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Dollarstrength

USD Strength Builds – DXY Bullish Structure Holding💹 Asset: DXY – U.S. Dollar Index (USD Basket) The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) measures USD strength against a basket of major currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF). 📈 Trade Plan: Bullish Bias (Day/Swing Setup) 🔹 Market Structure: Price holding above key Moving Average support, showing sustained bullish momentum 🔹 Entry Strategy: Flexible entry zones — traders can participate on pullbacks or continuation confirmations 🔹 Target Zone: 🎯 101.20 – Strong resistance zone Overbought conditions expected Potential liquidity trap / exhaustion Profit-taking zone preferred 🔹 Stop Loss: 🛑 99.40 – Below structure support ⚠️ Risk Note This is a market guide, not financial advice. Manage your own risk, secure profits based on your system, and trade with discipline. 🌍 CROSS-ASSET & CORRELATION WATCH 💱 Key Dollar Pairs EUR/USD ⬇️ → Inverse to DXY (Euro weakness = Dollar strength) GBP/USD ⬇️ → Follows similar inverse structure USD/JPY ⬆️ → Moves with DXY strength 🪙 Commodities Impact Gold (XAU/USD) ⬇️ → Typically inverse to USD Oil (WTI/Brent) ⬆️ → Inflation-driven USD strength possible 📌 Strong USD = Pressure on commodities & risk assets 🧠 FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS (LATEST – VERIFIED) 📰 Current Market Conditions (London Session Context) Safe-haven demand is supporting USD due to geopolitical tensions Dollar recently reclaimed the 100 level, showing renewed strength Oil price spikes are increasing inflation concerns, supporting USD flows However, longer-term outlook still shows structural weakness risks 📊 Recent Data Insight: DXY trading around ~99–100 zone, showing short-term recovery 📅 Upcoming High-Impact Catalysts 🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) 🇺🇸 Inflation (CPI) 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve policy signals 🌍 Geopolitical developments (risk sentiment driver) ⚡ TRADER EDGE (INSTITUTIONAL THINKING) Bullish momentum = liquidity driven, not random Watch for trap above resistance (101.20) Market currently headline-driven (news volatility) Correlation shifts can occur → stay adaptive 🏆 TRADER MINDSET (COMMUNITY MESSAGE) 💬 “The market rewards patience, not prediction.” 💬 “Take what the market gives — not what you expect.” 💬 “Consistency beats excitement. Discipline builds equity.” 🔥 Stay sharp. Stay disciplined. Stack your wins.
FXOPEN:DXY
by The-Thief
The dollar regains strengthNow that everyone has already written off the dollar and its status as the world’s reserve currency, of course the exact opposite of what the media is reporting is happening once again. Which, by the way, is always a good contrarian indicator. When the media reports that this or that will happen in the stock markets, it’s likely that the opposite will occur. But that’s another topic. Back to the Dollar Index. Since hitting a low on January 27, the dollar has been rising again. If you look at the correlation between a rising dollar and falling markets—which has been particularly common in recent years—it fits quite well with my forecast for the stock markets. The Dollar Index completed a bearish B in 2008 (at that time, falling markets were accompanied by a falling dollar) and has risen continuously since then. The current target for the pending red 5 is measured by the extension to the purple A, which was completed in 2001.
TVC:DXYLong
by Elliott-Waves-2_0
UR/USD at 1.1700: Geopolitics Meets Economic DivergenceThe EUR/USD currency pair remains the world's primary barometer for global stability. In early 2026, the pair faces intense downward pressure. It recently tumbled toward the critical 1.1700 support level. This shift reflects a complex intersection of war premiums and structural economic shifts. Investors must now navigate a landscape defined by volatility and strategic realignment. Geopolitics and the Safe-Haven Surge The Middle East conflict redefines the current EUR/USD trajectory. Investors view the U.S. dollar as the ultimate safe haven during crises. The Euro faces immense pressure from a growing "war premium." Escalating regional tensions drive rapid capital flight toward American assets. Consequently, the Greenback strengthens as a hedge against global uncertainty. Geostrategy also plays a decisive role in currency valuation. The United States maintains a more insulated position regarding regional energy shocks. Europe, however, remains geographically and economically exposed to eastern flashpoints. This vulnerability dictates the Euro’s current discount relative to the Dollar. Assertive traders monitor these geopolitical developments as primary indicators. Energy Vulnerability and Macroeconomic Shifts Energy security remains the Eurozone's primary strategic weakness. Surging oil prices favor the energy-independent United States. Europe’s dependence on external energy sources creates a structural trade disadvantage. High energy costs act as a regressive tax on European industry. This dynamic fuels inflationary pressures while simultaneously dampening growth. Simultaneously, weak German retail sales signal domestic fragility. The Eurozone's largest economy struggles to maintain consumer momentum. In contrast, the US labor market shows remarkable resilience despite high interest rates. This macroeconomic divergence forces the Euro to lose its competitive footing. Market participants expect this gap to persist throughout 2026. Technological Innovation and Patent Moats The US leads the Eurozone in high-tech patent filings and AI integration. American firms dominate the "Agentic AI" and semiconductor sectors. Patent analysis reveals a significant innovation gap between the two regions. This leadership attracts massive foreign direct investment into the US. Investors view the Dollar as a proxy for technological growth and scientific breakthroughs. In contrast, the Eurozone struggles to modernize its traditional industrial business models. While Europe leads in green hydrogen patents, commercialization lags behind American competitors. This delay impacts the long-term attractiveness of the Euro. High-tech dominance provides a fundamental floor for the US Dollar. The market rewards the economy that best captures the AI-driven industrial revolution. Cybersecurity and Digital Sovereignty Hybrid warfare threats now target European financial infrastructure. Modern geostrategy demands robust cybersecurity to protect currency stability. The European Central Bank prioritizes the Digital Euro to ensure monetary sovereignty. However, the Federal Reserve’s digital infrastructure remains the global benchmark. Cyber resilience is now a critical factor in long-term currency valuation. Financial institutions must adopt "security-first" business models to survive. Companies with superior cyber defenses attract more stable capital flows. The US high-tech sector provides the tools for this digital fortification. This advantage indirectly supports the Dollar's status as the world's reserve currency. Security and science are now inseparable from monetary policy. Leadership and Monetary Policy Management at the Fed and ECB shows diverging priorities. The Fed maintains an assertive stance to combat energy-driven inflation. Conversely, the ECB must balance price stability with fragile European debt markets. This leadership tension creates persistent volatility for the EUR/USD pair. Clear communication from central banks dictates the immediate market direction. Corporate leadership in the US also focuses on aggressive share buybacks and agility. European management cultures often prioritize social stability and regulation. This cultural difference impacts corporate earnings and, by extension, currency demand. Investors favor the proactive leadership styles found in American boardrooms. This preference continues to bolster the Dollar against a retreating Euro. The Professional Outlook The EUR/USD pair reflects the shifting balance of global power. While the Euro faces a difficult 2026, the US Dollar thrives on chaos and innovation. Professional traders should expect continued volatility as the war premium persists. The path back to parity or beyond depends on Europe's ability to innovate. For now, the Dollar remains the king of the 2026 financial landscape.
Short
by the5erstrading
EUR/USD Outlook: Dollar Strength Surges Amid Iran TensionsEUR/USD is currently navigating a high-stakes compression zone around 1.1818, forming a series of lower highs against steady support near 1.1760, signaling a massive accumulation of market energy that could trigger a decisive breakout in the coming sessions. This technical consolidation is unfolding amid unprecedented geopolitical volatility, following the confirmed death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28, which has escalated tensions across the Middle East and forced a global risk-off shift. Investors are flocking to safe-haven assets, strengthening the U.S. Dollar while currencies like the Iranian Rial and other regional markets face historic lows. From a trading perspective, EUR/USD may first target a liquidity grab toward 1.1700, with a potential acceleration toward the 1.1660 macro-pivot if retaliatory missile strikes, airspace closures, and ongoing conflict intensify. The pair’s behavior is now highly sensitive to geopolitical news, market sentiment, and key economic releases, particularly upcoming U.S. labor reports, which could act as catalysts for sharp intraday swings. Traders should prepare for extreme volatility, ensuring proper risk management, precise entries, and attention to support and resistance levels, as the Euro contends with a surging Greenback in a rapidly evolving, high-impact environment. Monitoring both technical chart patterns and fundamental developments will be crucial for navigating the current EUR/USD setup successfully.
Long
by mayachartist
22
USD/MXN: Super Peso Defies Dollar StrengthHere is the revised article with all hyperlinks removed, maintaining the professional formatting and analysis. The Mexican peso continues to frustrate dollar bulls, maintaining a defiant stability despite broad greenback strength. Over the last five sessions, the USD/MXN pair moved just 0.4%. This neutrality highlights the peso's formidable resistance. While the U.S. dollar gains ground globally, Mexico’s currency holds the line. Investors call this the "Super Peso" phenomenon. It stems from a unique confluence of high yields and structural economic shifts. Macroeconomics: The Rate Differential Shield Mexico’s high interest rates act as a primary defensive wall. The Bank of Mexico (Banxico) set its benchmark rate at 7.25% in November. Conversely, the U.S. Federal Reserve maintains a target of 4.00%. This 3.25% spread creates a massive incentive for carry traders. Investors borrow cheap dollars to buy yielding pesos. This constant demand buoys the currency even when market sentiment sours. Economics: Inflation and Policy Inflation in Mexico is cooling, validating Banxico's strategy. October data showed headline inflation dropping to 3.57%. This progress allows policymakers to consider gradual easing. However, aggressive cuts pose a risk. Narrowing the yield spread too quickly could erode the peso's appeal. Banxico must balance growth needs against currency stability. Geostrategy & Geopolitics: The Nearshoring Fortress Global trade tensions have inadvertently strengthened Mexico's hand. The U.S.-China decoupling forces corporations to shorten supply chains. Mexico is the logical beneficiary of this "nearshoring" wave. Its geographic proximity to the U.S. market is a supreme strategic asset. This geopolitical realignment drives Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) to record levels. Long-term capital inflows provide a structural floor for the peso, independent of daily speculative flows. Industry Trends: Manufacturing Renaissance Industrial parks across Northern Mexico are operating at near capacity. Global manufacturers are relocating essential production lines from Asia to states like Nuevo León. This shifts Mexico’s economy higher up the value chain. We see a transition from simple assembly to complex manufacturing. This industrial depth creates sustained demand for pesos to pay local operational costs. Technology & Cyber: Digital Finance Evolution Mexico’s financial sector is undergoing a rapid technological maturation. Fintech adoption is surging, facilitating record remittance flows. Digital platforms now process billions of dollars efficiently and securely. Cybersecurity investment is rising in tandem to protect this digital infrastructure. Robust cyber-defenses build institutional trust, encouraging further capital repatriation. Science & High-Tech: The Innovation Hub The narrative of cheap labor is evolving into one of skilled innovation. Hubs like Guadalajara are attracting high-tech R&D centers. This "Silicon Valley of Mexico" fosters a new class of engineering talent. Science-based industries, including medical devices and aerospace, are expanding. This diversification reduces reliance on oil exports and strengthens the currency's fundamental value. Patent Analysis: Intellectual Property Growth Patent filings reflect this high-tech shift. International companies are increasingly filing IP protections within Mexico. Patent data indicates growth in automotive and aerospace engineering sectors. This signals a long-term commitment to the market. Companies do not protect IP in transient manufacturing bases. They do so in strategic, long-term hubs. This entrenchment further stabilizes the economic outlook. Management & Leadership: Central Bank Discipline Banxico’s leadership has demonstrated exceptional discipline. They moved earlier and more aggressively against inflation than many G7 peers. This assertiveness established deep credibility with global markets. Investors trust the central bank to defend the currency’s purchasing power. Prudent management serves as an intangible but vital asset for the peso. Outlook: The Dollar Threat Risks remain despite these strengths. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is rebounding toward the 100 level. A sustained breakout could pressure emerging market currencies. If the DXY reclaims early-2025 highs of 110, the peso will face a severe test. Traders should watch the 18.59 resistance level closely. A break above this could signal a shift in momentum.
Long
by the5erstrading
Has the BoE Already Doomed the Sterling?Macroeconomics: Diverging Central Bank Paths The British Pound (GBP) has aggressively declined, losing 4.8% from September highs, primarily due to a growing policy divergence between the Bank of England (BoE) and the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Markets increasingly expect the BoE to cut interest rates sooner, with current pricing suggesting a 35% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. This dovish pressure stems from cooling UK labor data and inflation, which, despite ticking up slightly, remains far from 2023’s double-digit peaks. In stark contrast, the US Dollar (USD) remains resilient, supported by the Fed’s persistent "higher for longer" stance. Strong US data, notably the 195,000 October Non-Farm Payrolls addition, bolsters this hawkish view. This widening interest rate differential, now almost 100 basis points favoring the USD, makes dollar assets more attractive than sterling assets, directly pressuring the GBP/USD pair toward the critical 1.3000 support level. Economics and Fiscal Warning: Tax Hikes Loom Domestic UK economic concerns amplify the bearish pressure on Sterling. UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves issued a pre-Budget warning, confirming an intent to raise taxes to close a significant £22 billion fiscal gap. This public rhetoric prepares markets for an Autumn Budget featuring fiscal tightening measures. Fiscal tightening through tax hikes generally dampens economic growth expectations, which encourages the BoE to consider rate cuts to stimulate activity. This political and economic dynamic fuels bond market volatility. The UK 10-year gilt yield briefly fell, reflecting investor expectation of slower growth and a dovish BoE response, accelerating the GBP/USD selloff. Geopolitics and Geostrategy: Dollar's Global Anchor The Dollar's strength is not purely macroeconomic; it acts as a global safe-haven anchor, a key geostrategic function. Renewed focus on geopolitical stability and trade deals, such as the preliminary US-China trade consensus on export controls and fentanyl, often benefits the US Dollar as the primary reserve currency. Conversely, the UK faces fiscal uncertainty and lower productivity forecasts, placing its currency at a relative disadvantage. The USD's dominance, reinforced by Chair Jerome Powell's measured, firm rhetoric, creates a sharp contrast with the BoE’s internal divisions on policy. This global context makes the USD the preferred currency, undermining Sterling's value on the international stage. Technology and Cyber Risk: Underlying Competitiveness While the movement is not driven by immediate technical news, the UK's long-term technological and patent competitiveness affects its currency's appeal. Persistent issues, like lower productivity forecasts reported by the Office for Budget Responsibility, imply a lag in high-tech innovation and efficiency compared to the US. A slower pace of innovation and lower productivity in the UK's services and manufacturing sectors contrasts with the robust, job-creating US economy. This fundamental economic weakness limits Sterling's potential for sustained, long-term appreciation. Technical analysis confirms this bearish trend, showing a double-top pattern and momentum indicators deep in negative territory, confirming the downward bias toward the 1.3000 psychological barrier.
Short
by the5erstrading
4
DXY Breakout Confirmed — How Far Can Bulls Run?💰 Thief’s Heist: DXY Bull Raid in Progress ⚡ Layered Entry Strategy! 📈 Setup Summary Asset: DXY Dollar Index (Cash) 📊 Bias / Plan: BULLISH — 0.786 Triangular Moving Average was breached by buyers → trend confirmation in progress 🚀 🎯 Thief’s Game Plan (Swing / Day Trade) 🕵️ Entry Plan — “Layered Thief Style”: 💎 Any price level entry is valid — flexibility is the Thief’s advantage! 🔹 Sample Limit Layers: • 97.800 • 98.000 • 98.200 (💡 You can increase or reduce layers based on your own style — stack smartly!) 🧨 Stop Loss (Thief SL): ⚠️ 97.400 → This is the “Thief SL Zone” 👉 But you’re the mastermind — set your own SL if you prefer! 💰 Target Zone (TP): 🚧 Police Barricade at ~99.400 — strong resistance area + oversold trap likely 💨 Thieves escape with bags before the trap closes! ⚙️ Take profit partially or fully at your own comfort — be swift, be smart 🦅 🧩 Market Insight & Technical Reasoning ✅ 786 Triangular MA breach confirms bullish structure ✅ DXY strength often follows Treasury Yield push 📈 ✅ Strong USD = Weak Gold & EUR/USD usually ✅ Oversold readings hint buyers ready to counter attack 🔗 Correlation Watchlist (Related Pairs) Keep an eye on these for confirmation 🔍 💶 FX:EURUSD → usually inverse to DXY 💷 FX:GBPUSD → tracks EUR/USD correlation 💴 FX:USDJPY → directly correlates with DXY 🥇 Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) → moves opposite to DXY 💵 TVC:US10Y Yields → rising yields = bullish DXY 💡 Key Tip: When EUR/USD & GBP/USD drop sharply + yields rise → DXY often continues its rally 🧭 ⚠️ Notes & Thief Disclaimers 👑 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs): I’m not recommending my SL or TP — make your own risk rules 💼 You can make money, take money, or just watch the play unfold 🎭 This is a “Thief Style” strategy, shared for fun & educational inspiration only 🧠 Always manage risk & protect capital first — thieves survive by escaping, not over-staying 💨 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: this is thief style trading strategy just for fun #DXY #USDIndex #Dollar #Forex #LayeredEntry #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #TrendBreak #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #USD #TradingView #FXStrategy
TVC:DXYLong
by The-Thief
DXY BANK VAULT BREAK-IN: Your Dollar Index Profit Blueprint🚨 DXY BANK HEIST: Dollar Index Breakout Robbery Plan (Long Setup) 🚨 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention, Market Robbers & Dollar Bandits! 🏦💰💸 Using the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, we’re plotting a DXY (Dollar Index) bank heist—time to go LONG and escape near the ATR danger zone. Overbought? Yes. Risky? Absolutely. But the real robbery happens when weak hands panic. Take profits fast—you’ve earned this loot! 🏆💵 📈 ENTRY: BREAKOUT OR GET LEFT BEHIND! Wait for DXY to cross 99.300 → Then strike hard! Buy Stop Orders: Place above Moving Average. Buy Limit Orders: Sneak in on 15M/30M pullbacks (swing lows/highs). Pro Tip: Set a BREAKOUT ALARM—don’t miss the heist! 🛑 STOP LOSS: DON’T GET LOCKED UP! For Buy Stop Orders: Never set SL before breakout—amateurs get caught! Thief’s Safe Spot: Nearest swing low (2H chart). Rebels: Place SL wherever… but your funeral! ⚰️ 🏴‍☠️ TARGET: 102.300 (Bank Vault Cracked!) Scalpers: Long only! Trail your SL like a pro thief. Swing Traders: Ride this heist for maximum payout. 💵 MARKET CONTEXT: DXY IS BULLISH (But Traps Await!) Fundamentals: COT Reports, Fed Plays, Geopolitics. Intermarket Sentiment: Bonds, Gold, Stocks—all connected. Full Analysis: Check our bio0 linkks 👉🔗 (Don’t trade blind!). ⚠️ ALERT: NEWS = VOLATILITY = TRAP ZONE! Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Lock profits with trailing stops—greed gets you caught! 💥 SUPPORT THE HEIST (OR GET LEFT BROKE!) Smash that Boost Button 💖→ Stronger team = bigger scores! Steal profits daily with the Thief Trading Style. 🎯🚀 Next heist coming soon… stay ready! 🤑🐱‍👤🔥
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by The-Thief
Price Action + Fundamentals Point to Dollar StrengthThe current market environment presents compelling evidence for a bullish move in the US Dollar Index (DXY). While some patience is required, the setup is increasingly favorable for the dollar to appreciate in the coming weeks and months. Key Factors Supporting a Bullish Move: Monthly Close Above 100.160: A critical technical level to monitor is the monthly close above 100.160. If achieved, it would signal a strong bullish breakout, setting the stage for a continuation higher. Given current price action and market dynamics, this scenario looks highly probable. However, if the price fails to close above 100.160 and instead breaks below it, we could potentially start looking for short opportunities. Bond Market Strength (30Y, 10Y, 5Y): This past week, we witnessed notable strength across the US bond market. Yields declined as prices rose, typically a positive signal for the dollar as it reflects capital inflows into US assets. COT Report Insights: The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a critical shift: commercial traders, often considered the "smart money," are beginning to accumulate long positions in the dollar. This change in positioning historically precedes significant bullish moves. Seasonal Patterns: Seasonality also favors the dollar during this period. Historically, the dollar tends to strengthen in the mid-year months, aligning perfectly with the current technical and fundamental landscape. Targets: Initial Target: 106.120 Given the accumulation signs and supportive macro backdrop, a move towards 106.120 seems very realistic.
TVC:DXYLong
by Wiiso
DXY The Fake Dance- One of the most important barometers for global currencies and markets in the world. - Most of the time DXY is a well used machine to supress markets (forex, stocks, cryptos, etc..) - When they don't start the printing machine, DXY keeps is strength. - When they start to print DXY starts to dip and markets boom up. - it's really basic and based on "BRRR Machine". - i had a hard time to decrypt this fake peace of resilience. - actually there's none visible divergences on the 1M or 3M Timeframes. - So i decided to push my analysis to 6M Timeframe and noticed few things : - You can notice that from 2008 ( Post crises ), DXY was in a perma bullish trend. - So now check MACD and will notice this fake move on January 2021 ( in graph the red ? ) - MACD was about to cross down, columns smaller and smaller, then a Pump from nowhere lol. - i rarely saw that in my trading life on a 6M Timeframe. - So to understand more this trend, i used ADX (Average Directional Index) - ADX is used to determine when the price is trending strongly. - In many cases, it is the ultimate trend indicator. - So if you look well ADX columns, you will notice that a strong divergence is on the way. - First check the Yellow Doted Line in July 2022 when DXY reached 115ish and look the size of the green columns. - Now check today (red doted Line), and look again the ADX green columns is higher, but DXY diped to 105ish. - So like always, i can be wrong, but i bet on a fast DXY dip soon or later. - it's possible to fake pumps, but it's harder to fake traders. Happy Tr4Ding !
ICEUS:DX1!Short
by thecryer
5
Time for the Dollar to be realisticWith the news of Donald Trump being the united states new president we have seen nothing but euphoric bullish price action of the dollar. However, I believe that it is finally time for that to come to an end and for the dollar to continue in it's gradual and slow demise. I believe the dollar push to the upside was nothing but a retracement on the HTF and with the bitcoin becoming more of a powerhouse we will continue to see the dollar lose its value. This is supported through my analysis as we can see the dollar reacting from the weekly imbalance and creating LL and LH and Breaking structure to the downside. I believe that this will continue this week and be looking to sell after price takes the ASH and forms Wyckoff in my 3H supply. My only hesitation is that my other pairs that go against the dollar I am also predicting to sell, Although we haven't seen the usual correlation between the pairs they normally have i am still cautious but my analysis remains ever true. If the dollar decides to push further up it will simply be filling the remainder of the Imbalance in order to have a proper reaction from the weekly supply.
TVC:DXYShort
by JamelCapital
DXY "DOLLAR INDEX" Bank Money Heist Plan On Bullish SideBonjour My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist DXY "DOLLAR INDEX" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 1H timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
FX:USDOLLARLong
by The-Thief
EurUsd - Lower, 1.000 pips lowerHello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at EurUsd . -------- Explanation of my video analysis: EurUsd has been trading in a descending channel formation for a very long period of time. At the moment EurUsd is once again retesting the upper resistance in confluence with a horizontal structure so there is simply a higher chance that we will see a continuation lower from here. This means that as stock traders - especially from Europe - we can continue to trade our U.S. stock position without worries. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
Short
by TheTraderPhil
5
DXY (DOLLAR INDEX) Shorts from 107.000My view on the dollar is relevant to all major pairs I trade, including GOLD, GBPUSD (GU), and EURUSD (EU). This week, we are approaching a strong high point with a previous Wyckoff distribution on a higher timeframe, now entering a significant supply level on the 9-hour chart. I anticipate a reaction at this level followed by a temporary decline in the dollar. I expect the dollar to drop at least to the newly established 12-hour demand zone, where I foresee a bullish continuation. This supports the broader bullish trajectory of the dollar, aiming towards tapping into a 2-month supply zone where a major bearish reaction is expected. Therefore, if I anticipate the dollar to initially rise and then drop, I also expect EURUSD and GBPUSD to continue their downward trends accordingly. Note that this is my current bias, and I will adjust it based on evolving market trends. It's essential to consider various zones and scenarios for a comprehensive analysis." This version maintains your original message while improving clarity and readability. Feel free to adjust it further based on your preferences!
TVC:DXYLong
by Hassan_fx
EUR/USD Should be watched closelyThe Eur/Usd has been in an elongated channel for the better part of half a year. This channel isn't inherently bearish, however the DXY has shown recent strength after breaking above old support and retracing over 4%. We watch the EURUSD chart closely to see whether we break down from this channel which will probably mean a few months of bearish PA. My prediction - We retrace upwards as the DXY cools down a bit, make a lower high before coming back and breaking down from the channel - heading to 1.04.
by SynergyTradingSetups
2
DXY LONG/BUY🔰 Pair Name : DXY 🔰 Time Frame : 4H 🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale 🔰 Direction : BUY If all the data below comes in as predicted today, here is a summary of how each data point could potentially impact the DXY (US Dollar Index): Core PCE Price Index m/m: Forecast: 0.2% (🔻 Lower than the previous 0.3%) Potential Impact on DXY: A lower-than-expected inflation rate (0.2%) could dampen expectations of higher interest rates by the Federal Reserve. This might lead to a weaker US dollar, as lower interest rate differentials can reduce the currency's attractiveness to investors. 💸📉 Employment Cost Index q/q: Forecast: 1.1% (🔻 Lower than the previous 1.2%) Potential Impact on DXY: A slightly lower employment cost index could indicate a moderation in wage growth. This may reduce inflationary pressures and could potentially weigh on the US dollar. 💼📉 Personal Income m/m: Forecast: 0.5% (🔺 Higher than the previous 0.4%) Potential Impact on DXY: An increase in personal income could boost consumer spending and confidence in the economy, potentially supporting the US dollar. 💵📈 Personal Spending m/m (at 3:00 pm): Forecast: 0.4% (🔺 Higher than the previous 0.1%) Potential Impact on DXY: Higher personal spending indicates increased consumer activity, which could be positive for the US economy and the US dollar. 💸📈 Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment: Forecast: 72.6 (🔄 Same as the previous reading) Potential Impact on DXY: If consumer sentiment remains stable, it may not have a significant impact on the US dollar, as it reflects the market's current expectations. 😊📊 Overall, the impact of the data on the DXY will depend on the interplay of various economic factors. If the data aligns with expectations, the DXY's reaction may be relatively muted. However, unexpected deviations from the forecasts could introduce more volatility in the currency markets. It's essential to closely monitor the actual data releases and any revisions to make a comprehensive assessment of their impact on the DXY. 📈📉🌍 Combined with the fact the Federal Reserve increases interest rates from 5% to 5.5% since last month on Wednesday, it could have several potential impacts on the DXY (US Dollar Index): Strengthening of the US Dollar: Generally, an interest rate hike signals that the central bank is confident in the economy's strength and wants to curb inflationary pressures. Higher interest rates can attract foreign investors seeking higher returns on their investments, leading to increased demand for the US dollar. As a result, the DXY may strengthen in response to the rate hike. 💹📈 Higher Yield Attractiveness: With a higher interest rate, US bonds and other fixed-income assets become more attractive to investors as they offer better returns. This increased demand for US assets can further support the US dollar's value. 💼📊 Capital Flows: A higher interest rate differential between the US and other countries may lead to capital flows into the US to take advantage of the higher returns. As a result, demand for the US dollar may rise, bolstering the DXY. 💵💹 Impact on Borrowing Costs: Higher interest rates can increase borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, potentially leading to reduced spending and investment. This could have a dampening effect on economic growth, which might eventually weigh on the US dollar's strength. 💸📉 Market Sentiment: The actual impact on the DXY will also depend on how market participants interpret the rate hike. If the move is perceived as a sign of economic health and stability, it may have a positive impact on the US dollar. However, if it is seen as a measure to address inflationary pressures that might affect consumer spending and growth, it could potentially lead to a weaker US dollar. 🤔📊 Eyes on today's data release. Optimistically, once DXY retests the 4-hour demand zone below, it will likely go high up to the last key high to collect all liquidity above. 📈👀
TVC:DXYLong
by Moon_SmartMoney
$spx reset for Q4 incoming! 4200 levelsNotice how we have tapped 4600 which an extreme overbought level. SPX must retest a lower level of 4380-4330 and if it does not hold it should freefall to 4200 in prep for Q4. SPX has been in a bullish outbreak since march 2023 with only a slight dip in june 2023. a correction is due. I am using AMEX:SPXS as the inverse of this play. I do have a sentiment which is: when the Dollar is up, stocks are down and VICE versa. We are noticing incoming strength from DXY which is causing a shorting of SPX and other index + stocks. Trade wisely
SP:SPXShort
by chestephens1
DXY Possible Dip Before Further Up 🔰 Pair Name : DXY 🔰 Time Frame : 4H 🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale 🔰 Direction : SELL During the recent correction in dollar strength that began last week, the DXY showed a rally to the 101.5 area without undergoing a proper retest to the downside. Today, the price reached the 4-hour supply zone above the 101.111 area. There is potential for a retest to the downside at this area, towards the previous 4-hour demand zone at the 100.8-100.7 area, to fill the imbalance in order to have enough liquidity to go further up. As professional traders, it is crucial to keep a close eye on the DXY - the U.S. Dollar Index. This index serves as a key metric in measuring the USD's value against a basket of major currencies, acting as a benchmark for the strength or weakness of the USD. 💹💲 Here's how the movements of the DXY can impact currency pairs and gold prices: 1.USD Currency Pairs (e.g., EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD): 1️⃣ Inverse relationship: A strengthening DXY indicates that the USD is gaining strength against the basket of currencies, leading to weaker USD currency pairs. 2️⃣ Positive correlation: Conversely, a weakening DXY suggests that the USD is losing strength against the basket, resulting in stronger USD currency pairs. 2.JPY Currency Pairs (e.g., USDJPY, EURJPY, AUDJPY): The relationship between the DXY and JPY pairs is not as direct as with USD pairs, but there may still be some correlation due to the impact of the USD on overall market sentiment. For example, a stronger DXY might prompt investors to seek safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, potentially strengthening the JPY pairs. 🛡️➡️💹 🥇Gold Price: 1️⃣ Inverse relationship: Gold is often considered a safe-haven asset, and it typically moves in the opposite direction of the USD. A stronger DXY indicates a stronger USD, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Consequently, this can lead to a decrease in gold demand and a potential decline in gold prices. 📉➡️🏅 2️⃣ Positive correlation with JPY pairs: As mentioned earlier, JPY pairs may exhibit some correlation with the DXY due to risk sentiment. If the DXY strengthens, investors may seek safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, potentially exerting upward pressure on gold prices as well. 💹➡️🏅 It is essential to keep in mind that correlations can change over time, and other factors beyond the DXY can influence assets such as US30 and XTIUSD (Crude Oil). As professional traders, always consider multiple factors and stay updated with current information to make informed decisions. 🧠🔄 Continuous learning and research are crucial to enhance your understanding and excel in trading. Happy trading! 📚🌟 #DXY #MarketAnalysis #FinancialEducation
TVC:DXYShort
by Moon_SmartMoney
4
USDJPY LONG/BUY🔰 Pair Name : USD/JPY 🔰 Time Frame : DAILY 🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale 🔰 Direction : LONG/ BUY USD/JPY is currently showing slight losses, hovering around 138.60, as traders search for fresh signals at the beginning of the European session on Monday. The Yen pair is retracing its corrective bounce from the previous day, where it rebounded from its mid-May lows. Notably, the failure to sustain the corrective bounce beyond the immediate resistance at 139.35, formed by a previous support line dating back to late March, indicates the presence of USD/JPY sellers. 🔍 Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support: 137.80 (early May peak), 137.40 (50% Fibonacci retracement), 135.50 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) Resistance: 139.35 (immediate resistance), 140.00 (psychological level), 141.50 (confluence of 200-SMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement) However, there are factors that could challenge further downside momentum. The 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 137.40, coupled with bullish MACD signals and the nearly oversold RSI (14) line, might lead to a pause in the selling pressure. Looking back at the past week, USD/JPY experienced significant market imbalance, raising the anticipation of a correction in dollar strength. This correction is expected to facilitate the market's rebalancing process by filling the existing imbalance and collecting selling liquidity above. As professional traders, we are closely monitoring these developments for potential trading opportunities. Being vigilant and ready to act in response to price action signals is crucial during this period of potential correction and rebalancing.
Long
by Moon_SmartMoney
USDCHF LONG /BUY🔰 Pair Name : USD/CHF 🔰 Time Frame : 4H 🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale 🔰 Direction : LONG/BUY Today, the US Dollar exhibited marginal strength against the Australian and New Zealand Dollars, while facing weakness against the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc as investors adopted a risk-off approach. The currency movements can be attributed to disappointing data from China, which revealed an overall softening of the economy, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.3% in the second quarter. This figure fell short of the previous quarter's forecasts of 7.3% and 4.5%. Specifically, retail sales grew by 3.1% year-on-year until the end of June, slightly below the estimated 3.2% and significantly lower than the 12.7% recorded in May. Despite the mixed data, there were some encouraging signs in the Chinese economy. Industrial production expanded by 4.4% year-on-year until the end of June, surpassing expectations of 2.7% and the previous figure of 3.5%. Additionally, fixed asset investment outperformed expectations, growing by 3.8% over the January to June period, compared to the anticipated 3.5%. In the Asian-Pacific markets, China's CSI 300 equity index experienced a decline of more than 1%, while other APAC markets had a subdued start to the trading week. Tokyo remained closed for a holiday, and markets in Hong Kong and Taiwan were impacted by typhoon Talim. Futures indicate a slightly negative start to the Wall Street cash session. Meanwhile, G-20 Finance Ministers and central bankers gathered in India today for their meeting. While this event is expected to generate numerous headlines, it's worth noting that no speeches from Federal Reserve speakers are scheduled, as they have entered a communications blackout in preparation for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on July 26th. The market has already priced in a 25 basis point lift at the conclave. In the commodities market, crude oil slipped before Monday's session, with both WTI and Brent futures contracts down approximately 1%. On the other hand, gold maintained relative stability, trading near the middle of its range, just above the USD 1950 level. In the European markets, several central bank voting members, including President Christine Lagarde, will deliver speeches today, potentially influencing market sentiment. Regarding the DXY (USD) index, it reached a 15-month low on Friday, breaking below prior support levels in the 100.80 – 101.00 range. This area could now act as a breakpoint resistance zone, with another resistance point anticipated at 101.92, followed by the peak of 103.57. The recent sell-off caused the DXY to breach below the lower band of the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) based Bollinger Band. A close back inside the band might indicate a potential pause in the bearish trend or signal a potential reversal. Looking back at last Friday's trading, the DXY recorded a low of 99.58, just above the April 2022 low of 99.57. These levels may provide support ahead of a potential break point at 99.42. It's worth noting that the USD/CHF pair appears to have landed on the 4-hour/daily demand zone, positioned at the bottom of the downward channel, suggesting a significant market imbalance. This imbalance indicates a need for correction to rebalance the market with more selling positions. If the market continues to decline, we may expect further downward movement after the correction, filling up the imbalance above. As traders, we should closely monitor these developments to capitalize on potential trading opportunities.
Long
by Moon_SmartMoney