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nick.trader4 nick.trader4 USDJPY, 240,
USDJPY: USD/JPY IDEA- Something to consider after Yellen statement.
35 0 5
USDJPY, 240
USD/JPY IDEA- Something to consider after Yellen statement.

Couple scenarios to consider here depending on the tone and remarks made by Yellen regarding monetary policy. Currently USD has been moving up but the move will only continue if Fed chair Yellen reinforces her comments made 2 weeks ago when they decided to raise rates again and stated they were still on track and serious about another rate hike in 2017 either in ...

ForexEZ ForexEZ GBPJPY, 60, Long ,
GBPJPY: GBPJPY Bullish Breakout Idea
60 0 1
GBPJPY, 60 Long
GBPJPY Bullish Breakout Idea

This charting shows the bullish breakout idea as I currently can see on the GBPJPY pair. Only IF we get the confirmed breakouts, tests and bull moves this will be in tact. Patterns & Confirmation Free Video Tutorial: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5czJsRVGOuM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NwNal8Xc9JM

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Short ,
DXY: SHORT DXY/ USD: BRAINARD FAILS TO TOW THE HAWK LINE (SPEECH)*
297 5 12
DXY, D Short
SHORT DXY/ USD: BRAINARD FAILS TO TOW THE HAWK LINE (SPEECH)*

Voting member Lael Brainard maintained her mildly dovish stance, with the headline quotye being "case to tighten policy preemptively is less compelling" perhaps the most indicative of the dovish sentiment. The rest of the comments remained neutral-downbeat and didnt echo JPM's CEO's comments of "A 25-basis-point increase is a drop in the bucket," and Let's just ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading FB, D, Short ,
FB: SHORT DXY/ USD: BRAINARD FAILS TO TOW THE HAWK LINE (SPEECH)
132 0 6
FB, D Short
SHORT DXY/ USD: BRAINARD FAILS TO TOW THE HAWK LINE (SPEECH)

Voting member Lael Brainard maintained her mildly dovish stance, with the headline quotye being "case to tighten policy preemptively is less compelling" perhaps the most indicative of the dovish sentiment. The rest of the comments remained neutral-downbeat and didnt echo JPM's CEO's comments of "A 25-basis-point increase is a drop in the bucket," and Let's just ...

gorillacharts gorillacharts XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: SHORT-TERM BULLISH GOLD AFTER HAMER CANDLE
38 0 2
XAUUSD, D Long
SHORT-TERM BULLISH GOLD AFTER HAMER CANDLE

With lousy and direction-less equity markets today - Europe rollercoaster, US hibernating - let's take a look at Gold. The precious metal yielded a near-perfect bullish hammer candle today. I usually like to see those at the end of a longer downtrend, but would never want to ignore a hammer, when I see one. My longer-term technical work suggests a fresh bull ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading NZDUSD, D,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD/ AUDUSD: MONETARY POLICY DECISION HIGHLIGHTS
259 0 11
NZDUSD, D
NZDUSD/ AUDUSD: MONETARY POLICY DECISION HIGHLIGHTS

Relatively poor delivery from the RBNZ, by the looks of the whipsaw the market wanted/ expected 50bps based on the AUD differential and the RBA rate cut last week 50bps or some alt policy (e.g. QE) seemed like the smart move to make. From here Kiwi and Aussie longs look preferential as the macro environment shifts to a yield seeking stance from monpol trading - ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading NZDUSD, D, Short ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD: RBNZ MONPOL DECISION PREVIEW -  BOE OR RBA STYLE?
225 3 11
NZDUSD, D Short
NZDUSD: RBNZ MONPOL DECISION PREVIEW - BOE OR RBA STYLE?

RBNZ Monetary Policy Decision: 1. At 22:00GMT the RBNZ are expected to cut their OCR rate to 2% from 2.25% (25bps), further they will release their monpol statement and rate statement then too - with RBNZ Gov Wheeler speaking 1hr after the release. 2. The are a number of outcomes which are likely to or not to affect the NZD$ market, I will list the combinations ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long ,
DXY: BUY USD DIPS VS GBP/ NZD: DOVISH FED W. DUDLEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
125 5 8
DXY, D Long
BUY USD DIPS VS GBP/ NZD: DOVISH FED W. DUDLEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS

Fed Dudley was speaking At A joint New York Fed, Indonesian Central Bank Seminar On Sunday evening when he left a mixed impression for the markets to digest - saying "it is premature to rule out an interest-rate increase this year" but then on the contrary saying "Raising Rates Prematurely Would Be Riskier Than Moving Slightly Too Late" and following up that ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: LONG USDJPY: ANOTHER BOJ OUTPERFORM CASE - 28TRN GOVT STIMULUS
403 11 11
USDJPY, D Long
LONG USDJPY: ANOTHER BOJ OUTPERFORM CASE - 28TRN GOVT STIMULUS

Another argument for the BOJ outperform case - Post BOJ Buy $Yen @MRKT 111tp: 1. We know BOJ and JPY Govt Abe/ Aso have had many meetings post-brexit and as it follows the JPY Govt have announced today that they will deliver a fiscal stimulus package of 28trn - which was to the very right of the curve (10-30 was talked about). - This in mind, imo it is rational ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading AUDUSD, D, Short ,
AUDUSD: SHORT AUDUSD: EYEING CPI PRINT - SELL 1.0%YOY, 0.3%Q; RBA EASING
183 0 8
AUDUSD, D Short
SHORT AUDUSD: EYEING CPI PRINT - SELL 1.0%YOY, 0.3%Q; RBA EASING

AM 2:30GMT Ausssie Inflation prints are released these are key for determining their August Policy Decision 1. IMO a 1.0%yoy CPI print shows a further 0.3% contraction in their yearly CPI, this should be sufficient to push the RBA to cutting their OCR by 25bps, similarly a 0.3%qoq CPI will be needed in conjunction to show that inflation is growing at a slow ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading NZDUSD, D, Short ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD SHORT UPDATE: EYE RBNZ GOV G. WHEELER SPEECH CLOSELY!
243 2 13
NZDUSD, D Short
NZDUSD SHORT UPDATE: EYE RBNZ GOV G. WHEELER SPEECH CLOSELY!

The Govenor of the RBNZ is speaking in 16 hours time - there could be significant up/ downside volatility in Kiwi - as we have seen after the past 3wks where the RBNZ have gone through the full hawk-dove cycle in their inferences/ rhetoric. We had RBNZ Spencer's comments on house inflation back on the 7th of July which wrote off an RBNZ OCR cut - sending kiwi$ to ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Short ,
EURUSD: SHORT EURUSD: ECB POLICY DECISION & DRAGHI SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
382 4 15
EURUSD, D Short
SHORT EURUSD: ECB POLICY DECISION & DRAGHI SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS

IMO Draghi was dovish on the margin as expected - once again reiterating the ECB commitment to targets with " If Warranted, Will Act By Using All Available Instruments". Further, he was very pessimistic on many fronts, especially the ECBs key target inflation saying "Inflation Rates Likely to Remain Very Low In Next Few Months" and " Risks to Growth Outlook Remain ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY: BUY THE 107 BREAKOUT - RISK-ON TO CONTINUE - BOJ/ BOE
421 5 14
USDJPY, D Long
USDJPY: BUY THE 107 BREAKOUT - RISK-ON TO CONTINUE - BOJ/ BOE

USDJPY: 1. Been watching $yen closely as my top 2 trades this week (along with GU). As expected/ foretasted 107 was the next key risk sentiment resistance level after 104 and after buying the 104 breakout i have confidence/ advise buying the 107 breakout - we have now crossed the 3m moving average at 106 which provides support/ confirms bullish move. 2 Risk has ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading AUDUSD, D, Short ,
AUDUSD: SELL AUDUSD - JUNE RBA MINUTES HIGHLIGHTS - DOVISH/ CUT POSSIBLE
242 3 14
AUDUSD, D Short
SELL AUDUSD - JUNE RBA MINUTES HIGHLIGHTS - DOVISH/ CUT POSSIBLE

On the margin RBA remained in line with previous meetings, adding little but still keeping it on the dovish side imo. Once again, as in previous minutes (and from several other central banks) RBA continued to communicate the necessity of "watching key data" to drive future policy decisions. Interestingly though, they also mentioned the negative impact of a strong ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading NZDUSD, D, Short ,
NZDUSD: SELL NZDUSD: EYES ON CPI PRINT 23:45GMT - >0.5%=0.73; <0.4%=0.67
467 19 17
NZDUSD, D Short
SELL NZDUSD: EYES ON CPI PRINT 23:45GMT - >0.5%=0.73; <0.4%=0.67

Short NZDUSD based on low CPI/ inflation = an RBNZ OCR cut is 90% likely - 105 mins after market open at 23:45GMT NZD releases their June CPI print. - In all RBNZ mandates they reiterate how they consider CPI to be their "main/ sole" target or dictator of the monetary policy they set (check any of their minutes etc). - Their target is 2%, plus recently they ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Short ,
EURUSD: SHORT EURUSD: MISPRICING ECB & FED POLICY/ FUTURE POLICY/ BREXIT
487 2 17
EURUSD, D Short
SHORT EURUSD: MISPRICING ECB & FED POLICY/ FUTURE POLICY/ BREXIT

The Gross underpricing of ECB and FOMC Monetary Policy Changes - A fully-priced medium-term equilibrium Lower coming? EURUSD: *Short EURUSD 3m-12m Duration: 1/2lots @1.11 - 1.07TP1; 1.04-5TP2 1.01TP3 1. On Decemeber 2nd the ECB cut their rate by 10bps to 0.05%, paradoxically this actually caused EURUSD to rally higher. Thus this is a mispricing as Reductions ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, W, Short ,
DXY: EOW SUMMARY: RISK THE OVERALL WINNER - US30 & SPX @ 2% NEW HIGHS
528 2 13
DXY, W Short
EOW SUMMARY: RISK THE OVERALL WINNER - US30 & SPX @ 2% NEW HIGHS

End of Week Summary: 1. On the week we saw risk outperform safe havens for the first time since the brexit vote and the SPX and DJ30 set new all time highs by 2% and 1.2% respectively - somewhat encouraging given this was the longest period post-crisis that equity indexes have had since new highs, with a total time of apprx 1 year. 2. Given the articles ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD SHORT: DOVISH BOE M. CARNEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - AUG CUT
458 0 20
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD SHORT: DOVISH BOE M. CARNEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - AUG CUT

IMO Mark Carney was very dovish on the margin, certainly reinforcing their/ my view of an August cut being 90% on the table. The most supportive statements were "MonPol Important In Cushioning Effects Of Any Relapse In Recovery In Months & Quarters Ahead", "The MPC Does Not Have The ''Luxury '' and "More Should Be Done To Cushion The Effects Of Negative Shocks" - ...

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