The next three days are very important for DOWI. In deed we are on the eve of the TENKAN-KIJUN twist far outside the Kumo cloud, which may very much mean that if the reversal is confirmed, this will be preety strong. On the Kumo Cloud side of the story, although the next 23 periods appears to be on the upside of the story, if the Candle are crossing the cloud, it...
On the one hand - we have the triple top, on the other hand - we are waiting for the end of the impulse and the breakout from consolidation. The market, as usual, will go its own way. thepatternsite.com thepatternsite.com
Here is my logic: 1. Fundamentals don't support record highs. High stock prices don't represent real economic activity. Unemployment. situation still not pre-crises levels yet prices are way above that. 2. Oil showing lack of demand. 3. US dollar becoming more expensive. End of low exchange rate. 4. China weakening as well as imports. 5. End of easy money and fed...
At the the present time, we do have cheap money on the market but no more QE. Therefore market will have to fuel itself by its own. To do that, there must be a correction before ECB Launches its European QE which is not similar to FED's QE and no one know if US market will benefit from that. Therefore a correction is normal before market has the ability to fuel...
Well, we can hardly make such a genuine double top. It is rare to see such a precision. Of course, we do not know yet if it is a genuine douple top or not. A lot of signals show that it may be very much, but we need to see the next candle. On the other hand, macro economic news are not of a kind to fluel the market. If THIS CHART is a confirmed DOUBLE TOP, the...
VIX is turning its trend to a long position. The upside of VIX is not a technical correction but rather an initial sign of a trend on the upside. Generaly when DOWI is UP VIX is down and when VIX is up DOWI is down. whereas when both of them are on the upside, it is a clear sign of a reversal. Therefore one can estimate that DOWI will go on the upside first...
The Stock Exchanges are rather overperforming. The economic datas are not that good, but the market is expecting ECB President Draghi to release fresh money in the market. But there may be a reason to release the money in the market and thus this would only be possible when the market go to a severe correction otherwise, tax payer would not understand the reason...
When trading Indexes, it is always good to have a look on the volatility index and with Ichimoku, it is clear that the upside movement is very near. The indicators such as STOCH or RSI show that we are either at oversold level like STOCH or about to reach it with RSI. The Kumo Cloud shows a clear future turn in the trend. It means that when VIX is up, indexes...
On a chartist analysis we can clearly see that there is a double top formation. The next days i.e Monday 26th will be a day that will clearly confirm the double top formation or not. Based on indicator, DOWI is already very high and a down side correction is again imminent. If there is a double top formation which I do consider for sometime now, therefore, the...
The ichimoku chart shows that DOWI will go a little bit on the upside, but indicators show that there isn't a lot of room left on the upside. Tenkan Kijun twist may occur inside the cloud wich would announce a soft upside. Having an eye on the Kumo cloud and particularly on the next days show that there is a twist and confirme a reversal, at least a correction...
If dowi 16350.00 breaks resistance, it could fetch lowest 16000.00 at first and then in the vicinity of 15000.00, this will correspond to the bottom of the rising wedge which will form a perfect figure and logic.
Gold, Silver, Wall Street, Oil Relative performance at 4 time frames Note the drastic difference post-2007. Also note the chaos of 2014
MArket was too over confident. But if you keep an ear to CB's managers ie Draghi, Yellen and other, world economy is in a good path, and even if it is not, we will ease the monetary situation and continue to provide liquidity. But because of the correction the market is facing, VIX may move upside in order to hedge the short position on Indexes. On on purely...
Here we are. As forseen for several days, the correction on indexes has been ignited. SPX has started the initiative following by DOWI DAX NASDAQ CAC SMI and tomorrow it will continue with IBEX35. On the other hand, VIX jump up one to a sudden. The midway to the correction may be around 1840-1820. Here we are.... At last....In the mean time those who are...
Dowi is at a very very excessive level. On the Chart, you can clearly see the expansion channel. And we are very much above that channel. Indicators show clearly the excessive and overbought level of the market. the correction might be very severe and Sharp. Therefore, those who wishes to enter the market should be very carefull with there timing, the...
Well, VIx is in a forced uptrend, because of the oversold level on the one hand, and the overconfidence of the market on the other. It means that all indexes are higher then they should be. Stoch switch from the oversold level to a regular long level. This is the initial sign of a reversal trend in Indexes as well as on VIX. At least a technical correction for...
CIX is always a nice counter mesure tool to confirm the direction of the indexes. The market was too overconfident and VIX was at its lowest level. But there are initial signs on a technical level that show clearly the reversal trend i.e VIX may move up, and indexes may move down. STOCH and MACD give the hint. We need to see a confirmation if it is just a...