VTEX: Bullish breakout potential amid consolidationThe chart illustrates VTEX forming a wedge-like consolidation pattern, signaling a potential bullish breakout in the near future. The stock has established strong support at $6.22 and faces key resistance at $8.95. The 200-day SMA is acting as a pivotal resistance level , and a breach above this could confirm a shift in momentum.
The stochastic oscillator indicates the stock is oversold, suggesting a higher probability of upward price movement. If the price breaks above the wedge, t he next significant target is the $12-$14 range , representing substantial upside potential. However, downside risks remain, with a stop-loss near $5.72 to mitigate risk .
This idea combines technical indicators, moving averages, and volume considerations to outline a high-risk, high-reward trading opportunity. Investors should remain vigilant for confirmation signals before entering a position.
Ecommerce
When Does a $433.5 Million Settlement Become a Victory for Both In the complex landscape of corporate litigation, Alibaba's recent settlement presents a fascinating case study of modern business strategy. While the Chinese e-commerce giant agrees to pay $433.5 million to settle shareholder allegations, this decision might paradoxically represent a win-win scenario for both the company and its investors. The settlement, ranking among the top 50 largest securities class actions in U.S. history, raises intriguing questions about the balance between corporate governance and strategic business decisions.
What makes this case particularly compelling is the mathematics of risk management. When faced with potential damages of $11.63 billion, Alibaba's decision to settle for $433.5 million reveals a sophisticated calculation of risk versus reward. This settlement, representing less than 4% of the maximum potential damages, demonstrates how modern corporations can transform legal challenges into strategic opportunities for resolution and renewal.
The implications of this settlement extend far beyond Alibaba's balance sheet. As global markets increasingly scrutinize tech giants' practices, this case sets a precedent for how international corporations might navigate the complex intersection of antitrust regulations, shareholder rights, and market competition. The resolution suggests that in today's business environment, the true measure of corporate success might lie not in avoiding challenges, but in transforming them into opportunities for organizational evolution and stakeholder alignment.
MercadoLibre (MELI): A Powerhouse in Latin America! MELI is solidifying its position as a dominant player in the e-commerce and fintech markets across Latin America. With Argentina’s economic surge and aggressive expansion in Brazil and Mexico, MELI is poised for significant growth.
📈 Key Highlights:
Economic Recovery in Argentina driving e-commerce activity.
Expansion into logistics and food delivery diversifying revenue streams.
Growing adoption of Mercado Pago enhances its financial ecosystem.
While I see strong fundamentals supporting a buy rating, a 5% drop could offer a better entry point. My fair price estimate is $2,709, based on a 5 year DCF analysis.
Let's keep an eye on the support levels around $1,936 and $1,824.
#MELI #MercadoLibre #Investing #StockMarket #Ecommerce #Fintech #LatinAmerica #GrowthStocks #InvestmentOpportunities #Stocktobuy #Pullback
Alibaba (BABA): Stagnation Phase or Momentum Boost?We are currently experiencing a phase of stagnation with Alibaba, as the stock remains in a new accumulation phase after breaking out of the previous one. The price might retest the Point-of-Control along with the trendline that was broken during the breakout, potentially providing a good momentum boost.
Despite the sideways movement, our position remains profitable. From a long-term perspective, our entry looks strong, with a 10% stop-loss from our entry point. The upside potential for Alibaba is significant, given how far the stock is from its historical highs.
The main concern with Alibaba is the jurisdiction risk, as it is a Chinese stock and subject to influences from China, which adds a layer of risk not present with American stocks. Nevertheless, as long as the price stays above $72.38, the outlook remains positive. Losing this level would be unfavorable and could indicate further downside risk.
In summary, we remain optimistic about Alibaba's potential, keeping a close watch on the key support levels to manage risk effectively.
Sea Limited (SE) AnalysisCompany Overview: Sea Limited, a global consumer internet company, operates across three core businesses: e-commerce (Shopee), digital entertainment (Garena), and financial services (SeaMoney). The company has returned to growth investments to capitalize on its diverse business segments.
Key Catalysts:
E-commerce Momentum: Shopee's gross merchandise volume (GMV) forecast has been revised upward to reflect mid-20% growth, indicating strong momentum in its e-commerce segment. This renewed growth suggests that Sea's strategic investments are yielding positive results, particularly in expanding its reach across Southeast Asia and Latin America.
Gaming Recovery: Garena's flagship game, Free Fire, has seen a 19% year-over-year rebound in daily active users. This recovery signals a resurgence in the gaming division, which has long been a key revenue driver for Sea. Additionally, a potential relaunch of Free Fire in India could provide a significant boost, given the large gaming audience in the country.
Revenue Growth Outlook: Sea Limited is forecasting double-digit revenue growth for 2024, driven by Shopee's expansion, Garena's gaming resurgence, and the ongoing scaling of SeaMoney.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:SE if it holds above the $67.00-$68.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for Sea Limited is set at $130.00-$135.00, driven by continued e-commerce growth, gaming recovery, and potential entry into new markets.
🌊 Sea Limited—e-commerce growth and gaming rebound fuel bullish outlook! #SE #Ecommerce #Gaming 🚀📈
UPS looking DOWNSNice head and Shoulders on the United Parcel Service
#UPS and FEDEX are the new dow transport indicator.
An underlying determinant of how the consumer is faring
Since the US is a consumer economy and Online shopping is the majority of retail
if we see new highs on the Indicies, and the home delivery carriers continue to deteriorate
it would give your non confirmation Top
Similar to Dow theory of new High's in the Industrials , but the transports lagging and indeed falling.
Amazon - Two trading setups!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Amazon.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2020 Amazon stock created massive resistance roughly at the $180 level and started a major correction away from the resistance in 2022. As we are speaking Amazon stock is once again retesting this major resistance level and is therefore at a quite decisive inflection point. Either we will see a breakout or another rejection after which we could then see the overall continuation towards the upside.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
PayPal - Is the stock dead?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at PayPal.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
With the Covid-Crash in 2020 we saw a beautiful bullish break and retest on PayPal in confluence with a retest of an ascending trendline. This retest was followed by a rally of +200% towards the upside. From there, PayPal stock declined more than 80% and it is likely that we will never ever see the previous highs again. If you decide to take a trade though, make sure to properly manage your risk.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
A Promising Investment in Africa's E-commerceNYSE:JMIA is retesting the $5 support level which is a major point of interest. Bouncing off this level is a good sign for strong buyer interest and a sign of further uptrend.
Bullish Case
Growing e-commerce market in Africa: Africa has a rapidly growing middle class and a young, tech-savvy population. This presents a significant opportunity for e-commerce companies like Jumia to tap into the expanding market and capture a substantial share of the growing online retail sector.
First-mover advantage: Jumia is often referred to as the "Amazon of Africa" due to its dominant position in the African e-commerce market. As the first major player in the region, Jumia has built a strong brand and established a network of customers, sellers, and logistics partners, giving it a competitive advantage over potential new entrants.
It's official, I'm up +50% on my #Zalando position... $ZAL $ZLNDEuropean retail is bouncing back with vigor...
Trading at 80.8% below our estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 28.45% per year
Earnings grew by 394% over the past year
My target is still around $30 30 euros...
However, after this 50% rise, I'm afraid the squeeze will run out of steam and shorts will take over again...
Amazon - Massive Resistance AheadHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Amazon.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
With the quite obvious and expected channel breakout in 2016, we saw a rally of more than 500% towards the upside on Amazon. This pump was followed by a retracement back to a previous support level before we saw another bullish reversal. If Amazon breaks back above the structure mentioned in the analysis, market behaviour is bullish and I will be looking for longs.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
I’d Like to Be, Under the $SELong term buys from here down to a possible gap fill (low 30's from 2019-2020 pre pump to 300s) have a great R:R if you have a long enough time horizon. Company is putting in the money now to have effortless positive earnings/share in the future. Hard to ignore at these levels with the CEO still so heavily invested and holding strong. Long term price target > $100 and willing to hold for 5+ years to possibly see >200 and a run to ATH for a 10x. Buying anything barring new information.
AMAZON 1st bullish break-out made. Only the 1D MA50 left.Amazon (AMZN) made a Channel Down Lower Low on Thursday just before hitting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and following the higher than expected earnings opened Friday much higher. That price jump broke above the September 14 Lower Highs trend-line. The 2nd and final bullish break-out we expect before buying again for the long-term will be above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is where the October 12 rejection took place.
A candle closing above it, would invalidate the medium-term bearish bias and most likely restore the stock back on long-term bullish trend. The 1D RSI Double Bottom is what at the moment is shifting the sentiment a little more towards a potential bullish break-out. On the other hand, a break below the 4H MA200 will cancel it. Our target is 146.00, just under the August 16 2022 High.
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UPS Confirms Lower High Bearish Consolidation Below Demand LineThe UPS price action has confirmed a Lower High Bearish Consolidation Structure below the macro Demand Line has basically done so via a secondary Head and Shoulders with PPO Confirmation thereby confirming a Bearish BAMM that will likely take us down to the 88.6% retrace at $90
QRTEA is in a bottleneckIt appears QRTEA is facing a bottleneck once we draw the bollinger band on a weekly basis, meaning low volatility, this situation usually do not take too long before it starts to widen up. We have a positive EMA Cross which can be considered as a bullish signal. If we take both indicators together, it may be possible to expect a maeaningful ride on price during these days or weeks.
Finally we know Michael Burry invested over $1.5M on this company during 2Q 2023 at $0.99, so he was (or is) optimistic about the future of this company at that price, thus considering the current price (which is 14% lower vs Burry's), is a great opportunity to capitalize on this. Stay alert.
Support: 0.80
Resistance: 1.2
Amazon set to BREAKOUT or FALLOUTAs we analyze the 4 hour chart of Amazon I am honestly indifferent on the stock and would not be trading or buying it right now as it seems "stuck to me" based off these channels... When we look at the "macro" blue channel it shows upside with price pointing to higher 130s... but it would be a very swingy ride there.. right now we are in the white channel which is also very swingy and large for a channel to trade but profit to be made if TIMING is right... I have fib levels listing this as a Wave 2 and looking for more downside, but will continue to watch if we are to breakout of the resistance.. until then I would stay bearish.
$SHOP call 👀📈I've used a few tools and indicators to predict Shopify share price over the next couple weeks
Not investment advice
I believe SHOP is massively undervalued, with some exciting projects coming soon. We saw an ATH @ around $172 in Nov 2021, and since then the price has dropped around by over 4x less, to about $40. This is around $15 above the ATL.
However, £SHOP is also vulnerable to external factors, and as we saw in the news, Russia has apparently attacked Poland, which could be massive news for the market - a lot of investors will get spooked and sell shares. Shopify relies on online purchases, so there is both an advantage and a disadvantage for them.
Another factor I've spotted which I believe is great for the long term potential of $SHOP is the growth in ecommerce sales and the number of people starting ecommerce businesses. The recent downward economy has forced a lot of businesses to go online, growing the customer base and number of businesses that operate online. As we already know, ecommerce is booming already, but Statista predicts that global ecommerce sales will rise massively to over $8.1TRILLION! In 2021, this figure was just over $5.1trillion.
ETSY LONGThis channel is still holding up even with this last move down all the way into the $60's. ETSY's next Wave up is going to be strong and not looking to stop. I see this one going to the 1.618 level before pulling back for another entry. I am still keeping an eye out for the fib level 1 which could be the C-wave.
BABA MOMENTUM POSITIVEWeekly Chart - BABA
I am taking an interest in BABA here. It has been in a steep correction for well over a year and appears to have made a bullish wedge. What really has my attention is not only the price breakout above but also the momentum break. I may leave myself a little room and time here but I personally may take a heavier interest if it stays this cheap or drags sideways.
These patterns are great for trading the spikes but there are no guarantees. It's not uncommon to see a large spike up (15-30%) only to correct and go nowhere for weeks or months. A breakout does not guarantee profit.. but for me the reward outweighs the risk in this zone.
Let's see what happens.