait. More money will continue to be created in the...
(Changing my initial lines) Fundamentally bitcoin supply is being taken off exchanges at high levels, inflation, El Salvador news, more companies buying in etc. We had no blow off the top indicating an end to the bull market post 2020 halving. We have consolidated for a few months now perhaps bitcoin is ready for its next move higher. The TA is a classic ascending...
I am a contrarian. Many successful investors and traders tend to be. Following the crowd isn’t the best financial advice. Recently my contrarian spidey senses have been going off. If you have been following the Stock Markets, and particularly, the fundamentals, you have heard the word inflation be mentioned once or twice. Who am I kidding! That’s all everyone...
The target no one believes. (Recession) -Dollar at massive support. Deflation = recession -Oil at big ressistence. -Banks cant keep risking printing money anymore, would risk hyperinflation -Double tops with massive algo trasaction growing with big insider selling high staks. -Summer is the slowest part of the investing period -Momentum totaly useless -Vix at...
The trajectory of the DXY will be determined by the battle between inflation and deflation. If the narrative of sustained long-term inflation prevails, it will be dollar positive. The Fed is desperately trying to create inflation in this highly indebted economic landscape because inflation erodes the real debt obligation of debtors (the biggest debtor being the US...
Looks like a possible further pullback. If the asset breaks below the 61.8 expect the action to be reflected across the board as deflation begins to tighten it's grip. DISCLAIMER: The information and charts provided by me are not financial advice.
Still holding, but, for how long? Here some possible scenarios that could play out for BITCOIN vs USD
A hidden bullish divergence is when the price makes a Higher Low but the indicator makes a Lower Low, having said that.. Be aware on a sudden rise on the Dollar and a shakeout on other markets, maybe we could be talking about a flash crash here. Remember the stimulus checks have been delivered and spent on bitcoin.. what the government gives is to take it back.
The high is in. my target was off as price shot higher. the reasons are interesting BUT i find gold and social mood in the current cycle is negative...deflation will kick in soon perhaps with wild bouts of hyper inflation swinging in and out!!! non the less the scary part of this story is the rise of governments authoritarianism and pervasive surveillance all...
This will cause the biggest crash ever
My first Target has been reached. Now, I'm expecting a retracement to test the previous level of support now resistance before heading lower. Lower prices will be bad for the market as it implies that deflation is coming. Yields have been rising faster spooking the markets with equity indices already in correction mode.
This Bitcoin Deflation Calendar used the Rainbow Stock to Flow indicator by @GoldenNaim. Hope this proves useful and something you all enjoy coming back to over the next few years.